2022-01-03 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1959

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+14.87%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.6%

in alpha space · 97.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-20.53%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	13.72	12.1866	-11.18%	7.54	-45.04%	0.4806	✓	-0.00	3.7M	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.17	3.734	-10.46%	2.18	-47.72%	0.3084	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.53	5.8822	-9.92%	3.11	-52.37%	0.3267	✓	1.35	29.3M	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.89	3.5044	-9.91%	1.9	-51.16%	0.3082	✓	1.32	11.2M	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8413	0.76132	-9.51%	0.4666	-44.54%	0.0958	✓	1.71	31.9M	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02216	0.020171	-8.97%	0.00607	-72.61%	0.9712	✓	1.00	29.0M	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.29	35.8231	-8.82%	26.33	-32.99%	0.0994	✓	0.91	43.4M	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.81	11.7059	-8.62%	5.77	-54.96%	0.5690	✓	0.60	1.3M	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.64	0.586297	-8.39%	0.5361	-16.23%	0.2301	✗	1.39	650k	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6942	0.637949	-8.10%	0.4277	-38.39%	0.0954	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6303	1.5031	-7.80%	0.9455	-42.00%	0.1466	✓	1.38	5.5M	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3888	0.359357	-7.57%	0.2783	-28.42%	0.0865	✗	1.49	3.4M	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0025	0.928861	-7.35%	0.8666	-13.56%	0.1604	✗	1.00	146k	2022-02-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5062	1.3967	-7.27%	0.37	-75.43%	1.1406	✓	0.82	4.5M	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.84	38.8324	-7.19%	26.55	-36.54%	0.0014	✓	1.65	2.8M	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	38,753.93	36,004.28	-7.10%	23,029.36	-40.58%	0.3083	✓	0.60	15.7M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2437	1.1559	-7.06%	0.6281	-49.50%	0.2885	✓	1.40	1.9M	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.467	3.2336	-6.73%	2.582	-25.53%	0.1417	✗	1.60	1.9M	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	88.92	83.0631	-6.59%	47.6	-46.47%	0.3270	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3842	1.2932	-6.58%	0.8404	-39.29%	0.2158	✓	0.94	21.2M	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1235	0.115385	-6.57%	0.0786	-36.36%	0.1542	✓	1.00	35.9M	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.56	10.8078	-6.51%	6.53	-43.51%	0.5423	✓	-0.17	2.3M	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.02023	0.018919	-6.48%	0.0126	-37.72%	0.2581	✓	0.65	36k	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.29	10.5599	-6.47%	5.22	-53.76%	0.5119	✓	0.84	1.2M	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7949	1.68	-6.40%	0.9235	-48.55%	0.3430	✓	1.11	30.0M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3019	1.2189	-6.37%	0.81012	-37.77%	0.0036	✓	1.76	1.3M	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.8156	4.5103	-6.34%	3.7524	-22.08%	0.1226	✗	1.33	4.9M	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	7.19	6.7359	-6.32%	5.33	-25.87%	0.0275	✓	1.14	3.3M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.13	3.8707	-6.28%	3.4	-17.68%	0.1001	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.14	1.0686	-6.27%	0.64	-43.86%	0.2829	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11092	0.104098	-6.15%	0.07379	-33.47%	0.1969	✓	0.64	55k	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		13.612	12.7815	-6.10%	7.564	-44.43%	0.5375	✓	-0.06	98k	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.436	8.8644	-6.06%	5.754	-39.02%	0.2919	✓	0.61	302k	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.197	0.185079	-6.05%	0.11	-44.16%	0.2480	✓	1.19	2.4M	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.94026	0.883517	-6.03%	0.5718	-39.19%	0.1782	✓	1.12	2.8M	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.57	4.2981	-5.95%	3.03	-33.70%	0.1199	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5394	1.4492	-5.86%	1.0423	-32.29%	0.1112	✓	0.95	3.7M	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.381	3.1829	-5.86%	2.235	-33.90%	0.1594	✓	0.85	41k	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05248	0.049422	-5.83%	0.02927	-44.23%	0.3180	✓	0.90	8.2M	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2506	3.0632	-5.76%	2.537	-21.95%	0.0278	✓	0.94	5.9M	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	108.09	102.0281	-5.61%	67.87	-37.21%	0.1516	✓	1.11	119.6M	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.374	0.353096	-5.59%	0.278	-25.67%	0.0106	✓	0.99	293k	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	8.51	8.0382	-5.54%	4.09	-51.94%	0.3751	✓	1.31	17.7M	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0636	0.060078	-5.54%	0.035872	-43.60%	0.1962	✓	1.39	7.5M	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19941	0.188432	-5.51%	0.19118	-4.13%	0.3746	✗	1.57	6,519	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.56	5.2539	-5.51%	3.37	-39.39%	0.1704	✓	1.19	2.1M	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.682	1.5898	-5.48%	1.279	-23.96%	0.0952	✗	1.36	6.0M	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.616	1.5285	-5.42%	0.883	-45.36%	0.2519	✓	1.29	3.4M	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.363	21.1594	-5.38%	17.776	-20.51%	0.2011	✗	1.63	14.1M	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.51	9.9481	-5.35%	9.36	-10.94%	0.1107	✗	0.75	1.3M	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05659	0.053566	-5.34%	0.03913	-30.85%	0.0613	✓	1.10	15k	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.605	4.3634	-5.25%	3.3042	-28.25%	0.1191	✓	0.69	18k	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3545	2.2321	-5.20%	1.6005	-32.02%	0.0744	✓	1.12	100k	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.7	23.4369	-5.11%	13.76	-44.29%	0.2962	✓	1.03	1.3M	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	267.25	253.6449	-5.09%	151.26	-43.40%	0.2571	✓	1.13	12.6M	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.57	3.3898	-5.05%	2.46	-31.09%	0.0719	✓	1.08	626k	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.6279	4.3948	-5.04%	3.1357	-32.24%	0.0408	✓	1.29	5.0M	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7914	3.6006	-5.03%	4.1355	+9.08%	0.1129	✗	-0.11	374k	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.24	1.1788	-4.94%	0.719	-42.02%	0.2781	✓	0.94	2.5M	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.47	17.5602	-4.93%	10.53	-42.99%	0.2166	✓	1.28	14.1M	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.777	4.5475	-4.80%	3.166	-33.72%	0.1876	✓	0.76	1.2M	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1352	0.128723	-4.79%	0.0794	-41.27%	0.2368	✓	1.07	310k	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.6	8.1905	-4.76%	6.05	-29.65%	0.1277	✓	0.76	773k	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.65	275.9216	-4.74%	162.31	-43.96%	0.2743	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.904	0.861824	-4.67%	0.465	-48.56%	0.2788	✓	1.47	8.1M	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.43	3.2706	-4.65%	2.41	-29.74%	0.0760	✓	1.00	995k	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.796	2.6663	-4.64%	1.696	-39.34%	0.2176	✓	1.02	1.9M	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4392	6.1416	-4.62%	6.8016	+5.63%	0.2954	✗	0.84	3.9M	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003307	0.000031549	-4.60%	0.00002064	-37.59%	0.1382	✓	1.25	1.7M	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.23	37.4643	-4.50%	18.01	-54.09%	0.3194	✓	1.80	5.7M	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01573	0.015028	-4.46%	0.00983	-37.51%	0.2051	✓	0.96	817k	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0731	0.069866	-4.42%	0.034	-53.49%	0.3990	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3721	0.355805	-4.38%	0.2314	-37.81%	0.1376	✓	1.27	3.4M	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.316	7.9525	-4.37%	5.883	-29.26%	0.0110	✓	1.26	354k	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1984	0.189756	-4.36%	0.1348	-32.06%	0.1337	✓	0.91	527k	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1177	2.9832	-4.31%	3.0352	-2.65%	0.2926	✗	1.20	3.1M	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	231.81	221.8467	-4.30%	145.08	-37.41%	0.1939	✓	1.00	3.2M	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.72	22.7055	-4.28%	15.79	-33.43%	0.0591	✓	1.32	69.2M	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	222.2	212.7205	-4.27%	121.22	-45.45%	0.2992	✓	1.15	210k	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.72	1.6472	-4.23%	1.36	-20.93%	0.2036	✗	1.72	1.0M	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3948	1.3363	-4.20%	1.8613	+33.45%	0.5841	✗	1.10	926k	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6582	0.630649	-4.19%	0.4048	-38.50%	0.1461	✓	1.29	11.4M	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8521	1.7748	-4.17%	1.1125	-39.93%	0.2826	✓	0.80	689k	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.25	3.1153	-4.14%	1.87	-42.46%	0.2106	✓	1.30	3.0M	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033837	0.032439	-4.13%	0.020246	-40.17%	0.2361	✓	1.02	7.8M	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	170.13	163.1725	-4.09%	101.99	-40.05%	0.2250	✓	1.07	217.0M	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.18	14.5643	-4.06%	14.09	-7.18%	0.1244	✗	0.69	1.2M	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.290288	0.278554	-4.04%	0.193151	-33.46%	0.1326	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		122.18	117.2496	-4.04%	90	-26.34%	0.0454	✓	0.95	3.2M	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.64	30.3687	-4.02%	23.57	-25.51%	0.0978	✓	0.68	385k	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0456	1.964	-3.99%	0.8664	-57.65%	0.3871	✓	1.88	1.5M	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.27	8.9052	-3.94%	5.49	-40.78%	0.2275	✓	1.12	3.9M	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.127	0.122185	-3.79%	0.1015	-20.08%	0.0673	✗	1.10	115k	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12106	0.11653	-3.74%	0.08941	-26.14%	0.0119	✓	1.10	26k	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170103	0.163792	-3.71%	0.137104	-19.40%	0.0752	✗	1.10	4.7M	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,766.04	3,626.77	-3.70%	2,682.66	-28.77%	0.0630	✓	1.04	654.8M	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.616798	-3.63%	0.316	-50.63%	0.3789	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.152	4.9657	-3.62%	3.998	-22.40%	0.0781	✓	0.60	598k	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	434.61	419.0321	-3.58%	278	-36.03%	0.1778	✓	1.01	9.1M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1004	0.09687	-3.52%	0.0599	-40.34%	0.1675	✓	1.36	1.6M	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	94.38	91.2319	-3.34%	49.12	-47.96%	0.3982	✓	0.96	6.3M	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.086	0.083195	-3.26%	0.0643	-25.23%	0.0113	✓	1.07	20k	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09008	0.087214	-3.18%	0.05325	-40.89%	0.1592	✓	1.45	3.0M	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.44	61.4305	-3.17%	38.13	-39.90%	0.1305	✓	1.51	837k	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,018.20	44,566.40	-3.15%	37,883.40	-17.68%	0.0623	✗	0.98	10k	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.1828	5.9878	-3.15%	4.6307	-25.10%	0.0189	✓	1.20	577k	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.22	38.953	-3.15%	42.9	+6.66%	0.3388	✗	1.05	19.4M	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.152	4.0282	-2.98%	3.03	-27.02%	0.1324	✓	0.66	483k	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	36.41	35.3291	-2.97%	20.09	-44.82%	0.2132	✓	1.53	1.1M	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	191.896	186.2186	-2.96%	73.5972	-61.65%	0.6614	✓	1.16	574k	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.265	2.1989	-2.92%	1.589	-29.85%	0.0672	✓	1.12	2.7M	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01731	0.01682	-2.83%	0.00978	-43.50%	0.2682	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.414	0.402644	-2.74%	0.25	-39.61%	0.3085	✓	0.73	41k	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	150.55	146.4282	-2.74%	98.35	-34.67%	0.0878	✓	1.35	10.3M	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.89	8.6528	-2.67%	6.02	-32.28%	0.2239	✓	0.60	869k	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.21	7.0188	-2.65%	5.04	-30.10%	0.1847	✓	0.64	861k	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	29.28	28.5118	-2.62%	21.59	-26.26%	0.0454	✗	1.41	24.2M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3005	0.292644	-2.61%	0.1803	-40.00%	0.1846	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.2052	8.9652	-2.61%	6.025	-34.55%	0.0722	✓	1.42	273k	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022053	0.021513	-2.45%	0.014783	-32.97%	0.0984	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01736	0.016938	-2.43%	0.00952	-45.16%	0.2798	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011648	0.000113661	-2.42%	0.00007582	-34.91%	0.1793	✓	0.98	7.4M	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,459.56	45,337.96	-2.41%	36,923.39	-20.53%	0.0244	✗	1.00	727.0M	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.99	174.9482	-2.26%	113.54	-36.57%	0.2122	✓	0.96	8.7M	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	30.09	29.4163	-2.24%	18.76	-37.65%	0.1538	✓	1.29	72.5M	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3186	1.2923	-1.99%	1.0268	-22.13%	0.0219	✗	1.10	98.5M	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	139.05	136.5484	-1.80%	93.05	-33.08%	0.0924	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.5792	3.5175	-1.72%	2.1064	-41.15%	0.2679	✓	1.07	754k	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.56	2.5163	-1.71%	1.63	-36.33%	0.1910	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.72	34.1432	-1.66%	26.29	-24.28%	0.0225	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7048	0.693896	-1.55%	0.5398	-23.41%	0.0404	✗	1.27	5.3M	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.08	34.5581	-1.49%	20.19	-42.45%	0.2984	✓	1.04	22.7M	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.076988	0.075866	-1.46%	0.058639	-23.83%	0.0416	✓	0.94	552k	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.52	15.3065	-1.38%	7.83	-49.55%	0.4050	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2058	0.203675	-1.03%	0.1756	-14.67%	0.0112	✓	0.60	428k	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2052	0.2032	-0.97%	0.1092	-46.78%	0.3360	✓	1.24	4.8M	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0855	0.084744	-0.88%	0.0418	-51.11%	0.4272	✓	1.22	20.9M	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	148.43	148.2461	-0.12%	108.36	-27.00%	0.0039	✓	1.35	38.3M	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.