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2022-08-04 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1946
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.11%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.3%
in alpha space · 77.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.5863-17.30%1.195-37.70%0.0239✓1.972.8M2022-09-03
METISMetisEthereum46.0141.1833-10.49%30.98-32.67%0.0451✓1.82266k2022-09-03
FLOWFlownative2.62.3737-8.70%1.951-24.96%0.0302✓1.26448k2022-09-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.829,758.61-8.34%9,785.94-8.09%0.1902✗1.424.5M2022-09-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.0952-8.21%7.3234+117.18%0.9783✗0.891.4M2022-09-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.0916-7.91%0.9676-18.37%0.0060✓0.874.1M2022-09-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6220.0133-7.43%17.13-20.77%0.0445✓0.842.4M2022-09-03
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.174864-7.42%0.15784-16.43%0.2018✗2.311,1512022-09-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.832.2282-7.39%32.23-7.39%0.1848✗1.4011.4M2022-09-03
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.0413-6.44%0.86852-21.96%0.0361✓1.1111k2022-09-03
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01920.955119-6.29%0.8416-17.43%0.0989✗1.71241k2022-09-03
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.3271-6.16%2.26-8.87%0.1123✗1.08507k2022-09-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1564.8457-6.02%6.609+28.18%0.3795✗0.532.4M2022-09-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9926.3594-5.83%19.02-32.05%0.1478✓1.36946k2022-09-03
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000093496-5.80%0.00026115+163.12%1.2956✗2.04516k2022-09-03
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.544137-5.79%0.3093-46.45%0.3840✓1.38234k2022-09-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.2666-5.79%5.78+3.40%0.1736✗0.611.4M2022-09-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05050.989793-5.78%–pending––1.0513k2022-09-03
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.0015-5.77%2.2636-28.94%0.0766✓1.5612k2022-09-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.28.6711-5.75%7.65-16.85%0.0571✓1.39334k2022-09-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.122.9408-5.74%2.25-27.88%0.0681✓1.52211k2022-09-03
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.535745-5.63%0.4418-22.18%0.0462✓1.1146k2022-09-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.033005-5.62%0.02059-41.12%0.2822✓1.4413.9M2022-09-03
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.858505-5.55%0.678-25.41%0.0040✓1.76496k2022-09-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.019409-5.44%0.026685+30.01%0.3736✗0.42167k2022-09-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.6362-5.41%4.797+24.79%0.3539✗0.581.9M2022-09-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.2575-5.35%1.0729-19.25%0.0377✓1.495.6M2022-09-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.528584-5.27%0.412-26.16%0.0986✓1.1414k2022-09-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.5786-5.21%4.96+2.69%0.1722✗0.701.3M2022-09-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.2541-5.16%6.85+23.65%0.3430✗0.59873k2022-09-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.076742-5.14%0.06279-22.39%0.0052✓1.49871k2022-09-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.3038-5.10%9.31+6.40%0.1785✗0.491.8M2022-09-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.6393-4.98%4.492+17.28%0.3018✗0.691.5M2022-09-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.5914-4.91%2.941-22.13%0.0293✓1.745.0M2022-09-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.3933-4.82%13.804+199.05%1.2189✗0.561.4M2022-09-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.0986-4.80%14.03-11.54%0.1115✗1.412.5M2022-09-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.74833-4.79%0.519-33.97%0.1745✓1.463,1392022-09-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.6265-4.43%6.499-18.56%0.0005✓1.227.0M2022-09-03
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.165256-4.42%0.1258-27.24%0.1121✓1.223.5M2022-09-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.0048-4.35%7.5278+139.62%1.0189✗0.761.1M2022-09-03
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.1515-4.33%4.84-24.73%0.0570✓1.391.2M2022-09-03
QNTQuantEthereum103.7499.3228-4.26%93.83-9.55%0.0733✗0.994.2M2022-09-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.138573-4.23%0.2171+50.03%0.5914✗1.08907k2022-09-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.81038-4.21%0.669-20.92%0.0371✓1.744.6M2022-09-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.208359-4.20%0.1524-29.93%0.1408✓1.311,5612022-09-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.347577-4.20%0.29127-19.72%0.0052✓1.3013k2022-09-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.082539-4.19%0.07135-17.18%0.0337✓1.3629k2022-09-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.8847-4.19%1.482-24.66%0.0547✓1.41266k2022-09-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.040355-4.14%0.0354-15.91%0.0301✓1.2376k2022-09-03
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.4574-4.10%6.305-28.51%0.1105✓1.399.9M2022-09-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.021536-4.06%0.020633-8.09%0.0839✗0.9611k2022-09-03
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.6844-4.02%1.319-24.84%0.0565✓1.43341k2022-09-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.8243-3.96%2.976-25.26%0.1382✓0.86922k2022-09-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.157777-3.91%0.1379-16.02%0.0286✓1.24518k2022-09-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.659325-3.89%0.52-24.20%0.0536✓1.4088k2022-09-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008652-3.86%0.00798-11.33%0.0874✗1.28387k2022-09-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3722.4786-3.81%18.9-19.13%0.0345✓1.5826.1M2022-09-03
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.074014-3.79%0.06648-13.58%0.0110✓0.739772022-09-03
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.439778-3.78%0.3754-17.87%0.0579✓0.7668k2022-09-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.640766-3.78%0.54122-18.72%0.0299✓1.5188k2022-09-03
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.290604-3.77%0.2308-23.58%0.0839✓1.11300k2022-09-03
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.1574-3.76%4.756-36.05%0.1809✓1.7313.1M2022-09-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.1688-3.72%1.014-16.47%0.0566✓0.651.9M2022-09-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.6371-3.70%1.29-24.12%0.0648✓1.32122k2022-09-03
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.0995-3.67%12.6808-13.36%0.0449✗1.1558k2022-09-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.086-3.66%0.8243-26.88%0.0956✓1.371.4M2022-09-03
HIVEHivenative0.58130.560031-3.66%0.5434-6.52%0.1257✗1.181.8M2022-09-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.813-3.58%4.8007+64.55%0.6635✗0.981.2M2022-09-03
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2509-3.56%0.9295-28.33%0.1336✓1.241.1M2022-09-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.404684-3.54%0.36179-13.77%0.0693✗1.38583k2022-09-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.1725-3.53%1.543-31.48%0.1595✓1.39172k2022-09-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.060823-3.46%0.0485-23.02%0.0577✓1.28802k2022-09-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1153-3.41%1.7905-18.24%0.0088✓1.2032k2022-09-03
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.082554-3.34%0.07801-8.66%0.0210✓0.271.1M2022-09-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0927.8228-3.33%6.507-19.59%0.0468✓1.042.5M2022-09-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3526-3.32%1.159-17.16%0.0133✓1.282.6M2022-09-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26958.2709-3.32%52.516-12.86%0.0056✓0.83321k2022-09-03
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002116-3.31%0.001655-24.39%0.1144✓1.001.4M2022-09-03
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.252479-3.30%0.1834-29.76%0.3181✓0.0129k2022-09-03
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.1517-3.21%1.68-24.43%0.0804✓1.27626k2022-09-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.6338-3.20%6.87+18.04%0.2874✗0.68746k2022-09-03
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.756-3.20%1.771-2.37%0.0916✗0.63206k2022-09-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.047578-3.10%0.04477-8.82%0.0557✗0.8915k2022-09-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.0443-3.04%12.627+21.89%0.4070✗1.3513.7M2022-09-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.404245-2.87%0.354-14.94%0.0402✗1.31127k2022-09-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.042607-2.86%0.03762-14.23%0.0009✓0.942,0262022-09-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.059848-2.84%0.0556-9.74%0.1144✗1.43350k2022-09-03
XEMNEMnative0.050210.048786-2.84%0.043496-13.37%0.0427✗1.2035k2022-09-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.2546-2.79%15.21-14.31%0.0457✗1.311.3M2022-09-03
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.0061-2.72%1.93-37.54%0.3782✓0.49109k2022-09-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0710.7712-2.70%10.12-8.58%0.0955✗1.20263k2022-09-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.46e-7-2.68%8.93e-7+150.93%1.0769✗0.99164k2022-09-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.777767-2.66%0.688-13.89%0.0115✓1.02377k2022-09-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.031452-2.65%0.03443+6.56%0.2524✗1.2314k2022-09-03
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.245589-2.62%0.2228-11.66%0.0554✗1.16768k2022-09-03
COMPCompoundEthereum5654.5492-2.59%47.89-14.48%0.0527✗1.3935k2022-09-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5392-2.58%1.49-5.70%0.0067✓0.30242k2022-09-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.0074-2.57%1.1337+9.65%0.2692✗1.151.0M2022-09-03
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.9102-2.41%2.744-7.98%0.0883✗1.12591k2022-09-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.4661-2.39%1.7051+13.52%0.3349✗1.40594k2022-09-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.117347-2.37%0.1018-15.31%0.0382✗1.372.9M2022-09-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.36-2.28%4.026+66.71%0.6514✗0.89110k2022-09-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015242-2.26%0.013081-16.12%0.0355✓0.892.1M2022-09-03
XVGVergenative0.003770.003686-2.22%0.00311-17.51%0.0004✓1.30551k2022-09-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.01719-2.22%0.01336-24.00%0.1440✓0.82193k2022-09-03
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.970699-2.19%0.78775-20.63%0.0381✓1.30532k2022-09-03
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.30e-7-2.15%8.70e-7-8.42%0.0653✗1.0025k2022-09-03
KSMKusamaHydration61.1259.838-2.10%48.81-20.14%0.0494✓1.17379k2022-09-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.107319-2.08%0.0949-13.41%0.0419✗1.25505k2022-09-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4395-2.08%1.1328-22.94%0.0542✓1.411.2M2022-09-03
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.0307-2.03%31.12-19.84%0.0209✓1.3781.1M2022-09-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.132026-1.99%0.1211-10.10%0.0807✗1.2761k2022-09-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.221818-1.98%0.212-6.32%0.1476✗1.4787k2022-09-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.5451-1.96%1.881-27.54%0.0718✓1.75109k2022-09-03
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.053201-1.96%0.042307-22.03%0.1529✓0.5825k2022-09-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.052657-1.94%0.0443-17.50%0.0044✓1.28284k2022-09-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.065426-1.91%0.0578-13.34%0.0003✓0.94183k2022-09-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.326667-1.90%0.269-19.22%0.0577✓1.041.1M2022-09-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.58516-1.90%0.5007-16.06%0.0057✓1.14690k2022-09-03
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.490226-1.90%0.4804-3.86%0.1379✗1.2040.5M2022-09-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.2272-1.86%6.861-6.83%0.1125✗1.2516.9M2022-09-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.76766-1.83%0.671-14.19%0.0238✗1.20225k2022-09-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.6805-1.74%2.045-25.04%0.0825✓1.4349k2022-09-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.432071-1.53%0.3659-16.61%0.0283✗1.48278k2022-09-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006052-1.52%0.005893-4.11%0.0848✗0.857,1222022-09-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.115041-1.51%0.1012-13.36%0.0132✓1.08370k2022-09-03
STXStacksnative0.47370.466596-1.50%0.361-23.79%0.0937✓1.24808k2022-09-03
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000042319-1.45%0.00004471+4.12%0.2070✗1.161.9M2022-09-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011681-1.42%0.0000123+3.80%0.2156✗1.25951k2022-09-03
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.7991-1.41%1.5227-16.56%0.0000✓1.27530k2022-09-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001073-1.41%0.001326+21.79%0.3745✗1.241.3M2022-09-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.003027-1.36%0.002948-3.94%0.1038✗0.991.0M2022-09-03
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.09618-1.35%0.0824-15.49%0.0037✓1.207,1482022-09-03
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.9064-1.33%3.1511-20.41%0.0721✓1.0945k2022-09-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.072324-1.33%0.0608-17.05%0.0280✓1.111.1M2022-09-03
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3495.0803-1.31%87.18-9.51%0.1310✗1.6610.2M2022-09-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0927.9885-1.28%7.29-9.91%0.0689✗1.2211.0M2022-09-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.335864-1.28%0.292785-13.94%0.0297✗1.271.0M2022-09-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.137477-1.24%0.1363-2.08%0.1161✗0.953.6M2022-09-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.309716-1.17%0.35+11.69%0.2701✗1.12396k2022-09-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.125425-1.16%0.102-19.62%0.0757✓1.004,7012022-09-03
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.49e-7-1.15%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0347✗0.846.4M2022-09-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.33223-1.15%0.303-9.85%0.0567✗1.138.2M2022-09-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.257658-1.13%0.2386-8.44%0.0696✗1.1165k2022-09-03
NANOnanopayBase1.01511.0039-1.11%0.885648-12.76%0.0015✓0.9460k2022-09-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.326987-1.09%0.2804-15.18%0.0004✓1.173.5M2022-09-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,591.89-1.01%1,557.70-3.14%0.1461✗1.28407.7M2022-09-03
PROPropyEthereum0.740.732526-1.01%0.73-1.35%0.0752✗0.6079k2022-09-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.058741-0.94%0.05-15.68%0.0223✗1.39172k2022-09-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.400845-0.86%0.33497-17.15%0.0229✓1.19107k2022-09-03
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.1776-0.82%15.52-10.39%0.0805✗1.38116k2022-09-03
XMRMoneroMonero159.25158.1346-0.70%154.44-3.02%0.1220✗1.111.2M2022-09-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.084811-0.69%0.0572-33.02%0.2427✓1.15126k2022-09-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.047876-0.67%0.0358-25.73%0.1195✓1.307,5232022-09-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6559.2506-0.67%60.19+0.91%0.1676✗1.1513.6M2022-09-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.246884-0.65%0.2102-15.41%0.0002✓1.22101k2022-09-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.072647-0.62%0.119+62.79%0.5894✗0.73159k2022-09-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34133.5429-0.59%117.83-12.29%0.0324✗1.204.6M2022-09-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.155293-0.52%0.1418-9.16%0.0708✗1.23107k2022-09-03
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.734475-0.48%1.037+40.51%0.5045✗1.21968k2022-09-03
FTTFTXEthereum29.1429.0076-0.45%26.2-10.09%0.0230✗0.9510.0M2022-09-03
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.198648-0.43%0.1738-12.88%0.0501✗1.401,2762022-09-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.217126-0.40%0.17-22.02%0.0458✓1.51782k2022-09-03
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.030277-0.34%0.02472-18.63%0.0315✓1.301,4012022-09-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.725031-0.27%0.527-27.51%0.1255✓1.47121k2022-09-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.113617-0.27%0.105238-7.62%0.0537✗0.996.9M2022-09-03
DASHDashDash49.449.2729-0.26%46.77-5.32%0.0921✗1.10574k2022-09-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001655-0.10%0.001499-9.54%0.0367✗1.039,0682022-09-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.159998-0.00%0.13707-14.33%0.0470✗1.53212k2022-09-03
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004543+0.06%0.00397-12.56%0.0371✓1.31112k2022-09-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.329226+0.07%0.3208-2.49%0.1222✓1.1377k2022-09-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.021146+0.08%0.02203+4.26%0.1745✓1.02159k2022-09-03
GTGateEthereum4.554.5535+0.08%4.2494-6.61%0.0291✓0.75920k2022-09-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009798+0.08%0.00869-11.24%0.0041✗0.885.1M2022-09-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1524+0.19%1.0572-8.08%0.0520✓1.0543k2022-09-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,641.88+0.65%19,875.80-11.64%0.0014✓0.9813k2022-09-03
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.069813+1.21%0.06311-8.51%0.0096✓0.69345k2022-09-03
KCSKuCoinnative10.03510.1565+1.21%9.192-8.40%0.0455✓1.102.0M2022-09-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008324+1.26%0.00602-26.76%0.2052✗0.901.6M2022-09-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum55.0657+1.31%5.1775+3.55%0.0448✓0.17219k2022-09-03
ZECZcashZcash64.3865.3251+1.47%62.7-2.61%0.1233✓1.251.6M2022-09-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.0068+1.49%0.006407-4.37%0.0081✓0.5140k2022-09-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.06847+1.66%0.062675-6.94%0.0657✓1.171.7M2022-09-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9423,016.73+1.74%19,835.47-12.33%0.0172✓1.00427.9M2022-09-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.555374+1.83%0.4583-15.97%0.0426✗1.14333k2022-09-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.