2022-01-11 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2386

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+21.63%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

76.3%

in alpha space · 74.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+1.81%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6826	0.605171	-11.34%	0.5138	-24.73%	0.1957	✓	1.79	38.7M	2022-02-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6261	0.558391	-10.81%	0.5753	-8.11%	0.0037	✓	1.45	736k	2022-02-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.766	3.3639	-10.68%	2.821	-25.09%	0.2083	✓	1.80	1.2M	2022-02-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.086423	0.078006	-9.74%	0.035501	-58.92%	0.8052	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.71	35.2931	-8.83%	29.1	-24.83%	0.2094	✓	0.92	65.3M	2022-02-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.23	10.3967	-7.42%	8.52	-24.13%	0.2014	✓	0.13	2.8M	2022-02-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,768.96	30,718.73	-6.26%	24,454.91	-25.37%	0.2395	✓	0.64	26.4M	2022-02-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.61	4.3373	-5.91%	3.2	-30.59%	0.3294	✓	1.41	30.4M	2022-02-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3228	0.304589	-5.64%	0.3045	-5.67%	0.0183	✓	1.00	397k	2022-02-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.57	69.902	-4.99%	52.32	-28.88%	0.3077	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-02-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.67	9.1958	-4.90%	6.43	-33.51%	0.3701	✓	0.68	1.2M	2022-02-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9312	2.7929	-4.72%	3.1401	+7.13%	0.0992	✗	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	165.565	157.7723	-4.71%	94.3677	-43.00%	0.5342	✓	1.13	540k	2022-02-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.45	32.9126	-4.46%	21.59	-37.33%	0.4467	✓	1.39	29.9M	2022-02-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01458	0.013943	-4.37%	0.00696	-52.26%	0.7372	✓	2.36	26.8M	2022-02-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.203	10.7164	-4.34%	8.495	-24.17%	0.2335	✓	0.07	56k	2022-02-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	89.66	85.9657	-4.12%	91.18	+1.70%	0.0381	✓	1.16	115.7M	2022-02-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.57	3.423	-4.12%	2.07	-42.02%	0.5256	✓	1.26	9.3M	2022-02-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3709	1.3177	-3.88%	1.874	+36.70%	0.3366	✗	0.87	922k	2022-02-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.84	35.4251	-3.84%	33.86	-8.09%	0.0747	✓	1.64	2.8M	2022-02-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1857	3.0645	-3.80%	3.654	+14.70%	0.1542	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.064925	0.062538	-3.68%	0.050395	-22.38%	0.2380	✓	1.23	7.3M	2022-02-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.311	2.2286	-3.56%	1.987	-14.02%	0.1343	✓	1.09	1.9M	2022-02-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3102	1.2643	-3.51%	1.1096	-15.31%	0.1554	✓	1.39	4.5M	2022-02-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	26.6	25.6756	-3.48%	17.51	-34.17%	0.4041	✓	1.19	70.9M	2022-02-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4467	1.3967	-3.46%	0.9822	-32.11%	0.3727	✓	1.15	32.1M	2022-02-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.077	0.074412	-3.36%	0.0744	-3.38%	0.0181	✓	1.00	30.6M	2022-02-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4129	6.2011	-3.30%	6.9043	+7.66%	0.0922	✗	0.85	3.7M	2022-02-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.93	2.8339	-3.28%	2.07	-29.35%	0.3356	✓	1.19	3.2M	2022-02-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.65	8.3697	-3.24%	6.28	-27.40%	0.3044	✓	0.95	4.4M	2022-02-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.141	1.1049	-3.16%	0.9488	-16.84%	0.1699	✓	0.98	23.2M	2022-02-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17303	0.167752	-3.05%	0.2098	+21.25%	0.1957	✗	1.56	5,360	2022-02-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.61	3.5019	-2.99%	2.59	-28.25%	0.3261	✓	1.36	2.4M	2022-02-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.45	3.3552	-2.75%	2.76	-20.00%	0.2142	✓	1.05	715k	2022-02-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0548	1.0264	-2.69%	0.88264	-16.32%	0.1828	✓	1.78	1.0M	2022-02-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.814	4.6845	-2.69%	4.61	-4.24%	0.0278	✓	0.65	481k	2022-02-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5924	1.5501	-2.66%	1.2595	-20.91%	0.2231	✓	0.86	610k	2022-02-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9389	0.914303	-2.62%	0.6635	-29.33%	0.3366	✓	0.89	3.1M	2022-02-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2365	1.2043	-2.60%	1.2095	-2.18%	0.0141	✓	1.02	3.3M	2022-02-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.221	8.01	-2.57%	6.466	-21.35%	0.2260	✓	0.66	221k	2022-02-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029265	0.028527	-2.52%	0.023319	-20.32%	0.2201	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-02-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8424	3.7481	-2.45%	3.5386	-7.91%	0.0710	✓	0.75	3,116	2022-02-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.19	9.9406	-2.45%	10.6	+4.02%	0.0508	✗	0.75	994k	2022-02-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.99	6.8196	-2.44%	4.41	-36.91%	0.4594	✓	1.31	18.2M	2022-02-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7323	3.6414	-2.44%	6.1336	+64.34%	0.5229	✗	-0.08	371k	2022-02-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1471	0.143575	-2.40%	0.1163	-20.94%	0.2330	✓	1.24	2.1M	2022-02-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6511	0.635638	-2.37%	0.6038	-7.26%	0.0739	✓	1.25	4.4M	2022-02-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.076	0.074223	-2.34%	0.076	+0.00%	0.0042	✓	1.08	19k	2022-02-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.01386	0.013538	-2.32%	0.01219	-12.05%	0.1267	✓	1.22	2.1M	2022-02-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.025	1.0017	-2.27%	0.7205	-29.71%	0.3545	✓	1.39	1.6M	2022-02-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.382	4.2829	-2.26%	3.584	-18.21%	0.1924	✓	0.79	1.1M	2022-02-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1025	2.0562	-2.21%	1.8836	-10.42%	0.1077	✓	1.12	83k	2022-02-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5799	0.567214	-2.19%	0.5118	-11.74%	0.1271	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-02-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.85	138.8008	-2.15%	111.66	-21.28%	0.2395	✓	1.22	2.2M	2022-02-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	193.01	188.9128	-2.12%	179.36	-7.07%	0.0705	✓	1.03	3.0M	2022-02-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	56.11	54.9626	-2.04%	45.02	-19.76%	0.2264	✓	1.49	736k	2022-02-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.73	9.5373	-1.98%	7.67	-21.17%	0.2169	✓	-0.06	1.6M	2022-02-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.78	14.4891	-1.97%	18.01	+21.85%	0.2055	✗	0.67	1.1M	2022-02-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8921	0.875105	-1.91%	1.3202	+47.99%	0.3965	✗	0.82	122k	2022-02-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.516	0.506296	-1.88%	0.408	-20.93%	0.2390	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-02-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4915	1.4635	-1.88%	1.0404	-30.24%	0.3754	✓	1.91	1.4M	2022-02-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.01	7.864	-1.82%	5.69	-28.96%	0.3396	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.818	3.7487	-1.82%	3.241	-15.11%	0.1580	✓	0.70	526k	2022-02-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01644	0.016143	-1.80%	0.01369	-16.73%	0.1774	✓	0.70	27k	2022-02-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3363	0.330425	-1.75%	0.3093	-8.03%	0.0931	✓	1.50	3.8M	2022-02-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.328	5.2355	-1.74%	5.0692	-4.86%	0.0538	✓	1.20	446k	2022-02-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.094	6.9732	-1.70%	7.756	+9.33%	0.0833	✗	1.29	271k	2022-02-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.98	15.7098	-1.69%	11.41	-28.60%	0.3431	✓	1.30	13.1M	2022-02-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04765	0.04685	-1.68%	0.04451	-6.59%	0.0714	✓	1.12	17k	2022-02-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.14	5.0559	-1.64%	3.9	-24.12%	0.2795	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-02-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.747	0.735161	-1.58%	0.562	-24.77%	0.2945	✓	1.44	7.7M	2022-02-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002762	0.000027199	-1.52%	0.00003081	+11.55%	0.1023	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-02-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2641	0.260135	-1.50%	0.2242	-15.11%	0.1724	✓	1.32	4.6M	2022-02-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2062	0.203164	-1.47%	0.1806	-12.42%	0.1301	✓	0.69	428k	2022-02-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.263177	0.259462	-1.41%	0.23172	-11.95%	0.1314	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.1	7.9861	-1.41%	6.84	-15.56%	0.1688	✓	0.77	741k	2022-02-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.39	20.107	-1.39%	16.26	-20.26%	0.2310	✓	1.04	1.0M	2022-02-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.378	19.1146	-1.36%	20.473	+5.65%	0.0397	✗	1.61	13.0M	2022-02-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.38	139.5227	-1.31%	124.85	-11.69%	0.1348	✓	1.32	10.9M	2022-02-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.8	2.7637	-1.30%	2.16	-22.86%	0.2702	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.045	1.0322	-1.22%	0.845	-19.14%	0.2173	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-02-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.96	0.948419	-1.21%	1	+4.17%	0.0218	✗	1.73	1.6M	2022-02-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09134	0.090279	-1.16%	0.0828	-9.35%	0.0990	✓	0.70	52k	2022-02-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		110.22	108.9424	-1.16%	98.35	-10.77%	0.1194	✓	0.95	2.6M	2022-02-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.765	2.7333	-1.15%	2.505	-9.40%	0.1034	✓	0.90	29k	2022-02-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.54	3.5017	-1.08%	4.48	+26.55%	0.2341	✗	0.68	486k	2022-02-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01475	0.014596	-1.04%	0.01337	-9.36%	0.1112	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-02-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.78	6.7124	-1.00%	5.75	-15.19%	0.1665	✓	0.65	645k	2022-02-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	29.43	29.1429	-0.98%	23.69	-19.50%	0.2345	✓	1.52	1.0M	2022-02-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018697	0.018516	-0.97%	0.017169	-8.17%	0.0974	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-02-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04184	0.041455	-0.92%	0.03045	-27.22%	0.3248	✓	0.91	8.4M	2022-02-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1605	0.159026	-0.92%	0.1482	-7.66%	0.0926	✓	1.23	4.2M	2022-02-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.08	5.0355	-0.88%	5.23	+2.95%	0.0172	✗	1.15	3.3M	2022-02-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.361	0.357846	-0.87%	0.281	-22.16%	0.2549	✓	0.73	39k	2022-02-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.2	3.1724	-0.86%	2.7	-15.62%	0.1789	✓	0.98	977k	2022-02-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3101	0.307566	-0.82%	0.2774	-10.54%	0.1259	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.42	28.1887	-0.81%	28.06	-1.27%	0.0172	✓	0.70	363k	2022-02-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	39.78	39.467	-0.79%	44.55	+11.99%	0.1015	✗	1.10	20.7M	2022-02-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0824	0.081901	-0.61%	0.1041	+26.33%	0.2151	✗	1.38	1.2M	2022-02-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.1768	4.1516	-0.60%	3.5527	-14.94%	0.1788	✓	1.28	4.2M	2022-02-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0574	0.057077	-0.56%	0.035	-39.02%	0.5131	✓	1.34	1.5M	2022-02-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1145	0.113945	-0.48%	0.1139	-0.52%	0.0192	✓	1.05	67k	2022-02-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07076	0.070439	-0.45%	0.0397	-43.89%	0.5954	✓	1.22	16.9M	2022-02-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.398	1.3917	-0.45%	1.323	-5.36%	0.0750	✓	1.36	5.2M	2022-02-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	169.57	168.8147	-0.45%	140.08	-17.39%	0.2036	✓	0.95	7.5M	2022-02-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.55	25.4444	-0.41%	20.51	-19.73%	0.2392	✓	1.32	70.4M	2022-02-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1752	4.1594	-0.38%	4.1273	-1.15%	0.0320	✓	1.35	4.6M	2022-02-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	140.27	139.751	-0.37%	106.25	-24.25%	0.2940	✓	1.11	194.0M	2022-02-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1879	1.1838	-0.34%	1.1515	-3.06%	0.0475	✓	1.11	95.6M	2022-02-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.718632	0.716221	-0.34%	0.677039	-5.79%	0.0767	✓	1.14	2.6M	2022-02-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10496	0.104619	-0.32%	0.10255	-2.30%	0.0404	✓	1.14	23k	2022-02-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	213.29	212.6099	-0.32%	175.4	-17.76%	0.2134	✓	1.17	17.6M	2022-02-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	26.75	26.6662	-0.31%	18.94	-29.20%	0.3750	✓	1.83	5.0M	2022-02-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	260.77	260.2069	-0.22%	179.15	-31.30%	0.3942	✓	1.17	1.3M	2022-02-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0135	0.013475	-0.18%	0.01138	-15.70%	0.1866	✓	0.98	756k	2022-02-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1102	0.110046	-0.14%	0.0919	-16.61%	0.2000	✓	1.10	304k	2022-02-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8	7.9941	-0.07%	6.86	-14.25%	0.1642	✓	0.62	714k	2022-02-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.273	1.2721	-0.07%	1.029	-19.17%	0.2362	✓	1.34	2.9M	2022-02-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	131.67	131.6664	-0.00%	134.59	+2.22%	0.0022	✓	1.35	35.0M	2022-02-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.71	13.7112	+0.01%	9.7	-29.25%	0.3666	✗	1.14	3.3M	2022-02-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,240.83	3,241.41	+0.02%	3,074.85	-5.12%	0.0718	✗	1.06	591.9M	2022-02-10
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.36	1.361	+0.07%	1.22	-10.29%	0.1394	✗	1.67	738k	2022-02-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.69	29.726	+0.12%	34.39	+15.83%	0.1269	✓	1.05	3.2M	2022-02-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	188.96	189.23	+0.14%	132.68	-29.78%	0.3759	✗	1.17	161k	2022-02-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1778	0.178061	+0.15%	0.1649	-7.26%	0.0932	✗	0.91	463k	2022-02-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5691	0.569955	+0.15%	0.4615	-18.91%	0.2344	✗	1.30	12.5M	2022-02-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	72.75	72.8709	+0.17%	63.35	-12.92%	0.1588	✗	1.05	6.4M	2022-02-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.89	28.9647	+0.26%	23.14	-19.90%	0.2434	✗	1.05	18.5M	2022-02-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009356	0.000093969	+0.44%	0.0000925	-1.13%	0.0337	✗	1.00	6.7M	2022-02-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	369.84	371.5798	+0.47%	341.1	-7.77%	0.1038	✗	1.01	8.5M	2022-02-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.521	7.5671	+0.61%	7.1425	-5.03%	0.0833	✗	1.42	273k	2022-02-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.153722	0.154835	+0.72%	0.151631	-1.36%	0.0408	✗	1.11	5.1M	2022-02-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,770.20	43,166.69	+0.93%	43,566.60	+1.86%	0.0084	✓	0.98	14k	2022-02-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064934	0.065625	+1.06%	0.068608	+5.66%	0.0274	✓	0.95	552k	2022-02-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.86	1.8805	+1.10%	1.719	-7.58%	0.1105	✗	1.15	2.3M	2022-02-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07976	0.080695	+1.17%	0.05799	-27.29%	0.3560	✗	1.43	2.6M	2022-02-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0312	3.0668	+1.18%	2.3689	-21.85%	0.2780	✗	1.10	699k	2022-02-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.15	2.1756	+1.19%	1.8	-16.28%	0.2089	✗	1.08	3.3M	2022-02-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,753.44	43,324.51	+1.34%	43,527.71	+1.81%	0.0133	✓	1.00	754.4M	2022-02-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.