2022-01-20 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 140 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1248

140 of 140 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+18.80%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

87.1%

in alpha space · 87.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.40%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (140 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.12	21.3761	+1.21%	16.06	-23.96%	0.2596	✗	1.87	4.1M	2022-02-19
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6721	0.674064	+0.29%	0.4814	-28.37%	0.3214	✗	1.08	2.5M	2022-02-19
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1141	0.111709	-2.10%	0.0963	-15.60%	0.1302	✓	1.29	2.0M	2022-02-19
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	11.36	11.0967	-2.32%	9.99	-12.06%	0.0886	✓	1.17	2.9M	2022-02-19
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0653	1.038	-2.56%	0.8878	-16.66%	0.1289	✓	1.94	1.2M	2022-02-19
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.067694	0.065898	-2.65%	0.063482	-6.22%	0.0239	✓	0.95	486k	2022-02-19
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	132.32	128.7958	-2.66%	110.71	-16.33%	0.1380	✓	0.94	6.7M	2022-02-19
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1782	0.173261	-2.77%	0.1581	-11.28%	0.0819	✓	0.69	573k	2022-02-19
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8203	2.7328	-3.10%	2.071	-26.57%	0.2610	✓	1.16	665k	2022-02-19
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	118.84	114.9796	-3.25%	112.33	-5.48%	0.0046	✓	1.33	8.4M	2022-02-19
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,000.94	2,903.06	-3.26%	2,764.44	-7.88%	0.0338	✓	1.08	485.8M	2022-02-19
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0529	0.051148	-3.31%	0.0593	+12.10%	0.1620	✗	1.00	23.9M	2022-02-19
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.97	7.705	-3.33%	7.27	-8.78%	0.0580	✓	0.01	1.2M	2022-02-19
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.428	0.413202	-3.46%	0.325	-24.07%	0.2213	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-02-19
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.679	1.6206	-3.48%	1.491	-11.20%	0.0669	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-02-19
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018378	0.017736	-3.49%	0.015145	-17.59%	0.1407	✓	1.22	2.7M	2022-02-19
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	26.19	25.2743	-3.50%	20.82	-20.50%	0.1782	✓	1.11	14.5M	2022-02-19
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01227	0.011832	-3.57%	0.01191	-2.93%	0.0252	✓	1.32	2.1M	2022-02-19
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.92	6.6698	-3.61%	5.766	-16.68%	0.1356	✓	0.71	163k	2022-02-19
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.35	2.2633	-3.69%	1.82	-22.55%	0.1992	✓	1.33	3.1M	2022-02-19
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.14	5.91	-3.75%	5.28	-14.01%	0.1033	✓	0.67	505k	2022-02-19
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1484	0.142757	-3.80%	0.1472	-0.81%	0.0485	✗	1.27	4.2M	2022-02-19
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	40,670.97	39,119.25	-3.82%	40,101.94	-1.40%	0.0389	✓	1.00	636.6M	2022-02-19
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,418.10	39,830.66	-3.83%	39,901.00	-3.66%	0.0156	✓	0.98	16k	2022-02-19
SOL	Solana	Solana	127.52	122.5512	-3.90%	91.34	-28.37%	0.2776	✓	1.16	142.2M	2022-02-19
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01207	0.011599	-3.90%	0.0051	-57.75%	0.7881	✓	2.38	23.2M	2022-02-19
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	119.9355	115.2224	-3.93%	84.5568	-29.50%	0.2931	✓	1.16	489k	2022-02-19
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	129.8	124.6912	-3.94%	115.59	-10.95%	0.0567	✓	1.36	30.5M	2022-02-19
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.057	6.7757	-3.99%	6.787	-3.83%	0.0221	✓	1.45	251k	2022-02-19
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.79	2.6785	-4.00%	1.58	-43.37%	0.5096	✓	1.30	2.7M	2022-02-19
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.06885	0.066097	-4.00%	0.05154	-25.14%	0.2294	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-02-19
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002648	0.000025414	-4.03%	0.0000275	+3.85%	0.0979	✗	1.35	1.7M	2022-02-19
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.37	28.1831	-4.04%	28.7	-2.28%	0.0335	✓	1.09	3.3M	2022-02-19
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.6	45.6621	-4.07%	38.13	-19.89%	0.1590	✓	1.51	620k	2022-02-19
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.328	0.314575	-4.09%	0.254	-22.56%	0.2027	✓	0.80	51k	2022-02-19
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.03	1.9467	-4.10%	1.58	-22.17%	0.1936	✓	1.07	2.7M	2022-02-19
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.0964	0.092423	-4.13%	0.08925	-7.42%	0.0186	✓	1.16	34k	2022-02-19
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.36	3.2213	-4.13%	1.98	-41.07%	0.4660	✓	1.47	2.2M	2022-02-19
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0723	0.069306	-4.14%	0.0679	-6.09%	0.0049	✓	1.11	21k	2022-02-19
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	162.17	155.4543	-4.14%	121.25	-25.23%	0.2318	✓	1.19	95k	2022-02-19
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.43	24.3678	-4.18%	30.94	+21.67%	0.2490	✗	0.72	342k	2022-02-19
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.38	7.071	-4.19%	5.92	-19.78%	0.1686	✓	0.64	652k	2022-02-19
XVG	Verge	native	0.01234	0.011822	-4.19%	0.01032	-16.37%	0.1182	✓	1.26	1.8M	2022-02-19
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23	22.0091	-4.31%	17.86	-22.35%	0.1896	✓	1.37	58.5M	2022-02-19
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04537	0.043407	-4.33%	0.04064	-10.43%	0.0504	✓	1.10	24k	2022-02-19
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	69.09	66.0782	-4.36%	54.84	-20.63%	0.1708	✓	1.11	6.3M	2022-02-19
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.90658	0.867036	-4.36%	0.75237	-17.01%	0.1164	✓	1.80	866k	2022-02-19
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2832	0.270763	-4.39%	0.2512	-11.30%	0.0568	✓	1.29	1.9M	2022-02-19
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.939	0.897626	-4.41%	0.749	-20.23%	0.1670	✓	0.99	2.0M	2022-02-19
XEM	NEM	native	0.1095	0.104662	-4.42%	0.1018	-7.03%	0.0127	✓	1.07	41k	2022-02-19
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.272	1.2153	-4.46%	1.132	-11.01%	0.0514	✓	1.39	4.0M	2022-02-19
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0452	0.043176	-4.48%	0.03	-33.63%	0.3447	✓	1.38	1.2M	2022-02-19
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009053	0.000086471	-4.48%	0.00007811	-13.72%	0.0873	✓	1.02	6.5M	2022-02-19
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.89	0.850079	-4.49%	0.85	-4.49%	0.0269	✓	1.91	1.3M	2022-02-19
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03533	0.033736	-4.51%	0.02878	-18.54%	0.1458	✓	0.93	8.3M	2022-02-19
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5001	0.47747	-4.53%	0.4172	-16.58%	0.1165	✓	1.31	10.8M	2022-02-19
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1002	0.095639	-4.55%	0.0784	-21.76%	0.1830	✓	1.12	244k	2022-02-19
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.539	2.4232	-4.56%	2.168	-14.61%	0.0971	✓	1.01	24k	2022-02-19
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.143	1.0908	-4.57%	0.861	-24.67%	0.2170	✓	1.39	2.3M	2022-02-19
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.861	3.6835	-4.60%	3.281	-15.02%	0.1044	✓	0.80	1.1M	2022-02-19
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08157	0.077811	-4.61%	0.07126	-12.64%	0.0775	✓	0.74	56k	2022-02-19
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3945	1.3301	-4.62%	1.0275	-26.32%	0.2454	✓	0.91	402k	2022-02-19
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7088	3.5363	-4.65%	5.7961	+56.28%	0.4934	✗	-0.05	371k	2022-02-19
XMR	Monero	Monero	188.73	179.9406	-4.66%	161.12	-14.63%	0.0964	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-02-19
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.583	3.4146	-4.70%	2.973	-17.02%	0.1284	✓	0.71	523k	2022-02-19
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.9838	3.7965	-4.70%	3.0416	-23.65%	0.2051	✓	1.18	3.9M	2022-02-19
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.026039	0.024808	-4.73%	0.020617	-20.82%	0.1704	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-02-19
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8707	1.7819	-4.75%	1.6691	-10.78%	0.0493	✓	1.14	89k	2022-02-19
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01217	0.011591	-4.76%	0.00967	-20.54%	0.1669	✓	1.02	641k	2022-02-19
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		104.32	99.3254	-4.79%	87.64	-15.99%	0.1116	✓	0.96	1.8M	2022-02-19
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1666	0.158585	-4.81%	0.1444	-13.33%	0.0808	✓	0.91	362k	2022-02-19
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2825	0.2689	-4.81%	0.273	-3.36%	0.0298	✓	1.04	397k	2022-02-19
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.4	7.0428	-4.83%	6.41	-13.38%	0.0833	✓	0.77	638k	2022-02-19
DASH	Dash	Dash	121.15	115.2744	-4.85%	102.42	-15.46%	0.1013	✓	1.20	2.8M	2022-02-19
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	239.61	227.9807	-4.85%	151.15	-36.92%	0.3941	✓	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-19
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	18.34	17.4398	-4.91%	14.06	-23.34%	0.2012	✓	1.01	807k	2022-02-19
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6442	0.612409	-4.93%	0.5576	-13.44%	0.0754	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-02-19
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.731	4.4974	-4.94%	4.472	-5.47%	0.0039	✓	0.68	445k	2022-02-19
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.11	1.0549	-4.97%	0.99	-10.81%	0.0398	✓	1.68	556k	2022-02-19
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0736	0.069942	-4.97%	0.0806	+9.51%	0.1618	✗	1.42	826k	2022-02-19
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.8	2.6606	-4.98%	2.38	-15.00%	0.0974	✓	1.00	855k	2022-02-19
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.155509	0.147574	-5.10%	0.141002	-9.33%	0.0299	✓	1.11	6.5M	2022-02-19
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01551	0.014718	-5.11%	0.01266	-18.38%	0.1391	✓	0.82	21k	2022-02-19
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.432	8.9492	-5.12%	6.873	-27.13%	0.2623	✓	0.12	38k	2022-02-19
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.231498	0.219486	-5.19%	0.204174	-11.80%	0.0575	✓	1.05	24.4M	2022-02-19
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06785	0.064302	-5.23%	0.02516	-62.92%	0.9205	✓	1.26	12.0M	2022-02-19
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	357.74	339.0054	-5.24%	312.05	-12.77%	0.0684	✓	1.03	6.6M	2022-02-19
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	198.37	187.9651	-5.25%	146.18	-26.31%	0.2343	✓	1.22	17.6M	2022-02-19
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	24.39	23.1104	-5.25%	20.48	-16.03%	0.0988	✓	1.56	1.0M	2022-02-19
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2589	1.1921	-5.31%	0.9969	-20.81%	0.1627	✓	1.14	100.6M	2022-02-19
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.715	3.5161	-5.35%	3.6074	-2.90%	0.0452	✓	1.39	3.1M	2022-02-19
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.050637	0.047899	-5.41%	0.059376	+17.26%	0.2318	✗	1.20	8.4M	2022-02-19
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.89	6.517	-5.41%	5.31	-22.93%	0.1923	✓	0.89	1.0M	2022-02-19
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.59	13.7983	-5.43%	15.11	+3.56%	0.1004	✗	0.68	813k	2022-02-19
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2346	0.221801	-5.46%	0.198	-15.60%	0.0944	✓	1.36	4.0M	2022-02-19
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.655547	0.61972	-5.47%	0.594043	-9.38%	0.0259	✓	1.16	2.3M	2022-02-19
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.429	18.3633	-5.49%	19.839	+2.11%	0.1002	✗	1.62	10.7M	2022-02-19
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1313	1.0687	-5.53%	1.1527	+1.89%	0.0908	✗	1.07	2.4M	2022-02-19
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.49	13.6868	-5.54%	10.03	-30.78%	0.2922	✓	1.32	12.4M	2022-02-19
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.1614	1.0967	-5.57%	0.9001	-22.50%	0.1804	✓	1.22	30.5M	2022-02-19
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.35	3.1617	-5.62%	2.42	-27.76%	0.2520	✓	1.09	752k	2022-02-19
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.095	2.9195	-5.67%	2.586	-16.45%	0.0970	✓	1.73	1.1M	2022-02-19
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	7.75	7.3095	-5.68%	5.69	-26.58%	0.2367	✓	0.98	3.9M	2022-02-19
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	77.41	72.9987	-5.70%	50.46	-34.81%	0.3428	✓	1.88	7.7M	2022-02-19
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0699	1.0081	-5.78%	0.9635	-9.94%	0.0251	✓	1.43	3.7M	2022-02-19
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1598	2.9769	-5.79%	3.0659	-2.97%	0.0459	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-02-19
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	79.35	74.7372	-5.81%	85.07	+7.21%	0.1467	✗	1.22	87.3M	2022-02-19
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.682	0.641905	-5.88%	0.489	-28.30%	0.2508	✓	1.51	8.0M	2022-02-19
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6385	2.4822	-5.92%	2.8917	+9.60%	0.1674	✗	1.05	4.3M	2022-02-19
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	30.25	28.4523	-5.94%	25.4	-16.03%	0.0898	✓	1.68	2.7M	2022-02-19
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	20.18	18.9784	-5.95%	15.52	-23.09%	0.1839	✓	1.22	73.6M	2022-02-19
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18914	0.177823	-5.98%	0.15998	-15.42%	0.0835	✓	1.58	6,611	2022-02-19
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0322	6.6109	-5.99%	6.6548	-5.37%	0.0188	✓	0.86	4.3M	2022-02-19
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.68	4.3995	-5.99%	4.93	+5.34%	0.1297	✗	1.13	2.3M	2022-02-19
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.111	1.9835	-6.04%	1.664	-21.17%	0.1594	✓	1.15	1.9M	2022-02-19
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.2113	4.8869	-6.23%	4.2985	-17.51%	0.1110	✓	1.23	443k	2022-02-19
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.78	4.4823	-6.23%	4.37	-8.58%	0.0084	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-02-19
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.96	7.4606	-6.27%	5.08	-36.18%	0.3739	✓	0.74	1.0M	2022-02-19
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0173	0.952869	-6.33%	0.827	-18.71%	0.1274	✓	1.01	22.7M	2022-02-19
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8114	3.568	-6.39%	2.3136	-39.30%	0.4225	✓	0.76	2,257	2022-02-19
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.81	5.4363	-6.43%	3.87	-33.39%	0.3215	✓	1.30	17.0M	2022-02-19
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.8682	0.811264	-6.56%	0.5475	-36.94%	0.3734	✓	1.41	1.4M	2022-02-19
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.98	23.3364	-6.58%	20	-19.94%	0.1340	✓	1.44	34.3M	2022-02-19
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.17	42.1337	-6.72%	42.78	-5.29%	0.0310	✓	1.12	24.7M	2022-02-19
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.19	3.9066	-6.76%	7.47	+78.28%	0.6621	✗	0.99	471k	2022-02-19
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.09	9.4002	-6.84%	9.9	-1.88%	0.0623	✓	0.75	800k	2022-02-19
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.481	6.9445	-7.17%	6.265	-16.25%	0.0848	✓	1.29	301k	2022-02-19
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,414.30	29,154.97	-7.19%	21,669.76	-31.02%	0.2870	✓	0.69	21.5M	2022-02-19
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.06	2.8368	-7.30%	1.57	-48.69%	0.5733	✓	1.30	7.8M	2022-02-19
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0839	1.0039	-7.38%	1.8854	+73.95%	0.6445	✗	1.01	108k	2022-02-19
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5815	1.4646	-7.39%	1.9802	+25.21%	0.3134	✗	0.84	1.3M	2022-02-19
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	9.77	9.0287	-7.59%	3.675	-62.38%	0.8848	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-19
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5606	0.51754	-7.68%	0.4201	-25.06%	0.1890	✓	1.39	2.6M	2022-02-19
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5776	0.5309	-8.09%	0.5485	-5.04%	0.0520	✓	1.38	1.7M	2022-02-19
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.97	3.6342	-8.46%	2.81	-29.22%	0.2366	✓	1.46	32.4M	2022-02-19
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3693	0.337283	-8.67%	0.247	-33.12%	0.2903	✓	1.51	4.3M	2022-02-19
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.97	35.5328	-8.82%	26.69	-31.51%	0.2727	✓	0.96	104.1M	2022-02-19
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.52	8.6762	-8.86%	6.99	-26.58%	0.2136	✓	0.18	3.1M	2022-02-19
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.07094	0.064005	-9.78%	0.02609	-63.22%	0.8833	✓	1.00	682k	2022-02-19
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.757	0.68209	-9.90%	0.419	-44.65%	0.4620	✓	1.80	46.2M	2022-02-19

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.