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2022-09-05 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1352
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.3%
in alpha space · 75.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000404930.000346564-14.41%0.00030115-25.63%0.1542✓0.75679k2022-10-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.55e-77.61e-7-10.99%6.00e-7-29.83%0.2537✓0.861.8M2022-10-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.2228-10.74%1.18-13.87%0.0525✓0.9283k2022-10-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.20896.4677-10.28%5.2925-26.58%0.2047✓0.236.9M2022-10-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0560.950809-9.96%0.884-16.29%0.0796✓0.362.9M2022-10-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.4165-9.95%1.252-20.41%0.1452✓1.1851k2022-10-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.37816.6653-9.66%6.03-18.27%0.1066✓0.357.7M2022-10-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.1166-9.55%1.83-21.79%0.1668✓1.16217k2022-10-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0255490.023111-9.54%0.02824+10.53%0.1983✗0.12386k2022-10-05
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0440.946342-9.35%0.897-14.08%0.0768✓1.271.5M2022-10-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13980.126856-9.26%0.1448+3.58%0.1128✗1.06409k2022-10-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00811.8043-9.25%16.153+24.18%0.3038✗0.5315.8M2022-10-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.646.0295-9.19%5.73-13.70%0.0595✓0.462.2M2022-10-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.318187-9.09%0.33985-2.90%0.0483✓0.95392k2022-10-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51930.473809-8.76%0.4024-22.51%0.1774✓0.77496k2022-10-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.726.1373-8.67%6.44-4.17%0.0394✓0.482.1M2022-10-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.95184.5226-8.67%3.6003-27.29%0.2390✓0.595.6M2022-10-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0753.729-8.49%4.12+1.10%0.0818✓0.97259k2022-10-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.20730.189829-8.43%0.2174+4.87%0.1202✗0.843.1M2022-10-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13030.11933-8.42%0.0668-48.73%0.5930✓0.70203k2022-10-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3550.32518-8.40%0.2948-16.96%0.1174✓1.0573k2022-10-05
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,477.281,356.78-8.16%1,314.58-11.01%0.0500✓1.003.2M2022-10-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3215.9294-8.03%17.73+2.37%0.0945✗0.69454k2022-10-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.1253-8.00%2.14-7.36%0.0071✓0.76262k2022-10-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007850.007225-7.97%0.00669-14.78%0.0977✓1.13406k2022-10-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.1415.6549-7.92%5.586-9.04%0.0279✓0.857.2M2022-10-05
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176110.016228-7.85%0.015542-11.75%0.0616✓1.00492022-10-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2813.1693-7.78%12.75-10.71%0.0525✓1.101.1M2022-10-05
PROPropyEthereum0.720.664208-7.75%0.59-18.06%0.1246✓0.3363k2022-10-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82570.761802-7.74%0.8299+0.51%0.0581✓1.50105k2022-10-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05080.046877-7.72%0.0411-19.09%0.1485✓0.92190k2022-10-05
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.79974.4352-7.59%5.186+8.05%0.1164✗2.17141k2022-10-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash125.75116.2831-7.53%122.13-2.88%0.0280✓1.154.2M2022-10-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.63311.689-7.47%13.009+2.98%0.0863✗1.1312.5M2022-10-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86631.7295-7.33%1.7093-8.41%0.0318✓1.0925k2022-10-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3615.8954-7.32%5.137-19.24%0.1458✓0.444.4M2022-10-05
METISMetisEthereum30.5328.3003-7.30%30.07-1.51%0.0262✓1.88219k2022-10-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.075830.070337-7.24%0.06975-8.02%0.0094✓0.06389k2022-10-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.75.2889-7.21%4.96-12.98%0.0725✓0.452.3M2022-10-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.6736.8128-7.20%27.62-30.38%0.3152✓1.529.5M2022-10-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15271.0698-7.19%0.9059-21.41%0.1944✓1.534.4M2022-10-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2986880.277244-7.18%0.268868-9.98%0.0506✓1.08514k2022-10-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.353780.328494-7.15%0.40026+13.14%0.1829✗0.80332k2022-10-05
XECeCashnative0.000043720.000040604-7.13%0.00004253-2.72%0.0309✓0.841.9M2022-10-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064020.059496-7.07%0.06065-5.26%0.0007✓1.081.8M2022-10-05
OPTIMOptimism1.1991.1148-7.02%0.863-28.02%0.2870✓1.682.9M2022-10-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.218.5691-6.96%8.14-11.62%0.0605✓0.502.1M2022-10-05
BANDBandEthereum1.3071.217-6.89%1.226-6.20%0.0144✓1.19429k2022-10-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,493.618,842.62-6.86%8,314.11-12.42%0.0874✓1.405.2M2022-10-05
FLOWFlownative1.9191.7887-6.79%1.701-11.36%0.0753✓1.361.3M2022-10-05
STXStacksnative0.36810.343378-6.72%0.3269-11.19%0.0705✓1.16348k2022-10-05
HIVEHivenative0.53880.502662-6.71%0.5043-6.40%0.0121✓0.83924k2022-10-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9722.7749-6.63%2.993+0.71%0.0659✓0.53653k2022-10-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1040.097106-6.63%0.0978-5.96%0.0087✓0.86169k2022-10-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2090.195168-6.62%0.1824-12.73%0.0923✓1.34142k2022-10-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006350.00593-6.61%0.006285-1.02%0.0500✓0.4441k2022-10-05
XTZTezosTezos1.5461.4439-6.60%1.4299-7.51%0.0304✓1.12252k2022-10-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.7222.5428-6.58%2.313-15.03%0.1110✓0.88682k2022-10-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3826.8961-6.58%7.876+6.69%0.1136✗1.0518.0M2022-10-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5220.487781-6.56%0.467-10.54%0.0631✓1.0763k2022-10-05
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105160.009828-6.54%0.010708+1.83%0.0674✓1.004902022-10-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.001243-6.54%0.001017-23.54%0.2155✓0.802.4M2022-10-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.04440.976266-6.52%0.968189-7.30%0.0240✓0.8639k2022-10-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.61977-6.52%0.593-10.56%0.0600✓0.86183k2022-10-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0626950.058633-6.48%0.064822+3.39%0.0807✗1.071.3M2022-10-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.69250.648325-6.38%0.6248-9.78%0.0626✓1.40210k2022-10-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003764-6.38%0.00348-13.43%0.0965✓0.99127k2022-10-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95770.896943-6.34%0.8612-10.08%0.0630✓1.22865k2022-10-05
FISStafiEthereum0.33790.316488-6.34%0.2974-11.99%0.0790✓0.916202022-10-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14470.135572-6.31%0.128-11.54%0.0669✓0.513.4M2022-10-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.09390.087977-6.31%0.1222+30.14%0.3108✗0.97372k2022-10-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035620.033374-6.31%0.0309-13.25%0.0956✓1.0151k2022-10-05
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84730.793964-6.29%0.7885-6.94%0.0259✓1.031.3M2022-10-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.810.1269-6.23%9.27-14.17%0.1112✓1.24277k2022-10-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.34843.143-6.13%2.8764-14.10%0.1072✓1.0118k2022-10-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.115385-6.11%0.1318+7.24%0.1138✗1.0425k2022-10-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1730.162474-6.08%0.15053-12.99%0.0944✓0.98268k2022-10-05
KCSKuCoinnative9.4148.8421-6.08%9.14-2.91%0.0154✓0.961.2M2022-10-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.314.049-6.05%3.692-14.34%0.1010✓0.472.3M2022-10-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5330.500782-6.04%0.454-14.82%0.1190✓1.1476k2022-10-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138440.130102-6.02%0.13013-6.00%0.0220✓1.21175k2022-10-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1040.097741-6.02%0.1-3.85%0.0030✓1.082.8M2022-10-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2710.254754-5.99%0.254-6.27%0.0168✓0.75597k2022-10-05
XVGVergenative0.003090.002905-5.98%0.00338+9.39%0.1325✗1.02481k2022-10-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13751.0696-5.97%1.2541+10.25%0.1427✗0.891.1M2022-10-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3070.288673-5.97%0.2918-4.95%0.0106✓1.17105k2022-10-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.537.0826-5.94%6.53-13.28%0.1013✓1.09290k2022-10-05
KSMKusamaHydration51.3348.2864-5.93%43.36-15.53%0.1257✓0.98442k2022-10-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.340640.320489-5.92%0.30274-11.13%0.0751✓0.9937k2022-10-05
COMPCompoundEthereum48.3645.5016-5.91%58.89+21.77%0.2345✗1.278,9662022-10-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.23981.1665-5.91%1.2889+3.96%0.0775✗1.21973k2022-10-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3686.9335-5.90%6.437-12.64%0.0935✓1.0510.0M2022-10-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28220.265587-5.89%0.2745-2.73%0.0155✓0.952.8M2022-10-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.6769-5.87%17.51+20.51%0.2281✗1.031.6M2022-10-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5014.2377-5.85%3.721-17.33%0.1345✓0.242.3M2022-10-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.636496-5.84%0.6-11.24%0.0815✓1.223.9M2022-10-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.623397-5.83%0.585-11.63%0.0815✓0.98187k2022-10-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.7521.6502-5.81%1.458-16.78%0.1405✓0.9195k2022-10-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30460.286976-5.79%0.3539+16.19%0.1932✗0.905.8M2022-10-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.4418.3159-5.78%17.38-10.60%0.0759✓1.2819.6M2022-10-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.7346.3454-5.77%6.03-10.45%0.0664✓0.844.4M2022-10-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1171.9949-5.77%1.761-16.82%0.1459✓1.1538k2022-10-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.058902-5.76%0.0585-6.40%0.0304✓1.28713k2022-10-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05144.7614-5.74%4.1821-17.21%0.1316✓0.10115k2022-10-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015640.001474-5.73%0.001566+0.13%0.0432✓0.93413k2022-10-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.23370.220341-5.72%0.1829-21.74%0.2027✓0.9066k2022-10-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.78950.744413-5.71%0.70324-10.93%0.0730✓0.87509k2022-10-05
XEMNEMnative0.0437180.041226-5.70%0.041527-5.01%0.0082✓0.8427k2022-10-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.008402-5.70%0.0065-27.05%0.2704✓0.744.1M2022-10-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66841.5734-5.69%1.1488-31.14%0.3325✓0.981.1M2022-10-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.171.1041-5.64%1.061-9.32%0.0577✓0.971.2M2022-10-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0052.8368-5.60%2.33-22.46%0.2250✓1.533.5M2022-10-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.03465-5.58%0.0374+1.91%0.0621✗0.776,8072022-10-05
UNIUniswapEthereum6.5766.2109-5.55%6.815+3.63%0.0688✗1.317.2M2022-10-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.147537-5.55%0.1454-6.91%0.0337✓1.041,4472022-10-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.14480.13685-5.49%0.1283-11.40%0.0832✓1.0199k2022-10-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.41e-7-5.48%8.00e-7-10.11%0.0648✓0.7915k2022-10-05
MOVRMoonriverBase12.905412.1985-5.48%11.2855-12.55%0.0960✓0.9930k2022-10-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37410.353705-5.45%0.3286-12.16%0.0968✓1.26202k2022-10-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014680.001388-5.44%0.001439-1.98%0.0234✓0.697,6332022-10-05
FTTFTXEthereum26.6225.1712-5.44%24.76-6.99%0.0343✓0.976.8M2022-10-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4651.3855-5.43%1.498+2.25%0.0565✗1.1779k2022-10-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43080.407429-5.42%0.3659-15.06%0.1286✓1.1585k2022-10-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.285930.270442-5.42%0.23538-17.68%0.1582✓1.0513k2022-10-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.3716-5.41%1.57+8.28%0.1372✗-0.12128k2022-10-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10250.09697-5.40%0.0893-12.88%0.0958✓0.732,7842022-10-05
DASHDashDash47.5945.0262-5.39%42.19-11.35%0.0830✓0.97419k2022-10-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.05580.052833-5.32%0.0539-3.41%0.0006✓1.12220k2022-10-05
DIADIAEthereum0.380520.360328-5.31%0.41668+9.50%0.1273✗0.9833k2022-10-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012610.000011942-5.30%0.00001144-9.28%0.0606✓0.96861k2022-10-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.724.4707-5.28%4.4-6.78%0.0259✓0.541.3M2022-10-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.7150.8755-5.28%49.531-7.78%0.0407✓0.76302k2022-10-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.006020.005703-5.27%0.006191+2.83%0.0693✗0.702,1662022-10-05
XLMStellarStellar0.105070.09955-5.25%0.1189+13.16%0.1624✗0.836.7M2022-10-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03670.034778-5.24%0.034-7.36%0.0396✓0.9266k2022-10-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18720.177408-5.23%0.1602-14.42%0.1273✓1.382,0092022-10-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025110.0238-5.22%0.02368-5.69%0.0285✓1.283,2982022-10-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9161.8161-5.21%1.663-13.20%0.1191✓1.6972k2022-10-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206530.019583-5.18%0.019252-6.78%0.0319✓0.8112k2022-10-05
DODODODOEthereum0.12790.121286-5.17%0.1324+3.52%0.0685✗1.041.5M2022-10-05
ADACardanoCardano0.49870.473077-5.14%0.431-13.58%0.1102✓0.9339.1M2022-10-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022350.021205-5.12%0.01882-15.79%0.1343✓0.82459k2022-10-05
SOLSolanaSolana32.1830.5347-5.11%34.05+5.81%0.0880✗1.1461.7M2022-10-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.555460.527128-5.10%0.45167-18.69%0.1787✓1.3239k2022-10-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31450.298479-5.09%0.2542-19.17%0.1807✓1.0999k2022-10-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.3657.2901-5.09%54.64-9.48%0.0656✓0.9912.8M2022-10-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30842.1913-5.07%1.8057-21.78%0.2144✓1.1313k2022-10-05
XMRMoneroMonero157.52149.5492-5.06%146.46-7.02%0.0399✓1.041.4M2022-10-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.1580.150029-5.05%0.17246+9.15%0.1021✗2.033162022-10-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04420.041986-5.01%0.04004-9.41%0.0610✓0.7414k2022-10-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20970.199235-4.99%0.1957-6.68%0.0362✓1.0058k2022-10-05
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.46e-7-4.92%7.90e-7-11.24%0.0836✓0.811.7M2022-10-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.6072-4.90%1.718+1.66%0.0496✓0.93540k2022-10-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04460.042435-4.85%0.0414-7.17%0.0427✓0.98132k2022-10-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131250.01249-4.84%0.011859-9.65%0.0638✓0.65929k2022-10-05
NANOnanopayBase0.8985570.855118-4.83%0.800836-10.88%0.0810✓0.8454k2022-10-05
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.194743-4.82%0.1562-23.66%0.2446✓1.31111k2022-10-05
ZENHorizenBase16.115.3293-4.79%13.98-13.17%0.1126✓1.1193k2022-10-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.011,541.76-4.71%1,352.48-16.41%0.1566✓1.39628.3M2022-10-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.005990.00571-4.68%0.00515-14.02%0.1148✓0.63951k2022-10-05
AAVEAaveEthereum91.387.1379-4.56%78.71-13.79%0.1301✓1.545.2M2022-10-05
ZECZcashZcash63.4160.526-4.55%56.64-10.68%0.0877✓1.161.3M2022-10-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.23730.226595-4.51%0.2662+12.18%0.1435✗0.9681k2022-10-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47220.451363-4.41%0.4412-6.57%0.0439✓1.15384k2022-10-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037420.035771-4.41%0.03512-6.15%0.0334✓0.822,5882022-10-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4870.465646-4.38%0.356-26.90%0.2908✓1.223,8602022-10-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08180.078228-4.37%0.081-0.98%0.0175✓0.9510k2022-10-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029350.002808-4.34%0.00222-24.36%0.2517✓0.921.2M2022-10-05
XVSVenusEthereum4.934.7169-4.32%5.22+5.88%0.0855✗0.861.2M2022-10-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04960.047458-4.32%0.0391-21.17%0.2121✓1.00739k2022-10-05
GTGateEthereum4.00713.8355-4.28%4.3938+9.65%0.1215✗0.79748k2022-10-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05710.054666-4.26%0.0498-12.78%0.1105✓0.9490k2022-10-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012720.012182-4.23%0.00948-25.47%0.2627✓0.65220k2022-10-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05590.053554-4.20%0.0716+28.09%0.2743✗0.8885k2022-10-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97840.938292-4.10%0.99+1.19%0.0445✗0.503.0M2022-10-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068020.065241-4.09%0.06191-8.98%0.0691✓0.916062022-10-05
CBKCobakEthereum0.855820.821271-4.04%0.78874-7.84%0.0589✓1.0113k2022-10-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072610.069786-3.89%0.06245-13.99%0.1326✓1.1725k2022-10-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,794.5819,032.44-3.85%20,161.62+1.85%0.0393✗1.00480.9M2022-10-05
STEEMSteemnative0.2220.213706-3.74%0.2267+2.12%0.0419✗0.93468k2022-10-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0414830.03997-3.65%0.037278-10.14%0.0790✓0.5125k2022-10-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.16280.156887-3.63%0.1147-29.55%0.3137✓0.0393k2022-10-05
TRXTRONTron0.0629370.060705-3.55%0.062453-0.77%0.0171✓0.62123k2022-10-05
APEApeCoinEthereum4.754.5845-3.48%5.2+9.47%0.1013✗1.346.8M2022-10-05
QNTQuantEthereum93.1489.9193-3.46%138.37+48.56%0.4153✗0.863.4M2022-10-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,866.3019,183.13-3.44%20,252.70+1.95%0.0370✗0.9413k2022-10-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.971.9065-3.22%2.39+21.32%0.2167✗0.5168k2022-10-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021340.020704-2.98%0.02234+4.69%0.0621✗0.769.8M2022-10-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.3118.3813+0.39%15.44-15.67%0.1875✗0.711.7M2022-10-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.