2022-01-10 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1846

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+19.89%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

78.4%

in alpha space · 64.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+6.20%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063485	0.062574	-1.43%	0.069943	+10.17%	0.0543	✗	0.95	552k	2022-02-09
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8841	2.8342	-1.73%	2.4	-16.79%	0.2321	✓	1.09	665k	2022-02-09
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.52	123.8457	-2.11%	140.21	+10.82%	0.0433	✗	1.34	35.1M	2022-02-09
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	25.38	24.8187	-2.21%	21.27	-16.19%	0.2642	✓	1.83	5.4M	2022-02-09
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.18	12.8881	-2.21%	10.06	-23.67%	0.3161	✓	1.14	3.4M	2022-02-09
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.07	2.0231	-2.27%	1.93	-6.76%	0.1118	✓	1.08	3.4M	2022-02-09
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.14	27.4993	-2.28%	24.32	-13.57%	0.1858	✓	1.05	18.5M	2022-02-09
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1815	0.17736	-2.28%	0.1868	+2.92%	0.0129	✓	0.65	410k	2022-02-09
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.785	1.7404	-2.50%	1.832	+2.63%	0.0176	✓	1.15	2.3M	2022-02-09
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018158	0.017655	-2.77%	0.017007	-6.34%	0.1105	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-02-09
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23.72	23.0415	-2.86%	21.97	-7.38%	0.1258	✓	1.30	70.4M	2022-02-09
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1235	1.0908	-2.91%	1.1947	+6.34%	0.0252	✓	1.09	95.6M	2022-02-09
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,083.51	2,991.90	-2.97%	3,246.22	+5.28%	0.0181	✓	1.05	591.9M	2022-02-09
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,824.07	40,580.68	-2.97%	44,416.35	+6.20%	0.0302	✓	1.00	750.1M	2022-02-09
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.73	2.6468	-3.05%	2.28	-16.48%	0.2287	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-09
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0772	0.074833	-3.07%	0.086	+11.40%	0.0789	✗	1.00	33.0M	2022-02-09
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.48	27.6012	-3.09%	33.84	+18.82%	0.1412	✗	1.04	3.2M	2022-02-09
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1582	0.153237	-3.14%	0.1429	-9.67%	0.1442	✓	1.24	4.2M	2022-02-09
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2356	7.0083	-3.14%	7.2042	-0.43%	0.0579	✓	1.42	268k	2022-02-09
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01401	0.013554	-3.25%	0.01509	+7.71%	0.0293	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-02-09
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009039	0.000087429	-3.28%	0.00009721	+7.55%	0.0462	✗	1.00	6.7M	2022-02-09
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09834	0.095056	-3.34%	0.10785	+9.67%	0.0588	✗	1.12	23k	2022-02-09
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.41	6.1951	-3.35%	6	-6.40%	0.0702	✓	0.63	645k	2022-02-09
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9491	0.9171	-3.37%	0.8202	-13.58%	0.1660	✓	0.90	3.2M	2022-02-09
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	182.25	175.9959	-3.43%	144.23	-20.86%	0.2689	✓	1.16	180k	2022-02-09
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.579	3.4555	-3.45%	3.347	-6.48%	0.0726	✓	0.68	514k	2022-02-09
SOL	Solana	Solana	135.89	131.1332	-3.50%	114.04	-16.08%	0.2064	✓	1.11	194.0M	2022-02-09
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06891	0.066493	-3.51%	0.041	-40.50%	0.5573	✓	1.23	16.9M	2022-02-09
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.3037	-3.52%	7.14	-5.68%	0.0592	✓	0.61	714k	2022-02-09
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,624.60	40,129.71	-3.59%	44,492.60	+6.89%	0.0442	✗	0.98	12k	2022-02-09
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0707	0.06814	-3.62%	0.0794	+12.31%	0.0889	✗	1.06	19k	2022-02-09
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.343	0.330457	-3.66%	0.288	-16.03%	0.1808	✓	0.72	38k	2022-02-09
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.24	136.0145	-3.70%	126.05	-10.75%	0.1561	✓	1.33	10.9M	2022-02-09
XMR	Monero	Monero	182.5	175.6921	-3.73%	185.83	+1.82%	0.0054	✓	1.02	2.9M	2022-02-09
XEM	NEM	native	0.1116	0.107421	-3.74%	0.1212	+8.60%	0.0578	✗	1.05	67k	2022-02-09
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.188	1.1425	-3.83%	1.086	-8.59%	0.1306	✓	1.33	2.9M	2022-02-09
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	68.4	65.7582	-3.86%	67.62	-1.14%	0.0341	✓	1.03	6.4M	2022-02-09
XVG	Verge	native	0.01312	0.012607	-3.91%	0.01253	-4.50%	0.0786	✓	1.21	2.1M	2022-02-09
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143133	0.1375	-3.94%	0.159048	+11.12%	0.0800	✗	1.09	4.8M	2022-02-09
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5425	0.521125	-3.94%	0.4877	-10.10%	0.1441	✓	1.29	12.5M	2022-02-09
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0467	0.044854	-3.95%	0.0468	+0.21%	0.0252	✓	1.12	17k	2022-02-09
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6318	0.606695	-3.97%	0.6233	-1.35%	0.0483	✓	1.25	4.4M	2022-02-09
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.33	51.1921	-4.01%	47.83	-10.31%	0.1575	✓	1.49	736k	2022-02-09
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.717	2.6078	-4.02%	2.609	-3.97%	0.0539	✓	0.90	31k	2022-02-09
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.513	4.3308	-4.04%	4.801	+6.38%	0.0649	✗	0.63	474k	2022-02-09
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000267	0.000025609	-4.09%	0.00003298	+23.52%	0.1786	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-02-09
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.36	26.241	-4.09%	28.48	+4.09%	0.0402	✓	0.69	370k	2022-02-09
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.507	7.1955	-4.15%	6.897	-8.13%	0.0807	✓	0.64	231k	2022-02-09
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1739	0.166676	-4.15%	0.1678	-3.51%	0.0482	✓	0.91	479k	2022-02-09
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.327	1.2719	-4.15%	1.43	+7.76%	0.0361	✓	1.35	5.2M	2022-02-09
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.497	0.47619	-4.19%	0.406	-18.31%	0.2369	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-02-09
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	166.33	159.2951	-4.23%	150.18	-9.71%	0.1160	✓	0.95	7.6M	2022-02-09
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	199.9	191.4035	-4.25%	188.2	-5.85%	0.0863	✓	1.16	17.6M	2022-02-09
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.299	0.286234	-4.27%	0.2963	-0.90%	0.0411	✓	1.26	2.3M	2022-02-09
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1409	0.134873	-4.28%	0.1237	-12.21%	0.1607	✓	1.23	2.1M	2022-02-09
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.031	0.986874	-4.28%	0.827	-19.79%	0.2342	✓	0.96	2.2M	2022-02-09
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	363.56	347.7146	-4.36%	346.21	-4.77%	0.0654	✓	1.01	8.5M	2022-02-09
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	242.17	231.5566	-4.38%	192.22	-20.63%	0.2554	✓	1.15	1.3M	2022-02-09
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		105.99	101.3406	-4.39%	101.5	-4.24%	0.0554	✓	0.95	2.6M	2022-02-09
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5156	1.448	-4.46%	1.3519	-10.80%	0.1200	✓	0.85	647k	2022-02-09
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8409	2.7134	-4.49%	3.885	+36.75%	0.2892	✗	1.16	2.5M	2022-02-09
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07934	0.075742	-4.53%	0.05941	-25.12%	0.3292	✓	1.44	2.5M	2022-02-09
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8683	3.6929	-4.54%	3.8968	+0.74%	0.0221	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-02-09
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.108	0.103096	-4.54%	0.0943	-12.69%	0.1557	✓	1.11	296k	2022-02-09
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.253061	0.241419	-4.60%	0.238854	-5.61%	0.0719	✓	1.02	24.0M	2022-02-09
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.61	7.2598	-4.60%	7.18	-5.65%	0.0565	✓	0.76	705k	2022-02-09
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04207	0.040119	-4.64%	0.0312	-25.84%	0.3065	✓	0.92	8.2M	2022-02-09
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.11	36.3232	-4.69%	47.97	+25.87%	0.2127	✗	1.09	20.0M	2022-02-09
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08602	0.081968	-4.71%	0.08573	-0.34%	0.0038	✓	0.68	52k	2022-02-09
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01297	0.012358	-4.72%	0.01205	-7.09%	0.0840	✓	0.98	756k	2022-02-09
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0154	0.014663	-4.79%	0.01324	-14.03%	0.1430	✓	0.68	29k	2022-02-09
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0556	0.052917	-4.82%	0.0337	-39.39%	0.5316	✓	1.34	1.5M	2022-02-09
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	155.6792	148.1606	-4.83%	107.0699	-31.22%	0.3917	✓	1.11	515k	2022-02-09
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.1496	5.8519	-4.84%	7.0423	+14.52%	0.1346	✗	0.84	3.7M	2022-02-09
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.704	2.573	-4.85%	3.083	+14.02%	0.0871	✗	1.56	1.2M	2022-02-09
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.203	3.9971	-4.90%	3.796	-9.68%	0.0987	✓	0.78	1.1M	2022-02-09
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.7258	3.5421	-4.93%	3.8694	+3.85%	0.0434	✓	0.75	3,355	2022-02-09
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0794	0.075467	-4.95%	0.0867	+9.19%	0.0561	✗	1.37	1.2M	2022-02-09
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.11	14.3602	-4.96%	12.33	-18.40%	0.2301	✓	1.29	13.1M	2022-02-09
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.13	2.9745	-4.97%	2.83	-9.58%	0.1090	✓	0.98	977k	2022-02-09
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.01	26.6173	-4.97%	25.8	-7.89%	0.1225	✓	1.52	1.0M	2022-02-09
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0021	1.9024	-4.98%	1.9982	-0.20%	0.0174	✓	1.11	83k	2022-02-09
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.1021	4.8474	-4.99%	5.3633	+5.12%	0.0295	✓	1.19	446k	2022-02-09
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.007	18.0569	-5.00%	20.705	+8.93%	0.0392	✓	1.62	13.0M	2022-02-09
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.251	0.238433	-5.01%	0.2412	-3.90%	0.0676	✓	1.32	4.6M	2022-02-09
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.892833	-5.02%	1.09	+15.96%	0.0945	✗	1.75	1.6M	2022-02-09
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.689086	0.654363	-5.04%	0.706728	+2.56%	0.0087	✓	1.14	2.6M	2022-02-09
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.704	0.668503	-5.04%	0.591	-16.05%	0.2094	✓	1.43	7.7M	2022-02-09
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.5	9.0184	-5.07%	7.48	-21.26%	0.1831	✓	-0.07	1.8M	2022-02-09
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.2	3.0377	-5.07%	2.94	-8.12%	0.0951	✓	1.04	715k	2022-02-09
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7419	3.5517	-5.08%	6.8052	+81.86%	0.6550	✗	-0.08	364k	2022-02-09
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.26	13.5331	-5.10%	18.16	+27.35%	0.2544	✗	0.66	1.1M	2022-02-09
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.04	4.7821	-5.12%	4.17	-17.26%	0.2038	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-02-09
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.468	1.3922	-5.16%	1.0976	-25.23%	0.3534	✓	1.92	1.4M	2022-02-09
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.34	1.2708	-5.17%	1.43	+6.72%	0.0170	✓	1.68	764k	2022-02-09
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.645	10.0896	-5.22%	9.329	-12.36%	0.0815	✓	0.05	56k	2022-02-09
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.88	4.6186	-5.36%	5.84	+19.67%	0.1656	✗	1.15	3.3M	2022-02-09
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.3768	-5.41%	4.04	+13.17%	0.1375	✗	0.70	493k	2022-02-09
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.99938	0.945176	-5.42%	0.94117	-5.82%	0.1112	✓	1.78	1.0M	2022-02-09
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.79	3.5841	-5.43%	2.81	-25.86%	0.3297	✓	1.44	2.4M	2022-02-09
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.37	7.9152	-5.43%	6.66	-20.43%	0.2298	✓	0.95	4.4M	2022-02-09
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.09	18.9972	-5.44%	16.51	-17.82%	0.2029	✓	1.04	1.1M	2022-02-09
DASH	Dash	Dash	148.17	140.0969	-5.45%	114.95	-22.42%	0.2728	✓	1.25	2.1M	2022-02-09
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.027645	0.026131	-5.48%	0.024233	-12.34%	0.1367	✓	1.02	6.3M	2022-02-09
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	69.46	65.6401	-5.50%	57.56	-17.13%	0.1915	✓	1.00	7.2M	2022-02-09
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3128	0.295441	-5.55%	0.3185	+1.82%	0.0151	✓	1.00	397k	2022-02-09
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3749	1.2982	-5.58%	1.9679	+43.13%	0.3634	✗	0.88	922k	2022-02-09
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17081	0.16122	-5.61%	0.23058	+34.99%	0.2635	✗	1.57	4,992	2022-02-09
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.4	6.0397	-5.63%	8.263	+29.11%	0.2378	✗	1.26	271k	2022-02-09
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1319	1.0677	-5.68%	1.2907	+14.03%	0.1294	✗	1.00	3.3M	2022-02-09
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.56	6.1865	-5.69%	4.76	-27.44%	0.3401	✓	1.30	18.2M	2022-02-09
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.167	2.0397	-5.88%	2.16	-0.32%	0.0074	✓	1.08	1.9M	2022-02-09
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0324	3.7931	-5.93%	4.4429	+10.18%	0.0770	✗	1.35	4.6M	2022-02-09
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	84.46	79.4041	-5.99%	90.18	+6.77%	0.0580	✓	1.15	115.7M	2022-02-09
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3624	1.2796	-6.07%	1.0371	-23.88%	0.2787	✓	1.14	32.1M	2022-02-09
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1115	1.0439	-6.08%	1.0216	-8.09%	0.0805	✓	0.98	22.7M	2022-02-09
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8077	0.758096	-6.14%	1.3852	+71.50%	0.5427	✗	1.00	129k	2022-02-09
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.818	2.6387	-6.37%	3.3415	+18.58%	0.1760	✗	1.00	5.5M	2022-02-09
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01395	0.013054	-6.42%	0.00744	-46.67%	0.7050	✓	2.37	26.8M	2022-02-09
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.85	7.3447	-6.44%	6.08	-22.55%	0.2426	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-09
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.84	9.2031	-6.47%	10.91	+10.87%	0.1258	✗	0.74	994k	2022-02-09
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3129	0.29215	-6.63%	0.3218	+2.84%	0.0070	✓	1.49	4.1M	2022-02-09
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,010.24	29,882.59	-6.65%	26,293.98	-17.86%	0.1663	✓	0.64	26.4M	2022-02-09
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.29	31.9953	-6.69%	23.1	-32.63%	0.4102	✓	1.40	28.0M	2022-02-09
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6017	0.561187	-6.73%	0.5665	-5.85%	0.0967	✓	1.76	38.7M	2022-02-09
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.13	2.9177	-6.78%	2.21	-29.39%	0.3547	✓	1.28	3.2M	2022-02-09
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.37	30.8807	-7.46%	33.92	+1.65%	0.0040	✓	1.63	2.8M	2022-02-09
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0287	0.94961	-7.69%	0.7609	-26.03%	0.3060	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-02-09
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	27.98	25.7495	-7.97%	18.7	-33.17%	0.3929	✓	1.21	69.7M	2022-02-09
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.92	8.1969	-8.11%	7.06	-20.85%	0.1891	✓	0.66	1.2M	2022-02-09
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2679	1.165	-8.12%	1.1728	-7.50%	0.0769	✓	1.39	4.5M	2022-02-09
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.55	0.504904	-8.20%	0.5406	-1.71%	0.0128	✓	1.35	2.7M	2022-02-09
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.48	3.1848	-8.48%	2.28	-34.48%	0.4090	✓	1.24	9.3M	2022-02-09
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.32	3.9343	-8.93%	3.5	-18.98%	0.2011	✓	1.40	30.4M	2022-02-09
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.83	34.2762	-9.39%	30.94	-18.21%	0.1576	✓	0.92	57.0M	2022-02-09
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.7	9.6726	-9.60%	9.31	-12.99%	0.0450	✓	0.11	2.8M	2022-02-09
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6249	0.563829	-9.77%	0.6017	-3.71%	0.0234	✓	1.47	650k	2022-02-09
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.081082	0.073061	-9.89%	0.05819	-28.23%	0.3070	✓	1.32	7.3M	2022-02-09
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.08637	0.07716	-10.66%	0.03747	-56.62%	0.7825	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-02-09

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.