8=======>

2022-08-29 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0404
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.52%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.2%
in alpha space · 82.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CBKCobakEthereum0.875420.846692-3.28%0.78271-10.59%0.0352✓0.9815k2022-09-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.242.1651-3.34%2.43+8.48%0.1374✗0.5097k2022-09-28
TRXTRONTron0.0634370.061309-3.35%0.059562-6.11%0.0023✓0.60129k2022-09-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14532.0725-3.39%1.7586-18.03%0.1116✓1.2013k2022-09-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,303.8019,575.43-3.59%19,450.40-4.20%0.0351✓0.9413k2022-09-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067420.064934-3.69%0.06144-8.87%0.0197✓0.819142022-09-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072840.070085-3.78%0.06189-15.03%0.0720✓1.1927k2022-09-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022670.021812-3.78%0.02383+5.12%0.1268✗0.8711.8M2022-09-28
STEEMSteemnative0.22570.217109-3.81%0.2194-2.79%0.0503✗0.90501k2022-09-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17250.165884-3.84%0.1496-13.28%0.0419✓1.392,2552022-09-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0444460.042735-3.85%0.036375-18.16%0.1384✓0.5228k2022-09-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,286.9719,505.33-3.85%19,412.07-4.31%0.0393✗1.00485.5M2022-09-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08430.080983-3.93%0.0852+1.07%0.0933✗0.9614k2022-09-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96560.927374-3.96%0.9053-6.24%0.0005✓0.533.6M2022-09-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46070.442055-4.05%0.4454-3.32%0.0573✗1.13364k2022-09-28
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9834.7803-4.07%5.375+7.87%0.1769✗1.358.8M2022-09-28
ADACardanoCardano0.45050.432124-4.08%0.4362-3.17%0.0528✗0.9837.9M2022-09-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04910.047086-4.10%0.0389-20.77%0.1471✓1.00814k2022-09-28
XVSVenusEthereum5.124.91-4.10%4.86-5.08%0.0279✓0.861.6M2022-09-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1010.09675-4.21%0.0897-11.19%0.0436✓0.732,9872022-09-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037920.036299-4.27%0.03471-8.47%0.0094✓0.802,7072022-09-28
ZECZcashZcash63.7560.9724-4.36%55.45-13.02%0.0449✓1.131.9M2022-09-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9187330.878542-4.37%0.765787-16.65%0.1013✓0.8270k2022-09-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.24840.237381-4.44%0.2644+6.44%0.1500✗0.9679k2022-09-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0209940.020053-4.48%0.019339-7.88%0.0003✓0.8213k2022-09-28
MOVRMoonriverBase12.660212.089-4.51%10.6211-16.11%0.0866✓0.9733k2022-09-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.612.0309-4.52%15.88+26.03%0.3253✗1.081.9M2022-09-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7953.2477-4.56%53.28-4.50%0.0441✓0.9912.8M2022-09-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.3215-4.60%4.78+5.52%0.1230✗0.501.1M2022-09-28
AAVEAaveEthereum85.7681.7872-4.63%76.78-10.47%0.0034✓1.516.3M2022-09-28
ZENHorizenBase16.4415.6783-4.63%13.98-14.96%0.0656✓1.11107k2022-09-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.554010.528339-4.63%0.45604-17.68%0.0899✓1.3039k2022-09-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,551.651,479.66-4.64%1,336.93-13.84%0.0413✓1.36608.4M2022-09-28
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20190.192524-4.64%0.1572-22.14%0.1586✓1.00133k2022-09-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.057767-4.68%0.0521-14.03%0.0616✓0.9598k2022-09-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058740.005598-4.71%0.005054-13.96%0.0720✓0.682,4852022-09-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.03478-4.71%0.0335-8.22%0.0040✓0.9486k2022-09-28
XMRMoneroMonero152.71145.508-4.72%147.27-3.56%0.0555✗0.981.3M2022-09-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.1640.156188-4.76%0.1368-16.59%0.0844✓1.091,7282022-09-28
GTGateEthereum4.3974.1863-4.79%4.2574-3.17%0.0507✗0.77765k2022-09-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34990.333132-4.79%0.3165-9.55%0.0047✓1.27176k2022-09-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06370.060633-4.82%0.0534-16.17%0.0868✓0.91105k2022-09-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0891.9884-4.82%1.709-18.19%0.1004✓1.1646k2022-09-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.24883-4.85%0.1182-54.80%0.7440✓0.0191k2022-09-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03730.035484-4.87%0.0394+5.63%0.1399✗0.8010k2022-09-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.008476-4.87%0.00663-25.59%0.2117✓0.775.8M2022-09-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9551.8596-4.88%1.574-19.49%0.0927✓1.6890k2022-09-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032380.003079-4.90%0.002004-38.11%0.3888✓0.931.2M2022-09-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.041937-4.90%0.0415-5.90%0.0324✓0.97166k2022-09-28
XVGVergenative0.003010.002862-4.91%0.00332+10.30%0.1935✗1.02498k2022-09-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025540.024283-4.92%0.02221-13.04%0.0328✓1.283,3752022-09-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1891.1305-4.92%1.048-11.86%0.0322✓0.991.8M2022-09-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.10211.0478-4.93%1.0731-2.63%0.0790✗1.25973k2022-09-28
DASHDashDash47.4645.1148-4.94%41.26-13.06%0.0462✓0.98458k2022-09-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.68130.647453-4.97%0.6707-1.56%0.0978✗1.42226k2022-09-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21020.19972-4.99%0.1934-7.99%0.0128✓1.0260k2022-09-28
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.45e-7-5.02%7.80e-7-12.36%0.0458✓0.792.1M2022-09-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.006490.006163-5.04%0.00481-25.89%0.2201✓0.631.1M2022-09-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.165238-5.04%0.14439-17.02%0.0886✓1.05363k2022-09-28
QNTQuantEthereum101.1695.9873-5.11%136.04+34.48%0.3865✗0.863.4M2022-09-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5250.498133-5.12%0.364-30.67%0.2583✓1.262,6092022-09-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01510.014321-5.16%0.01054-30.20%0.2762✓0.69165k2022-09-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42380.40191-5.17%0.3496-17.51%0.0883✓1.1689k2022-09-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.19451.3614-5.23%49.86-8.00%0.0031✓0.74322k2022-09-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.34760.329416-5.23%0.3019-13.15%0.0437✓0.9947k2022-09-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.18233.0151-5.25%2.8623-10.05%0.0071✓1.0226k2022-09-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.6376-5.29%1.609-6.94%0.0242✓0.95604k2022-09-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.301060.2851-5.30%0.23749-21.12%0.1368✓1.0412k2022-09-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1059180.100295-5.31%0.108139+2.10%0.1119✗0.837.0M2022-09-28
SOLSolanaSolana32.4130.6891-5.31%33.24+2.56%0.1323✗1.1965.9M2022-09-28
DIADIAEthereum0.38550.364958-5.33%0.37714-2.17%0.0759✗0.9845k2022-09-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13060.12363-5.34%0.1145-12.33%0.0518✓0.573.7M2022-09-28
DODODODOEthereum0.13110.124036-5.39%0.1246-4.96%0.0480✓0.991.7M2022-09-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.28364.9989-5.39%4.127-21.89%0.1857✓0.14117k2022-09-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.5531.7379-5.40%27.63-17.65%0.0726✓1.5013.5M2022-09-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2664.0355-5.40%3.851-9.73%0.0394✓0.172.3M2022-09-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.7681.6725-5.40%1.398-20.93%0.1382✓0.93121k2022-09-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023360.022097-5.41%0.01892-19.01%0.1193✓0.82419k2022-09-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.76.3374-5.41%7.79+16.27%0.2534✗1.0718.5M2022-09-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012480.000011801-5.44%0.00001109-11.14%0.0199✓0.96828k2022-09-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0137010.012956-5.44%0.012544-8.44%0.0036✓0.651.3M2022-09-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.054452-5.46%0.0458-20.49%0.1230✓1.14258k2022-09-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1773.9473-5.50%3.863-7.52%0.0041✓0.401.9M2022-09-28
COMPCompoundEthereum48.5745.8971-5.50%61.83+27.30%0.3531✗1.2511k2022-09-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6720.634745-5.54%0.586-12.80%0.0383✓0.94217k2022-09-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.795360.751243-5.55%0.70596-11.24%0.0223✓0.90509k2022-09-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.1480.13978-5.55%0.1275-13.85%0.0470✓1.02149k2022-09-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048160.04548-5.57%0.04028-16.36%0.0920✓0.6716k2022-09-28
KCSKuCoinnative9.18.5911-5.59%9.227+1.40%0.1138✗0.961.5M2022-09-28
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3395.9844-5.59%6.555+3.41%0.1491✗1.329.9M2022-09-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29810.281425-5.59%0.3495+17.24%0.2567✗0.916.9M2022-09-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.06211.0026-5.60%0.967566-8.90%0.0016✓0.8448k2022-09-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6840.645652-5.61%0.558-18.42%0.0914✓1.244.6M2022-09-28
FTTFTXEthereum27.3425.7874-5.68%24.09-11.89%0.0250✓0.987.3M2022-09-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32230.303972-5.69%0.2673-17.06%0.0806✓1.09112k2022-09-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.30e-7-5.72%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0134✓0.8116k2022-09-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.058108-5.82%0.0574-6.97%0.0427✓1.25851k2022-09-28
XEMNEMnative0.0445650.04197-5.82%0.040173-9.86%0.0064✓0.8530k2022-09-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015290.00144-5.83%0.001413-7.59%0.0120✓0.709,4152022-09-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5270.49626-5.83%0.464-11.95%0.0164✓1.1583k2022-09-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2766.8501-5.85%6.389-12.19%0.0234✓1.0512.5M2022-09-28
KSMKusamaHydration50.1247.1847-5.86%44.04-12.13%0.0251✓1.00560k2022-09-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0638280.060088-5.86%0.060552-5.13%0.0541✓1.051.6M2022-09-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139560.131378-5.86%0.12406-11.11%0.0030✓1.23210k2022-09-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4410.415064-5.88%0.395-10.43%0.0044✓1.028,3142022-09-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.289.6751-5.88%8.87-13.72%0.0332✓1.22339k2022-09-28
BANDBandEthereum1.2631.1875-5.98%1.218-3.56%0.0783✗1.20471k2022-09-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9870.927628-6.02%0.847-14.18%0.0372✓1.22963k2022-09-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.2742-6.02%6.48-16.28%0.0660✓1.13504k2022-09-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.353-6.04%1.41-2.08%0.0388✓-0.06105k2022-09-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.335860.315508-6.06%0.4236+26.12%0.3346✗0.91366k2022-09-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1230.115533-6.07%0.1275+3.66%0.1437✗1.0227k2022-09-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.158390.148764-6.08%0.16792+6.02%0.2110✗2.046362022-09-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70991.606-6.08%1.1359-33.57%0.3028✓0.991.1M2022-09-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066960.006287-6.10%0.006299-5.93%0.0205✓0.4258k2022-09-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10450.098119-6.11%0.0983-5.93%0.0403✓0.87196k2022-09-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2830.26572-6.11%0.247-12.72%0.0408✓0.73686k2022-09-28
FLOWFlownative1.9191.8016-6.12%1.639-14.59%0.0344✓1.361.3M2022-09-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036770.034512-6.14%0.03038-17.38%0.0831✓1.0140k2022-09-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10630.099755-6.16%0.0988-7.06%0.0386✓1.093.4M2022-09-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.086701-6.17%0.105+13.64%0.2340✗0.97404k2022-09-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1025.7239-6.20%5.376-11.90%0.0437✓0.434.9M2022-09-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.25660.240605-6.23%0.1541-39.95%0.4055✓0.9185k2022-09-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.467.9318-6.24%8.39-0.83%0.0777✗0.492.0M2022-09-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3318.1201-6.26%17.25-10.76%0.0089✓1.3222.5M2022-09-28
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016360.001534-6.26%0.001552-5.13%0.0547✓0.97484k2022-09-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2910.272766-6.27%0.2952+1.44%0.1218✗0.973.2M2022-09-28
XTZTezosTezos1.53571.4392-6.28%1.4415-6.13%0.0511✓1.12308k2022-09-28
STXStacksnative0.37010.346756-6.31%0.3247-12.27%0.0142✓1.17398k2022-09-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.131.9937-6.40%2.01-5.63%0.0430✓0.79368k2022-09-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014010.00131-6.47%0.001026-26.79%0.2096✓0.802.1M2022-09-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,081.728,494.11-6.47%8,208.22-9.62%0.0261✓1.376.5M2022-09-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.84121.7218-6.49%1.7033-7.49%0.0376✓1.1031k2022-09-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.26281.1806-6.51%1.1856-6.11%0.0442✓0.911.4M2022-09-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004070.003805-6.51%0.00347-14.74%0.0483✓1.00158k2022-09-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5530.516959-6.52%0.453-18.08%0.0850✓1.0777k2022-09-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4951.3975-6.52%1.361-8.96%0.0259✓1.19128k2022-09-28
PROPropyEthereum0.740.691677-6.53%0.64-13.51%0.0630✓0.3384k2022-09-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.314.9616-6.56%5.09-4.14%0.0452✓0.452.3M2022-09-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6826.237-6.66%6.046-9.52%0.0087✓0.905.0M2022-09-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.0155.6133-6.68%5.856-2.64%0.0807✗0.879.9M2022-09-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.8562.6648-6.70%2.327-18.52%0.0967✓0.88734k2022-09-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.88113.6201-6.72%4.0247+3.70%0.1327✗0.613.3M2022-09-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86930.810358-6.78%0.744-14.41%0.0382✓1.071.8M2022-09-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8312.8907-6.79%12.49-9.69%0.0184✓1.13959k2022-09-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.650283-6.84%0.594-14.90%0.0517✓0.88234k2022-09-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78240.727326-7.04%0.8512+8.79%0.2216✗1.46161k2022-09-28
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.0913-7.04%0.908-22.66%0.1070✓1.743.3M2022-09-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07991.0032-7.11%0.9397-12.98%0.0014✓1.514.5M2022-09-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22190.206064-7.14%0.1721-22.44%0.1228✓1.30133k2022-09-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052850.283298-7.20%0.266964-12.55%0.0116✓1.08560k2022-09-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10320.095744-7.22%0.0818-20.74%0.1236✓0.77235k2022-09-28
HIVEHivenative0.54610.506611-7.23%0.4862-10.97%0.0029✓0.871.3M2022-09-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.61110.9353-7.25%114.17-4.55%0.0794✗1.154.6M2022-09-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.151.9912-7.38%1.77-17.67%0.0637✓1.23238k2022-09-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.43810.5901-7.41%12.988+13.55%0.2544✗1.1410.4M2022-09-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05250.048587-7.45%0.0402-23.43%0.1452✓1.00248k2022-09-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33670.311601-7.45%0.2942-12.62%0.0059✓1.17146k2022-09-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.066510.061505-7.53%0.06091-8.42%0.0392✓1.112.1M2022-09-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2763.0243-7.68%2.971-9.31%0.0058✓0.53650k2022-09-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.385.8823-7.80%6.53+2.35%0.1244✗0.451.7M2022-09-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.295.7968-7.84%6-4.61%0.0548✓0.462.1M2022-09-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2215.8526-7.94%14.88-13.59%0.0314✓0.72921k2022-09-28
METISMetisEthereum32.4929.8777-8.04%24.14-25.70%0.1295✓1.90288k2022-09-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14470.132945-8.12%0.1396-3.52%0.0941✗1.03535k2022-09-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.473.1797-8.37%2.45-29.39%0.1934✓1.533.8M2022-09-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084290.077174-8.44%0.07407-12.12%0.0392✓0.04535k2022-09-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2033.8416-8.60%3.749-10.80%0.0193✓0.99245k2022-09-28
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.684.2772-8.61%5.4772+17.03%0.2914✗1.00150k2022-09-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013170.000120355-8.61%0.00027466+108.55%0.8597✗0.79366k2022-09-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36640.334627-8.67%0.3014-17.74%0.0567✓1.09155k2022-09-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230850.021082-8.68%0.023761+2.93%0.1243✗0.11262k2022-09-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.21590.196662-8.91%0.2407+11.49%0.2382✗0.823.1M2022-09-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.77785.2603-8.96%5.7785+0.01%0.1031✗0.215.2M2022-09-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum3531.8485-9.00%16.32-53.37%0.6383✓0.691.5M2022-09-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9890.897582-9.24%0.919-7.08%0.0788✓1.251.4M2022-09-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.4651-9.28%1.284-20.50%0.0790✓1.2085k2022-09-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5230.474356-9.30%0.4167-20.33%0.0934✓0.82586k2022-09-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.77711.5866-9.32%18.227+42.65%0.4753✗0.507.6M2022-09-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.2029-9.56%1.14-14.29%0.0114✓0.96142k2022-09-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.07745.4863-9.73%6.8966+13.48%0.2409✗0.275.2M2022-09-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008530.007697-9.76%0.00704-17.47%0.0400✓1.12477k2022-09-28
XECeCashnative0.000049930.000045042-9.79%0.0000413-17.28%0.0485✓0.871.7M2022-09-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9460.851161-10.03%0.857-9.41%0.0261✓0.444.2M2022-09-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.360850.322237-10.70%0.3548-1.68%0.1370✗0.92339k2022-09-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.65e-77.63e-7-11.83%5.90e-7-31.81%0.2185✓0.87930k2022-09-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.