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2022-01-18 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1703
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.92%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
85.6%
in alpha space · 91.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.91540.817528-10.69%0.4073-55.51%0.6185✓1.7748.9M2022-02-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0760240.068032-10.51%0.026932-64.57%0.8824✓1.001.1M2022-02-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.4110.3434-9.35%7.1-37.77%0.3697✓0.152.8M2022-02-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.40920.371463-9.22%0.2558-37.49%0.3073✓1.494.1M2022-02-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.2735.0955-8.30%28.08-26.63%0.1802✓0.9798.5M2022-02-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.60270.553548-8.16%0.5558-7.78%0.0654✓1.391.5M2022-02-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.564.1908-8.10%2.91-36.18%0.3028✓1.4032.4M2022-02-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.60930.561071-7.92%0.4344-28.71%0.1947✓1.382.7M2022-02-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.543.279-7.37%1.69-52.26%0.6061✓1.288.5M2022-02-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,596.4130,321.40-6.98%22,441.70-31.15%0.2708✓0.6822.2M2022-02-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03520.962975-6.98%1.4805+43.02%0.4780✗1.08108k2022-02-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.253.0239-6.96%1.66-48.92%0.5450✓1.242.8M2022-02-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.644.3201-6.89%5+7.76%0.1884✗0.95471k2022-02-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.95930.893429-6.87%0.6239-34.96%0.2971✓1.401.5M2022-02-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.788.1805-6.83%5.45-37.93%0.3742✓0.72995k2022-02-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.94295.5509-6.60%4.3951-26.04%0.1796✓1.22457k2022-02-17
HIVEHivenative1.21491.1361-6.49%1.0138-16.55%0.0520✓1.403.7M2022-02-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.349.6776-6.41%10.24-0.97%0.0896✗0.75872k2022-02-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.0931.9311-6.33%25.54-25.08%0.1498✓1.662.7M2022-02-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.197790.185497-6.22%0.16982-14.14%0.0188✓1.576,4462022-02-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3783.1702-6.15%2.668-21.02%0.0961✓1.731.2M2022-02-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.10151.0349-6.05%0.8222-25.36%0.1865✓0.9823.2M2022-02-17
LUNATerraTerra 280.4975.7104-5.94%50.27-37.55%0.3263✓1.887.6M2022-02-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos76.5861-5.91%6.499-7.16%0.0441✓1.30271k2022-02-17
SUSHISushiEthereum6.215.8442-5.89%3.95-36.39%0.3345✓1.3017.7M2022-02-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.0280.9736-5.87%88.28+2.63%0.1390✗1.19100.4M2022-02-17
FTTFTXEthereum44.9742.343-5.84%43.72-2.78%0.0813✗1.1223.6M2022-02-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2772.1448-5.81%1.741-23.54%0.1587✓1.132.0M2022-02-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.3827.6809-5.78%19.86-32.40%0.2696✓1.4134.3M2022-02-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4731.3883-5.75%2.2781+54.66%0.5328✗0.851.1M2022-02-17
MANADecentralandEthereum2.8592.6964-5.68%3.0801+7.74%0.1786✗1.034.6M2022-02-17
RADRadworksEthereum7.447.0174-5.68%5.54-25.54%0.1975✓0.881.1M2022-02-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.034.7445-5.68%4.59-8.75%0.0198✓1.203.2M2022-02-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.9821.6771-5.67%15.6-32.11%0.2761✓1.2072.8M2022-02-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.31791.2434-5.66%0.8983-31.84%0.2729✓1.1830.5M2022-02-17
DODODODOEthereum0.7390.697317-5.64%0.493-33.29%0.2809✓1.498.0M2022-02-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.2590.244562-5.57%0.2015-22.20%0.1346✓1.334.0M2022-02-17
AAVEAaveEthereum232.45219.5374-5.56%152.99-34.18%0.3083✓1.1917.6M2022-02-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.012740.012034-5.54%0.0054-57.61%0.6943✓2.4223.7M2022-02-17
XTZTezosTezos4.11623.8894-5.51%3.6686-10.87%0.0023✓1.373.3M2022-02-17
ADACardanoCardano1.45891.379-5.47%1.0203-30.06%0.2520✓1.1198.5M2022-02-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.22333.0472-5.46%3.3132+2.79%0.1358✗1.182.3M2022-02-17
UOSUltraEthereum1.2361.1688-5.44%1.2511+1.22%0.1147✗1.062.6M2022-02-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7200570.680995-5.42%0.62107-13.75%0.0413✓1.152.4M2022-02-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3760.3559-5.35%0.268-28.72%0.2493✓0.7847k2022-02-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.8426.3558-5.33%21.3-23.49%0.1445✓1.551.0M2022-02-17
GITCOINGITCOIN11.38210.7758-5.33%7.107-37.56%0.4125✓0.0844k2022-02-17
MINAMina Protocolnative3.453.2668-5.31%2.56-25.80%0.1957✓1.09811k2022-02-17
GTGateEthereum7.04646.6728-5.30%6.58-6.62%0.0240✓0.864.1M2022-02-17
BANDBandEthereum5.054.7832-5.28%4.44-12.08%0.0254✓1.112.1M2022-02-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.08033.8653-5.27%3.4641-15.10%0.0765✓0.752,2572022-02-17
UNIUniswapEthereum15.9815.146-5.22%10.41-34.86%0.3170✓1.3112.4M2022-02-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0520760.049373-5.19%0.051055-1.96%0.0867✗1.209.0M2022-02-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016790.015922-5.17%0.01258-25.07%0.2029✓0.7423k2022-02-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.31280.296714-5.14%0.2746-12.21%0.0319✓1.03397k2022-02-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.281.2143-5.14%1.07-16.41%0.0529✓1.66556k2022-02-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.5618.5618-5.10%14.58-25.46%0.1946✓1.06841k2022-02-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.08161.9757-5.09%1.6695-19.80%0.1191✓1.1189k2022-02-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0271640.025811-4.98%0.020359-25.05%0.1919✓1.035.2M2022-02-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1651550.156933-4.98%0.138407-16.20%0.0771✓1.106.0M2022-02-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08080.076782-4.97%0.0825+2.10%0.1335✗1.40990k2022-02-17
KCSKuCoinnative20.37119.3596-4.97%19.71-3.24%0.0891✗1.6110.7M2022-02-17
UMAUMAEthereum7.947.5488-4.93%6.03-24.06%0.1818✓0.973.9M2022-02-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.980.931858-4.91%0.94-4.08%0.0932✗1.911.5M2022-02-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7414.0189-4.89%15.35+4.14%0.1209✗0.68916k2022-02-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9364.6953-4.88%4.567-7.48%0.0020✓0.67469k2022-02-17
IMXImmutableEthereum3.723.542-4.78%2.13-42.74%0.4446✓1.452.2M2022-02-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash381.47363.2338-4.78%313.15-17.91%0.1035✓1.027.0M2022-02-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.11973.9258-4.71%3.227-21.67%0.1403✓1.264.1M2022-02-17
SCSiacoinnative0.01330.012675-4.70%0.00987-25.79%0.2060✓1.00654k2022-02-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088430.084295-4.68%0.07416-16.14%0.0958✓0.7350k2022-02-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31290.298289-4.67%0.2525-19.30%0.1100✓1.282.0M2022-02-17
XLMStellarStellar0.2539950.242226-4.63%0.202261-20.37%0.1346✓1.0324.4M2022-02-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.00430.958106-4.60%0.76017-24.31%0.1525✓1.78896k2022-02-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.817.4547-4.55%6.42-17.80%0.1156✓0.77652k2022-02-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68160.65061-4.55%0.542-20.48%0.1259✓1.283.5M2022-02-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1173.93-4.54%3.268-20.62%0.1494✓0.791.1M2022-02-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04990.047635-4.54%0.0309-38.08%0.3723✓1.371.3M2022-02-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.022.8837-4.51%2.47-18.21%0.1111✓0.99891k2022-02-17
DASHDashDash130.54124.6866-4.48%104.76-19.75%0.1214✓1.192.8M2022-02-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2731.2172-4.38%0.894-29.77%0.2482✓1.372.4M2022-02-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV108.41103.663-4.38%87.71-19.09%0.1248✓0.961.9M2022-02-17
XMRMoneroMonero204.44195.5153-4.37%163.89-19.83%0.1328✓0.993.1M2022-02-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07960.076133-4.36%0.0698-12.31%0.0385✓1.0921k2022-02-17
KSMKusamaHydration253.4242.3768-4.35%155.14-38.78%0.3935✓1.191.4M2022-02-17
MOVRMoonriverBase126.385120.913-4.33%85.9444-32.00%0.2916✓1.13489k2022-02-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1050.100461-4.32%0.0849-19.14%0.1186✓1.12244k2022-02-17
QTUMQtumQtum7.83077.493-4.31%7.015-10.42%0.0023✓1.44263k2022-02-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.55021.4835-4.30%1.0731-30.78%0.2849✓0.88423k2022-02-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.67093.5149-4.25%5.5502+51.19%0.4540✗-0.06361k2022-02-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.8670.7368-4.23%56.37-23.68%0.1793✓1.086.4M2022-02-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.038870.037231-4.22%0.02995-22.95%0.1774✓0.918.4M2022-02-17
ZENHorizenBase52.3250.1371-4.17%36.74-29.78%0.2449✓1.49642k2022-02-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0080.966154-4.15%0.742-26.39%0.2209✓0.972.2M2022-02-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.798.4259-4.14%7.46-15.13%0.1225✓-0.021.3M2022-02-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.048140.046153-4.13%0.04103-14.77%0.0692✓1.1023k2022-02-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17490.167747-4.09%0.1536-12.18%0.0477✓0.91397k2022-02-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.6431.3175-4.05%29.43-9.83%0.0148✓1.073.0M2022-02-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3481.2934-4.05%1.142-15.28%0.0639✓1.373.8M2022-02-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4990.478827-4.04%0.334-33.07%0.3024✓1.311.8M2022-02-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.53090.509709-3.99%0.4369-17.71%0.0962✓1.3111.7M2022-02-17
XECeCashnative0.000095650.000091835-3.99%0.00007849-17.94%0.1121✓1.016.5M2022-02-17
XVGVergenative0.013220.012693-3.99%0.0107-19.06%0.1158✓1.242.0M2022-02-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.075140.072146-3.98%0.05215-30.60%0.2615✓1.432.3M2022-02-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.6912.584-3.97%2.231-17.09%0.1069✓0.9125k2022-02-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.105410.101257-3.94%0.0902-14.43%0.0653✓1.1430k2022-02-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.797.4847-3.92%6.03-22.59%0.1881✓0.63680k2022-02-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.2626.1959-3.90%26.61-2.38%0.0471✗0.71353k2022-02-17
XEMNEMnative0.11420.109797-3.86%0.1047-8.32%0.0008✓1.0643k2022-02-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014250.013709-3.80%0.01178-17.33%0.0936✓1.312.1M2022-02-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7273.5858-3.79%3.08-17.36%0.1208✓0.71526k2022-02-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028110.000027053-3.76%0.00002821+0.36%0.1017✗1.351.8M2022-02-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.064790.062377-3.72%0.02758-57.43%0.7617✓1.2312.4M2022-02-17
SOLSolanaSolana141.35136.153-3.68%93.56-33.81%0.3250✓1.14152.8M2022-02-17
COMPCompoundEthereum178.35171.814-3.66%123.7-30.64%0.2768✓1.17100k2022-02-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,495.4040,957.19-3.62%40,651.20-4.34%0.0362✓0.9914k2022-02-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1524.2552-3.56%18.16-27.79%0.2296✓1.3560.5M2022-02-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.3557.0956-3.53%6.1-17.06%0.1203✓0.70170k2022-02-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.2064-3.48%5.36-16.64%0.1174✓0.66564k2022-02-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin141.53136.6972-3.41%116.39-17.76%0.1011✓1.3531.1M2022-02-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15410.148966-3.33%0.1568+1.75%0.1071✗1.264.2M2022-02-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0194690.018828-3.29%0.015816-18.76%0.1201✓1.232.7M2022-02-17
ZECZcashZcash131.97127.6395-3.28%113.58-13.93%0.0596✓1.2910.6M2022-02-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.12930.125132-3.22%0.0969-25.06%0.1989✓1.282.1M2022-02-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.192.1201-3.19%1.65-24.66%0.2034✓1.072.7M2022-02-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.86480.837255-3.19%0.5382-37.77%0.3964✓1.032.6M2022-02-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,369.7441,022.64-3.18%40,536.73-4.33%0.0323✗1.00636.6M2022-02-17
LRCLoopringEthereum1.16121.1258-3.05%0.883-23.96%0.1582✓1.921.3M2022-02-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06310.061198-3.01%0.0608-3.65%0.0377✗1.0024.6M2022-02-17
QNTQuantEthereum146.04141.6443-3.01%119.39-18.25%0.1298✓0.936.7M2022-02-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7941.7407-2.97%1.541-14.10%0.0707✓1.162.0M2022-02-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.4827.6455-2.93%20.54-27.88%0.2489✓1.0915.1M2022-02-17
ETHEthereumEthereum3,160.813,070.01-2.87%2,893.56-8.46%0.0117✓1.07496.9M2022-02-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.552.4797-2.76%1.9-25.49%0.2078✓1.323.2M2022-02-17
XYMSymbolnative0.18640.181605-2.57%0.1642-11.91%0.0708✓0.68577k2022-02-17
NANOnanopayBase2.92482.8545-2.40%2.1008-28.17%0.2561✓1.14665k2022-02-17
XVSVenusEthereum13.0412.7312-2.37%11.44-12.27%0.0565✓1.142.7M2022-02-17
TRXTRONTron0.0684190.067035-2.02%0.062402-8.79%0.0296✓0.95494k2022-02-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum23.423.2431-0.67%15.78-32.56%0.3048✓1.863.9M2022-02-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.