8=======>

2022-02-14 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1524
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.27%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.7%
in alpha space · 78.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PROPropyEthereum2.231.9917-10.68%1.46-34.53%0.2430✓1.99923k2022-03-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.6664.1714-10.60%2.572-44.88%0.4523✓0.92709k2022-03-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0286570.02575-10.14%0.017177-40.06%0.3604✓1.31102k2022-03-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.043610.04007-8.12%0.03622-16.95%0.0764✓0.722.6M2022-03-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.2261.1322-7.65%0.7108-42.02%0.4357✓0.881.6M2022-03-16
STXStacksnative1.471.3685-6.91%1.28-12.93%0.0329✓1.001.0M2022-03-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1140.10637-6.69%0.105-7.89%0.0210✓1.0071k2022-03-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.48063.2516-6.58%2.1072-39.46%0.4042✓0.8730k2022-03-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.1625.4522-6.29%28.97+6.66%0.1675✗1.1271.8M2022-03-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.7419.4546-6.20%16.49-20.49%0.1259✓1.1624.7M2022-03-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.92241.8085-5.92%3.0607+59.21%0.5461✗0.592.8M2022-03-16
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3552.2176-5.83%1.611-31.59%0.2856✓1.0084k2022-03-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56440.531528-5.82%0.5055-10.44%0.0145✓1.051.0M2022-03-16
ORCAOrcaSolana3.092.9147-5.67%2.1-32.04%0.2939✓1.00914k2022-03-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.912.7475-5.58%2.091-28.14%0.2243✓1.4418.3M2022-03-16
AVTAventusEthereum2.842.6835-5.51%2.28-19.72%0.1290✓1.00693k2022-03-16
API3Api3Ethereum4.354.114-5.43%4.743+9.03%0.1532✗0.322.0M2022-03-16
DIADIAEthereum0.940.890711-5.24%0.92-2.13%0.0663✗1.00271k2022-03-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.95523.7488-5.22%4.0815+3.19%0.1181✗0.972.3M2022-03-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.43990.417604-5.07%0.3368-23.44%0.1544✓1.7926.1M2022-03-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,089.9021,920.52-5.06%19,215.35-16.78%0.0997✓0.947.6M2022-03-16
BTTCBTTC0.000002130.000002024-4.98%0.00000185-13.15%0.0559✓1.0014.3M2022-03-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.584.3524-4.97%4.216-7.95%0.0100✓1.232.6M2022-03-16
BANDBandEthereum4.214.0009-4.97%3.642-13.49%0.0519✓1.241.9M2022-03-16
CELLCellframeEthereum1.25121.1913-4.79%1.413+12.93%0.2240✗1.57123k2022-03-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03380.032192-4.76%0.02474-26.80%0.2126✓1.49490k2022-03-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.4210.9028-4.53%11.83+3.59%0.1059✗0.71706k2022-03-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83995.5794-4.46%6.0499+3.60%0.0923✗0.33430k2022-03-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.176.8521-4.43%5.8-19.11%0.1561✓0.311.7M2022-03-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0461330.04409-4.43%0.040705-11.77%0.0383✓1.226.5M2022-03-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7932.6694-4.43%6.401+129.18%0.9207✗1.361.1M2022-03-16
FTTFTXEthereum44.8542.9652-4.20%42.72-4.75%0.0341✓1.1731.2M2022-03-16
UMAUMAEthereum65.7571-4.05%7.808+30.13%0.3400✗1.041.9M2022-03-16
XTZTezosTezos3.94733.7909-3.96%3.1013-21.43%0.1565✓1.302.4M2022-03-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.915.2787-3.91%14.68-7.67%0.0007✓1.2070.2M2022-03-16
XMRMoneroMonero176.38169.5625-3.87%189.66+7.53%0.1468✗1.021.2M2022-03-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4027.1289-3.69%4.733-36.06%0.3757✓1.00407k2022-03-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.9217.2606-3.68%13.13-26.73%0.2492✓0.721.1M2022-03-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.5450.525081-3.65%0.3835-29.63%0.2492✓1.911.8M2022-03-16
XYMSymbolnative0.17480.168687-3.50%0.1357-22.37%0.1933✓0.72388k2022-03-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.61554.4545-3.49%4.1763-9.52%0.0229✓1.22349k2022-03-16
MANADecentralandEthereum2.84382.7453-3.46%2.4922-12.36%0.0613✓1.042.8M2022-03-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.940.908201-3.38%0.62-34.04%0.3150✓1.961.0M2022-03-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07080.068438-3.34%0.0732+3.39%0.1051✗1.1119k2022-03-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.44780.432889-3.33%0.3185-28.87%0.2559✓1.502.0M2022-03-16
CBKCobakEthereum2.3412.2633-3.32%2.135-8.80%0.0208✓1.1021k2022-03-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0166210.016086-3.22%0.011683-29.71%0.2803✓1.16535k2022-03-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08680.084046-3.17%0.0703-19.01%0.1318✓1.38674k2022-03-16
MINAMina Protocolnative2.682.5953-3.16%1.86-30.60%0.2893✓1.29390k2022-03-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.17190.166469-3.16%0.1473-14.31%0.0671✓1.6334k2022-03-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.220.5506-3.06%19.73-6.93%0.0112✓1.53375k2022-03-16
XEMNEMnative0.10940.106101-3.02%0.099-9.51%0.0334✓1.0639k2022-03-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.63760.618464-3.00%0.4194-34.22%0.3361✓1.54718k2022-03-16
GTGateEthereum6.65576.4565-2.99%6.5078-2.22%0.0379✗0.883.9M2022-03-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074950.07272-2.97%0.07308-2.49%0.0302✗0.7484k2022-03-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.27420.266045-2.97%0.2051-25.20%0.2070✓1.574.2M2022-03-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.4425.6701-2.91%24.32-8.02%0.0015✓1.552.0M2022-03-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04370.042433-2.90%0.04049-7.35%0.0066✓1.1930k2022-03-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.094360.091625-2.90%0.09466+0.32%0.0717✗1.1551k2022-03-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6314.497-2.89%4.679+1.04%0.0683✗0.84379k2022-03-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,156.2040,950.24-2.86%41,103.10-2.50%0.0369✗0.9851k2022-03-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16260.157954-2.86%0.1519-6.58%0.0039✓1.04470k2022-03-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012190.011846-2.82%0.01117-8.37%0.0060✓1.551.7M2022-03-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.766.573-2.77%6.49-3.99%0.0178✓0.90426k2022-03-16
HIVEHivenative1.04521.0165-2.74%0.8746-16.32%0.0942✓1.651.9M2022-03-16
MOVRMoonriverBase83.6881.386-2.74%51.8123-38.08%0.4018✓1.47315k2022-03-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.562.4906-2.71%2.32-9.38%0.0361✓1.03406k2022-03-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5939720.578046-2.68%0.511443-13.89%0.0832✓1.163.5M2022-03-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1458210.142007-2.62%0.116967-19.79%0.1592✓1.026.7M2022-03-16
SUSHISushiEthereum4.073.9662-2.55%3.12-23.34%0.1928✓1.398.0M2022-03-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013660.013314-2.53%0.01185-13.25%0.0904✓0.7713k2022-03-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.333.2465-2.51%3.975+19.37%0.2318✗0.86502k2022-03-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000029580.000028839-2.50%0.00002273-23.16%0.1901✓1.412.3M2022-03-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.0923-2.48%1.186+5.89%0.1290✗1.38694k2022-03-16
COMPCompoundEthereum123.15120.1231-2.46%110-10.68%0.0439✓1.3059k2022-03-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.28860.28169-2.39%0.2713-5.99%0.0008✓1.13538k2022-03-16
KCSKuCoinnative19.60719.1418-2.37%18.299-6.67%0.0002✓1.3210.2M2022-03-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052260.051021-2.37%0.04945-5.38%0.0164✓1.401.2M2022-03-16
UNIUniswapEthereum10.6210.3685-2.37%9.09-14.41%0.0863✓1.3312.5M2022-03-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.54013.4568-2.35%4.461+26.01%0.2917✗1.082.5M2022-03-16
XLMStellarStellar0.2107090.205775-2.34%0.18936-10.13%0.0483✓1.0321.9M2022-03-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4927.8416-2.28%28.13-1.26%0.0429✗0.961.2M2022-03-16
DASHDashDash103.84101.5499-2.21%98.4-5.24%0.0064✓1.122.0M2022-03-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.941.8981-2.16%1.81-6.70%0.0030✓1.312.2M2022-03-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7531.7156-2.13%1.428-18.54%0.1386✓1.321.1M2022-03-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2591.2323-2.12%1.181-6.20%0.0006✓1.233.2M2022-03-16
AAVEAaveEthereum161.11157.7246-2.10%141.71-12.04%0.0591✓1.418.1M2022-03-16
DODODODOEthereum0.5020.491589-2.07%0.399-20.52%0.1599✓1.444.5M2022-03-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash330.66323.8697-2.05%299.84-9.32%0.0432✓1.008.9M2022-03-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.84590.828636-2.04%0.7237-14.45%0.0974✓1.1212.4M2022-03-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.8480.2014-2.00%74.12-9.43%0.0303✓1.4398.9M2022-03-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.90010.88227-1.98%0.7371-18.11%0.1420✓1.1126.7M2022-03-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV93.7691.9486-1.93%78.23-16.56%0.1309✓0.901.2M2022-03-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2680.26283-1.93%0.2435-9.14%0.0404✓1.061.6M2022-03-16
GITCOINGITCOIN7.1286.9948-1.87%5.736-19.53%0.1884✓0.2938k2022-03-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.20460.200807-1.85%0.2037-0.44%0.0626✗1.423.7M2022-03-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.75561.7239-1.81%2.0762+18.26%0.2246✗1.1467k2022-03-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.029450.028919-1.80%0.02522-14.36%0.1081✓0.856.2M2022-03-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0175.9101-1.78%5.005-16.82%0.1368✓0.8772k2022-03-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,548.7141,797.81-1.76%41,127.97-3.34%0.0178✓1.00642.7M2022-03-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.811.7789-1.72%1.322-26.96%0.2499✓1.382.9M2022-03-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.7520.3987-1.69%17.42-16.05%0.1167✓1.2110.5M2022-03-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.665.5642-1.69%4.14-26.86%0.2595✓1.06590k2022-03-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.4230.8915-1.68%27.36-12.92%0.0858✓1.055.1M2022-03-16
STORJStorjEthereum1.13011.1112-1.68%1.053-6.82%0.0188✓1.03211k2022-03-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.40390.397226-1.65%0.455+12.65%0.1808✗1.338.7M2022-03-16
QTUMQtumQtum6.58036.4732-1.63%6.0075-8.71%0.0256✓1.45130k2022-03-16
XVGVergenative0.011320.01114-1.59%0.009-20.49%0.1657✓1.401.2M2022-03-16
ZECZcashZcash120.62118.7022-1.59%154.1+27.76%0.3024✗1.227.2M2022-03-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.92830.9139-1.55%0.7151-22.97%0.1931✓1.54588k2022-03-16
XECeCashnative0.000081780.000080517-1.54%0.00008028-1.83%0.0357✗1.145.1M2022-03-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.841.8118-1.53%1.08-41.30%0.4773✓1.181.4M2022-03-16
RADRadworksEthereum5.395.3104-1.48%4.47-17.07%0.1354✓1.09682k2022-03-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.71.6754-1.45%1.51-11.18%0.0610✓1.261.3M2022-03-16
LUNATerraTerra 253.9453.1667-1.43%89.17+65.31%0.5658✗1.436.9M2022-03-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.718.4332-1.43%19.04+1.82%0.0787✗1.3634.9M2022-03-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2850.281025-1.39%0.228-20.00%0.1768✓0.9577k2022-03-16
UOSUltraEthereum1.0391.0245-1.39%1.174+12.99%0.1768✗1.202.3M2022-03-16
KSMKusamaHydration167.33165.1795-1.29%130.7-21.89%0.1935✓1.20930k2022-03-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.611.5893-1.29%1.529-5.03%0.0011✓1.171.9M2022-03-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.476.3883-1.26%8.59+32.77%0.3246✗0.84463k2022-03-16
ADACardanoCardano1.051.0368-1.26%0.8393-20.07%0.1731✓1.13115.7M2022-03-16
NANOnanopayBase2.14322.1168-1.23%2.3037+7.49%0.1271✗1.25436k2022-03-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15730.155368-1.23%0.128-18.63%0.1477✓1.363.2M2022-03-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.807090.79726-1.22%0.82098+1.72%0.0808✗1.51299k2022-03-16
TRXTRONTron0.0644840.063735-1.16%0.061066-5.30%0.0128✓0.88327k2022-03-16
SCSiacoinnative0.010330.010216-1.10%0.00895-13.36%0.0973✓1.03483k2022-03-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9090.899089-1.09%0.819-9.90%0.0469✓1.362.4M2022-03-16
ZENHorizenBase41.2740.8223-1.08%38.67-6.30%0.0011✓1.56400k2022-03-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.54810.542237-1.07%0.7347+34.04%0.3499✗1.362.4M2022-03-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.415.2407-1.03%13.23-14.09%0.1059✓1.05483k2022-03-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.4164-0.98%6.66+21.76%0.2335✗0.79404k2022-03-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2253.1945-0.95%3.572+10.76%0.1395✗0.82218k2022-03-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin124.62123.4699-0.92%111.35-10.65%0.0607✓1.2634.8M2022-03-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7590.752072-0.91%0.635-16.34%0.1322✓1.091.6M2022-03-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.09830.097483-0.83%0.0882-10.27%0.0479✓1.541.1M2022-03-16
QNTQuantEthereum121.35120.372-0.81%117.28-3.35%0.0083✗1.017.8M2022-03-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,931.012,909.53-0.73%2,774.89-5.33%0.0093✓1.12572.6M2022-03-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0212380.021093-0.68%0.01695-20.19%0.1771✓1.222.5M2022-03-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08190.081374-0.64%0.0705-13.92%0.1018✓1.23195k2022-03-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06880.068404-0.58%0.0619-10.03%0.0396✓1.7864.3M2022-03-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum56.8256.6455-0.31%50.45-11.21%0.0735✓1.258.8M2022-03-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.227.2032-0.23%6.02-16.62%0.1695✓0.291.2M2022-03-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3640.363432-0.16%0.447+22.80%0.2525✗1.342.3M2022-03-16
SOLSolanaSolana96.4396.2978-0.14%87.82-8.93%0.0491✓1.27179.7M2022-03-16
XVSVenusEthereum9.589.576-0.04%8.55-10.75%0.0676✓1.352.9M2022-03-16
IMXImmutableEthereum2.292.2958+0.25%1.646-28.12%0.2997✗0.973.2M2022-03-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.029760.029899+0.47%0.02106-29.23%0.3114✗1.1510.0M2022-03-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005660.005701+0.72%0.00348-38.52%0.4251✗2.0218.8M2022-03-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.0417.403+2.13%14.44-15.26%0.1273✗1.753.7M2022-03-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.