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2022-01-31 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2306
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+29.36%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.2%
in alpha space · 61.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+14.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.820.853205+4.05%1.164+41.95%0.1092✓1.53490k2022-03-02
SCSiacoinnative0.009940.010244+3.06%0.00957-3.72%0.2051✗1.04588k2022-03-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.546.739+3.04%6.71+2.60%0.0342✗0.231.1M2022-03-02
XVSVenusEthereum7.948.1705+2.90%9.78+23.17%0.0052✓1.332.8M2022-03-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3180.326274+2.60%0.308-3.14%0.2371✗1.361.7M2022-03-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08120.083046+2.27%0.0754-7.14%0.2595✗1.24317k2022-03-02
ZECZcashZcash94.5796.619+2.17%125.91+33.14%0.0867✓1.356.6M2022-03-02
QNTQuantEthereum97.1599.235+2.15%117.95+21.41%0.0343✓1.057.5M2022-03-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.651586+1.81%0.75+17.19%0.1040✗1.861.1M2022-03-02
TRXTRONTron0.0591320.060172+1.76%0.061505+4.01%0.1008✗0.93431k2022-03-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.3853.1514+1.47%55.59+6.13%0.1082✗1.168.0M2022-03-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021420.000021725+1.42%0.00002591+20.96%0.0098✓1.411.6M2022-03-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.1520.4322+1.40%15.16-24.76%0.5421✗1.853.9M2022-03-02
QTUMQtumQtum6.06786.1502+1.36%6.4867+6.90%0.1392✗1.46181k2022-03-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007280.007371+1.25%0.00469-35.58%0.7609✗2.3423.2M2022-03-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.045860.046412+1.20%0.01634-64.37%1.1905✗1.119.2M2022-03-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,491.9338,953.94+1.20%43,912.34+14.08%0.0119✓1.00717.4M2022-03-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24230.245143+1.17%0.2571+6.11%0.1067✗1.171.9M2022-03-02
SOLSolanaSolana99.52100.6781+1.16%100.73+1.22%0.1556✗1.19165.9M2022-03-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9150.925446+1.14%0.917+0.22%0.1907✗1.382.3M2022-03-02
XECeCashnative0.000076330.000077161+1.09%0.00007594-0.51%0.1644✗1.135.8M2022-03-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7310.738306+1.00%0.703-3.83%0.1896✗1.071.7M2022-03-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash285.23287.9994+0.97%320.43+12.34%0.0311✗1.056.8M2022-03-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.4640.468291+0.92%0.397-14.44%0.3495✗1.402.2M2022-03-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.4090.412687+0.90%0.3742-8.51%0.2703✗1.3110.0M2022-03-02
KSMKusamaHydration159.75161.0526+0.82%138.31-13.42%0.3074✗1.181.2M2022-03-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.062377+0.77%0.0775+25.20%0.0439✓1.31564k2022-03-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5673350.571186+0.68%0.570611+0.58%0.1617✗1.223.3M2022-03-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin109.55110.2643+0.65%110.35+0.73%0.1770✗1.3533.8M2022-03-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.83880.844238+0.65%1.6226+93.44%0.4550✓1.51106k2022-03-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.029780.029968+0.63%0.02832-4.90%0.1755✗0.908.7M2022-03-02
ETHEthereumEthereum2,689.722,705.90+0.60%2,948.56+9.62%0.0598✗1.11557.7M2022-03-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5471.5557+0.56%1.59+2.78%0.1375✗1.211.6M2022-03-02
NANOnanopayBase2.13152.1422+0.50%1.8782-11.89%0.2949✗1.24888k2022-03-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.55261.5601+0.48%1.9592+26.19%0.0810✓1.1182k2022-03-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.152.1593+0.43%1.27-40.93%0.7358✗1.562.3M2022-03-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,589.3038,751.18+0.42%44,262.00+14.70%0.0009✓1.0251k2022-03-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11360.113968+0.32%0.1299+14.35%0.0441✗1.333.8M2022-03-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009930.009961+0.31%0.01231+23.97%0.0401✓1.302.1M2022-03-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040450.040569+0.29%0.04078+0.82%0.1424✗1.1229k2022-03-02
ZENHorizenBase4141.1063+0.26%38.92-5.07%0.2692✗1.63626k2022-03-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11643.1241+0.25%3.0297-2.78%0.1790✗1.132.9M2022-03-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.0227.0857+0.24%26.56-1.70%0.2385✗1.662.6M2022-03-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0580.058133+0.23%0.04875-15.95%0.3641✗1.431.7M2022-03-02
COMPCompoundEthereum121.39121.6363+0.20%122.45+0.87%0.1659✗1.3165k2022-03-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.99851.0003+0.18%0.8082-19.06%0.4548✗1.83929k2022-03-02
KCSKuCoinnative18.06518.0875+0.12%20.355+12.68%0.0827✗1.5210.6M2022-03-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.6725.6677-0.01%29.52+15.00%0.0036✓1.093.3M2022-03-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.95040.950256-0.02%0.8204-13.68%0.3019✓1.1834.5M2022-03-02
XVGVergenative0.010220.010216-0.04%0.01037+1.47%0.1612✓1.341.6M2022-03-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.61660.616126-0.08%0.5144-16.57%0.3833✓1.541.2M2022-03-02
HIVEHivenative0.96190.96107-0.09%0.9988+3.84%0.1638✓1.542.0M2022-03-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.18890.188653-0.13%0.197+4.29%0.1337✓1.343.8M2022-03-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.3614.3409-0.13%13.69-4.67%0.1763✓0.99814k2022-03-02
GITCOINGITCOIN7.3187.3074-0.15%6.7-8.44%0.1172✓0.2340k2022-03-02
XEMNEMnative0.10220.102019-0.18%0.1064+4.11%0.0920✓1.0241k2022-03-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.52.4946-0.22%2.43-2.80%0.1601✓1.02754k2022-03-02
CBKCobakEthereum2.2472.2414-0.25%2.298+2.27%0.1186✓1.0923k2022-03-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0210240.02097-0.26%0.01892-10.01%0.2375✓1.023.1M2022-03-02
DASHDashDash94.1893.8594-0.34%100.9+7.14%0.0830✓1.182.9M2022-03-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.266.2384-0.35%7.94+26.84%0.1363✗0.80504k2022-03-02
STORJStorjEthereum1.16481.1603-0.39%1.0742-7.78%0.2118✓1.02352k2022-03-02
IMXImmutableEthereum2.692.6795-0.39%1.464-45.58%0.8092✓1.552.2M2022-03-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.83380.830529-0.39%0.7872-5.59%0.2021✓1.1316.8M2022-03-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1196.0896-0.48%5.551-9.28%0.2053✓0.86118k2022-03-02
UMAUMAEthereum5.955.9213-0.48%8.421+41.53%0.2091✗1.092.1M2022-03-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.852610.848491-0.48%0.73047-14.33%0.3784✓1.74534k2022-03-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.9045.8702-0.57%6.038+2.27%0.1092✓1.04341k2022-03-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.087840.087257-0.66%0.091+3.60%0.1016✓1.0946k2022-03-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.256.2076-0.68%4.65-25.60%0.4135✓0.95892k2022-03-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03520.034948-0.72%0.0268-23.86%0.4589✓1.47617k2022-03-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.681.6663-0.82%1.496-10.95%0.2787✓1.302.1M2022-03-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13610.134956-0.84%0.1595+17.19%0.0377✗0.98312k2022-03-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1416460.140451-0.84%0.133081-6.05%0.1942✓1.077.1M2022-03-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2470.244842-0.87%0.247+0.00%0.1168✓0.9563k2022-03-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.255.204-0.88%5.57+6.10%0.0288✓0.73429k2022-03-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06580.065212-0.89%0.0714+8.51%0.0554✓1.1121k2022-03-02
UOSUltraEthereum1.09031.0803-0.91%1.389+27.40%0.0899✗1.232.4M2022-03-02
BANDBandEthereum3.483.4482-0.91%4.016+15.40%0.0149✓1.272.5M2022-03-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5120.3211-0.92%20.76+1.22%0.1876✓1.59556k2022-03-02
MINAMina Protocolnative2.392.3674-0.95%2.13-10.88%0.2645✓1.21602k2022-03-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0392780.038906-0.95%0.04679+19.13%0.0195✗1.259.4M2022-03-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1997230.197787-0.97%0.193624-3.05%0.1581✓1.0426.2M2022-03-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.079790.078972-1.03%0.07258-9.04%0.1810✓0.7384k2022-03-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.276.2052-1.03%6.43+2.55%0.0790✓0.87529k2022-03-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3591.3449-1.03%1.202-11.55%0.2790✓1.263.5M2022-03-02
AAVEAaveEthereum157.59155.9258-1.06%137.7-12.62%0.3082✓1.4012.7M2022-03-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche69.9269.1725-1.07%83.42+19.31%0.0103✓1.3485.3M2022-03-02
DODODODOEthereum0.4910.485498-1.12%0.468-4.68%0.2392✓1.545.0M2022-03-02
ADACardanoCardano1.05241.0402-1.16%0.9394-10.74%0.2527✓1.14113.2M2022-03-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013310.01315-1.20%0.01235-7.21%0.1807✓0.9014k2022-03-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.3919.1558-1.21%18.61-4.02%0.2131✓1.4050.2M2022-03-02
RADRadworksEthereum5.85.7263-1.27%5.59-3.62%0.1633✓1.061.0M2022-03-02
API3Api3Ethereum3.413.3648-1.33%7.3+114.08%0.7496✗0.191.4M2022-03-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.54920.541664-1.37%0.7291+32.76%0.1213✗1.342.7M2022-03-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6832.6443-1.44%2.99+11.44%0.0784✓1.53986k2022-03-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.2124.842-1.46%30.37+20.47%0.0980✗0.78447k2022-03-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2273.1765-1.57%3.114-3.50%0.1321✓0.85819k2022-03-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.320.9627-1.58%20.73-2.68%0.1714✓1.2212.6M2022-03-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0422.9931-1.61%2.98-2.04%0.1113✓0.81342k2022-03-02
XYMSymbolnative0.18360.180387-1.75%0.149-18.85%0.2805✓0.68495k2022-03-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.27180.266969-1.78%0.2945+8.35%0.0529✓1.15557k2022-03-02
XMRMoneroMonero147.48144.7707-1.84%177.46+20.33%0.0691✗1.021.9M2022-03-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.162.1197-1.87%1.359-37.08%0.6476✓1.544.2M2022-03-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.190160.186593-1.88%0.16542-13.01%0.3332✓1.6224k2022-03-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.12150.119196-1.90%0.0991-18.44%0.3822✓1.501.7M2022-03-02
XTZTezosTezos3.49383.4272-1.91%3.494+0.01%0.1649✓1.402.4M2022-03-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV91.3289.5481-1.94%86.11-5.71%0.1640✓0.951.6M2022-03-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1616.7828-2.20%15.29-10.90%0.2536✓1.2288.8M2022-03-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.71993.6379-2.20%5.9424+59.75%0.4931✗-0.02350k2022-03-02
UNIUniswapEthereum11.7811.51-2.29%10.05-14.69%0.3155✓1.3712.5M2022-03-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1084.0128-2.32%4.505+9.66%0.0093✓0.81367k2022-03-02
FTTFTXEthereum43.5842.4929-2.49%46.16+5.92%0.0797✓1.2337.0M2022-03-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.951.9009-2.52%1.93-1.03%0.1566✓1.302.8M2022-03-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.629.3561-2.74%10.14+5.41%0.0189✓0.75744k2022-03-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8881.8345-2.83%1.548-18.01%0.3338✓1.241.5M2022-03-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0142680.013863-2.84%0.012216-14.38%0.2804✓1.172.7M2022-03-02
SUSHISushiEthereum4.234.1073-2.90%3.41-19.39%0.3702✓1.409.3M2022-03-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.01384.8671-2.93%4.413-11.98%0.2633✓1.26430k2022-03-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.06652.9761-2.95%3.0322-1.12%0.1191✓1.052.0M2022-03-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.32910.318737-3.15%0.2308-29.87%0.5371✓1.634.2M2022-03-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2513.7966-3.18%16.15+13.33%0.0653✗0.70841k2022-03-02
GTGateEthereum6.8676.6384-3.33%6.803-0.93%0.1005✓0.954.2M2022-03-02
LUNATerraTerra 252.1550.3782-3.40%92.43+77.24%0.3838✗1.698.8M2022-03-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.17753.0631-3.60%2.2311-29.78%0.4361✓0.9022k2022-03-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8219.0347-3.96%19.31-2.57%0.1538✓1.2834.3M2022-03-02
MANADecentralandEthereum2.82232.7097-3.99%2.7532-2.45%0.1126✓0.982.8M2022-03-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.357.0551-4.01%6.64-9.66%0.0966✓0.271.8M2022-03-02
MOVRMoonriverBase75.077571.882-4.26%71.55-4.70%0.1723✓1.27410k2022-03-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5490.525307-4.32%0.5665+3.19%0.0786✓1.172.1M2022-03-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.735.453-4.84%3.976-30.61%0.4879✓1.313.2M2022-03-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.273.1025-5.12%2.647-19.05%0.3502✓1.4524.6M2022-03-02
STXStacksnative1.491.4123-5.21%1.25-16.11%0.2538✓1.002.0M2022-03-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43690.412675-5.54%0.5029+15.11%0.0128✓1.602.0M2022-03-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.0726.4607-5.73%32.25+14.89%0.0460✓1.15120.6M2022-03-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,852.8523,238.09-6.50%22,346.94-10.08%0.1634✓0.9416.4M2022-03-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0375420.035028-6.70%0.021073-43.87%0.6927✓1.40172k2022-03-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.049850.045953-7.82%0.03397-31.86%0.4339✓1.005.5M2022-03-02
PROPropyEthereum2.312.1066-8.80%1.82-21.21%0.2780✓1.003.4M2022-03-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.54030.4887-9.55%0.4033-25.36%0.4408✓1.8948.9M2022-03-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.27781.154-9.69%0.7242-43.32%0.5976✓1.003.1M2022-03-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.8871.7017-9.82%2.7751+47.06%0.3933✗0.733.1M2022-03-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1220.109921-9.90%0.116-4.92%0.0779✓1.00141k2022-03-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.3894.728-12.27%2.895-46.28%0.6223✓1.001.4M2022-03-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09750.084229-13.61%0.0655-32.82%0.6011✓2.6524.9M2022-03-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.