8=======>

2022-04-17 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1320
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
96.3%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-23.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.7032.3877-11.67%1.413-47.72%0.2607✓0.993.8M2022-05-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3350.297946-11.06%0.2022-39.64%0.0406✓1.301.6M2022-05-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.123.7102-9.95%1.83-55.58%0.3334✓1.40713k2022-05-17
SUSHISushiEthereum3.22.897-9.47%1.43-55.31%0.3743✓1.256.7M2022-05-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.58e-78.69e-7-9.34%7.15e-7-25.41%0.2784✓-0.31596k2022-05-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.030.933986-9.32%0.38508-62.61%0.5719✓1.18798k2022-05-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.855.3061-9.30%2.58-55.90%0.3172✓1.52665k2022-05-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8540.77705-9.01%0.5004-41.41%0.0772✓1.36870k2022-05-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0272570.024877-8.73%0.015368-43.62%0.2997✓0.68195k2022-05-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.19491.091-8.70%0.7365-38.36%0.0594✓1.2511.9M2022-05-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.620.566144-8.69%0.253-59.19%0.5130✓1.105.9M2022-05-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4631.3382-8.53%0.958-34.52%0.0640✓1.021.1M2022-05-17
PROPropyEthereum1.931.7706-8.26%1.21-37.31%0.1300✓0.94179k2022-05-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.6418.0717-7.99%10.34-47.35%0.1983✓1.35226k2022-05-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017490.016096-7.97%0.0104-40.54%0.1707✓1.002.1M2022-05-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.51924.1606-7.93%2.5786-42.94%0.2181✓0.98280k2022-05-17
APEApeCoinEthereum11.69510.7728-7.89%8.877-24.10%0.3858✗2.1846.3M2022-05-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2210.203708-7.82%0.0712-67.78%0.8730✓0.67100k2022-05-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23510.216769-7.80%0.1525-35.13%0.0161✓1.38368k2022-05-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.18302.8666-7.71%206.73-37.01%0.1181✓0.998.6M2022-05-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.28383.9555-7.66%2.18-49.11%0.3931✓0.763.9M2022-05-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.8713.7341-7.64%5.35-64.02%0.8117✓0.492.9M2022-05-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.57310.529773-7.56%0.346-39.63%0.0929✓1.25967k2022-05-17
XVGVergenative0.010360.009591-7.42%0.00546-47.30%0.2545✓1.161.7M2022-05-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.5674.2297-7.39%2.115-53.69%0.2327✓1.732.6M2022-05-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.4569.9436-7.30%34.38-54.43%0.3739✓1.2694.4M2022-05-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.34860.32316-7.30%0.1798-48.42%0.2730✓1.1810.5M2022-05-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3281.2317-7.25%0.623-53.09%0.3403✓1.283.4M2022-05-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8060.747978-7.20%0.342-57.57%0.4215✓1.362.7M2022-05-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.77835.3627-7.19%1.6841-70.85%1.0175✓0.535.6M2022-05-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1942.0366-7.17%1.389-36.69%0.0252✓1.347.7M2022-05-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.809550.752412-7.06%0.39337-51.41%0.3824✓1.00182k2022-05-17
UNIUniswapEthereum9.258.6019-7.01%5.47-40.86%0.1704✓1.068.8M2022-05-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5134.1972-7.00%2.034-54.93%0.4500✓1.03119k2022-05-17
COMPCompoundEthereum148.41138.0544-6.98%74.69-49.67%0.2940✓1.2076k2022-05-17
KSMKusamaHydration168.62157.0424-6.87%82.04-51.35%0.3693✓1.051.1M2022-05-17
UMAUMAEthereum6.165.7404-6.81%3.314-46.20%0.1609✓1.462.8M2022-05-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0044.6713-6.65%2.883-42.39%0.1362✓1.307.3M2022-05-17
HIVEHivenative0.88580.827093-6.63%0.5411-38.91%0.1380✓1.082.0M2022-05-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.23330.217864-6.62%0.121-48.14%0.2284✓1.353.5M2022-05-17
MANADecentralandEthereum2.05321.9182-6.58%1.2159-40.78%0.1537✓1.141.6M2022-05-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1971.1184-6.57%0.593-50.46%0.3594✓1.031.4M2022-05-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6876660.64255-6.56%0.424817-38.22%0.1180✓1.113.2M2022-05-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.4576.034-6.55%3.13-51.53%0.3584✓1.12340k2022-05-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004060.003795-6.52%0.00144-64.53%0.6415✓1.239.6M2022-05-17
MINAMina Protocolnative2.282.1316-6.51%1.1-51.75%0.3710✓1.091.2M2022-05-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.19250.180054-6.47%0.0892-53.66%0.3975✓1.15251k2022-05-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.8453.5974-6.44%1.399-63.62%0.5620✓1.44720k2022-05-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.724790.678286-6.42%0.4149-42.76%0.2134✓1.05180k2022-05-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.4115.3657-6.36%8.62-47.47%0.3033✓1.0318.5M2022-05-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.11680.109386-6.35%0.0711-39.13%0.1243✓1.15952k2022-05-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71080.665968-6.31%0.4947-30.40%0.0473✓0.9418.3M2022-05-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.5613.6417-6.31%5.86-59.75%0.7356✓0.412.0M2022-05-17
BANDBandEthereum3.5543.3305-6.29%1.765-50.34%0.3060✓1.24749k2022-05-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.0741.9438-6.28%1.2954-37.54%0.1743✓0.8795k2022-05-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.2321.7767-6.26%11.46-50.67%0.3493✓1.1031.7M2022-05-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7934.4936-6.25%3.148-34.32%0.2551✓0.384.1M2022-05-17
SOLSolanaSolana100.1893.9382-6.23%57.02-43.08%0.1667✓1.25147.4M2022-05-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.2812.4563-6.20%6.53-50.83%0.3448✓1.131.5M2022-05-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.41940.393459-6.19%0.2705-35.50%0.0138✓1.46422k2022-05-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.2320.86-6.16%15.21-31.58%0.0318✓1.31752k2022-05-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.4324.8138-6.12%13.66-48.32%0.3565✓0.90636k2022-05-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.1261.9966-6.09%0.64-69.90%0.8733✓0.9994k2022-05-17
FTTFTXEthereum44.842.0838-6.06%32.03-28.50%0.0047✓1.0115.1M2022-05-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.1155.7459-6.04%4.126-32.53%0.1531✓0.671.8M2022-05-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06640.062392-6.04%0.0353-46.84%0.2521✓1.19555k2022-05-17
QTUMQtumQtum6.53246.1386-6.03%4.2187-35.42%0.0642✓1.17216k2022-05-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.685.342-5.95%2.85-49.82%0.4369✓0.721.4M2022-05-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072350.06805-5.94%0.04094-43.41%0.2281✓1.05121k2022-05-17
SCSiacoinnative0.010130.009528-5.94%0.00561-44.62%0.2132✓1.19565k2022-05-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum45.4742.7692-5.94%22.4-50.74%0.3067✓1.288.8M2022-05-17
AVTAventusEthereum2.62.4458-5.93%1.16-55.38%0.6125✓0.50546k2022-05-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07460.070181-5.92%0.04738-36.49%0.1713✓0.8350k2022-05-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.03590.974783-5.90%0.61254-40.87%0.1591✓1.15143k2022-05-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.9420.886673-5.87%0.3614-61.63%0.5222✓1.41231k2022-05-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11340.106826-5.80%0.0562-50.44%0.3630✓1.051.1M2022-05-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.2220.209237-5.75%0.12-45.95%0.2395✓1.193.2M2022-05-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04920.046401-5.69%0.0167-66.06%0.5721✓1.6938.1M2022-05-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,713.4917,653.47-5.66%9,984.13-46.65%0.2742✓1.115.0M2022-05-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6693.4618-5.65%1.748-52.36%0.4819✓0.762.2M2022-05-17
DIADIAEthereum0.880.83074-5.60%0.39763-54.81%0.6102✓0.48169k2022-05-17
RADRadworksEthereum4.64.3426-5.60%2.04-55.65%0.5001✓0.96785k2022-05-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13640.128797-5.57%0.0907-33.50%0.0786✓1.02224k2022-05-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23850.225229-5.56%0.1493-37.40%0.1835✓0.861.7M2022-05-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024680.000023332-5.46%0.00001255-49.15%0.3175✓1.142.8M2022-05-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5973.4012-5.44%1.674-53.46%0.5313✓0.672.5M2022-05-17
AAVEAaveEthereum167.03158.046-5.38%92.53-44.60%0.1864✓1.3113.5M2022-05-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.718.6502-5.33%8.56-56.55%0.4817✓1.1210.9M2022-05-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034210.03239-5.32%0.0187-45.34%0.3759✓0.65942k2022-05-17
MOVRMoonriverBase57.227654.1862-5.31%24.7107-56.82%0.3943✓1.47223k2022-05-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.5834.6378-5.31%21.76-40.51%0.1722✓1.1016.0M2022-05-17
XECeCashnative0.000088780.000084068-5.31%0.00004936-44.40%0.2659✓1.009.5M2022-05-17
ORCAOrcaSolana1.861.7614-5.30%0.97-47.85%0.4074✓0.71238k2022-05-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.00293.7919-5.27%1.9688-50.82%0.4769✓0.674.8M2022-05-17
KCSKuCoinnative19.93218.8833-5.26%14.916-25.17%0.0066✓0.865.4M2022-05-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.55352.4212-5.18%1.6818-34.14%0.1585✓0.7711k2022-05-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1966170.186453-5.17%0.141543-28.01%0.0093✓1.0018.8M2022-05-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.6279.315-5.15%55.75-33.33%0.1397✓0.803.5M2022-05-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.180.170781-5.12%0.0913-49.28%0.3047✓1.219.4M2022-05-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.69390.658447-5.11%0.2547-63.29%0.8321✓0.44814k2022-05-17
XTZTezosTezos3.092.9334-5.07%1.8568-39.91%0.1785✓1.051.0M2022-05-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7470.709188-5.06%0.384-48.59%0.3768✓0.892.9M2022-05-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2670.253554-5.04%0.1311-50.90%0.4316✓0.8636k2022-05-17
STXStacksnative1.131.0732-5.02%0.58-48.67%0.3484✓1.00440k2022-05-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.7416.8496-5.02%11.02-37.88%0.1433✓1.0619.0M2022-05-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1393710.132396-5.00%0.090151-35.32%0.1555✓0.865.0M2022-05-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0351820.033422-5.00%0.016233-53.86%0.4252✓1.124.5M2022-05-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7113.0241-5.00%12.44-9.26%0.3014✗1.312.5M2022-05-17
DASHDashDash104.499.1773-5.00%60.11-42.42%0.2258✓1.032.4M2022-05-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.19570.185919-5.00%0.0803-58.97%0.2314✓2.29592k2022-05-17
XMRMoneroMonero242229.9719-4.97%172.72-28.63%0.0399✓0.931.7M2022-05-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.32340.307344-4.96%0.1452-55.10%0.3625✓1.469.4M2022-05-17
DODODODOEthereum0.3780.359263-4.96%0.168-55.56%0.4482✓1.177.4M2022-05-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.022830.021701-4.94%0.00905-60.36%0.5697✓1.15374k2022-05-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49690.472422-4.93%0.2589-47.90%0.3903✓0.79490k2022-05-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.620.589474-4.92%0.20963-66.19%0.6361✓1.49478k2022-05-17
ZENHorizenBase36.4734.6777-4.91%22.14-39.29%0.0897✓1.35431k2022-05-17
XVSVenusEthereum9.769.2825-4.89%4.73-51.54%0.3669✓1.154.7M2022-05-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2391.1794-4.81%0.817-34.06%0.1110✓0.963.5M2022-05-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4221.3542-4.77%0.74-47.96%0.2531✓1.32555k2022-05-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049780.047411-4.76%0.02971-40.32%0.1957✓1.02561k2022-05-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.64490.61422-4.76%0.3906-39.43%0.1749✓1.049.8M2022-05-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.370.35254-4.72%0.1418-61.68%0.4278✓1.812.3M2022-05-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.022240.021191-4.72%0.01407-36.74%0.1961✓0.804.9M2022-05-17
LUNATerraTerra 277.2873.649-4.70%0.00019-100.00%12.5295✓1.277.7M2022-05-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.7213.0804-4.66%7.71-43.80%0.2255✓1.1426.0M2022-05-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.2244.0276-4.65%1.905-54.90%0.5797✓0.633.4M2022-05-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.37775.1281-4.64%2.9271-45.57%0.2382✓1.2112.0M2022-05-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.8418-4.57%0.91-52.85%0.3516✓1.331.6M2022-05-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.043620.041629-4.56%0.02904-33.43%0.1253✓0.8867k2022-05-17
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001814-4.55%0.00000113-40.53%0.2820✓0.729.8M2022-05-17
FIDABonfidaSolana1.431.3662-4.46%0.629-56.01%0.5123✓0.9963k2022-05-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0140590.013443-4.38%0.008963-36.25%0.1635✓0.9147k2022-05-17
TRXTRONTron0.0601490.057515-4.38%0.072142+19.94%0.4032✗0.66252k2022-05-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7754.5673-4.35%3.057-35.98%0.1440✓0.9772k2022-05-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.9180.87831-4.32%0.38048-58.55%0.4897✓1.301.5M2022-05-17
GTGateEthereum6.41686.1394-4.32%5.7521-10.36%0.0906✗0.594.4M2022-05-17
XEMNEMnative0.09710.092942-4.28%0.0614-36.77%0.1691✓0.9261k2022-05-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011680.01118-4.28%0.00443-62.07%0.7596✓0.6235k2022-05-17
ADACardanoCardano0.91480.875672-4.28%0.577-36.93%0.1414✓1.0468.9M2022-05-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.47370.453778-4.21%0.2109-55.48%0.7092✓0.216,4692022-05-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.745.508-4.04%3.76-34.49%0.1889✓0.721.1M2022-05-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin108.78104.4027-4.02%73.04-32.86%0.0829✓1.0323.4M2022-05-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.28320.27203-3.94%0.1804-36.30%0.0995✓1.17524k2022-05-17
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9215.6882-3.93%2.75-53.56%0.3258✓1.5118k2022-05-17
NANOnanopayBase2.0741.9931-3.90%1.1607-44.04%0.2464✓1.11243k2022-05-17
ETHEthereumEthereum2,988.402,873.28-3.85%2,088.96-30.10%0.0393✓1.05448.2M2022-05-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.89595.6713-3.81%4.98-15.53%0.0043✓0.47177k2022-05-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.1952.1117-3.79%1.231-43.92%0.3271✓0.8025k2022-05-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01040.010017-3.68%0.00512-50.77%0.3602✓1.173.4M2022-05-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.016.755-3.64%3.61-48.50%0.4241✓0.761.7M2022-05-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,683.5438,258.35-3.59%30,412.12-23.36%0.0366✓1.00529.9M2022-05-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.242.1599-3.57%1.47-34.38%0.1149✓1.01163k2022-05-17
QNTQuantEthereum110.99107.036-3.56%74.46-32.91%0.1168✓0.924.0M2022-05-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,677.8039,229.03-3.56%30,409.80-25.24%0.0011✓0.9526k2022-05-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092370.089083-3.56%0.05523-40.21%0.2469✓0.8735k2022-05-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.355.1701-3.36%2.74-48.79%0.4342✓0.751.6M2022-05-17
ZECZcashZcash137.47132.9288-3.30%114.63-16.61%0.1242✗1.029.2M2022-05-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017990.017428-3.12%0.01468-18.40%0.2193✗1.4749.4M2022-05-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.143170.139187-2.78%0.07213-49.62%0.4462✓0.7918k2022-05-17
XYMSymbolnative0.11170.108706-2.68%0.0697-37.60%0.2579✓0.70820k2022-05-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7291.687-2.43%0.913-47.19%0.3317✓1.067.8M2022-05-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.