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2022-09-11 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2516
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.38%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.9%
in alpha space · 93.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.000378313-12.30%0.00028097-34.87%0.2470✓0.372.1M2022-10-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.2842-12.04%1.09-25.34%0.0186✓1.0779k2022-10-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.229678-12.03%0.1306-49.98%0.4554✓0.8024k2022-10-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.4635-11.20%1.424-13.59%0.1413✗1.2443k2022-10-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-76.52e-7-10.64%4.94e-7-32.35%0.1610✓0.862.3M2022-10-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4175.7468-10.44%5.133-20.01%0.0181✓0.966.2M2022-10-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.411256-9.97%0.30021-34.28%0.1781✓1.01379k2022-10-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.0999-9.88%1.67-28.33%0.0538✓1.29227k2022-10-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.058808-9.82%0.05586-14.34%0.1186✗1.251.3M2022-10-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0240.931199-9.06%0.853-16.70%0.0325✓0.412.7M2022-10-11
METISMetisEthereum31.9829.1112-8.97%24.24-24.20%0.0484✓1.70168k2022-10-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60946.934-8.88%5.0794-33.25%0.2770✓0.2511.9M2022-10-11
FLOWFlownative2.1161.9283-8.87%1.581-25.28%0.0048✓1.43967k2022-10-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.140902-8.80%0.1354-12.36%0.0983✗1.02336k2022-10-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14686.5238-8.72%4.4242-38.10%0.3742✓0.109.1M2022-10-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59411.506-8.64%14.164+12.47%0.2588✗0.3816.0M2022-10-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.331176-8.49%0.2662-26.44%0.0579✓1.1872k2022-10-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69914.4246-8.12%12.174-22.45%0.0065✓1.3018.7M2022-10-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.191417-8.11%0.1946-6.58%0.1525✗1.003.2M2022-10-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.631054-8.01%0.555-19.10%0.0180✓1.08111k2022-10-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5014.1422-7.97%3.85-14.46%0.0554✓0.95286k2022-10-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.0483-7.94%4.92-25.11%0.1327✓0.542.1M2022-10-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.304645-7.91%0.255-22.91%0.0742✓0.7684k2022-10-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.047965-7.76%0.0393-24.42%0.0404✓1.17190k2022-10-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.898472-7.75%0.833-14.48%0.0875✗1.201.5M2022-10-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.4261-7.75%1.94-26.24%0.1391✓0.62262k2022-10-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.115736-7.71%0.0677-46.01%0.4519✓0.62191k2022-10-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.022134-7.67%0.025016+4.35%0.1323✗0.07455k2022-10-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,530.39-7.64%1,240.98-25.10%0.0737✓1.003.4M2022-10-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.476719-7.56%0.3748-27.32%0.1244✓0.85418k2022-10-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.2258-7.49%5.78-14.12%0.0061✓0.502.1M2022-10-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.939,432.86-7.47%7,823.46-23.26%0.0086✓1.444.2M2022-10-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9317.5255-7.42%14.03-25.88%0.1483✓0.55384k2022-10-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.4925-7.31%3.9604-18.29%0.0823✗1.53129k2022-10-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.007823-7.31%0.00619-26.66%0.0738✓1.18406k2022-10-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.4961-7.31%11.52-20.88%0.0035✓1.19925k2022-10-11
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.2996-7.30%0.738-47.36%0.3313✓1.732.7M2022-10-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.803515-7.25%0.6867-20.73%0.0031✓1.18946k2022-10-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.016957-7.24%0.014339-21.56%0.0318✓1.008742022-10-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.2701-7.23%1.115-18.55%0.0424✓1.27343k2022-10-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.476359-7.14%0.383-25.34%0.0737✓1.067,7812022-10-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.3463-7.11%3.1333-33.03%0.2450✓0.618.1M2022-10-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.552851-7.08%0.454-23.70%0.0396✓1.1664k2022-10-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.108562-6.97%0.0886-24.08%0.0351✓1.242.5M2022-10-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.291926-6.97%0.252068-19.67%0.0128✓0.99471k2022-10-11
STXStacksnative0.39030.363216-6.94%0.3122-20.01%0.0049✓1.08324k2022-10-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.826901-6.93%0.8294-6.65%0.2161✗1.5794k2022-10-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.637.1085-6.83%5.83-23.59%0.0483✓1.10230k2022-10-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.001276-6.72%0.000927-32.21%0.2048✓0.842.2M2022-10-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.310515-6.70%0.2783-16.38%0.0328✓1.0575k2022-10-11
XVGVergenative0.003810.003556-6.67%0.00325-14.70%0.0475✓1.01481k2022-10-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5635.9943-6.65%23.73-38.46%0.2013✓1.5910.6M2022-10-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.061796-6.65%0.0548-17.22%0.0467✓1.23555k2022-10-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.069251-6.59%0.07114-4.05%0.0453✓0.14378k2022-10-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.200106-6.54%0.1798-16.02%0.0410✓1.09138k2022-10-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.107-6.43%0.8192-30.75%0.0892✓1.564.4M2022-10-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.8788-6.42%1.0218-49.11%0.4934✓0.851.4M2022-10-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.583-6.39%3.171-35.23%0.2324✓1.001.4M2022-10-11
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.327719-6.39%0.3202-8.54%0.1196✗1.057782022-10-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.8016-6.37%1.6014-16.77%0.0343✓1.1223k2022-10-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35122.0543-6.36%111.17-14.71%0.0677✗1.194.4M2022-10-11
HIVEHivenative0.57920.54266-6.31%0.5306-8.39%0.0620✓0.62826k2022-10-11
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.5796-6.28%1.3396-20.52%0.0203✓1.06241k2022-10-11
PROPropyEthereum0.720.67494-6.26%0.56-22.22%0.1552✓0.2346k2022-10-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.273242-6.25%0.21515-26.18%0.1172✓0.9015k2022-10-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.5286-6.24%7.132-11.18%0.0994✗1.1317.5M2022-10-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.267209-6.24%0.233-18.25%0.0308✓0.78563k2022-10-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1736.726-6.23%5.226-27.14%0.1151✓1.014.3M2022-10-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.689313-6.23%0.6398-12.96%0.1340✗1.53226k2022-10-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.0743-6.21%2.858-12.81%0.0220✓0.38720k2022-10-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.2329-6.21%1.105-15.94%0.0361✓1.071.0M2022-10-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.010613-6.19%0.009663-14.59%0.0421✓1.006302022-10-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.0948-6.17%4.18-23.02%0.1081✓0.662.0M2022-10-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.035507-6.09%0.02814-25.58%0.0872✓1.0745k2022-10-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.714.7522-6.04%16.63+5.92%0.2576✗1.011.8M2022-10-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1395.769-6.03%4.3-29.96%0.2042✓0.663.1M2022-10-11
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2551.9434-5.98%55.84+1.07%0.2474✗1.298,9662022-10-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.443-5.98%7.02-21.83%0.1030✓0.602.4M2022-10-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.093781-5.94%0.105+5.32%0.2499✗1.01336k2022-10-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.108801-5.88%0.0922-20.24%0.0465✓0.88169k2022-10-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.275756-5.85%0.2043-30.25%0.1532✓1.0883k2022-10-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.163999-5.82%0.15473-11.15%0.0483✓0.783512022-10-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.2539-5.82%6.18-19.76%0.0015✓1.1710.0M2022-10-11
XECeCashnative0.000045620.00004297-5.81%0.000038-16.70%0.0028✓0.882.5M2022-10-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.6209-5.79%2.134-23.29%0.0987✓0.79586k2022-10-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.75756-5.75%0.64753-19.44%0.0023✓1.14584k2022-10-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6919.5008-5.75%15.96-22.86%0.0141✓1.3718.0M2022-10-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.1171-5.73%2.6817-18.90%0.0085✓1.0419k2022-10-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.001542-5.72%0.001366-16.50%0.0288✓0.686,5532022-10-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.7333-5.69%1.592-13.38%0.0542✓1.02627k2022-10-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2310.5954-5.65%8.81-21.55%0.0006✓1.36298k2022-10-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.401638-5.61%0.313-26.44%0.0989✓1.11202k2022-10-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.4322-5.59%1.432-5.60%0.1525✗1.1271k2022-10-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.512734-5.57%0.426-21.55%0.0190✓1.2274k2022-10-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.060158-5.56%0.060216-5.47%0.1382✗1.011.3M2022-10-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.143373-5.55%0.122-19.63%0.0251✓1.00110k2022-10-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.8802-5.52%1.515-23.87%0.0176✓1.7260k2022-10-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.000012273-5.52%0.00001023-21.25%0.0438✓1.021.0M2022-10-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.921191-5.50%0.7788-20.11%0.0047✓1.27899k2022-10-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.2314-5.49%1.2564-3.57%0.1763✗1.151.1M2022-10-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.276338-5.46%0.2614-10.57%0.0824✗1.022.6M2022-10-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.020698-5.43%0.018475-15.59%0.0293✓0.6212k2022-10-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.1662-5.42%3.254-26.13%0.1737✓0.542.3M2022-10-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.136034-5.41%0.12111-15.79%0.0486✓1.21151k2022-10-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.217841-5.41%0.1864-19.06%0.0343✓0.8957k2022-10-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.003964-5.40%0.00336-19.81%0.0367✓0.95103k2022-10-11
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.044264-5.39%0.039437-15.71%0.0060✓0.8928k2022-10-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.313641-5.36%0.33684+1.64%0.1668✗0.70326k2022-10-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.159018-5.35%0.1567-6.73%0.1653✗1.321,0012022-10-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2022.0844-5.34%1.57-28.70%0.1093✓1.2832k2022-10-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.8056-5.31%2.062-30.41%0.0951✓1.572.9M2022-10-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.005974-5.31%0.006021-4.56%0.0601✗0.3830k2022-10-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.168487-5.29%0.14363-19.26%0.0148✓1.07268k2022-10-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.1853-5.26%1.022-18.31%0.0213✓0.931.1M2022-10-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.008944-5.25%0.00556-41.10%0.3444✓0.963.2M2022-10-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.108391-5.24%0.116096+1.49%0.1890✗0.896.4M2022-10-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.120401-5.20%0.1155-9.06%0.0409✓0.0183k2022-10-11
KSMKusamaHydration51.949.2094-5.18%40.86-21.27%0.0479✓1.02395k2022-10-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.333491-5.17%0.2823-19.73%0.0201✓1.0834k2022-10-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.641022-5.17%0.553-18.20%0.0079✓1.153.5M2022-10-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.615436-5.17%0.562-13.41%0.0490✓1.03178k2022-10-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.006268-5.17%0.00472-28.59%0.1967✓0.64911k2022-10-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.126421-5.16%0.118-11.48%0.0923✗1.191.4M2022-10-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.64e-7-5.10%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0129✓0.7515k2022-10-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4916.1604-5.09%5.992-7.69%0.1624✗1.406.9M2022-10-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.3926-5.09%4.693-17.41%0.0525✗1.416.4M2022-10-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.0312-5.07%0.922593-15.07%0.0067✓0.7734k2022-10-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.309869-5.06%0.3177-2.67%0.1591✗0.995.9M2022-10-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.422035-5.05%0.355-20.13%0.0139✓1.1781k2022-10-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.19-5.02%1.6843-26.95%0.1081✓1.1413k2022-10-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0133.2606-5.00%30.8-12.03%0.0872✗1.2154.5M2022-10-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.2691-4.98%8.744-10.36%0.0591✗0.861.2M2022-10-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.006212-4.97%0.005604-14.27%0.0118✓0.672,0442022-10-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.035362-4.94%0.0355-4.57%0.1227✗0.877,8252022-10-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.047645-4.90%0.0362-27.74%0.1164✓1.17536k2022-10-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.219883-4.89%0.1522-34.17%0.2636✓0.7766k2022-10-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3509-4.87%1.52+7.04%0.0986✗-0.14124k2022-10-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.047297-4.84%0.0383-22.94%0.0954✓0.85138k2022-10-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.1437-4.83%3.34-23.29%0.1651✓0.372.2M2022-10-11
QNTQuantEthereum108.82103.5728-4.82%153.96+41.48%0.5259✗0.953.5M2022-10-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.002765-4.80%0.002081-28.34%0.1620✓0.901.2M2022-10-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.8926.5549-4.79%23.25-16.64%0.0056✓1.026.8M2022-10-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.131209-4.78%0.1203-12.70%0.0653✗1.122.9M2022-10-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.061423-4.77%0.0631-2.17%0.1671✗1.0379k2022-10-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.487852-4.72%0.4268-16.64%0.0265✓1.18384k2022-10-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.22151.7237-4.71%144.57-9.20%0.0851✗0.981.3M2022-10-11
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.2831-4.68%10.4764-18.70%0.0202✓1.0222k2022-10-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.486228-4.68%0.3906-23.43%0.0820✓1.0138.3M2022-10-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.5779-4.66%1.496-9.61%0.0482✗0.7536k2022-10-11
DASHDashDash48.3546.0969-4.66%41.25-14.68%0.0354✓1.08321k2022-10-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.044474-4.64%0.03846-17.54%0.0577✓0.6414k2022-10-11
ZECZcashZcash64.2761.3176-4.59%51.54-19.81%0.0135✓1.181.2M2022-10-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001487-4.58%0.001486-4.62%0.1039✗0.77353k2022-10-11
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.386725-4.57%0.38304-5.48%0.1282✗1.0132k2022-10-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.037507-4.56%0.0324-17.56%0.0077✓1.0288k2022-10-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,687.56-4.49%1,279.94-27.56%0.0901✓1.37575.8M2022-10-11
ZENHorizenBase16.4715.7304-4.49%12.5-24.10%0.0596✓1.2584k2022-10-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.04852-4.49%0.0515+1.38%0.1878✗0.94234k2022-10-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1859.3959-4.48%52.01-16.36%0.0090✓1.0413.5M2022-10-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.089945-4.42%0.0796-15.41%0.0123✓0.9914k2022-10-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.098213-4.37%0.0794-22.69%0.1082✓0.772,6892022-10-11
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.70e-7-4.34%7.60e-7-16.48%0.0345✓0.741.7M2022-10-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.4386-4.34%3.71-20.04%0.0953✓0.621.4M2022-10-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.069915-4.32%0.05605-23.29%0.0888✓0.977022022-10-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45452.1081-4.31%47.915-12.01%0.0339✓0.87275k2022-10-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.888083-4.28%0.762754-17.79%0.0339✓0.8749k2022-10-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.201696-4.23%0.1451-31.10%0.1726✓1.15108k2022-10-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.012635-4.23%0.010365-21.44%0.0832✓0.85920k2022-10-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.024432-4.19%0.02204-13.57%0.0504✗1.132,9142022-10-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.531829-4.19%0.42218-23.94%0.0487✓1.3439k2022-10-11
GTGateEthereum4.33014.1496-4.17%4.365+0.81%0.1502✗0.73690k2022-10-11
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6387.8097-4.17%71.42-22.06%0.0018✓1.535.6M2022-10-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.058553-4.17%0.0499-18.33%0.0435✓0.8682k2022-10-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.037999-4.04%0.03308-16.46%0.0449✓0.692,1832022-10-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7220,962.54-3.98%19,058.11-12.70%0.0406✓1.00473.4M2022-10-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.020454-3.97%0.0178-16.43%0.0575✓0.60206k2022-10-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.14.8977-3.97%4.82-5.49%0.1015✗0.86859k2022-10-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06274.8647-3.91%4.1004-19.01%0.1624✓0.06117k2022-10-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02750.987316-3.91%0.9454-7.99%0.0343✓0.572.6M2022-10-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.81888-3.86%0.75273-11.63%0.0232✓0.7913k2022-10-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.176021-3.81%0.148-19.13%0.0146✓1.171,7442022-10-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.495421-3.80%0.336-34.76%0.2212✓1.234,2692022-10-11
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.226138-3.77%0.2305-1.91%0.1372✗0.87503k2022-10-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.072687-3.68%0.06085-19.36%0.0400✓1.0124k2022-10-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.012471-3.55%0.0104-19.57%0.0920✓0.66233k2022-10-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6020,902.07-3.52%19,028.40-12.16%0.0307✓0.9213k2022-10-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.022506-3.49%0.0222-4.80%0.1307✗1.069.7M2022-10-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.040882-3.40%0.036015-14.90%0.0550✓0.5323k2022-10-11
TRXTRONTron0.064190.062224-3.06%0.06166-3.94%0.0575✗0.49123k2022-10-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8629-1.95%2.27+19.47%0.2625✗0.4861k2022-10-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.7362+0.94%14.48-12.67%0.0381✗0.791.5M2022-10-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.