8=======>

2021-12-23 · +30d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2570
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.87%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
80.1%
in alpha space · 97.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-31.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3720.36619-1.56%0.244-34.41%0.1254✓0.7646k2022-01-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot29.1728.5757-2.04%18.26-37.40%0.0170✓1.2577.3M2022-01-22
XVSVenusEthereum16.1615.8142-2.14%7.59-53.03%0.3116✓1.145.3M2022-01-22
XECeCashnative0.000114420.000111756-2.33%0.00006839-40.23%0.1239✓0.9911.7M2022-01-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.289.0501-2.48%5.63-39.33%0.2224✓0.681.1M2022-01-22
TRXTRONTron0.082610.080477-2.58%0.05675-31.30%0.0088✓0.96708k2022-01-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.3536.3827-2.59%19.01-49.10%0.2712✓1.0223.1M2022-01-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.5636.5312-2.74%24.23-35.49%0.0207✓1.056.2M2022-01-22
SUSHISushiEthereum7.37.0959-2.80%4.42-39.45%0.0366✗1.3714.6M2022-01-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241130.023435-2.81%0.014961-37.95%0.0008✓1.212.1M2022-01-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin163.74158.8535-2.98%108.41-33.79%0.1342✗1.3959.6M2022-01-22
QNTQuantEthereum195.7189.8481-2.99%98.78-49.52%0.3049✓0.9412.0M2022-01-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.157.8999-3.07%4.8-41.10%0.2617✓0.641.1M2022-01-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.0126.1692-3.11%20.54-23.95%0.2780✗1.4022.9M2022-01-22
ADACardanoCardano1.47431.4284-3.12%1.0713-27.34%0.1101✗1.07130.4M2022-01-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1574.0241-3.20%2.804-32.55%0.0953✓0.72487k2022-01-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.096750.0936-3.26%0.04896-49.40%0.0987✓1.485.9M2022-01-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.45.2204-3.33%3.665-32.13%0.1122✓0.65936k2022-01-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.283.17-3.35%1.77-46.04%0.1030✓1.293.2M2022-01-22
DASHDashDash146.65141.6911-3.38%97.07-33.81%0.0923✗1.272.2M2022-01-22
QTUMQtumQtum10.04769.7037-3.42%5.5565-44.70%0.0205✓1.45349k2022-01-22
XYMSymbolnative0.25180.24307-3.47%0.1498-40.51%0.3089✓0.47410k2022-01-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018580.017936-3.47%0.00998-46.29%0.1225✓1.253.5M2022-01-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,842.2049,043.65-3.54%35,066.43-31.03%0.0360✓1.00750.8M2022-01-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3342.2513-3.54%1.366-41.47%0.0874✓1.113.4M2022-01-22
NANOnanopayBase3.75053.6148-3.62%2.0461-45.44%0.1736✓1.06819k2022-01-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.1921.3861-3.62%15.86-28.53%0.1874✗1.3169.7M2022-01-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3314.172-3.67%3.059-29.37%0.0004✓0.83714k2022-01-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,984.8049,098.49-3.70%34,807.70-31.73%0.0216✓0.9810k2022-01-22
FTTFTXEthereum43.0841.4775-3.72%33.44-22.38%0.1781✗1.0621.8M2022-01-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.832.7229-3.79%1.62-42.76%0.1414✓1.024.7M2022-01-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11160.10734-3.82%0.0543-51.34%0.1736✓1.373.1M2022-01-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.22970.220849-3.85%0.1135-50.59%0.2090✓1.236.8M2022-01-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.120790.11612-3.87%0.07873-34.82%0.0199✓1.1030k2022-01-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.075.8306-3.94%3.78-37.73%0.0189✓1.125.3M2022-01-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3890.373621-3.95%0.2331-40.08%0.0021✓1.286.4M2022-01-22
XMRMoneroMonero210.04201.689-3.98%152.34-27.47%0.0878✗0.992.8M2022-01-22
ETHEthereumEthereum4,113.083,949.31-3.98%2,411.90-41.36%0.1040✓1.05768.5M2022-01-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.8528.4958-4.02%6.424-27.43%0.2160✗1.33560k2022-01-22
XEMNEMnative0.13930.133683-4.03%0.0944-32.23%0.0599✗1.10202k2022-01-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1849340.177396-4.08%0.133158-28.00%0.1258✗1.115.5M2022-01-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.81124.4956-4.09%89.24-31.25%0.0343✓0.993.1M2022-01-22
COMPCompoundEthereum230.55221.0848-4.11%120.3-47.82%0.2007✓1.10239k2022-01-22
CBKCobakEthereum3.1112.9828-4.12%1.979-36.39%0.0953✓0.85101k2022-01-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3011.2471-4.14%0.711-45.35%0.2027✓0.974.4M2022-01-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.1135.5691-4.15%18.76-49.45%0.0736✓1.521.4M2022-01-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2877760.27575-4.18%0.19237-33.15%0.0144✓1.0137.2M2022-01-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.089950.086113-4.27%0.05051-43.85%0.0834✓1.2122.6M2022-01-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08980.085961-4.27%0.0594-33.85%0.0363✓1.0922k2022-01-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.063190.060478-4.29%0.036765-41.82%0.0472✗1.479.8M2022-01-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.573.4161-4.31%2.33-34.73%0.0157✓0.991.3M2022-01-22
MOVRMoonriverBase189.2792181.1038-4.32%83.9941-55.62%0.3461✓1.14728k2022-01-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash455.7435.8709-4.35%291.88-35.95%0.0193✓1.0314.2M2022-01-22
UMAUMAEthereum9.839.3974-4.40%6.11-37.84%0.0292✓1.084.1M2022-01-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.178.7653-4.41%5.66-38.28%0.1487✓0.78836k2022-01-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13940.133234-4.42%0.0732-47.49%0.2056✓1.06445k2022-01-22
DODODODOEthereum0.9550.91267-4.43%0.496-48.06%0.0640✓1.4710.8M2022-01-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.1832.6584-4.45%21.51-37.07%0.1685✓0.67711k2022-01-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8861270.846666-4.45%0.518861-41.45%0.0871✓1.084.3M2022-01-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.81730.780709-4.48%0.5076-37.89%0.0352✓1.257.7M2022-01-22
GTGateEthereum6.2595.9785-4.48%5.6708-9.40%0.2442✗0.804.6M2022-01-22
KSMKusamaHydration291.44278.336-4.50%190.08-34.78%0.0242✓1.091.5M2022-01-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.4102.5675-4.50%50.17-53.29%0.3569✓0.969.0M2022-01-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.31310.298858-4.55%0.1764-43.66%0.0507✓1.286.6M2022-01-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.23094.9921-4.56%3.0068-42.52%0.0021✓1.365.2M2022-01-22
XVGVergenative0.018430.017585-4.59%0.00935-49.27%0.1904✓1.192.8M2022-01-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.43811.3713-4.65%1.5039+4.58%0.4924✗1.081.4M2022-01-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8516.0595-4.69%12.62-25.10%0.0158✓0.691.5M2022-01-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.2140.203867-4.74%0.1394-34.86%0.0577✓0.87776k2022-01-22
SOLSolanaSolana190.07180.9813-4.78%94.78-50.13%0.2680✓1.02265.5M2022-01-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.11264.8667-4.81%2.9642-42.02%0.2176✓0.7530k2022-01-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6451.5641-4.92%0.87-47.11%0.1010✓1.315.2M2022-01-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.46971.3971-4.94%0.9512-35.28%0.0127✓1.0734.9M2022-01-22
BANDBandEthereum5.735.4468-4.94%3.49-39.09%0.0014✓1.193.0M2022-01-22
UNIUniswapEthereum18.1817.2801-4.95%11.16-38.61%0.0503✓1.3114.2M2022-01-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.22120.210183-4.98%0.0799-63.88%0.5403✓1.154.3M2022-01-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.90386.5553-5.05%4.2394-38.59%0.0073✓1.19876k2022-01-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.60673.4239-5.07%3.6015-0.14%0.0185✓-0.09384k2022-01-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.8524.537-5.08%13.19-48.97%0.2216✓1.072.7M2022-01-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.51262.3842-5.11%1.65-34.33%0.0711✗1.18172k2022-01-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.059280.056225-5.15%0.03631-38.75%0.0221✓1.1217k2022-01-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73360.695439-5.20%0.4163-43.25%0.0363✓1.2814.9M2022-01-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.751.6578-5.27%0.9-48.57%0.0243✓1.711.6M2022-01-22
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.5115-5.35%2.34-36.93%0.0270✓1.02807k2022-01-22
AAVEAaveEthereum247.2233.8603-5.40%147.18-40.46%0.0674✓1.0711.4M2022-01-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10941.0493-5.42%0.5834-47.41%0.0357✓1.482.7M2022-01-22
ZECZcashZcash167.41158.3358-5.42%94.59-43.50%0.0247✓1.3213.6M2022-01-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.050480.047663-5.58%0.02985-40.87%0.1278✓0.9214.3M2022-01-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.9710.3545-5.61%8.68-20.88%0.1104✗0.771.6M2022-01-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47680.449971-5.63%0.5658+18.67%0.7600✗1.431.3M2022-01-22
XTZTezosTezos4.77314.4953-5.82%2.9521-38.15%0.0601✗1.295.4M2022-01-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.5211.7841-5.88%6.06-51.60%0.7697✓-0.285.3M2022-01-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.3826.6995-5.92%29.27+3.14%0.4129✗0.8641.0M2022-01-22
ZENHorizenBase72.4568.1103-5.99%35.28-51.30%0.0957✓1.511.5M2022-01-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.113740.10673-6.16%0.06237-45.16%0.3240✓0.57143k2022-01-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.2699.6281-6.24%5.8-43.52%0.2728✓0.63455k2022-01-22
IMXImmutableEthereum4.774.4718-6.25%2.46-48.43%0.2262✓1.002.5M2022-01-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,557.5629,548.94-6.36%22,897.64-27.44%0.0625✓0.526.9M2022-01-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.51413.2874-6.45%2.7227-22.52%0.2774✗1.254.0M2022-01-22
KCSKuCoinnative23.31621.8055-6.48%15.129-35.11%0.2605✗1.6921.7M2022-01-22
RADRadworksEthereum10.529.8317-6.54%5.06-51.90%0.3103✓0.951.7M2022-01-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.271.1861-6.61%0.64-49.61%0.2454✓1.002.4M2022-01-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9831.8503-6.69%1.161-41.45%0.0219✓1.317.6M2022-01-22
SCSiacoinnative0.017050.015883-6.85%0.0094-44.87%0.1763✓0.941.5M2022-01-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.34251.2496-6.92%0.71467-46.76%0.0972✗1.771.8M2022-01-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6890.640737-7.00%0.319-53.70%0.2356✓1.243.2M2022-01-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021160.019662-7.08%0.01275-39.74%0.2122✓0.5961k2022-01-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.29521.2032-7.10%0.78-39.78%0.0465✓1.0423.6M2022-01-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0390080.036198-7.20%0.020108-48.45%0.2081✓1.0213.0M2022-01-22
GITCOINGITCOIN11.76410.9151-7.22%6.944-40.97%0.4873✓-0.09129k2022-01-22
API3Api3Ethereum5.184.8035-7.27%4.82-6.95%0.3749✗1.001.7M2022-01-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.38610.356512-7.66%0.2645-31.49%0.2663✗1.524.4M2022-01-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum49.5445.7344-7.68%16.11-67.48%0.3540✓1.869.4M2022-01-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.9722.7414-7.76%1.506-49.33%0.2339✓0.982.3M2022-01-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07010.06465-7.78%0.0326-53.50%0.2029✓1.302.5M2022-01-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.371.2615-7.92%0.7106-48.13%0.2024✓1.00193k2022-01-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000038680.0000356-7.96%0.00002053-46.92%0.1790✓1.002.1M2022-01-22
STORJStorjEthereum2.08461.9165-8.07%1.0381-50.20%0.3509✓0.711.3M2022-01-22
LRCLoopringEthereum2.3162.1251-8.24%0.7316-68.41%0.3416✓1.952.2M2022-01-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.36280.332229-8.43%0.2179-39.94%0.0844✓0.91401k2022-01-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.4340.5949-8.63%23.84-46.34%0.1051✗1.725.2M2022-01-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8383.5055-8.66%2.567-33.12%0.0599✓1.003.6M2022-01-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.78340.714352-8.81%0.4385-44.03%0.0114✓1.286.5M2022-01-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche121.37109.8436-9.50%59.8-50.73%0.1863✓1.14148.6M2022-01-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.194.6901-9.63%2.89-44.32%0.0056✓1.3228.7M2022-01-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.925.3471-9.68%2.1-64.53%0.5631✓1.006.6M2022-01-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.7510.5016-10.62%5.61-52.26%0.4292✓0.532.7M2022-01-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.66650.593839-10.90%0.5482-17.75%0.5712✗1.7512.6M2022-01-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.217130.19325-11.00%0.15638-27.98%0.3909✗1.6229k2022-01-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.69081.5028-11.12%0.80696-52.27%0.2517✓1.007.2M2022-01-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023680.020973-11.43%0.00793-66.51%0.6011✓1.0035.6M2022-01-22
MANADecentralandEthereum3.67983.2543-11.56%2.0434-44.47%0.1370✓0.889.0M2022-01-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.8910.4773-11.88%6.96-41.46%0.4219✓-0.034.6M2022-01-22
HIVEHivenative1.65031.4537-11.91%0.7987-51.60%0.1077✓1.3211.4M2022-01-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.943.2863-16.59%2.08-47.21%0.0859✓1.0012.1M2022-01-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.23561.8579-16.89%0.4454-80.08%1.1797✓0.678.3M2022-01-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.