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2022-08-25 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0023
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-8.41%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.1%
in alpha space · 87.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0654990.063592-2.91%0.059922-8.51%0.0163✓0.58151k2022-09-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,605.6020,904.63-3.24%18,988.80-12.11%0.0280✓0.9512k2022-09-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.672.5796-3.39%1.94-27.34%0.2203✓0.5093k2022-09-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058560.005653-3.47%0.00497-15.13%0.0415✓0.672,6192022-09-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0473860.045735-3.48%0.037461-20.95%0.1313✓0.5233k2022-09-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075880.073233-3.49%0.06277-17.28%0.0010✓1.1929k2022-09-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.951410.917816-3.53%0.80386-15.51%0.0069✓0.9613k2022-09-24
NANOnanopayBase0.9588910.924456-3.59%0.796-16.99%0.0456✓0.8084k2022-09-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42470.409445-3.59%0.3626-14.62%0.0240✓1.1189k2022-09-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047920.046193-3.60%0.0406-15.28%0.0406✓0.6816k2022-09-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070310.06776-3.63%0.0639-9.12%0.0476✗0.819142022-09-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10980.105816-3.63%0.0908-17.30%0.0616✓0.703,6712022-09-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,561.8620,763.83-3.70%18,923.20-12.24%0.0377✓1.00485.5M2022-09-24
XVSVenusEthereum5.695.4768-3.75%4.67-17.93%0.0502✓0.841.6M2022-09-24
STEEMSteemnative0.24180.232722-3.75%0.2268-6.20%0.0912✗0.90510k2022-09-24
ADACardanoCardano0.46420.446732-3.76%0.4511-2.82%0.1452✗1.0440.7M2022-09-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.166008-3.76%0.1359-21.22%0.0614✓1.061,7802022-09-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09090.087469-3.77%0.0824-9.35%0.0651✗0.9613k2022-09-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18370.176664-3.83%0.1619-11.87%0.0901✗1.362,2552022-09-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.26260.252384-3.89%0.2769+5.45%0.2167✗0.9583k2022-09-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06030.057939-3.91%0.0544-9.78%0.0555✗0.91112k2022-09-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.47642.3772-4.01%1.8174-26.61%0.1119✓1.2013k2022-09-24
DIADIAEthereum0.411010.394522-4.01%0.37751-8.15%0.0790✗0.9462k2022-09-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.2502-4.06%0.1188-54.45%0.7435✓0.0187k2022-09-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009140.008768-4.07%0.00697-23.74%0.1304✓0.766.4M2022-09-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17414.9632-4.08%4.2695-17.48%0.1316✓0.14158k2022-09-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0225110.021579-4.14%0.019685-12.55%0.0143✓0.8113k2022-09-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.304110.291477-4.15%0.24602-19.10%0.0335✓1.0413k2022-09-24
ZECZcashZcash67.7564.8951-4.21%55.64-17.87%0.0082✓1.122.0M2022-09-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6254.2276-4.23%53.43-5.63%0.1143✗0.9913.5M2022-09-24
XVGVergenative0.003280.00314-4.27%0.00321-2.13%0.1568✗1.03537k2022-09-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2621.2081-4.27%1.08-14.42%0.0157✓0.982.1M2022-09-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04070.038955-4.29%0.0392-3.69%0.1156✗0.8411k2022-09-24
DASHDashDash49.1847.0622-4.31%41.6-15.41%0.0022✓0.96504k2022-09-24
XMRMoneroMonero153.94147.3033-4.31%141.98-7.77%0.0928✗0.991.2M2022-09-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05290.050596-4.35%0.0379-28.36%0.1647✓0.95877k2022-09-24
ZENHorizenBase17.1916.441-4.36%14.09-18.03%0.0107✓1.10130k2022-09-24
KSMKusamaHydration48.5446.4233-4.36%41.14-15.25%0.0076✓0.98607k2022-09-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0080.96394-4.37%0.9169-9.04%0.0217✓0.553.6M2022-09-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.026116-4.41%0.02171-20.53%0.0193✓1.273,4352022-09-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039930.038169-4.41%0.03492-12.55%0.0175✓0.822,7072022-09-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04690.044831-4.41%0.0418-10.87%0.0572✗0.97182k2022-09-24
XECeCashnative0.000039470.00003772-4.43%0.00003974+0.68%0.1680✗0.891.7M2022-09-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374150.357528-4.44%0.30895-17.43%0.0208✓0.9687k2022-09-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165330.157982-4.44%0.16399-0.81%0.3133✗2.116042022-09-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.192.0914-4.50%1.652-24.57%0.0114✓1.72114k2022-09-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2892.1859-4.50%1.739-24.03%0.0796✓1.1460k2022-09-24
MOVRMoonriverBase13.461512.8532-4.52%10.8104-19.69%0.0493✓0.9539k2022-09-24
BTTCBTTC9.20e-78.78e-7-4.54%7.90e-7-14.13%0.0022✓0.792.4M2022-09-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.61553.0605-4.59%49.307-11.34%0.0229✓0.74332k2022-09-24
GTGateEthereum4.5674.3568-4.60%4.2479-6.99%0.0755✗0.77827k2022-09-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023030.021964-4.63%0.01924-16.46%0.0274✓0.80419k2022-09-24
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004005-4.64%0.00356-15.24%0.0111✓0.99152k2022-09-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.007040.006713-4.64%0.00493-29.97%0.2255✓0.641.2M2022-09-24
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3795.1286-4.65%5.425+0.86%0.2325✗1.3510.1M2022-09-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37540.357802-4.69%0.3197-14.84%0.0486✗1.23205k2022-09-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1910.182039-4.69%0.14704-23.02%0.0749✓1.06500k2022-09-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49610.472677-4.72%0.4369-11.93%0.0665✗1.11400k2022-09-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30740.292871-4.73%0.3853+25.34%0.3938✗0.927.8M2022-09-24
PROPropyEthereum0.730.695294-4.75%0.6-17.81%0.0998✓0.36105k2022-09-24
KCSKuCoinnative9.7639.2957-4.79%8.909-8.75%0.0821✗0.951.8M2022-09-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.66e-7-4.80%8.30e-7-8.79%0.0637✗0.8217k2022-09-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023910.022761-4.81%0.02275-4.85%0.1112✗0.8613.4M2022-09-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.15750.149885-4.83%0.1301-17.40%0.0112✓1.00178k2022-09-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143260.136329-4.84%0.12433-13.21%0.0675✗1.22213k2022-09-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.7910.752569-4.86%0.6362-19.57%0.0175✓1.42259k2022-09-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,695.271,612.84-4.86%1,317.25-22.30%0.0288✓1.33608.4M2022-09-24
QTUMQtumQtum3.47713.3078-4.87%2.849-18.06%0.0203✓0.9930k2022-09-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22890.21774-4.88%0.2052-10.35%0.0716✗1.0070k2022-09-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.054.8032-4.89%4.45-11.88%0.0222✓0.411.3M2022-09-24
COMPCompoundEthereum51.4848.9606-4.89%60.6+17.72%0.3725✗1.2215k2022-09-24
QNTQuantEthereum106.79101.5012-4.95%114.65+7.36%0.2316✗0.843.5M2022-09-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.06360.060448-4.96%0.0464-27.04%0.1142✓1.15258k2022-09-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3686-4.96%1.42-1.39%0.0289✓-0.06115k2022-09-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.13421.0779-4.96%0.948552-16.37%0.0170✓0.8553k2022-09-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1104010.104904-4.98%0.11814+7.01%0.2304✗0.857.8M2022-09-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034950.00332-5.00%0.002211-36.74%0.2942✓0.861.1M2022-09-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.608460.577956-5.01%0.46599-23.41%0.0481✓1.2845k2022-09-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03890.036941-5.04%0.0335-13.88%0.0227✓0.9286k2022-09-24
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21790.206924-5.04%0.1697-22.12%0.0678✓1.00149k2022-09-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0042.8523-5.05%3.023+0.63%0.1406✗0.63669k2022-09-24
FTTFTXEthereum27.9426.5287-5.05%23.68-15.25%0.0105✓0.957.5M2022-09-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.612.9092-5.08%13.63+0.22%0.1997✗1.111.9M2022-09-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4580.4346-5.11%0.398-13.10%0.0416✓0.998,8922022-09-24
AAVEAaveEthereum93.3588.555-5.14%74.94-19.72%0.0336✓1.546.7M2022-09-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5837.1929-5.14%6.27-17.32%0.0040✓1.0214.0M2022-09-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86580.821212-5.15%0.7405-14.47%0.0370✓1.082.2M2022-09-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.06554-5.15%0.058-16.06%0.0047✓0.90116k2022-09-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.20061.1385-5.17%1.069-10.96%0.0984✗1.24981k2022-09-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.136.7589-5.20%7.625+6.94%0.2589✗1.0619.5M2022-09-24
SOLSolanaSolana35.2533.4079-5.23%33.38-5.30%0.1492✗1.1570.1M2022-09-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.840180.796163-5.24%0.70794-15.74%0.0014✓0.91507k2022-09-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0144820.01372-5.26%0.011796-18.55%0.0691✓0.631.4M2022-09-24
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.3102-5.26%1.19-13.96%0.0629✗1.22534k2022-09-24
XEMNEMnative0.0478160.045273-5.32%0.04064-15.01%0.0018✓0.8432k2022-09-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.567983-5.34%0.451-24.83%0.0885✓1.09102k2022-09-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.280136-5.36%0.252-14.86%0.0121✓0.72826k2022-09-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04850.992192-5.37%0.8876-15.35%0.0461✓1.211.0M2022-09-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691720.065455-5.37%0.063176-8.67%0.0989✗1.031.7M2022-09-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5710.54019-5.40%0.47-17.69%0.0074✓1.1288k2022-09-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.8561.7552-5.43%1.416-23.71%0.0896✓0.96146k2022-09-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.580.548486-5.43%0.387-33.28%0.1895✓1.222,3272022-09-24
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.13311-5.46%0.1278-9.23%0.0833✗0.951.9M2022-09-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11160.105503-5.46%0.1001-10.30%0.0597✗0.86255k2022-09-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00680.006427-5.48%0.006417-5.63%0.0559✓0.4457k2022-09-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.9431.836-5.51%1.578-18.79%0.0331✓0.91782k2022-09-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.130196-5.52%0.1132-17.85%0.0682✓0.553.9M2022-09-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5411.4557-5.53%1.368-11.23%0.0898✗1.16138k2022-09-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.702259-5.61%0.607-18.41%0.0262✓0.92322k2022-09-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.26920.253984-5.65%0.1635-39.26%0.3123✓0.98109k2022-09-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7340.692385-5.67%0.564-23.16%0.0309✓1.335.0M2022-09-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.1434.9993-5.76%28.66-22.83%0.0128✓1.4316.0M2022-09-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7240.682152-5.78%0.591-18.37%0.0298✓0.87253k2022-09-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.5924-5.80%6.54-18.86%0.0053✓1.10638k2022-09-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3525.9817-5.83%6.057-4.64%0.1323✗0.925.2M2022-09-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30560.287738-5.85%0.2788-8.77%0.0919✗0.953.4M2022-09-24
XTZTezosTezos1.6691.5711-5.87%1.4784-11.42%0.0814✗1.09355k2022-09-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.093069-5.90%0.1064+7.58%0.2556✗0.93430k2022-09-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016660.015677-5.90%0.01037-37.76%0.3261✓0.67173k2022-09-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.123172-5.90%0.1318+0.69%0.2001✗1.0135k2022-09-24
STXStacksnative0.39980.37589-5.98%0.3317-17.03%0.0256✓1.15470k2022-09-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0236.6027-5.98%5.794-17.50%0.0374✓1.2910.3M2022-09-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365110.343004-6.05%0.37942+3.92%0.2282✗0.98435k2022-09-24
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.1788-6.09%2.1-9.48%0.0671✗0.80520k2022-09-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3810.6831-6.12%9.37-17.66%0.0231✓1.18439k2022-09-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7114.422-6.13%3.923-16.73%0.1086✓0.092.4M2022-09-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.9462.7647-6.16%2.398-18.60%0.0324✓0.84749k2022-09-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.118.5474-6.18%8.33-8.56%0.0301✓0.432.4M2022-09-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7213.8085-6.19%12.7-13.72%0.0756✗1.221.3M2022-09-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3565.9612-6.21%5.575-12.29%0.0429✓0.8410.1M2022-09-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9911.8673-6.21%1.7298-13.12%0.0621✓1.0633k2022-09-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11590.108676-6.23%0.1006-13.20%0.0623✓1.073.7M2022-09-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6824.3883-6.27%3.917-16.34%0.0719✓0.321.9M2022-09-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0212.8306-6.30%2.41-20.23%0.0451✓1.584.0M2022-09-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.05480.051278-6.43%0.0414-24.45%0.0848✓0.99256k2022-09-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06760.063188-6.53%0.0553-18.20%0.0259✓1.221.0M2022-09-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.041110.03842-6.54%0.03006-26.88%0.1173✓0.9828k2022-09-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5496.1184-6.57%5.479-16.34%0.0691✓0.325.3M2022-09-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3216440.300335-6.63%0.272484-15.28%0.0432✓1.08743k2022-09-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015970.001491-6.64%0.001515-5.13%0.1089✗0.719,9742022-09-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013930.000012996-6.71%0.00001124-19.31%0.0255✓0.92900k2022-09-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.865.467-6.71%5.32-9.22%0.0218✓0.382.9M2022-09-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81051.6889-6.72%1.1961-33.94%0.2071✓1.06980k2022-09-24
FLOWFlownative2.1371.9932-6.73%1.678-21.48%0.0024✓1.301.2M2022-09-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.144403-6.84%0.139-10.32%0.0877✗0.96668k2022-09-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9821.4072-6.84%17.6-23.41%0.0279✓1.2924.1M2022-09-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,795.519,119.25-6.90%8,220.83-16.08%0.0732✗1.367.3M2022-09-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.38941.2934-6.91%1.173-15.58%0.0221✓0.921.5M2022-09-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3950.367701-6.91%0.2967-24.89%0.0719✓1.09174k2022-09-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81970.7628-6.94%0.8516+3.89%0.3009✗1.46205k2022-09-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.3064-7.00%1.81-27.02%0.0843✓1.21299k2022-09-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50980.474043-7.01%0.4153-18.54%0.0260✓0.81625k2022-09-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37170.345484-7.05%0.2903-21.90%0.0262✓1.13111k2022-09-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.69121.355-7.14%117.26-10.28%0.1111✗1.114.9M2022-09-24
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017620.001636-7.14%0.001558-11.58%0.0684✓0.90590k2022-09-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.104303-7.20%0.0864-23.13%0.0971✓0.70250k2022-09-24
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.0926-7.25%0.919-21.99%0.0517✓1.723.6M2022-09-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.3261-7.26%1.18-17.48%0.0072✓0.95182k2022-09-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23840.221063-7.27%0.1752-26.51%0.0564✓1.35133k2022-09-24
HIVEHivenative0.56910.527669-7.28%0.5008-12.00%0.0633✓0.881.7M2022-09-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015250.001414-7.31%0.001057-30.73%0.1902✓0.772.0M2022-09-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.25273.9272-7.65%3.6408-14.39%0.0058✓0.542.9M2022-09-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.181.0878-7.81%0.9213-21.92%0.0277✓1.484.9M2022-09-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084050.077477-7.82%0.07767-7.59%0.0143✓0.09637k2022-09-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069790.064292-7.88%0.06107-12.49%0.0929✗1.112.4M2022-09-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4216.958-7.94%15.1-18.02%0.0250✓0.701.4M2022-09-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008010.00736-8.12%0.00708-11.61%0.1096✗1.14513k2022-09-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9230.847949-8.13%0.874-5.31%0.0861✗0.434.2M2022-09-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.84711.7949-8.19%13.638+6.16%0.2890✗1.1010.4M2022-09-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0233430.021353-8.52%0.026013+11.44%0.2112✗0.11250k2022-09-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38010.347538-8.57%0.2999-21.10%0.0169✓1.26152k2022-09-24
METISMetisEthereum35.2332.1367-8.78%24.66-30.00%0.0211✓1.87365k2022-09-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.846.2307-8.91%6.68-2.34%0.1188✗0.382.1M2022-09-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.86.1936-8.92%6.03-11.32%0.0220✓0.372.7M2022-09-24
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30773.9179-9.05%5.2757+22.47%0.4281✗1.00171k2022-09-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.811.6445-9.14%1.237-31.66%0.1293✓1.19103k2022-09-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000131320.000119276-9.17%0.00022573+71.89%0.7444✗0.82340k2022-09-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9980.905334-9.29%0.931-6.71%0.1875✗1.221.3M2022-09-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.22450.203551-9.33%0.2653+18.17%0.3699✗0.802.6M2022-09-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.71975.1833-9.38%5.9377+3.81%0.1560✗0.155.0M2022-09-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.57665.051-9.43%6.738+20.83%0.3118✗0.183.5M2022-09-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.8934.2424-9.63%14.95-60.54%0.7140✓0.881.8M2022-09-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7214.2433-10.12%3.906-17.26%0.0415✓0.95225k2022-09-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.374470.336537-10.13%0.381+1.74%0.2449✗0.93321k2022-09-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.86212.392-10.60%17.384+25.41%0.3933✗0.423.8M2022-09-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.04e-77.05e-7-12.31%5.04e-7-37.36%0.2314✓0.80192k2022-09-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.