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2022-08-03 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1436
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.71%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.6%
in alpha space · 72.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ZECZcashZcash61.8563.7299+3.04%60.36-2.41%0.1138✓1.251.5M2022-09-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.559997+2.70%0.466-14.54%0.0311✗1.14335k2022-09-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.067925+2.61%0.061662-6.86%0.0607✓1.171.7M2022-09-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0023,395.01+2.50%19,953.74-12.58%0.0247✓1.00427.9M2022-09-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.00837+2.20%0.00602-26.50%0.2083✗0.901.6M2022-09-02
KCSKuCoinnative10.02810.2312+2.03%9.161-8.65%0.0380✓1.102.0M2022-09-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006824+1.88%0.006468-3.43%0.0157✓0.5239k2022-09-02
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.069031+1.82%0.062628-7.63%0.0052✓0.69364k2022-09-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.046585+1.71%0.0367-19.87%0.0635✗1.309,0132022-09-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01515.0861+1.42%5.402+7.71%0.0833✓0.17219k2022-09-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.322372+1.31%0.3031-4.75%0.0901✓1.1377k2022-09-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.692912+1.01%0.538-21.57%0.0548✗1.47106k2022-09-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.009855+0.97%0.00875-10.35%0.0005✓0.885.0M2022-09-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1023,049.58+0.90%20,019.30-12.37%0.0092✗0.9814k2022-09-02
DASHDashDash48.7749.1558+0.79%45.69-6.32%0.0742✓1.10574k2022-09-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.1472+0.76%1.0393-8.71%0.0425✓1.0547k2022-09-02
GTGateEthereum4.50944.5395+0.67%4.2655-5.41%0.0380✓0.75920k2022-09-02
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004589+0.64%0.00396-13.16%0.0283✓1.31112k2022-09-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.7475+0.47%1.084+45.70%0.5352✓1.22895k2022-09-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021395+0.44%0.02248+5.54%0.1860✓1.02159k2022-09-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.058545+0.42%0.0499-14.41%0.0273✓1.39167k2022-09-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.213701+0.33%0.168-21.13%0.0372✗1.51786k2022-09-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.163469+0.26%0.13722-15.84%0.0313✓1.53212k2022-09-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.155549+0.23%0.141-9.15%0.0673✓1.23102k2022-09-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.114433+0.22%0.104596-8.40%0.0432✓0.997.0M2022-09-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.001707+0.15%0.001528-10.33%0.0283✓1.039,4962022-09-02
ZENHorizenBase17.1517.1727+0.13%15.53-9.45%0.0840✓1.37116k2022-09-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7857.848+0.12%61.02+5.61%0.2086✓1.1513.7M2022-09-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7133.7578+0.04%116.4-12.94%0.0221✓1.204.5M2022-09-02
FTTFTXEthereum29.129.1096+0.03%26.31-9.59%0.0265✓0.9510.8M2022-09-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.8982-0.01%3.1377-19.52%0.0711✓1.0945k2022-09-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.319791-0.07%0.281-12.19%0.0274✗1.173.5M2022-09-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.393739-0.12%0.33413-15.24%0.0040✓1.19118k2022-09-02
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.7183-0.12%1.4907-13.35%0.0284✗1.27530k2022-09-02
XECeCashnative0.000042440.000042378-0.15%0.00004622+8.91%0.2422✗1.161.9M2022-09-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.199516-0.19%0.1768-11.56%0.0670✗1.401,1742022-09-02
XMRMoneroMonero157.11156.7502-0.23%153.67-2.19%0.1285✗1.101.2M2022-09-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.030725-0.24%0.0246-20.13%0.0473✓1.301,3502022-09-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.245374-0.29%0.2088-15.16%0.0029✓1.22110k2022-09-02
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.0198-0.45%0.876412-14.44%0.0253✓0.9460k2022-09-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.32524-0.45%0.3024-7.44%0.0784✗1.138.1M2022-09-02
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.55e-7-0.47%8.90e-7-7.29%0.0415✗0.846.4M2022-09-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0037.9626-0.51%7.3-8.78%0.0772✗1.2211.0M2022-09-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.307724-0.51%0.34352+11.06%0.2616✗1.13398k2022-09-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,609.56-0.57%1,575.69-2.66%0.1503✗1.28404.0M2022-09-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.096563-0.66%0.0821-15.53%0.0004✓1.206,5342022-09-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.061588-0.66%0.1196+92.90%0.7627✗0.74159k2022-09-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.115209-0.68%0.1007-13.19%0.0098✗1.07370k2022-09-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.33354-0.70%0.292616-12.88%0.0398✗1.271.1M2022-09-02
PROPropyEthereum0.740.734679-0.72%0.72-2.70%0.0597✗0.5983k2022-09-02
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9794.2534-0.75%88.39-6.93%0.1584✗1.6610.2M2022-09-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.08544-0.77%0.057-33.80%0.2501✓1.15128k2022-09-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.257659-0.82%0.2409-7.27%0.0829✗1.1265k2022-09-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.143572-0.85%0.1352-6.63%0.0673✗0.953.6M2022-09-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.398414-0.94%0.3535-12.11%0.0573✗1.32127k2022-09-02
STXStacksnative0.46630.461776-0.97%0.3635-22.05%0.0725✓1.24892k2022-09-02
FLOWFlownative1.841.8221-0.97%1.965+6.79%0.2472✗1.28430k2022-09-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.6683-0.99%2.034-24.53%0.0794✓1.4349k2022-09-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.435255-1.06%0.3489-20.69%0.0226✓1.48278k2022-09-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.127397-1.09%0.1-22.36%0.1083✓1.004,9522022-09-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.00614-1.10%0.005767-7.11%0.0504✗0.848,9962022-09-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011699-1.10%0.00001218+2.96%0.2079✗1.25986k2022-09-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003105-1.15%0.002989-4.84%0.0948✗0.991.0M2022-09-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.948617-1.19%0.77622-19.14%0.0260✓1.30532k2022-09-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.109549-1.22%0.0931-16.05%0.0058✓1.25505k2022-09-02
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.494766-1.22%0.4544-9.28%0.0765✗1.2041.9M2022-09-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001073-1.25%0.001355+24.69%0.3999✗1.241.3M2022-09-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.68e-7-1.27%8.90e-7-9.18%0.0509✗1.0025k2022-09-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.133163-1.29%0.1218-9.71%0.0815✗1.2761k2022-09-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4115-1.29%1.1131-22.16%0.0480✓1.411.1M2022-09-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.4397-1.31%1.798+23.24%0.4102✗1.40675k2022-09-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.1864-1.35%6.93-4.87%0.1319✗1.2518.3M2022-09-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.778708-1.43%0.657-16.84%0.0084✓1.20225k2022-09-02
KSMKusamaHydration61.3160.432-1.43%47.83-21.99%0.0762✓1.17379k2022-09-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.9676-1.47%1.701-14.82%0.0253✗1.27626k2022-09-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.594553-1.50%0.4979-17.51%0.0241✓1.14690k2022-09-02
SOLSolanaSolana38.5537.9488-1.56%31.24-18.96%0.0107✓1.3781.8M2022-09-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.326721-1.59%0.27-18.67%0.0512✓1.041.1M2022-09-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.116079-1.63%0.103-12.71%0.0648✗1.372.9M2022-09-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.754232-1.66%0.713-7.04%0.0805✗1.02377k2022-09-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.053676-1.69%0.0438-19.78%0.0313✓1.28284k2022-09-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.6255-1.74%1.899-28.93%0.0883✓1.75109k2022-09-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.057673-1.75%0.0558-4.94%0.1589✗1.43350k2022-09-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.621916-1.75%0.508-19.75%0.0142✓1.4088k2022-09-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1716.8691-1.75%14.03-18.29%0.0085✓1.311.3M2022-09-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.226986-1.78%0.2219-3.98%0.1750✗1.4789k2022-09-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.6216-1.83%10.18-5.91%0.1187✗1.20259k2022-09-02
XVGVergenative0.003730.003661-1.84%0.00313-16.09%0.0172✓1.29551k2022-09-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.066913-1.89%0.0568-16.72%0.0376✓0.94229k2022-09-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.030679-1.89%0.03437+9.91%0.2795✗1.2314k2022-09-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.9078-1.90%2.743-7.46%0.0914✗1.11597k2022-09-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.054671-1.90%0.043204-22.48%0.1574✓0.5824k2022-09-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.793-1.95%5.1574+81.06%0.7453✗0.981.2M2022-09-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1075-1.97%1.98-37.54%0.3844✓0.49102k2022-09-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.01547-2.00%0.01333-15.55%0.0286✓0.892.1M2022-09-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.4255-2.00%3.82+54.34%0.5741✗0.89110k2022-09-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.46465-2.06%0.436-8.09%0.0871✗1.1246k2022-09-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01780.996644-2.08%1.1047+8.54%0.2573✗1.151.1M2022-09-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.017301-2.14%0.01324-25.11%0.1566✓0.82207k2022-09-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.057216-2.19%0.0486-16.92%0.0094✓1.28799k2022-09-02
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7654.5113-2.24%45.81-17.84%0.0130✓1.3934k2022-09-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.1255-2.32%1.788-17.83%0.0115✓1.2032k2022-09-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.41e-7-2.35%8.64e-7+147.55%1.0629✗0.99170k2022-09-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.130644-2.36%0.2187+63.45%0.6611✗1.09779k2022-09-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.0984-2.36%1.008-10.40%0.0018✓0.651.8M2022-09-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.5621-2.37%1.31-18.13%0.0015✓1.32122k2022-09-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.483-2.43%1.48-2.63%0.0389✗0.30221k2022-09-02
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.048088-2.44%0.044071-10.59%0.0737✗1.2035k2022-09-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.1659.9128-2.48%12.614+24.09%0.4231✗1.3514.4M2022-09-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.2275-2.50%0.93-26.13%0.1104✓1.241.2M2022-09-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.042344-2.54%0.03809-12.34%0.0205✓0.942,3002022-09-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.254514-2.56%0.1972-24.50%0.2536✓0.0129k2022-09-02
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.243031-2.59%0.2233-10.50%0.0720✗1.17768k2022-09-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3224-2.70%1.181-13.10%0.0587✗1.282.5M2022-09-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.0541-2.70%0.829-23.48%0.0557✓1.371.4M2022-09-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.08561-2.73%0.0801-8.99%0.0314✓0.261.1M2022-09-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.075084-2.87%0.0619-19.92%0.0445✓1.11952k2022-09-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31158.58-2.87%53.741-10.89%0.0259✓0.83330k2022-09-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.046943-2.89%0.04476-7.41%0.0716✗0.8915k2022-09-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.1808-2.90%1.534-31.70%0.1657✓1.38177k2022-09-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0877.8515-2.91%5.831-27.90%0.1571✓1.042.4M2022-09-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002189-2.92%0.001603-28.91%0.1772✓1.001.5M2022-09-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.7459-2.95%1.76-2.17%0.0934✗0.64189k2022-09-02
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.1836-3.00%12.8342-12.23%0.0545✗1.1563k2022-09-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.39369-3.01%0.35346-12.92%0.0778✗1.38583k2022-09-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.8088-3.02%7.11+18.70%0.2934✗0.68725k2022-09-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.62932-3.03%0.53972-16.84%0.0496✗1.5188k2022-09-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008415-3.05%0.00814-6.22%0.1387✗1.28375k2022-09-02
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.45094-3.16%0.3771-19.01%0.0760✓0.7668k2022-09-02
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1686.9409-3.17%4.706-34.35%0.1555✓1.7312.2M2022-09-02
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.6351-3.19%1.31-22.44%0.0294✓1.43341k2022-09-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0422.2688-3.35%18.87-18.10%0.0470✗1.5827.5M2022-09-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.199664-3.54%0.1524-26.38%0.0947✓1.311,6972022-09-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.075499-3.55%0.0671-14.28%0.0196✓0.731,0202022-09-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.153155-3.55%0.1381-13.04%0.0635✗1.24508k2022-09-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.33652-3.64%0.29376-15.88%0.0397✗1.3113k2022-09-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.039796-3.64%0.035-15.25%0.0364✓1.2376k2022-09-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.3116-3.71%14.875+232.18%1.3143✗0.561.3M2022-09-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.6364-3.72%2.2074-19.38%0.0326✓1.5612k2022-09-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.7572-3.79%2.96-24.20%0.1233✓0.86922k2022-09-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.784421-3.87%0.668-18.14%0.0732✗1.744.8M2022-09-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.7004-3.90%2.19-22.06%0.0055✓1.52198k2022-09-02
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.164117-3.91%0.1232-27.87%0.1227✓1.223.5M2022-09-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.5505-3.95%6.292-19.96%0.0182✓1.227.0M2022-09-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.305653-3.97%0.2313-27.33%0.1295✓1.11294k2022-09-02
HIVEHivenative0.5960.572163-4.00%0.5541-7.03%0.1269✗1.181.5M2022-09-02
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.1726-4.00%4.86-24.42%0.0523✓1.391.2M2022-09-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.495563-4.15%0.423-18.18%0.0040✓1.1513k2022-09-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.083947-4.29%0.07182-18.12%0.0274✓1.3629k2022-09-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0241.9364-4.33%1.488-26.48%0.0737✓1.41255k2022-09-02
QNTQuantEthereum105.18100.6272-4.33%92.78-11.79%0.0519✗0.994.2M2022-09-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.022054-4.34%0.020785-9.85%0.0703✗0.9611k2022-09-02
METISMetisEthereum35.333.7629-4.35%31.7-10.20%0.1950✗1.92251k2022-09-02
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.5188-4.36%6.406-28.08%0.0982✓1.399.8M2022-09-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.1156-4.59%7.9584+143.72%1.0402✗0.761.1M2022-09-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.5375-4.65%3.028-18.38%0.0785✗1.745.0M2022-09-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.743129-4.73%0.479-38.59%0.2436✓1.453,6872022-09-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.5349-4.90%6.91+18.73%0.3013✗0.59873k2022-09-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.514516-4.91%0.3186-41.12%0.2908✓1.40222k2022-09-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.077211-4.92%0.06497-20.00%0.0273✓1.49786k2022-09-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.7807-4.96%4.42+11.11%0.2495✗0.691.5M2022-09-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.267-5.03%1.0939-18.00%0.0543✗1.506.4M2022-09-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03430.981869-5.07%0.9679-6.42%0.1035✗0.883.9M2022-09-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.6248-5.26%4.612+20.54%0.3198✗0.591.9M2022-09-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.018894-5.29%0.025779+29.22%0.3674✗0.42165k2022-09-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.7131-5.38%6.365+27.79%0.3715✗0.532.2M2022-09-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.8003-5.51%4.95-2.56%0.1249✗0.701.3M2022-09-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4415.5297-5.54%13.76-16.30%0.0680✗1.412.3M2022-09-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.85469-5.56%0.6722-25.72%0.0025✓1.77513k2022-09-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.559.0072-5.68%9.58+0.31%0.1270✗0.491.7M2022-09-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03720.977712-5.74%–pending––1.0513k2022-09-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.000094139-5.83%0.00024148+141.55%1.2159✗2.04536k2022-09-02
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.94151-6.10%0.889-11.34%0.1733✗1.72211k2022-09-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6425.9439-6.14%19.34-30.03%0.1113✓1.36773k2022-09-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.035112-6.34%0.02024-46.01%0.3574✓1.4413.9M2022-09-02
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.035-6.39%0.87122-21.20%0.0235✓1.1111k2022-09-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.3009-6.84%2.25-8.91%0.1226✗1.08398k2022-09-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.175052-6.91%0.15905-15.42%0.2152✗2.311,1512022-09-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.435.9651-7.23%5.99-6.84%0.0861✗0.611.4M2022-09-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.0958-7.80%7.5477+124.79%1.0106✗0.891.3M2022-09-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0633.2397-7.82%32.45-10.01%0.1647✗1.409.4M2022-09-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9820.2318-7.95%17.08-22.29%0.0552✓0.852.2M2022-09-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.049,836.19-8.29%10,076.20-6.05%0.2156✗1.424.4M2022-09-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.739.6877-9.71%7.59-29.26%0.0581✓1.38334k2022-09-02
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.6192-18.75%1.234-38.08%0.0068✓1.972.4M2022-09-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.