8=======>

2022-07-17 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2587
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.0%
in alpha space · 46.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+14.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.640.592239-7.46%0.71+10.94%0.0258✓1.513,6872022-08-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.641.527-6.89%1.47-10.37%0.0752✓0.27485k2022-08-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.663320.620162-6.51%0.69252+4.40%0.1152✓1.64104k2022-08-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.87550.820025-6.34%0.967+10.45%0.0567✓1.61209k2022-08-16
METISMetisEthereum23.7722.3413-6.01%38.9+63.65%0.4170✗1.00127k2022-08-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090820.085439-5.92%0.08578-5.55%0.1336✓1.00432k2022-08-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010150.000095647-5.77%0.0000971-4.33%0.2465✓1.90692k2022-08-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38730.364987-5.76%0.4749+22.62%0.1257✗1.00241k2022-08-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6532.5002-5.76%3.68+38.71%0.1451✗1.763.7M2022-08-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5110.484889-5.11%0.545+6.65%0.0509✓1.2211k2022-08-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.3916.51-5.06%40.61+133.53%0.6727✗1.65421k2022-08-16
FISStafiEthereum0.40.380418-4.90%0.4514+12.85%0.0335✓1.003902022-08-16
QNTQuantEthereum98.8694.1482-4.77%116.11+17.45%0.0685✗1.032.7M2022-08-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.57e-7-4.73%0.000001+11.11%0.0162✓1.0025k2022-08-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.28650.273517-4.53%0.3019+5.38%0.0949✓1.41435k2022-08-16
ELAElastosEthereum1.5291.4599-4.52%2.061+34.79%0.2073✗1.00180k2022-08-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0181.9285-4.44%2.016-0.10%0.1625✓1.50116k2022-08-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.4813.845-4.39%20.32+40.33%0.2474✗0.991.7M2022-08-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80240.768907-4.17%1.1489+43.18%0.2602✗1.033.5M2022-08-16
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9436.6651-4.00%8.346+20.21%0.0320✓1.405.7M2022-08-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.382620.368287-3.75%0.42922+12.18%0.0175✓1.24128k2022-08-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7760.747801-3.63%0.87+12.11%0.1022✓1.847.0M2022-08-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.17840.172015-3.58%0.207+16.03%0.0065✓1.392,2022022-08-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.252348-3.54%0.2612-0.15%0.1031✓1.0045k2022-08-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.7781.7154-3.52%2.409+35.49%0.1600✗1.31668k2022-08-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07861.0441-3.20%1.2853+19.16%0.0076✓1.464.2M2022-08-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.184760.179113-3.06%0.1883+1.92%0.3266✓2.747222022-08-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.6242.5444-3.03%3.334+27.06%0.1154✗1.13729k2022-08-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1870.181442-2.97%0.2113+12.99%0.0477✓1.452,5392022-08-16
COMPCompoundEthereum54.8653.2575-2.92%61.09+11.36%0.0557✓1.4032k2022-08-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39460.383077-2.92%0.4464+13.13%0.0642✓1.58191k2022-08-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0179150.01744-2.65%0.025638+43.11%0.3125✗0.53176k2022-08-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03630.03535-2.62%0.0426+17.36%0.0132✓1.2695k2022-08-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5973.503-2.61%6.018+67.31%0.4649✗0.552.2M2022-08-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04960.048432-2.36%0.0539+8.67%0.0641✓1.24276k2022-08-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.07720.075527-2.17%0.08258+6.97%0.0227✓0.811,9712022-08-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.321850.314939-2.15%0.35342+9.81%0.0557✓1.24411k2022-08-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022990.022498-2.14%0.02789+21.31%0.0115✓1.6514.6M2022-08-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23075.1214-2.09%5.2507+0.38%0.0008✓0.19358k2022-08-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1821.1578-2.04%1.271+7.53%0.0691✓1.181.4M2022-08-16
HIVEHivenative0.44040.431485-2.02%0.6115+38.85%0.1737✗1.271.2M2022-08-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.66252.6245-1.93%61.168+13.99%0.0346✗0.84387k2022-08-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001070.000010495-1.92%0.00001581+47.76%0.2382✗1.251.1M2022-08-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.8960.879562-1.83%1.072+19.64%0.0489✓1.79528k2022-08-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07060.069322-1.81%0.0688-2.55%0.1453✓1.00253k2022-08-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11680.114789-1.72%0.1546+32.36%0.1595✗1.013.3M2022-08-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10960.107808-1.64%0.123+12.23%0.0041✓0.996,1432022-08-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7770.764457-1.61%0.967+24.45%0.1278✗0.781.1M2022-08-16
AAVEAaveEthereum88.2786.8529-1.61%109.79+24.38%0.0015✓1.6910.8M2022-08-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.98940.973581-1.60%1.1561+16.85%0.0144✓1.144,6812022-08-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93770.922915-1.58%1.4706+56.83%0.2951✗1.241.0M2022-08-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.41.3791-1.50%1.41+0.71%0.1894✓1.54809k2022-08-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54742.5122-1.38%3.3012+29.59%0.0498✗1.625,9882022-08-16
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9694.9013-1.36%6.197+24.71%0.0071✓1.7611.7M2022-08-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,043.2020,762.20-1.34%23,861.50+13.39%0.0028✓0.9935k2022-08-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02730.026943-1.31%0.03136+14.87%0.0482✓1.451,4722022-08-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16630.164171-1.28%0.1798+8.12%0.0921✓1.33349k2022-08-16
DODODODOEthereum0.15320.151272-1.26%0.1676+9.40%0.0797✓1.322.8M2022-08-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018570.018337-1.25%0.01753-5.60%0.1506✓0.77381k2022-08-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08570.08465-1.23%0.0811-5.37%0.2166✓1.26167k2022-08-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.101471-1.20%0.1138+10.81%0.0726✓1.36526k2022-08-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.49-1.19%3.26+29.37%0.0548✗1.56205k2022-08-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0629840.062237-1.19%0.087041+38.20%0.1674✗1.222.0M2022-08-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2257.143-1.13%7.773+7.58%0.0978✓1.335.5M2022-08-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,069.876,004.98-1.07%11,010.19+81.39%0.4213✗1.344.2M2022-08-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9158.8201-1.06%11.396+27.83%0.0701✗1.3512.5M2022-08-16
SOLSolanaSolana38.6338.2398-1.01%43.09+11.55%0.0643✓1.3481.1M2022-08-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.288740.285939-0.97%0.35527+23.04%0.0301✗1.363,2792022-08-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6220.4205-0.97%27.11+31.47%0.0694✗1.5625.2M2022-08-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.837550.82954-0.96%1.0299+22.96%0.0316✗1.34399k2022-08-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4970.492578-0.89%0.672+35.21%0.1186✗1.4084k2022-08-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5371.5244-0.82%1.924+25.18%0.0286✗1.48182k2022-08-16
FTTFTXEthereum27.6127.3983-0.77%30.67+11.08%0.0199✓0.9610.6M2022-08-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.784.7449-0.73%6.14+28.45%0.1647✗0.68574k2022-08-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.0710.070514-0.68%0.0734+3.38%0.1591✓1.45312k2022-08-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3552.3402-0.63%3.876+64.59%0.3780✗0.9288k2022-08-16
OPTIMOptimism0.5820.57836-0.63%1.454+149.83%0.6894✗1.691.1M2022-08-16
STXStacksnative0.38590.383515-0.62%0.4762+23.40%0.0435✗1.26381k2022-08-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.155.1207-0.57%5.96+15.73%0.0484✓1.461.2M2022-08-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2683.2494-0.57%3.62+10.77%0.0497✓1.15544k2022-08-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212770.021168-0.51%0.024604+15.64%0.0123✗1.001,5692022-08-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.1599-0.51%2.752+26.76%0.0462✗1.4343k2022-08-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.0432.0328-0.50%3.7239+82.28%0.4802✗0.91857k2022-08-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.4528-0.49%1.75+19.86%0.0151✓1.46142k2022-08-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2233.2089-0.44%4.19+30.00%0.1591✗0.78488k2022-08-16
XVGVergenative0.003530.003516-0.39%0.00401+13.60%0.0571✓1.37635k2022-08-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027360.027253-0.39%0.05113+86.88%0.4537✗1.2821k2022-08-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11050.11007-0.39%0.1265+14.48%0.0123✓1.10380k2022-08-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.955.9269-0.39%10.19+71.26%0.3536✗1.37263k2022-08-16
BANDBandEthereum1.3821.3778-0.30%1.675+21.20%0.0045✓1.45380k2022-08-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.202507-0.24%0.244+20.20%0.0295✓1.57881k2022-08-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.913.9006-0.24%5.44+39.13%0.2453✗0.64694k2022-08-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20710.206635-0.22%0.2556+23.42%0.0047✗1.51117k2022-08-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2730.27252-0.18%0.3392+24.25%0.0548✗1.192.9M2022-08-16
XEMNEMnative0.0405550.040484-0.17%0.051969+28.14%0.0905✗1.1616k2022-08-16
DIADIAEthereum0.437090.43635-0.17%0.47192+7.97%0.0273✓0.7753k2022-08-16
ZENHorizenBase16.5516.5339-0.10%20.12+21.57%0.0009✓1.4289k2022-08-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.050654-0.09%0.0696+37.28%0.1142✗1.48106k2022-08-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786310.785713-0.08%1.1875+51.02%0.2935✗0.874662022-08-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33650.33627-0.07%0.3526+4.78%0.1152✓1.188.2M2022-08-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.05111.0504-0.06%1.2535+19.26%0.0264✗1.0948k2022-08-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132790.13278-0.01%0.16955+27.68%0.0211✗1.62176k2022-08-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.10550.10557+0.07%0.2097+98.77%0.5339✓1.11560k2022-08-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0873.0895+0.08%4.038+30.81%0.1791✓0.641.9M2022-08-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.23752.2397+0.10%3.514+57.05%0.3386✓0.81947k2022-08-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.2219.2435+0.12%39.88+107.49%0.5647✓1.191.2M2022-08-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.826.8317+0.17%8.89+30.35%0.1944✓0.50670k2022-08-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1642.1677+0.17%2.651+22.50%0.0320✗1.7084k2022-08-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23160.232003+0.17%0.2645+14.21%0.0433✗1.27160k2022-08-16
XTZTezosTezos1.57311.5761+0.19%1.8887+20.06%0.0056✓1.27519k2022-08-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8723.8805+0.22%5.889+52.09%0.3283✓0.651.5M2022-08-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.000992572+0.25%0.001587+60.24%0.2905✓1.301.8M2022-08-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50422.5105+0.25%3.1212+24.64%0.0785✓1.011.1M2022-08-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1260.126321+0.25%0.1437+14.05%0.0564✗1.3534k2022-08-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.059.0747+0.27%12.36+36.57%0.1465✓1.18272k2022-08-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80141.8078+0.36%2.2701+26.02%0.0575✓1.2427k2022-08-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91240.915697+0.36%1.0221+12.02%0.0904✗1.461.4M2022-08-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.543.5538+0.39%2.94-16.95%0.2519✗0.4578k2022-08-16
QTUMQtumQtum2.95052.9634+0.43%4.0127+36.00%0.1524✓1.1026k2022-08-16
SCSiacoinnative0.003940.003957+0.44%0.00476+20.81%0.0012✓1.35127k2022-08-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045020.045222+0.45%0.05205+15.62%0.0138✓0.926,5622022-08-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7455.997+0.46%61.33+10.03%0.0708✗1.1814.8M2022-08-16
PROPropyEthereum0.810.814014+0.50%0.81+0.00%0.1080✗0.75111k2022-08-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37740.379377+0.52%0.4559+20.80%0.0021✓1.3282k2022-08-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2441.2508+0.55%1.425+14.55%0.0522✗1.332.6M2022-08-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.008975+0.61%0.00828-7.17%0.2086✗0.931.2M2022-08-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.473.4919+0.63%4.95+42.65%0.2478✓0.74597k2022-08-16
DASHDashDash45.9246.2127+0.64%52.46+14.24%0.0253✗1.11616k2022-08-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3456.386+0.65%8.453+33.22%0.1067✓1.2617.9M2022-08-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020090.020228+0.69%0.02539+26.38%0.0793✓1.08112k2022-08-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.23710.238731+0.69%0.3001+26.57%0.0766✓1.1160k2022-08-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444410.447588+0.72%0.40858-8.06%0.2994✗1.51862k2022-08-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6440.648611+0.72%0.818+27.02%0.1010✓0.95425k2022-08-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0514280.051798+0.72%0.054802+6.56%0.0301✗0.6314k2022-08-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5114.6149+0.72%17.95+23.71%0.0183✓1.361.3M2022-08-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062690.063144+0.72%0.09121+45.49%0.1766✓1.3924k2022-08-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.284229+0.79%0.316+12.06%0.0377✗1.04599k2022-08-16
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.7239+0.81%2.36+38.01%0.1592✓1.13127k2022-08-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48170.485641+0.82%0.5047+4.77%0.1127✗1.1052k2022-08-16
BTTCBTTC9.00e-79.08e-7+0.87%9.70e-7+7.78%0.0510✗0.855.8M2022-08-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124040.012519+0.93%0.015966+28.72%0.1285✓0.831.2M2022-08-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50720.511908+0.93%0.5897+16.27%0.0265✗1.22456k2022-08-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25370.256065+0.93%0.3985+57.08%0.2852✓1.1440k2022-08-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6895.7422+0.94%8.426+48.11%0.2280✓1.131.9M2022-08-16
XECeCashnative0.000040040.000040459+1.05%0.00004498+12.34%0.0607✗1.211.9M2022-08-16
XMRMoneroMonero135.99137.4738+1.09%169.61+24.72%0.0560✓1.121.3M2022-08-16
NANOnanopayBase0.903560.913477+1.10%1.0226+13.18%0.0275✗1.0263k2022-08-16
KSMKusamaHydration54.4355.0736+1.18%56.07+3.01%0.1461✗1.19235k2022-08-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35481.3709+1.19%1.635+20.68%0.0205✗1.43684k2022-08-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6670.675046+1.21%0.84+25.94%0.0451✓1.26127k2022-08-16
STEEMSteemnative0.21230.214869+1.21%0.27+27.18%0.0617✓1.21705k2022-08-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2945960.29817+1.21%0.362039+22.89%0.0198✓1.271.4M2022-08-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068380.006924+1.25%0.006937+1.45%0.0780✗0.5869k2022-08-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.62e-7+1.28%7.44e-7+108.16%0.5785✓1.03344k2022-08-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051940.052618+1.31%0.08996+73.20%0.3341✓1.47773k2022-08-16
TRXTRONTron0.0674370.068354+1.36%0.069764+3.45%0.0922✗0.82405k2022-08-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1066250.108084+1.37%0.12178+14.21%0.0186✗1.007.2M2022-08-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.379.5015+1.40%15+60.09%0.2556✓1.461.1M2022-08-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.324.382+1.43%6.29+45.60%0.2717✓0.65579k2022-08-16
MOVRMoonriverBase13.242813.4351+1.45%15.0779+13.86%0.0513✗1.21242k2022-08-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027910.002837+1.64%0.004101+46.94%0.2262✓1.031.2M2022-08-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9197.0331+1.65%8.839+27.75%0.0581✓1.249.0M2022-08-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04160.042294+1.67%0.0445+6.97%0.1352✗1.357,2812022-08-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.009257+1.72%0.01154+26.81%0.0792✓1.034.9M2022-08-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006450.006562+1.73%0.00854+32.40%0.1250✓1.01390k2022-08-16
ADACardanoCardano0.44770.455626+1.77%0.5571+24.44%0.0260✓1.2743.9M2022-08-16
GTGateEthereum4.09154.1672+1.85%4.8932+19.59%0.0621✓0.72930k2022-08-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09790.099793+1.93%0.1301+32.89%0.0796✓1.352.4M2022-08-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,338.201,364.14+1.94%1,876.57+40.23%0.1525✓1.21326.5M2022-08-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09430.096155+1.97%0.1024+8.59%0.0507✗0.83144k2022-08-16
FLOWFlownative1.5641.5977+2.16%2.685+71.68%0.3518✓1.22287k2022-08-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05050.05167+2.32%0.0642+27.13%0.0298✓1.36817k2022-08-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.99112.5775+2.35%136.34+23.96%0.0377✓1.124.0M2022-08-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.13860.141968+2.43%0.1861+34.27%0.0983✓1.2587k2022-08-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,791.7421,302.10+2.45%23,857.93+14.75%0.0242✗1.00398.7M2022-08-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056480.005787+2.47%0.006767+19.81%0.0301✓0.922,9622022-08-16
ZECZcashZcash59.4361.1172+2.84%75.95+27.80%0.0365✓1.311.5M2022-08-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6210.639378+2.96%0.7+12.72%0.1167✗1.51108k2022-08-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0540.055693+3.13%0.0784+45.19%0.2341✓0.78209k2022-08-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07960.08277+3.98%0.1069+34.30%0.0846✓1.246,7832022-08-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6020.63061+4.75%0.959+59.30%0.2536✓1.20858k2022-08-16
KCSKuCoinnative9.079.5028+4.77%10.39+14.55%0.0641✗1.112.2M2022-08-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47870.515867+7.76%0.5677+18.59%0.0600✓1.13311k2022-08-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.