8=======>

2022-02-12 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1311
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.68%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
76.7%
in alpha space · 85.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.09%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0286320.025296-11.65%0.021474-25.00%0.0828✓1.29111k2022-03-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.9044.3564-11.17%2.368-51.71%0.5519✓0.92909k2022-03-14
PROPropyEthereum2.221.9755-11.02%1.43-35.59%0.1981✓1.991.1M2022-03-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.047410.043646-7.94%0.03625-23.54%0.1402✓0.724.4M2022-03-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.29391.1931-7.79%0.7046-45.54%0.4705✓0.901.8M2022-03-14
STXStacksnative1.521.4161-6.84%1.28-15.79%0.0383✓1.001.1M2022-03-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.5273.2886-6.76%2.033-42.36%0.4255✓0.8830k2022-03-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.1082-6.72%0.104-10.34%0.0232✓1.0072k2022-03-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.0725.3199-6.47%26.83-0.89%0.1294✗1.1471.8M2022-03-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.0718.7964-6.35%16.18-19.38%0.0766✓1.1725.0M2022-03-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57850.543518-6.05%0.4889-15.49%0.0396✓1.061.1M2022-03-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.84221.7323-5.96%2.9+57.42%0.5539✗0.622.9M2022-03-14
FIDABonfidaSolana2.4042.2622-5.90%1.61-33.03%0.2773✓1.0068k2022-03-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.45440.42778-5.86%0.3117-31.40%0.2041✓1.7932.6M2022-03-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.872.7025-5.84%1.952-31.99%0.2361✓1.4219.1M2022-03-14
ORCAOrcaSolana3.032.8545-5.79%2-33.99%0.2930✓1.001.4M2022-03-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03220.030392-5.62%0.0228-29.19%0.1951✓1.47490k2022-03-14
AVTAventusEthereum2.72.5528-5.45%2.3-14.81%0.0415✓1.00779k2022-03-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.894.6262-5.39%3.965-18.92%0.0766✓1.242.6M2022-03-14
CELLCellframeEthereum1.24711.1801-5.37%1.4082+12.92%0.2765✗1.59119k2022-03-14
BANDBandEthereum4.274.0473-5.22%3.366-21.17%0.1060✓1.251.9M2022-03-14
DIADIAEthereum0.960.91041-5.17%0.89-7.29%0.0401✓1.00277k2022-03-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.79743.6015-5.16%3.6677-3.42%0.0789✗0.972.2M2022-03-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.787.3814-5.12%5.44-30.08%0.2819✓0.371.7M2022-03-14
BTTCBTTC0.000002170.00000206-5.05%0.00000175-19.35%0.1005✓1.0014.3M2022-03-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,131.8521,973.00-5.01%18,523.08-19.92%0.1108✓0.967.8M2022-03-14
API3Api3Ethereum4.073.8665-5.00%4.765+17.08%0.2300✗0.341.8M2022-03-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94465.648-4.99%5.8951-0.83%0.0624✗0.31447k2022-03-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0310.4858-4.93%11.32+2.63%0.1215✗0.72660k2022-03-14
FTTFTXEthereum44.1842.1395-4.62%41.47-6.13%0.0583✗1.1832.3M2022-03-14
XTZTezosTezos4.1093.9218-4.55%3.0001-26.99%0.1858✓1.312.4M2022-03-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0442880.042273-4.55%0.039855-10.01%0.0178✓1.228.4M2022-03-14
UMAUMAEthereum6.326.0345-4.52%7.574+19.84%0.2886✗0.981.9M2022-03-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09560.091321-4.48%0.0663-30.65%0.2327✓1.39585k2022-03-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana18.0517.2571-4.39%13.26-26.54%0.2186✓0.71984k2022-03-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.762.6409-4.32%5.312+92.46%0.7839✗1.351.1M2022-03-14
XMRMoneroMonero173.82166.3666-4.29%185.79+6.89%0.1762✗1.051.3M2022-03-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3380.324149-4.10%0.228-32.54%0.2925✓0.9476k2022-03-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.9715.3364-3.97%13.41-16.03%0.0581✓1.2172.0M2022-03-14
MANADecentralandEthereum2.91152.7985-3.88%2.3068-20.77%0.1299✓1.012.8M2022-03-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.79894.615-3.83%4.0362-15.89%0.0564✓1.24399k2022-03-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.5421.683-3.80%18.64-17.30%0.0522✓1.58383k2022-03-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.65010.625385-3.80%0.3858-40.66%0.3856✓1.55743k2022-03-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07170.068991-3.78%0.06877-4.09%0.0661✗1.1017k2022-03-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7864.6054-3.77%4.541-5.12%0.0387✗0.84348k2022-03-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.28380.27316-3.75%0.1945-31.47%0.2415✓1.564.2M2022-03-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.1929.0594-3.74%27.37-9.34%0.0005✓0.96830k2022-03-14
GTGateEthereum6.7586.5052-3.74%6.346-6.10%0.0320✓0.904.0M2022-03-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.9396.6832-3.69%4.522-34.83%0.3261✓1.03407k2022-03-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16720.161202-3.59%0.1527-8.67%0.0116✓1.05470k2022-03-14
CBKCobakEthereum2.3542.2697-3.58%2.098-10.88%0.0115✓1.0722k2022-03-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.940.906589-3.55%0.58-38.30%0.3235✓1.961.1M2022-03-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.184960.178439-3.53%0.1444-21.93%0.1097✓1.6240k2022-03-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0158970.015337-3.53%0.01177-25.96%0.1911✓1.17630k2022-03-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.46040.444543-3.44%0.3223-30.00%0.2269✓1.512.0M2022-03-14
XEMNEMnative0.10860.104892-3.41%0.0947-12.80%0.0358✓1.0636k2022-03-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.4927.5287-3.37%23.42-17.80%0.0662✓1.522.0M2022-03-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6176180.596995-3.34%0.490244-20.62%0.1232✓1.183.5M2022-03-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093770.090652-3.32%0.09014-3.87%0.0614✗1.0750k2022-03-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.60150.581556-3.32%0.3874-35.59%0.2871✓1.901.8M2022-03-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076090.073616-3.25%0.0694-8.79%0.0117✓0.7586k2022-03-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.042350.040986-3.22%0.03912-7.63%0.0242✓1.1330k2022-03-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012760.012351-3.21%0.01143-10.42%0.0196✓1.551.7M2022-03-14
XYMSymbolnative0.17360.168132-3.15%0.1322-23.85%0.1954✓0.72406k2022-03-14
SUSHISushiEthereum4.154.0204-3.12%2.9-30.12%0.2396✓1.398.0M2022-03-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,568.0041,241.09-3.12%39,373.20-7.51%0.0145✓0.9741k2022-03-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002920.000028299-3.09%0.00002203-24.55%0.1614✓1.421.8M2022-03-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1442810.139864-3.06%0.113913-21.05%0.1401✓1.047.0M2022-03-14
MINAMina Protocolnative2.52.4236-3.06%1.67-33.20%0.2907✓1.30390k2022-03-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3123.2111-3.05%4.071+22.92%0.2935✗0.90502k2022-03-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056010.05431-3.04%0.04611-17.68%0.0745✓1.421.2M2022-03-14
AAVEAaveEthereum162.52157.5925-3.03%118.38-27.16%0.1975✓1.419.3M2022-03-14
HIVEHivenative1.0521.0202-3.03%0.8427-19.90%0.0991✓1.471.9M2022-03-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.87440.848-3.02%0.7121-18.56%0.1077✓1.0712.7M2022-03-14
MOVRMoonriverBase85.843983.287-2.98%46.9295-45.33%0.4832✓1.44315k2022-03-14
XLMStellarStellar0.2182180.21176-2.96%0.180075-17.48%0.0969✓1.0424.2M2022-03-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.562.4853-2.92%2.18-14.84%0.0663✓1.03431k2022-03-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013620.013227-2.88%0.01174-13.80%0.0701✓0.7813k2022-03-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.0878-2.87%0.942-15.89%0.0559✓1.40655k2022-03-14
UNIUniswapEthereum10.6410.3383-2.84%8.48-20.30%0.1141✓1.3412.5M2022-03-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8121.761-2.82%1.327-26.77%0.2006✓1.311.1M2022-03-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.676.4881-2.73%6.85+2.70%0.1105✗0.90406k2022-03-14
KCSKuCoinnative19.11118.6031-2.66%18.087-5.36%0.0560✗1.3410.4M2022-03-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.021.9664-2.65%1.69-16.34%0.0693✓1.312.2M2022-03-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.28520.277816-2.59%0.2584-9.40%0.0025✓1.11538k2022-03-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash330.64322.0876-2.59%289.43-12.46%0.0427✓1.028.9M2022-03-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.50793.4194-2.52%4.315+23.01%0.3031✗1.122.5M2022-03-14
COMPCompoundEthereum127.26124.065-2.51%99.59-21.74%0.1390✓1.2959k2022-03-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.1191.796-2.46%75.63-19.64%0.1369✓0.901.3M2022-03-14
GITCOINGITCOIN7.7817.5934-2.41%5.436-30.14%0.3120✓0.3538k2022-03-14
DASHDashDash104.19101.6904-2.40%98.24-5.71%0.0371✗1.142.1M2022-03-14
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2671.237-2.37%1.144-9.71%0.0006✓1.253.2M2022-03-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.031250.030525-2.32%0.02467-21.06%0.1584✓0.876.4M2022-03-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.3479.4729-2.30%68.98-15.20%0.0564✓1.3698.5M2022-03-14
DODODODOEthereum0.5140.502379-2.26%0.369-28.21%0.2172✓1.464.9M2022-03-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.91880.898112-2.25%0.7063-23.13%0.1693✓1.1327.1M2022-03-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.20640.201853-2.20%0.1955-5.28%0.0571✗1.423.7M2022-03-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,244.9741,343.82-2.13%39,674.17-6.09%0.0216✓1.00642.7M2022-03-14
QTUMQtumQtum6.73896.5955-2.13%5.7568-14.57%0.0452✓1.45145k2022-03-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.911.8696-2.11%1.236-35.29%0.3267✓1.392.9M2022-03-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.8218.4244-2.10%17.69-6.00%0.0452✗1.3736.1M2022-03-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25140.24613-2.10%0.2384-5.17%0.0367✗1.091.6M2022-03-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41910.410393-2.08%0.3655-12.79%0.0317✓1.348.7M2022-03-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.8620.4275-2.07%17.46-16.30%0.0809✓1.2110.8M2022-03-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.6731.0163-2.06%25.92-18.16%0.1128✓1.064.9M2022-03-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.46.2681-2.06%8.06+25.94%0.3036✗0.83428k2022-03-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.77251.7363-2.04%2.0564+16.02%0.2394✗1.1273k2022-03-14
XVGVergenative0.011490.011258-2.02%0.00916-20.28%0.1183✓1.401.2M2022-03-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.985.8602-2.00%3.73-37.63%0.3817✓1.12645k2022-03-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.691.6577-1.91%1.336-20.95%0.1365✓1.261.4M2022-03-14
RADRadworksEthereum5.345.239-1.89%4.39-17.79%0.1109✓1.05682k2022-03-14
ZECZcashZcash117.83115.6037-1.89%149.64+27.00%0.3377✗1.277.2M2022-03-14
XECeCashnative0.00008230.000080747-1.89%0.00007592-7.75%0.0113✓1.165.6M2022-03-14
ADACardanoCardano1.05961.0401-1.84%0.8028-24.24%0.1884✓1.12115.7M2022-03-14
LUNATerraTerra 251.9651.0211-1.81%94.79+82.43%0.7091✗1.437.4M2022-03-14
QNTQuantEthereum133.7131.2905-1.80%113.5-15.11%0.0819✓1.027.8M2022-03-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6181.589-1.79%1.459-9.83%0.0124✓1.161.9M2022-03-14
KSMKusamaHydration166.09163.1218-1.79%120.47-27.47%0.2265✓1.22930k2022-03-14
STORJStorjEthereum1.15411.1338-1.76%0.9939-13.88%0.0660✓1.05239k2022-03-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1623.1087-1.69%3.453+9.20%0.1561✗0.81212k2022-03-14
UOSUltraEthereum1.04431.0269-1.67%1.1348+8.66%0.1761✗1.212.3M2022-03-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9165.8172-1.67%4.77-19.37%0.1425✓0.8972k2022-03-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9420.926315-1.67%0.768-18.47%0.1007✓1.382.4M2022-03-14
SCSiacoinnative0.010680.010502-1.66%0.00877-17.88%0.1157✓1.03514k2022-03-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.806940.7941-1.59%0.72186-10.54%0.0010✓1.50311k2022-03-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5620.553637-1.49%0.6427+14.36%0.2323✗1.322.5M2022-03-14
TRXTRONTron0.0634730.062529-1.49%0.060064-5.37%0.0162✗0.90351k2022-03-14
NANOnanopayBase2.17812.1465-1.45%1.7056-21.69%0.1545✓1.20547k2022-03-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin126.78124.9632-1.43%105.58-16.72%0.0872✓1.3035.7M2022-03-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.921.8938-1.36%1.04-45.83%0.5249✓1.191.4M2022-03-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.94010.9274-1.35%0.6963-25.93%0.1897✓1.54672k2022-03-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7450.734988-1.34%0.622-16.51%0.0977✓1.101.6M2022-03-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.937.8311-1.25%5.85-26.23%0.2726✓0.301.1M2022-03-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06820.067369-1.22%0.0558-18.18%0.0787✓1.7557.0M2022-03-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08570.084715-1.15%0.0683-20.30%0.1377✓1.24201k2022-03-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0218880.02164-1.13%0.01619-26.03%0.2132✓1.232.4M2022-03-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.1614.9899-1.12%12.66-16.49%0.1021✓1.06535k2022-03-14
ETHEthereumEthereum2,919.992,888.21-1.09%2,590.23-11.29%0.0382✓1.13572.6M2022-03-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.485.4209-1.08%6.81+24.27%0.2780✗0.79377k2022-03-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.10350.102413-1.05%0.0894-13.62%0.0368✓1.581.2M2022-03-14
ZENHorizenBase40.8940.4781-1.01%38.54-5.75%0.0492✗1.57420k2022-03-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13930.138133-0.84%0.1186-14.86%0.0675✓1.353.2M2022-03-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum59.1858.7675-0.70%47.89-19.08%0.1271✓1.248.8M2022-03-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.370.368047-0.53%0.421+13.78%0.2203✗1.372.1M2022-03-14
IMXImmutableEthereum2.32.2935-0.28%1.651-28.22%0.2676✓0.972.9M2022-03-14
SOLSolanaSolana95.9595.6858-0.28%81.24-15.33%0.0847✓1.26179.7M2022-03-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.033810.033798-0.04%0.01958-42.09%0.4751✓1.139.7M2022-03-14
XVSVenusEthereum8.989.0392+0.66%8.49-5.46%0.0196✓1.312.8M2022-03-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006160.006215+0.89%0.00363-41.07%0.4107✗2.0218.8M2022-03-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.0417.453+2.42%13.52-20.66%0.1456✗1.753.8M2022-03-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.