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2022-09-04 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2102
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.88%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
80.3%
in alpha space · 78.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3570.358279+0.36%0.331-7.28%0.1005✗1.26194k2022-10-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.50.501569+0.31%0.364-27.20%0.3411✗1.223,8602022-10-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,004.7319,967.84-0.18%20,345.19+1.70%0.0018✗1.00480.9M2022-10-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05620.056078-0.22%0.0677+20.46%0.1735✗0.8891k2022-10-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.231916-0.25%0.1886-18.88%0.2219✓0.9067k2022-10-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.9218.8377-0.44%15.51-18.02%0.2063✓0.711.7M2022-10-04
TRXTRONTron0.0635470.063246-0.47%0.062261-2.02%0.0261✓0.62123k2022-10-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025020.024847-0.69%0.02476-1.04%0.0251✓1.283,2982022-10-04
AAVEAaveEthereum88.8588.0546-0.90%78.82-11.29%0.1369✓1.555.2M2022-10-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064550.006396-0.91%0.006321-2.08%0.0193✓0.4444k2022-10-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,865.8019,668.56-0.99%20,310.50+2.24%0.0163✗0.9413k2022-10-04
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7984.7464-1.08%5.26+9.63%0.0801✗1.346.8M2022-10-04
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015630.001544-1.24%0.001573+0.64%0.0031✓0.93413k2022-10-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17820.175713-1.40%0.1593-10.61%0.1213✓1.382,0092022-10-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04440.043745-1.47%0.042-5.41%0.0573✓0.98132k2022-10-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1661.1487-1.48%1.071-8.15%0.0864✓0.971.3M2022-10-04
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.201528-1.50%0.1573-23.12%0.2700✓1.32111k2022-10-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2110.207741-1.54%0.197-6.64%0.0699✓1.0058k2022-10-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03640.035832-1.56%0.0378+3.85%0.0404✗0.788,1752022-10-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012860.012659-1.56%0.0099-23.02%0.2568✓0.65220k2022-10-04
FTTFTXEthereum26.425.9766-1.60%25.11-4.89%0.0503✓0.976.8M2022-10-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.035912-1.61%0.0343-6.03%0.0615✓0.9266k2022-10-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.23990.235976-1.64%0.2664+11.05%0.1051✗0.9681k2022-10-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46950.461465-1.71%0.4439-5.45%0.0582✓1.15384k2022-10-04
KCSKuCoinnative9.3949.2329-1.72%9.208-1.98%0.0190✓0.971.2M2022-10-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05770.056695-1.74%0.0501-13.17%0.1396✓0.9497k2022-10-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.30702-1.75%0.29-7.20%0.0767✓1.17111k2022-10-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.09580.094119-1.75%0.1219+27.24%0.2424✗0.97375k2022-10-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.061372-1.80%0.0592-5.28%0.0577✓1.28713k2022-10-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021570.021175-1.83%0.02265+5.01%0.0545✗0.769.8M2022-10-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073760.072404-1.84%0.06231-15.52%0.1699✓1.1725k2022-10-04
STEEMSteemnative0.22510.220871-1.88%0.2235-0.71%0.0040✓0.94468k2022-10-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6870.673979-1.90%0.604-12.08%0.1301✓1.214.0M2022-10-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022260.021836-1.90%0.01907-14.33%0.1493✓0.82459k2022-10-04
ZECZcashZcash63.862.5416-1.97%56.77-11.02%0.1165✓1.161.3M2022-10-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.981.9403-2.00%2.43+22.73%0.2165✗0.5175k2022-10-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.006080.005958-2.01%0.00509-16.28%0.1681✓0.63977k2022-10-04
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.5242-2.05%1.4575-6.34%0.0637✓1.12253k2022-10-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.6934-2.06%1.739+0.58%0.0109✓0.93540k2022-10-04
XEMNEMnative0.0441320.043196-2.12%0.04142-6.15%0.0562✓0.8429k2022-10-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131720.012888-2.15%0.011761-10.71%0.1025✓0.65929k2022-10-04
SOLSolanaSolana32.1731.4731-2.17%34.1+6.00%0.0609✗1.1461.7M2022-10-04
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003932-2.18%0.00351-12.69%0.1303✓0.99127k2022-10-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138520.135433-2.23%0.13062-5.70%0.0566✓1.21183k2022-10-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.170108-2.24%0.15194-12.68%0.1295✓0.98268k2022-10-04
CBKCobakEthereum0.869040.849512-2.25%0.78707-9.43%0.0933✓1.0113k2022-10-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.15230.148749-2.33%0.1457-4.33%0.0384✓1.051,4472022-10-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10290.10048-2.35%0.0904-12.15%0.1180✓0.732,7842022-10-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9812.9108-2.36%2.34-21.50%0.2441✓1.533.6M2022-10-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037740.036846-2.37%0.03552-5.88%0.0505✓0.822,6312022-10-04
HIVEHivenative0.54390.530816-2.41%0.4984-8.37%0.0771✓0.83953k2022-10-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.349150.340635-2.44%0.30859-11.62%0.1154✓0.9940k2022-10-04
DIADIAEthereum0.386770.377134-2.49%0.39405+1.88%0.0273✗0.9834k2022-10-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.100725-2.49%0.0992-3.97%0.0298✓0.86150k2022-10-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.7621.718-2.50%1.529-13.22%0.1319✓0.91108k2022-10-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1063240.103658-2.51%0.119187+12.10%0.1256✗0.836.8M2022-10-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2990080.291508-2.51%0.271296-9.27%0.0902✓1.08514k2022-10-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.15821.1291-2.51%1.1563-0.16%0.0033✓1.21949k2022-10-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43490.423951-2.52%0.3718-14.51%0.1506✓1.1591k2022-10-04
KSMKusamaHydration50.6149.3348-2.52%43.97-13.12%0.1318✓0.99459k2022-10-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20410.198945-2.53%0.1815-11.07%0.1144✓1.34140k2022-10-04
GTGateEthereum4.21214.105-2.54%4.3937+4.31%0.0548✗0.78724k2022-10-04
QNTQuantEthereum95.2992.8643-2.55%141.6+48.60%0.4074✗0.863.5M2022-10-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5410.2696-2.57%9.29-11.86%0.1213✓1.24277k2022-10-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155180.15116-2.59%0.17452+12.46%0.1095✗2.033442022-10-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4514-2.59%1.56+4.70%0.0745✗-0.13128k2022-10-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.2565.1181-2.62%4.147-21.10%0.2121✓0.10115k2022-10-04
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.57e-7-2.67%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0945✓0.811.7M2022-10-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4981.4576-2.69%1.478-1.34%0.0059✓1.1784k2022-10-04
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.7773-2.70%5.35+8.96%0.0988✗0.851.3M2022-10-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4240.412506-2.71%0.424+0.00%0.0100✓1.048,1172022-10-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.9067-2.72%1.647-15.97%0.1749✓1.6974k2022-10-04
DODODODOEthereum0.130.126451-2.73%0.1359+4.54%0.0545✗1.041.5M2022-10-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.05881.0298-2.74%0.972677-8.14%0.0715✓0.8641k2022-10-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29080.282768-2.76%0.2818-3.09%0.0195✓0.952.8M2022-10-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.119494-2.77%0.1287+4.72%0.0566✗1.0525k2022-10-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6710.652386-2.77%0.586-12.67%0.1238✓0.98196k2022-10-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.553890.538428-2.79%0.45671-17.54%0.1869✓1.3239k2022-10-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.9359.2267-2.80%55.32-9.21%0.0850✓0.9912.7M2022-10-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.65e-7-2.80%8.00e-7-10.11%0.0916✓0.8015k2022-10-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.36115.0414-2.80%121.15+2.36%0.0323✗1.154.2M2022-10-04
XMRMoneroMonero155.77151.3264-2.85%147.1-5.57%0.0458✓1.041.4M2022-10-04
NANOnanopayBase0.9006250.874709-2.88%0.806453-10.46%0.0954✓0.8454k2022-10-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008920.008663-2.88%0.00656-26.46%0.2906✓0.744.7M2022-10-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.27351.7194-2.92%49.146-7.75%0.0638✓0.76302k2022-10-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0118.4547-2.92%17.45-8.21%0.0776✓1.2820.1M2022-10-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31270.30349-2.95%0.3577+14.39%0.1492✗0.905.8M2022-10-04
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4747.039-2.95%59.84+23.46%0.2192✗1.279,0502022-10-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044810.043467-3.00%0.0407-9.17%0.0782✓0.7415k2022-10-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0421850.040911-3.02%0.038072-9.75%0.0805✓0.5125k2022-10-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.260821-3.04%0.256-4.83%0.0313✓0.75627k2022-10-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13860.134362-3.06%0.1251-9.74%0.0801✓0.513.4M2022-10-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067080.064974-3.14%0.06279-6.40%0.0496✓0.917702022-10-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,579.041,529.45-3.14%1,362.06-13.74%0.1394✓1.39628.3M2022-10-04
QTUMQtumQtum3.23673.1349-3.15%2.8964-10.51%0.0962✓1.0119k2022-10-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.289140.280014-3.16%0.23843-17.54%0.1785✓1.0512k2022-10-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09251.058-3.16%0.9124-16.49%0.1739✓1.534.4M2022-10-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059790.00579-3.16%0.006303+5.41%0.0730✗0.702,1662022-10-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1212.0532-3.20%1.779-16.12%0.1628✓1.1538k2022-10-04
ADACardanoCardano0.50350.487364-3.20%0.4357-13.47%0.1277✓0.9339.1M2022-10-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.51086-3.25%0.47-10.98%0.1014✓1.0768k2022-10-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05060.04895-3.26%0.0396-21.74%0.2289✓1.00739k2022-10-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08280.0801-3.26%0.0821-0.85%0.0087✓0.9410k2022-10-04
STXStacksnative0.36780.355771-3.27%0.3298-10.33%0.0954✓1.16335k2022-10-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.30535-3.28%0.2603-17.55%0.1781✓1.0999k2022-10-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97860.945954-3.34%0.918-6.19%0.0384✓0.503.1M2022-10-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207140.020023-3.34%0.019507-5.83%0.0398✓0.8112k2022-10-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50430.486839-3.46%0.412-18.30%0.1799✓0.77496k2022-10-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1556.9067-3.47%7.726+7.98%0.0944✗1.0517.4M2022-10-04
DASHDashDash47.5945.9159-3.52%42.31-11.09%0.0982✓0.98419k2022-10-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3757.1149-3.53%6.496-11.92%0.1087✓1.0510.0M2022-10-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0632180.060988-3.53%0.065854+4.17%0.0587✗1.071.3M2022-10-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.7712.6726-3.55%2.307-16.74%0.1620✓0.88682k2022-10-04
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4886.2559-3.58%6.649+2.48%0.0389✗1.316.9M2022-10-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.2251-3.68%2.03-12.12%0.1046✓0.76262k2022-10-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97260.936461-3.72%0.8516-12.44%0.1155✓1.22841k2022-10-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3916.7407-3.73%14.63-15.87%0.1464✓0.69503k2022-10-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012840.000012357-3.76%0.00001162-9.50%0.0777✓0.96861k2022-10-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18030.173493-3.78%0.1149-36.27%0.4123✓0.0193k2022-10-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6866.4336-3.78%6.178-7.60%0.0547✓0.844.4M2022-10-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.2017-3.78%16.1+17.35%0.1810✗1.041.7M2022-10-04
XVGVergenative0.003110.00299-3.86%0.00342+9.97%0.1171✗1.02486k2022-10-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.806570.775305-3.88%0.70257-12.89%0.1133✓0.87519k2022-10-04
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84530.812194-3.92%0.7941-6.06%0.0400✓1.041.4M2022-10-04
ZENHorizenBase16.4515.7998-3.95%14.31-13.01%0.1178✓1.11107k2022-10-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5340.512854-3.96%0.459-14.04%0.1302✓1.1476k2022-10-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0382.9173-3.97%3.093+1.81%0.0496✗0.53650k2022-10-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10450.100319-4.00%0.101-3.35%0.0115✓1.082.8M2022-10-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.360770.346279-4.02%0.42019+16.47%0.1800✗0.80332k2022-10-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.0570.054698-4.04%0.0522-8.42%0.0657✓1.12220k2022-10-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.5089-4.07%1.292-17.86%0.1752✓1.1856k2022-10-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.90991.832-4.08%1.7399-8.90%0.0699✓1.0927k2022-10-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029430.002821-4.13%0.002242-23.82%0.2454✓0.921.1M2022-10-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14620.140093-4.18%0.1463+0.07%0.0255✓1.06409k2022-10-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.884.6756-4.19%4.49-7.99%0.0496✓0.541.3M2022-10-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001455-4.27%0.001465-3.62%0.0049✓0.698,3412022-10-04
PROPropyEthereum0.730.698856-4.27%0.62-15.07%0.1253✓0.3369k2022-10-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078140.074784-4.29%0.07267-7.00%0.0295✓0.05397k2022-10-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035850.03428-4.38%0.03097-13.61%0.1187✓1.0151k2022-10-04
MOVRMoonriverBase13.146112.5636-4.43%11.8219-10.07%0.0776✓0.9932k2022-10-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.397-4.43%6.71-13.31%0.1159✓1.09317k2022-10-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84850.810731-4.45%0.82-3.36%0.0139✓1.49116k2022-10-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6730.642628-4.51%0.597-11.29%0.0882✓0.86199k2022-10-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36740.350584-4.58%0.2987-18.70%0.1779✓1.0575k2022-10-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.70710.674304-4.64%0.6289-11.06%0.0933✓1.40210k2022-10-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31662.208-4.69%1.8691-19.32%0.1857✓1.1313k2022-10-04
METISMetisEthereum30.1128.6821-4.74%25.34-15.84%0.1556✓1.88241k2022-10-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.353820.337005-4.75%0.34118-3.57%0.0038✓0.95392k2022-10-04
XECeCashnative0.000044320.000042211-4.76%0.00004218-4.83%0.0149✓0.841.8M2022-10-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007930.007544-4.87%0.00681-14.12%0.1215✓1.13428k2022-10-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.05160.049056-4.93%0.0415-19.57%0.1829✓0.92204k2022-10-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.12331.0676-4.96%1.2652+12.63%0.1547✗0.891.1M2022-10-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.8307-5.01%12.98-10.85%0.0820✓1.101.0M2022-10-04
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0108660.010316-5.06%0.010764-0.94%0.0256✓1.005602022-10-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013390.001271-5.09%0.001021-23.72%0.2321✓0.802.4M2022-10-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.14370.136309-5.14%0.1287-10.44%0.0746✓1.0199k2022-10-04
BANDBandEthereum1.3361.2661-5.23%1.25-6.44%0.0329✓1.19449k2022-10-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.1701-6.05%1.87-19.05%0.1684✓1.16217k2022-10-04
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,442.741,354.74-6.10%1,315.41-8.83%0.0463✓1.003.3M2022-10-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68651.582-6.20%1.157-31.40%0.3294✓0.981.1M2022-10-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.04612.2372-6.20%13.026-0.15%0.0434✓1.1312.3M2022-10-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.85.4393-6.22%4.99-13.97%0.0938✓0.452.3M2022-10-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.351.2647-6.32%1.2-11.11%0.0680✓0.9295k2022-10-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4630.3923-6.37%27.88-14.11%0.1121✓1.539.5M2022-10-04
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9820.918801-6.44%0.887-9.67%0.0414✓0.372.9M2022-10-04
FLOWFlownative1.951.8179-6.77%1.714-12.10%0.0819✓1.361.3M2022-10-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12130.112987-6.85%0.07-42.29%0.4906✓0.70208k2022-10-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.268.6033-7.09%8.28-10.58%0.0467✓0.502.0M2022-10-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064730.060081-7.18%0.06112-5.58%0.0011✓1.081.9M2022-10-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.816.3205-7.19%6.52-4.26%0.0230✓0.482.1M2022-10-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2655.8116-7.24%5.606-10.52%0.0504✓0.857.6M2022-10-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.414.0881-7.30%3.767-14.58%0.0898✓0.472.3M2022-10-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5974.2472-7.61%3.762-18.16%0.1254✓0.242.4M2022-10-04
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.0843-7.64%0.871-25.81%0.2475✓1.693.0M2022-10-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6636.1253-8.07%5.161-22.54%0.1787✓0.444.4M2022-10-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.736.1596-8.48%5.82-13.52%0.0645✓0.462.2M2022-10-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256740.023462-8.61%0.026967+5.04%0.1373✗0.12315k2022-10-04
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0450.953128-8.79%0.904-13.49%0.0743✓1.271.5M2022-10-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,437.498,604.96-8.82%8,347.58-11.55%0.0540✓1.405.6M2022-10-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.21340.194378-8.91%0.2186+2.44%0.1032✗0.843.1M2022-10-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0533.6475-10.00%3.923-3.21%0.0564✓0.97259k2022-10-04
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.13624.5788-10.85%5.2106+1.45%0.1124✓1.00141k2022-10-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67073.9747-14.90%3.6263-22.36%0.1018✓0.604.7M2022-10-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.44226.3272-14.98%6.0315-18.96%0.0538✓0.357.6M2022-10-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.24e-77.73e-7-16.42%6.18e-7-33.18%0.2384✓0.861.7M2022-10-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.01785.7959-17.41%5.3051-24.41%0.0923✓0.236.5M2022-10-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53910.8172-20.10%15.414+13.85%0.3452✗0.5315.8M2022-10-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000253770.000201744-20.50%0.0003074+21.13%0.4081✗0.78640k2022-10-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.