2021-12-30 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3071

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+29.48%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

75.2%

in alpha space · 85.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-18.95%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	47,122.08	48,071.65	+2.02%	38,191.10	-18.95%	0.0200	✓	1.00	750.8M	2022-01-29
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.063	2.1011	+1.85%	1.493	-27.63%	0.1055	✗	1.12	3.2M	2022-01-29
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	19.94	20.2631	+1.62%	16.24	-18.56%	0.0438	✓	1.26	69.7M	2022-01-29
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.46	2.492	+1.30%	1.72	-30.08%	0.1592	✗	1.01	4.2M	2022-01-29
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08851	0.08943	+1.04%	0.06396	-27.74%	0.0298	✗	1.45	4.0M	2022-01-29
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,186.00	47,619.63	+0.92%	38,181.60	-19.08%	0.0167	✗	0.97	9,204	2022-01-29
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	199.64	201.138	+0.75%	123.06	-38.36%	0.2559	✗	1.12	220k	2022-01-29
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.87	8.9331	+0.71%	5.93	-33.15%	0.2834	✗	0.60	1.0M	2022-01-29
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.171183	0.172318	+0.66%	0.143169	-16.36%	0.0462	✓	1.10	5.5M	2022-01-29
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.077853	0.078366	+0.66%	0.060341	-22.49%	0.0653	✗	0.93	607k	2022-01-29
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.37	15.4635	+0.61%	8.22	-46.52%	0.3943	✗	1.13	4.7M	2022-01-29
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	431.58	433.9125	+0.54%	299.03	-30.71%	0.1636	✗	0.99	9.8M	2022-01-29
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.4868	3.5039	+0.49%	2.3362	-33.00%	0.1866	✗	1.04	819k	2022-01-29
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	34.96	35.1156	+0.45%	20.29	-41.96%	0.3331	✗	1.03	23.3M	2022-01-29
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.89	39.0576	+0.43%	41.73	+7.30%	0.2767	✓	1.00	20.7M	2022-01-29
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.302	8.3321	+0.36%	6.128	-26.19%	0.0500	✗	1.22	392k	2022-01-29
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2007	0.201209	+0.25%	0.1205	-39.96%	0.3281	✗	0.88	655k	2022-01-29
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.71	178.8457	+0.08%	97.51	-45.44%	0.4066	✗	0.95	9.8M	2022-01-29
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010959	0.000109668	+0.07%	0.00007692	-29.81%	0.1470	✗	0.99	9.0M	2022-01-29
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,710.02	3,710.01	-0.00%	2,603.74	-29.82%	0.1390	✓	1.02	752.6M	2022-01-29
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.53	27.5078	-0.08%	18.75	-31.89%	0.1200	✓	1.25	75.5M	2022-01-29
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11126	0.111156	-0.09%	0.08979	-19.30%	0.0182	✗	1.10	29k	2022-01-29
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.7081	4.7032	-0.10%	3.1573	-32.94%	0.1254	✓	1.30	5.0M	2022-01-29
XEM	NEM	native	0.1255	0.12536	-0.11%	0.1047	-16.57%	0.0433	✗	1.06	158k	2022-01-29
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	147.94	147.767	-0.12%	110.84	-25.08%	0.0063	✓	1.34	49.4M	2022-01-29
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.55	5.5429	-0.13%	5.4	-2.70%	0.2123	✗	1.13	4.3M	2022-01-29
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3585	1.3562	-0.17%	1.0603	-21.95%	0.0257	✓	1.05	114.6M	2022-01-29
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.57	34.5001	-0.20%	25.34	-26.70%	0.0977	✓	1.00	4.7M	2022-01-29
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3407	4.3318	-0.21%	3.0915	-28.78%	0.0626	✓	1.31	4.9M	2022-01-29
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.403	0.401944	-0.26%	0.251	-37.72%	0.3151	✓	0.74	45k	2022-01-29
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.69	1.6854	-0.27%	0.85	-49.70%	0.3300	✓	1.69	1.2M	2022-01-29
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.78	24.7002	-0.32%	20.18	-18.56%	0.0933	✗	1.41	24.1M	2022-01-29
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.27	3.2582	-0.36%	2.42	-25.99%	0.0925	✓	0.97	1.1M	2022-01-29
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.13	7.1024	-0.39%	5.16	-27.63%	0.1860	✓	0.64	1.1M	2022-01-29
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.8384	8.7989	-0.45%	5.9616	-32.55%	0.1019	✓	1.37	280k	2022-01-29
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	95.03	94.4094	-0.65%	49.58	-47.83%	0.4382	✓	0.98	7.4M	2022-01-29
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.533	1.5227	-0.67%	0.924	-39.73%	0.2312	✓	1.28	3.8M	2022-01-29
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.72	8.6606	-0.68%	6.08	-30.28%	0.2013	✓	0.73	1.1M	2022-01-29
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	280.04	278.1244	-0.68%	171.16	-38.88%	0.2575	✓	1.08	1.5M	2022-01-29
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6466	0.641999	-0.71%	0.4104	-36.53%	0.1961	✓	1.20	11.8M	2022-01-29
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.048	4.0186	-0.73%	3.009	-25.67%	0.1524	✓	0.65	514k	2022-01-29
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	32.06	31.8242	-0.74%	26.24	-18.15%	0.0591	✓	0.64	518k	2022-01-29
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.91	2.8885	-0.74%	2.245	-22.85%	0.0693	✓	0.87	65k	2022-01-29
SOL	Solana	Solana	172.52	171.2469	-0.74%	96.25	-44.21%	0.3753	✓	0.96	248.9M	2022-01-29
DASH	Dash	Dash	133.04	131.9748	-0.80%	96.55	-27.43%	0.0510	✓	1.24	2.0M	2022-01-29
XYM	Symbol	native	0.188	0.186485	-0.81%	0.1739	-7.50%	0.0453	✗	0.55	393k	2022-01-29
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.795409	0.788706	-0.84%	0.565434	-28.91%	0.1090	✓	1.06	2.8M	2022-01-29
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022142	0.021953	-0.85%	0.014518	-34.43%	0.1554	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-01-29
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		122.49	121.4468	-0.85%	92.7	-24.32%	0.0715	✓	0.95	3.7M	2022-01-29
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0828	0.082043	-0.91%	0.0653	-21.14%	0.0080	✓	1.05	18k	2022-01-29
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01653	0.016366	-0.99%	0.0104	-37.08%	0.1865	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-01-29
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.079	5.0286	-0.99%	4.042	-20.42%	0.0963	✓	0.58	798k	2022-01-29
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.268	0.265146	-1.06%	0.203491	-24.07%	0.0516	✓	1.01	29.6M	2022-01-29
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	33.99	33.6222	-1.08%	20.73	-39.01%	0.1763	✓	1.46	1.3M	2022-01-29
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.13	5.0741	-1.09%	3.51	-31.58%	0.1232	✓	1.17	2.4M	2022-01-29
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.624	1.6063	-1.09%	1.364	-16.01%	0.1174	✗	1.34	7.9M	2022-01-29
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.45	15.2619	-1.22%	13.15	-14.89%	0.0073	✓	0.67	1.4M	2022-01-29
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4189	0.413607	-1.26%	0.5693	+35.90%	0.6161	✗	1.41	793k	2022-01-29
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.208	0.205112	-1.39%	0.121	-41.83%	0.2764	✓	1.20	5.7M	2022-01-29
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1317	0.129867	-1.39%	0.0817	-37.97%	0.2386	✓	1.07	344k	2022-01-29
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	153.9	151.7024	-1.43%	96.39	-37.37%	0.1849	✓	1.28	11.8M	2022-01-29
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0981	0.096642	-1.49%	0.0636	-35.17%	0.1265	✓	1.39	1.9M	2022-01-29
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.697	4.6213	-1.61%	3.258	-30.64%	0.2050	✓	0.69	1.0M	2022-01-29
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1771	3.1232	-1.70%	2.9824	-6.13%	0.2092	✗	1.22	3.3M	2022-01-29
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07911	0.077707	-1.77%	0.05052	-36.14%	0.1704	✓	1.24	21.7M	2022-01-29
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	17.81	17.4855	-1.82%	11.16	-37.34%	0.1830	✓	1.27	15.5M	2022-01-29
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.09	3.0336	-1.83%	1.92	-37.86%	0.1871	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-01-29
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10085	0.098911	-1.92%	0.0727	-27.91%	0.1708	✓	0.65	74k	2022-01-29
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.57	4.4817	-1.93%	3.0631	-32.97%	0.2390	✓	0.67	25k	2022-01-29
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.01	23.5418	-1.95%	14.12	-41.19%	0.3606	✓	0.72	1.5M	2022-01-29
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.11	9.907	-2.01%	9.17	-9.30%	0.0808	✗	0.75	1.4M	2022-01-29
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.267	1.2416	-2.01%	0.731	-42.30%	0.3338	✓	0.93	2.8M	2022-01-29
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.048	20.621	-2.03%	17.542	-16.66%	0.1807	✗	1.63	17.5M	2022-01-29
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.863	0.844823	-2.11%	0.508	-41.14%	0.2055	✓	1.44	8.7M	2022-01-29
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0787	0.076999	-2.16%	0.0362	-54.00%	0.4632	✓	1.39	1.7M	2022-01-29
XMR	Monero	Monero	225.01	220.1052	-2.18%	153.67	-31.71%	0.1686	✓	0.91	2.9M	2022-01-29
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.37	0.361846	-2.20%	0.2425	-34.46%	0.1311	✓	1.28	4.3M	2022-01-29
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2896	0.283092	-2.25%	0.1844	-36.33%	0.1581	✓	1.29	5.6M	2022-01-29
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01531	0.01495	-2.35%	0.01015	-33.70%	0.1871	✓	0.95	910k	2022-01-29
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0549	0.053597	-2.37%	0.04089	-25.52%	0.0498	✓	1.05	15k	2022-01-29
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3222	1.2895	-2.47%	1.7284	+30.72%	0.5161	✗	1.06	1.0M	2022-01-29
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3713	0.361947	-2.52%	0.31	-16.51%	0.1394	✗	1.40	4.4M	2022-01-29
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04892	0.047663	-2.57%	0.03035	-37.96%	0.2640	✓	0.89	9.1M	2022-01-29
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4417	2.3772	-2.64%	1.6081	-34.14%	0.1682	✓	1.06	147k	2022-01-29
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.04	11.716	-2.69%	6.65	-44.77%	0.6012	✓	-0.17	3.7M	2022-01-29
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.0654	5.8989	-2.75%	4.851	-20.02%	0.0439	✗	1.14	653k	2022-01-29
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.42	4.2962	-2.80%	3.69	-16.52%	0.0580	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-01-29
ZEN	Horizen	Base	61.58	59.829	-2.84%	41.64	-32.38%	0.0650	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-01-29
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7283	0.707249	-2.89%	0.5251	-27.90%	0.0359	✓	1.25	6.2M	2022-01-29
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.59	3.485	-2.92%	2.31	-35.65%	0.1927	✓	1.04	787k	2022-01-29
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	262.93	255.2358	-2.93%	154.04	-41.41%	0.2770	✓	1.08	11.4M	2022-01-29
XVG	Verge	native	0.01711	0.016608	-2.93%	0.01002	-41.44%	0.2548	✓	1.19	2.5M	2022-01-29
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.8078	3.6935	-3.00%	3.4878	-8.40%	0.0828	✓	-0.12	409k	2022-01-29
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.061787	0.059872	-3.10%	0.039999	-35.26%	0.1139	✓	1.38	7.9M	2022-01-29
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01945	0.018835	-3.16%	0.01347	-30.75%	0.2192	✓	0.55	43k	2022-01-29
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.13	1.0936	-3.22%	0.66	-41.59%	0.2949	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-01-29
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8152	6.592	-3.27%	6.7736	-0.61%	0.1896	✗	0.77	4.0M	2022-01-29
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003376	0.000032636	-3.33%	0.00002166	-35.84%	0.1429	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-01-29
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	10.83	10.4662	-3.36%	5.34	-50.69%	0.4923	✓	0.86	1.3M	2022-01-29
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.634	0.612126	-3.45%	0.333	-47.48%	0.3470	✓	1.25	2.8M	2022-01-29
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.19	29.1305	-3.51%	29.1	-3.61%	0.1885	✗	0.90	41.9M	2022-01-29
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033799	0.03258	-3.61%	0.022029	-34.82%	0.1710	✓	1.05	8.9M	2022-01-29
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6956	0.670102	-3.67%	0.4637	-33.34%	0.0904	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-29
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.203	1.1585	-3.70%	0.5968	-50.39%	0.3674	✓	1.41	2.3M	2022-01-29
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1947	1.15	-3.74%	0.84787	-29.03%	0.0616	✗	1.74	1.4M	2022-01-29
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.329	8.9791	-3.75%	6.001	-35.67%	0.2714	✓	0.63	368k	2022-01-29
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.755	1.6876	-3.84%	1.154	-34.24%	0.2127	✓	0.80	946k	2022-01-29
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9199	0.88362	-3.94%	0.9037	-1.76%	0.2326	✗	1.00	146k	2022-01-29
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.643	2.5371	-4.01%	1.758	-33.48%	0.1556	✓	1.01	2.2M	2022-01-29
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7299	1.658	-4.16%	0.9693	-43.97%	0.3113	✓	1.07	31.7M	2022-01-29
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.06	37.4047	-4.24%	20.07	-48.62%	0.2388	✓	1.83	6.8M	2022-01-29
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	30,177.90	28,865.72	-4.35%	24,297.65	-19.49%	0.0460	✓	0.60	10.4M	2022-01-29
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.32	8.9134	-4.36%	6.08	-34.76%	0.1464	✓	1.12	4.1M	2022-01-29
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1856	0.177485	-4.37%	0.11	-40.73%	0.2361	✓	1.15	2.9M	2022-01-29
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.9975	1.906	-4.58%	0.9684	-51.52%	0.2762	✓	1.91	1.5M	2022-01-29
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.4266	1.357	-4.88%	0.8302	-41.81%	0.3005	✓	0.91	23.6M	2022-01-29
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.4845	1.4115	-4.92%	1.0479	-29.41%	0.0922	✓	0.98	4.8M	2022-01-29
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	5.14	4.8739	-5.18%	2.83	-44.94%	0.3335	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-01-29
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	185.6988	175.8238	-5.32%	79.3124	-57.29%	0.5840	✓	1.01	648k	2022-01-29
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	40.32	37.9826	-5.80%	27.09	-32.81%	0.0125	✓	1.67	3.0M	2022-01-29
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.579	3.3686	-5.88%	2.667	-25.48%	0.0234	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-01-29
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.11	4.8053	-5.96%	2.99	-41.49%	0.2010	✓	1.30	28.7M	2022-01-29
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	101.73	95.5714	-6.05%	71.95	-29.27%	0.0604	✓	1.06	127.7M	2022-01-29
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	84.84	79.6193	-6.15%	50.93	-39.97%	0.2367	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-01-29
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3349	0.314186	-6.19%	0.2671	-20.24%	0.0360	✓	0.94	293k	2022-01-29
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.33	4.0601	-6.23%	2.34	-45.96%	0.3409	✓	1.00	3.6M	2022-01-29
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.2	0.18679	-6.61%	0.18677	-6.62%	0.3292	✗	1.57	9,235	2022-01-29
HIVE	Hive	native	1.5179	1.4169	-6.65%	0.952	-37.28%	0.1093	✓	1.37	6.4M	2022-01-29
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		12.775	11.8412	-7.31%	7.324	-42.67%	0.4938	✓	-0.06	119k	2022-01-29
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	10.25	9.4171	-8.13%	4.19	-59.12%	0.5339	✓	1.31	16.5M	2022-01-29
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.98	11.0013	-8.17%	6.1	-49.08%	0.4712	✓	0.56	1.4M	2022-01-29
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2879	3.0093	-8.47%	2.372	-27.86%	0.0390	✓	0.95	7.1M	2022-01-29
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.6911	1.5463	-8.56%	0.4988	-70.50%	0.9499	✓	0.86	4.7M	2022-01-29
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12.93	11.6434	-9.95%	7.35	-43.16%	0.4611	✓	-0.00	4.6M	2022-01-29
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02166	0.019207	-11.32%	0.00723	-66.62%	0.7669	✓	1.00	34.3M	2022-01-29
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.72	4.1012	-13.11%	2.36	-50.00%	0.3425	✓	1.00	15.2M	2022-01-29
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9403	0.749091	-20.33%	0.6022	-35.96%	0.1334	✓	1.67	29.3M	2022-01-29

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.