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2022-09-10 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3056
190 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.24%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.7%
in alpha space · 92.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00043480.000378563-12.93%0.00028839-33.67%0.2100✓0.501.8M2022-10-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.3081-12.21%1.11-25.50%0.0538✓0.8981k2022-10-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.4264-11.68%1.305-19.20%0.0456✓1.0943k2022-10-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.85e-76.08e-7-11.19%5.04e-7-26.47%0.0861✓0.832.3M2022-10-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.465030.414789-10.80%0.30405-34.62%0.1956✓0.93392k2022-10-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3595.6874-10.56%5.154-18.95%0.0054✓0.846.2M2022-10-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.1047-10.05%1.72-26.50%0.0605✓1.14229k2022-10-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065880.059409-9.82%0.05695-13.55%0.0930✓1.091.4M2022-10-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0280.932541-9.29%0.85-17.32%0.0383✓0.442.8M2022-10-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17380.157738-9.24%0.137-21.17%0.0384✓0.8324k2022-10-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.139294-9.14%0.1384-9.72%0.1174✗1.00361k2022-10-10
METISMetisEthereum32.5529.6057-9.05%25.01-23.16%0.0424✓1.71178k2022-10-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.41536.7452-9.04%5.1074-31.12%0.2504✓0.229.9M2022-10-10
FLOWFlownative2.111.9213-8.95%1.573-25.45%0.0413✓1.281.1M2022-10-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.97826.3607-8.85%4.5127-35.33%0.3244✓0.158.6M2022-10-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.21411.1371-8.82%13.805+13.03%0.2689✗0.4416.0M2022-10-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36650.334602-8.70%0.2763-24.61%0.0649✓1.0271k2022-10-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.99514.6167-8.62%12.445-22.19%0.0198✓1.1418.7M2022-10-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5694.1949-8.19%3.921-14.18%0.0435✓0.90289k2022-10-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.20160.185116-8.18%0.1892-6.15%0.1247✗0.833.2M2022-10-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.630087-8.15%0.573-16.47%0.0019✓0.78116k2022-10-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.465.9335-8.15%5.09-21.21%0.0999✓0.432.2M2022-10-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9780.900044-7.97%0.844-13.70%0.0851✗1.211.5M2022-10-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.612.4026-7.95%1.98-24.14%0.1124✓0.66262k2022-10-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0241910.022277-7.91%0.025041+3.51%0.1224✗0.04454k2022-10-10
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,670.431,538.41-7.90%1,251.04-25.11%0.0831✓1.003.4M2022-10-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05220.048095-7.86%0.0399-23.56%0.0805✓0.86204k2022-10-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12740.117408-7.84%0.0751-41.05%0.3614✓0.69195k2022-10-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52490.483785-7.83%0.3899-25.72%0.1337✓0.66444k2022-10-10
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0189450.017468-7.80%0.014562-23.14%0.0583✓1.006792022-10-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,440.999,632.78-7.74%7,851.69-24.80%0.0322✓1.394.2M2022-10-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.626.1125-7.67%5.83-11.93%0.0055✓0.432.1M2022-10-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.9616.591-7.62%14.59-18.76%0.0529✓0.61384k2022-10-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7213.6074-7.56%11.97-18.68%0.0015✓1.02925k2022-10-10
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.45134.1212-7.42%3.7704-15.30%0.0990✗1.52129k2022-10-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9020.835261-7.40%0.8294-8.05%0.1614✗1.3694k2022-10-10
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87190.807405-7.40%0.6906-20.79%0.0339✓0.99988k2022-10-10
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.2707-7.38%1.118-18.51%0.0070✓1.09385k2022-10-10
OPTIMOptimism1.3871.2856-7.31%0.752-45.78%0.3403✓1.582.8M2022-10-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5680.526825-7.25%0.472-16.90%0.0225✓1.0763k2022-10-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5160.478752-7.22%0.4-22.48%0.0573✓0.997,7812022-10-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11730.108855-7.20%0.0913-22.17%0.0484✓1.032.5M2022-10-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3126760.290214-7.18%0.258723-17.26%0.0078✓0.99514k2022-10-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5734.2471-7.13%3.325-27.29%0.1817✓0.517.3M2022-10-10
FISStafiEthereum0.39310.365175-7.10%0.3174-19.26%0.0088✓1.067402022-10-10
STXStacksnative0.38460.357286-7.10%0.3199-16.82%0.0243✓1.09335k2022-10-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.787.236-6.99%6.21-20.18%0.0256✓1.03237k2022-10-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.24461.1577-6.98%0.8515-31.58%0.1248✓1.484.4M2022-10-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.34010.316417-6.96%0.2837-16.58%0.0208✓1.0582k2022-10-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0670.062372-6.91%0.0565-15.67%0.0502✓1.21608k2022-10-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007319-6.88%0.00625-20.48%0.0302✓1.03389k2022-10-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.04771.9073-6.86%1.0487-48.79%0.4906✓0.871.2M2022-10-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013810.001287-6.78%0.0009418-31.79%0.2301✓0.672.3M2022-10-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.93891.8074-6.78%1.644-15.21%0.0349✓1.0523k2022-10-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.2336.5882-6.73%24.25-38.19%0.2327✓1.4411.7M2022-10-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.64123.7661-6.69%111.62-15.85%0.0344✓1.114.4M2022-10-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.74910.698989-6.69%0.6445-13.96%0.0871✗1.36210k2022-10-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.071970.067175-6.66%0.06817-5.28%0.0310✓0.13389k2022-10-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.265163-6.63%0.242-14.79%0.0027✓0.72563k2022-10-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21160.197695-6.57%0.1844-12.85%0.0743✗1.16139k2022-10-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2723.0588-6.52%2.91-11.06%0.0115✓0.50653k2022-10-10
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8134.5003-6.50%3.218-33.14%0.2117✓1.001.2M2022-10-10
PROPropyEthereum0.730.682941-6.45%0.59-19.18%0.0995✓0.3850k2022-10-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9067.4005-6.39%7.34-7.16%0.1109✗0.9618.0M2022-10-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3251.2406-6.37%1.1707-11.65%0.0544✓0.911.1M2022-10-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.415.0675-6.33%4.35-19.59%0.1015✓0.412.0M2022-10-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1296.6779-6.33%5.318-25.40%0.1235✓0.844.3M2022-10-10
HIVEHivenative0.57790.541341-6.33%0.5363-7.20%0.0819✗0.74826k2022-10-10
XTZTezosTezos1.66641.562-6.27%1.3702-17.77%0.0028✓1.04241k2022-10-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.290350.272227-6.24%0.2216-23.68%0.0865✓0.9614k2022-10-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03820.035831-6.20%0.02885-24.48%0.0951✓0.9859k2022-10-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.294639-6.17%0.1964-37.45%0.2795✓1.0292k2022-10-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.4673-6.13%7.19-20.29%0.1087✓0.442.2M2022-10-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0215.6524-6.12%4.65-22.77%0.1432✓0.423.3M2022-10-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5714.6221-6.09%16.13+3.60%0.2060✗0.871.7M2022-10-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11450.107542-6.08%0.0951-16.94%0.0273✓0.77169k2022-10-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.092915-6.05%0.1072+8.39%0.2532✗0.89336k2022-10-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7777.308-6.03%6.253-19.60%0.0342✓0.9810.0M2022-10-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.37543.1729-6.00%2.7499-18.53%0.0241✓0.9619k2022-10-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13070.122907-5.96%0.1201-8.11%0.0222✓0.0183k2022-10-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.8072.6396-5.96%2.188-22.05%0.0884✓0.80630k2022-10-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81370.765245-5.95%0.66749-17.97%0.0338✓0.83584k2022-10-10
COMPCompoundEthereum53.0649.9275-5.90%57.34+8.07%0.2867✗1.209,0502022-10-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0481.9279-5.87%1.526-25.49%0.0330✓1.6260k2022-10-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.33511.2569-5.86%1.2607-5.57%0.1399✗1.111.1M2022-10-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013280.000012504-5.85%0.00001021-23.12%0.0917✓0.90951k2022-10-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.51983-5.83%0.435-21.20%0.0441✓1.0877k2022-10-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0647310.060958-5.83%0.059392-8.25%0.0978✗1.001.3M2022-10-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4519.2607-5.82%16.22-20.68%0.0270✓1.1718.5M2022-10-10
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109740.010338-5.80%0.010135-7.65%0.1038✗1.006082022-10-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.98750.930769-5.74%0.8062-18.36%0.0036✓1.13899k2022-10-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.9510.3234-5.72%9.1-16.89%0.0245✓1.22298k2022-10-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5141.4276-5.71%1.473-2.71%0.1675✗1.1071k2022-10-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.28180.265756-5.69%0.2643-6.21%0.0919✗0.7984k2022-10-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.278116-5.69%0.2601-11.80%0.0463✓0.922.7M2022-10-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42040.396528-5.68%0.3127-25.62%0.1100✓1.03209k2022-10-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016010.00151-5.67%0.001375-14.12%0.0128✓0.666,5532022-10-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.140673-5.65%0.125-16.16%0.0004✓0.95117k2022-10-10
XECeCashnative0.000044560.000042044-5.65%0.00003879-12.95%0.0166✓0.792.5M2022-10-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.7891.6883-5.63%1.635-8.61%0.0730✗0.85627k2022-10-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.179590.169501-5.62%0.14541-19.03%0.0384✓0.93268k2022-10-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143720.13572-5.57%0.12369-13.94%0.0452✓1.12157k2022-10-10
KSMKusamaHydration52.3249.4097-5.56%41.93-19.86%0.0497✓0.93363k2022-10-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2242.1012-5.52%1.602-27.97%0.1354✓1.1033k2022-10-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0242.8575-5.51%2.119-29.93%0.1223✓1.433.0M2022-10-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004130.003903-5.50%0.00343-16.95%0.0179✓0.90103k2022-10-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.33230.314061-5.49%0.34896+5.01%0.1941✗0.72327k2022-10-10
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6746.311-5.44%6.391-4.24%0.1661✗1.246.9M2022-10-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062280.005891-5.41%0.006179-0.79%0.1022✗0.4433k2022-10-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6570.621456-5.41%0.576-12.33%0.0373✓0.92178k2022-10-10
XEMNEMnative0.0457360.043262-5.41%0.040114-12.29%0.0221✓0.7928k2022-10-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1147070.108506-5.41%0.123692+7.83%0.2338✗0.836.5M2022-10-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354070.335019-5.38%0.2881-18.63%0.0337✓0.9534k2022-10-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0215750.020416-5.37%0.018973-12.06%0.0197✓0.7512k2022-10-10
DODODODOEthereum0.13360.12643-5.37%0.1203-9.96%0.0816✗1.061.4M2022-10-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.680.643672-5.34%0.559-17.79%0.0012✓1.133.7M2022-10-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2964.0665-5.34%3.324-22.63%0.1478✓0.442.1M2022-10-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009380.008882-5.31%0.00578-38.38%0.3403✓0.723.3M2022-10-10
MOVRMoonriverBase13.467612.7557-5.29%10.738-20.27%0.0628✓0.8822k2022-10-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03790.035904-5.27%0.0363-4.22%0.1028✗0.747,8252022-10-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06580.062338-5.26%0.0602-8.51%0.0645✗0.8081k2022-10-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2221.158-5.24%1.035-15.30%0.0045✓0.941.1M2022-10-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.16250.154004-5.23%0.1577-2.95%0.1370✗0.921,0012022-10-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.06961.0138-5.22%0.956518-10.58%0.0407✓0.8034k2022-10-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.63e-7-5.21%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0208✓0.7515k2022-10-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32230.305579-5.19%0.3195-0.87%0.1509✗0.865.9M2022-10-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44340.42049-5.17%0.3444-22.33%0.0593✓1.1381k2022-10-10
SOLSolanaSolana35.0733.2616-5.16%31.95-8.90%0.0881✗1.0458.3M2022-10-10
KCSKuCoinnative9.7769.2728-5.15%8.752-10.47%0.0557✗0.921.2M2022-10-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171290.162491-5.14%–pending––1.712952022-10-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.209486-5.12%0.1907-13.63%0.0203✓0.9257k2022-10-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.2084-5.11%1.7409-25.20%0.1026✓1.0913k2022-10-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3579-5.05%1.59+11.19%0.1516✗-0.05124k2022-10-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.048435-5.03%0.0369-27.65%0.1555✓0.94546k2022-10-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13910.132143-5.00%0.1217-12.51%0.0226✓0.482.9M2022-10-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.1365-5.00%3.411-21.66%0.1528✓0.322.2M2022-10-10
XVGVergenative0.003220.00306-4.98%0.00326+1.24%0.1797✗0.94481k2022-10-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029110.002767-4.93%0.002108-27.59%0.1674✓0.851.2M2022-10-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.094606-4.92%0.0801-19.50%0.0606✓0.8613k2022-10-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.22990.218601-4.91%0.161-29.97%0.2111✓0.7767k2022-10-10
FTTFTXEthereum27.6926.3326-4.90%23.56-14.92%0.0085✓0.976.8M2022-10-10
ADACardanoCardano0.51240.487377-4.88%0.4012-21.70%0.0876✓0.8637.9M2022-10-10
DASHDashDash48.7746.4035-4.85%41.83-14.23%0.0138✓0.95328k2022-10-10
DIADIAEthereum0.403660.384152-4.83%0.38835-3.79%0.1266✗0.9431k2022-10-10
ZENHorizenBase16.8516.0369-4.83%13.12-22.14%0.0673✓1.0885k2022-10-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.3260.2758-4.81%52.63-16.88%0.0180✓0.9513.5M2022-10-10
ZECZcashZcash65.3362.2136-4.77%52.65-19.41%0.0217✓1.171.2M2022-10-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.00630.006-4.77%0.006061-3.80%0.0950✗0.692,0442022-10-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046140.043948-4.75%0.03912-15.21%0.0287✓0.7114k2022-10-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.6611.5826-4.72%1.54-7.28%0.0652✗0.7544k2022-10-10
XMRMoneroMonero157.51150.0751-4.72%142.31-9.65%0.0717✗1.011.3M2022-10-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50590.48203-4.72%0.4416-12.71%0.0477✓1.09384k2022-10-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.037544-4.71%0.0329-16.50%0.0274✓0.8584k2022-10-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.048443-4.64%0.0551+8.46%0.2512✗0.99234k2022-10-10
QNTQuantEthereum105.47100.5908-4.63%151.15+43.31%0.5007✗0.763.4M2022-10-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,774.691,692.91-4.61%1,290.06-27.31%0.1105✓1.30591.2M2022-10-10
BTTCBTTC9.30e-78.87e-7-4.59%7.70e-7-17.20%0.0470✓0.771.7M2022-10-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001477-4.58%0.00151-2.45%0.1168✗0.77343k2022-10-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04790.045708-4.58%0.0397-17.12%0.0315✓0.88132k2022-10-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.23652.7303-4.54%48-13.10%0.0040✓0.73284k2022-10-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10360.09891-4.53%0.0821-20.75%0.0990✓0.712,6892022-10-10
NANOnanopayBase0.9383090.896285-4.48%0.772633-17.66%0.0518✓0.7849k2022-10-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.634.4242-4.45%3.91-15.55%0.0616✓0.501.3M2022-10-10
AAVEAaveEthereum92.7488.6744-4.38%73.6-20.64%0.0105✓1.425.6M2022-10-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05980.057183-4.38%0.048-19.73%0.0667✓0.8881k2022-10-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025470.02438-4.28%0.02272-10.80%0.1033✗1.412,9582022-10-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130660.012508-4.27%0.010998-15.83%0.0532✓0.61929k2022-10-10
GTGateEthereum4.3244.1399-4.26%4.3574+0.77%0.1440✗0.75702k2022-10-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.533003-4.21%0.4444-20.13%0.0306✓1.2239k2022-10-10
RARESuperRareEthereum0.210.201206-4.19%0.1511-28.05%0.1438✓1.15108k2022-10-10
XVSVenusEthereum5.114.8965-4.18%4.88-4.50%0.0971✗0.81943k2022-10-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.005930.005685-4.14%0.00482-18.72%0.0875✓0.63911k2022-10-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039780.038136-4.13%0.03408-14.33%0.0187✓0.762,2982022-10-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18610.178475-4.10%0.1562-16.07%0.0324✓1.341,5202022-10-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5160.494964-4.08%0.347-32.75%0.2132✓1.154,5592022-10-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03410.992224-4.05%0.9327-9.81%0.0010✓0.512.7M2022-10-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,651.5220,775.27-4.05%19,132.83-11.63%0.0413✓1.00473.4M2022-10-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021060.020222-3.98%0.01855-11.92%0.0045✓0.73223k2022-10-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94554.749-3.97%4.0725-17.65%0.1420✓0.09115k2022-10-10
CBKCobakEthereum0.850180.816783-3.93%0.78289-7.91%0.0678✗0.8913k2022-10-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075980.073077-3.82%0.06087-19.89%0.0453✓1.1125k2022-10-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,732.5020,907.55-3.80%19,152.00-11.87%0.0288✓0.9413k2022-10-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013060.012569-3.76%0.01132-13.32%0.0159✓0.72228k2022-10-10
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0524.8661-3.68%5.134+1.62%0.2075✗1.246.2M2022-10-10
STEEMSteemnative0.22930.221222-3.52%0.2229-2.79%0.1121✗0.85503k2022-10-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0425350.04105-3.49%0.036464-14.27%0.0551✓0.5123k2022-10-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023050.022269-3.39%0.02172-5.77%0.0774✗0.839.2M2022-10-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069110.066802-3.34%0.06086-11.94%0.0218✓0.936022022-10-10
TRXTRONTron0.0645860.062543-3.16%0.06275-2.84%0.0794✗0.62129k2022-10-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.891.8513-2.05%2.42+28.04%0.3304✗0.5161k2022-10-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.4717.5852+0.66%15.09-13.62%0.0690✗0.681.6M2022-10-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.