XRD

Radix · native · gru_s8

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

67.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2666

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0509

actual -0.1628

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00018625	0.000169773	-8.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.000186933	-8.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000144563	-9.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.000139256	-10.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.000126859	-12.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.000188582	-6.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000253079	-6.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.000279479	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000289446	-7.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000301259	-9.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000290701	-8.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000287915	-8.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000279951	-8.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000286718	-9.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000301326	-9.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000306316	-8.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000318288	-8.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.000329545	-7.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000323122	-9.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.000333037	-9.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000345134	-8.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000341688	-9.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.000369929	-9.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.000376771	-9.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000407594	-7.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000423628	-7.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000402713	-7.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.000437183	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000463364	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000498287	-5.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000443956	-5.40%	0.00018625	-60.31%	0.9037	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000498229	-8.77%	0.00020335	-62.76%	0.8847	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.00048036	-8.54%	0.0001597	-69.59%	1.0974	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000518541	-8.66%	0.0001555	-72.61%	1.1975	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.000506069	-12.16%	0.000145	-74.83%	1.2167	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.000442306	-12.14%	0.000202	-59.87%	0.7483	✓	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.000487333	-12.29%	0.0002698	-51.44%	0.5488	✓	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000452647	-10.34%	0.0003023	-40.12%	0.3864	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.000437754	-11.22%	0.000314	-36.32%	0.2989	✓	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.0004566	-10.60%	0.0003316	-35.08%	0.2958	✓	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.000433727	-10.48%	0.0003167	-34.63%	0.2805	✓	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000436951	-10.83%	0.000315	-35.71%	0.2946	✓	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000425999	-9.27%	0.0003063	-34.76%	0.3100	✓	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.00043889	-8.49%	0.0003161	-34.09%	0.3137	✓	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000395981	-8.65%	0.0003327	-23.25%	0.1576	✓	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000454178	-5.83%	0.0003347	-30.60%	0.2803	✓	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000445032	-5.75%	0.0003482	-26.26%	0.2161	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.00048238	-3.89%	0.00035815	-28.64%	0.2679	✓	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.000470303	-2.62%	0.0003558	-26.33%	0.2648	✓	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000566415	-0.65%	0.0003674	-35.56%	0.4274	✓	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000592837	+0.24%	0.0003791	-35.90%	0.4407	✗	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000633342	+1.71%	0.0003794	-39.07%	0.5037	✗	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000843078	+1.64%	0.0004078	-50.84%	0.7249	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000881941	+1.70%	0.00041535	-52.10%	0.7530	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000886317	+1.61%	0.0004422	-49.31%	0.6953	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000837288	+3.06%	0.000458	-43.62%	0.6061	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000841543	+2.73%	0.00043745	-46.60%	0.6579	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.000921748	+2.01%	0.0004705	-47.93%	0.6782	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.000947227	+2.16%	0.0004971	-46.39%	0.6509	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000902111	+2.15%	0.00052705	-40.32%	0.5429	✗	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.000811327	+2.60%	0.0004693	-40.66%	0.5517	✗	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000940906	+2.14%	0.0005461	-40.72%	0.5432	✗	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.000920328	-0.40%	0.0005252	-43.16%	0.5563	✓	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000937674	-2.97%	0.0005677	-41.26%	0.5061	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.000976162	-6.09%	0.0005761	-44.58%	0.5622	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000849699	-4.62%	0.0005034	-43.50%	0.5511	✓	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000875624	-5.49%	0.00055565	-40.03%	0.4931	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000905579	-5.73%	0.00050485	-47.44%	0.6288	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.00086976	-5.40%	0.0004931	-46.37%	0.6083	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000888294	-5.39%	0.00051075	-45.60%	0.5943	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.000924032	-5.76%	0.0004845	-50.59%	0.6882	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000877555	-5.31%	0.00049	-47.13%	0.6206	✓	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000862301	-5.04%	0.0004695	-48.30%	0.6509	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000876217	-4.73%	0.0004796	-47.85%	0.6422	✓	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.000888355	-4.74%	0.0004335	-53.52%	0.7585	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.00088246	-4.70%	0.0004823	-47.92%	0.6464	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000868689	-4.87%	0.0004722	-48.29%	0.6520	✓	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000914339	-5.03%	0.0005019	-47.87%	0.6395	✓	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000898146	-5.09%	0.00048295	-48.96%	0.6653	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000927061	-5.56%	0.0005701	-41.92%	0.5268	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.000928882	-5.59%	0.0005914	-39.89%	0.4911	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000896923	-5.53%	0.0006227	-34.41%	0.4086	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.000910307	-5.58%	0.0008295	-13.96%	0.1344	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.000915999	-4.79%	0.0008672	-9.86%	0.0939	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000915597	-5.04%	0.0008723	-9.53%	0.0888	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000928218	-5.09%	0.0008124	-16.93%	0.1794	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.00094239	-5.24%	0.0008192	-17.63%	0.1840	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.000972072	-4.89%	0.0009036	-11.59%	0.1097	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.000943553	-4.92%	0.0009272	-6.57%	0.0569	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.001035	-6.81%	0.0008831	-20.48%	0.2006	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.000800735	-3.06%	0.0007908	-4.26%	0.0722	✓	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000807351	-2.68%	0.0009212	+11.04%	0.0732	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000791494	-2.37%	0.000924	+13.98%	0.1221	✗	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.00080993	-2.78%	0.0009664	+16.00%	0.1539	✗	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.000819609	-2.90%	0.00104	+23.15%	0.2377	✗	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.000837123	-2.93%	0.0008909	+3.30%	0.0641	✗	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.000864106	-3.33%	0.0009265	+3.65%	0.0759	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.00084798	-3.19%	0.0009606	+9.67%	0.1292	✗	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.000839748	-2.83%	0.0009194	+6.39%	0.1025	✗	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000828488	-2.63%	0.0009389	+10.34%	0.1357	✗	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000819411	-3.06%	0.0009805	+15.99%	0.1713	✗	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000894072	-3.35%	0.0009268	+0.18%	0.0372	✗	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.000832669	-2.81%	0.0009081	+6.00%	0.0858	✗	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000864106	-2.90%	0.0009197	+3.35%	0.0577	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000882231	-3.10%	0.0009326	+2.43%	0.0439	✗	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000889089	-3.20%	0.000926	+0.82%	0.0233	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000875787	-2.87%	0.0009132	+1.28%	0.0356	✗	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.000885704	-2.79%	0.0009628	+5.67%	0.0795	✗	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.000904709	-2.95%	0.0009463	+1.51%	0.0423	✗	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000873827	-2.71%	0.0009816	+9.29%	0.1142	✗	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000857673	-2.60%	0.0009839	+11.73%	0.1317	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.000868085	-2.77%	0.0009494	+6.34%	0.0819	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000864114	-2.82%	0.0009641	+8.42%	0.0921	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000829004	-2.56%	0.0009621	+13.08%	0.1145	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000836758	-2.59%	0.0009642	+12.25%	0.1211	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.000848196	-2.67%	0.000978	+12.22%	0.1164	✗	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000842413	-2.63%	0.0009945	+14.94%	0.1440	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000869554	-2.83%	0.001022	+14.20%	0.1303	✗	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000889241	-2.98%	0.0009924	+8.27%	0.0824	✗	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000915054	-3.17%	0.001111	+17.52%	0.1723	✗	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000940466	-3.34%	0.000826	-15.11%	0.1463	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001017	-3.90%	0.0008296	-21.59%	0.2163	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.001023	-4.04%	0.0008107	-23.95%	0.2527	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.001064	-4.34%	0.0008331	-25.08%	0.2503	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.001047	-4.33%	0.0008441	-22.84%	0.2224	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.001053	-4.44%	0.0008624	-21.74%	0.2113	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.001043	-4.33%	0.0008939	-17.99%	0.1509	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001058	-4.37%	0.0008759	-20.80%	0.1782	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001071	-4.48%	0.0008642	-22.91%	0.2052	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001065	-4.45%	0.0008509	-23.69%	0.2207	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001076	-4.57%	0.0008453	-25.06%	0.2286	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.001053	-4.45%	0.0009251	-16.05%	0.1307	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.001061	-4.65%	0.0008567	-23.03%	0.2154	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001059	-4.75%	0.0008899	-19.97%	0.1907	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.00107	-5.05%	0.0009105	-19.17%	0.1703	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001043	-4.96%	0.0009185	-16.27%	0.1213	✓	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001008	-4.80%	0.0009017	-14.85%	0.1118	✓	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.000988697	-4.66%	0.0009111	-12.14%	0.1015	✓	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.000980664	-4.79%	0.0009322	-9.50%	0.0676	✓	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.001023	-5.63%	0.0008982	-17.14%	0.1258	✓	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.000996151	-5.58%	0.0008806	-16.53%	0.1129	✓	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.000959566	-5.46%	0.0008928	-12.04%	0.0306	✓	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.000984114	-5.37%	0.0008892	-14.50%	0.0010	✓	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001023	-5.28%	0.0008508	-21.22%	0.0511	✓	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.001015	-5.19%	0.000859	-19.72%	0.0487	✓	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.00103	-5.37%	0.0008715	-19.90%	0.0337	✓	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001026	-5.35%	0.0008652	-20.18%	0.0390	✓	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.001059	-5.44%	0.0008949	-20.10%	0.0423	✓	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001099	-5.44%	0.0009166	-21.12%	0.0431	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001065	-4.58%	0.000945	-15.32%	0.0395	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.000978414	-3.89%	0.000973	-4.42%	0.1369	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.000976252	-3.91%	0.001058	+4.13%	0.2101	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001017	-4.45%	0.001066	+0.19%	0.1746	✗	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.001032	-3.85%	0.001112	+3.63%	0.2112	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.00104	-3.83%	0.001094	+1.20%	0.1972	✗	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001079	-4.28%	0.001102	-2.22%	0.1697	✗	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001099	-4.31%	0.00109	-5.05%	0.1225	✗	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001101	-4.11%	0.001106	-3.66%	0.1167	✗	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001126	-3.99%	0.001121	-4.43%	0.1061	✗	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.001149	-3.75%	0.001115	-6.62%	0.0959	✗	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001174	-2.97%	0.001128	-6.78%	0.1125	✗	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.001178	-3.72%	0.001102	-9.89%	0.0772	✗	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001205	-3.35%	0.001113	-10.75%	0.0734	✗	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001216	-2.73%	0.001112	-11.04%	0.1068	✗	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.001217	-2.32%	0.001126	-9.59%	0.1191	✗	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.001222	-2.92%	0.001097	-12.87%	0.0624	✗	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.00121	-2.83%	0.001059	-14.94%	0.0294	✗	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001225	-2.82%	0.001037	-17.76%	0.0171	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.001257	-2.08%	0.00103	-19.78%	0.0499	✗	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.001248	-2.02%	0.001084	-14.91%	0.0869	✗	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.001257	-2.35%	0.001055	-18.03%	0.0481	✗	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.00123	-2.63%	0.001015	-19.64%	0.0292	✓	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.001233	-2.49%	0.00104	-17.72%	0.0707	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.001228	-2.51%	0.00108	-14.29%	0.0660	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.001218	-3.42%	0.00107	-15.15%	0.0909	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001232	-3.67%	0.001088	-14.93%	0.0879	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001239	-3.43%	0.001084	-15.51%	0.0936	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.001289	-3.00%	0.00112	-15.73%	0.0976	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001333	-2.29%	0.001162	-14.81%	0.0964	✓	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001314	-2.73%	0.001116	-17.39%	0.1577	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.001295	-2.43%	0.001018	-23.29%	0.2332	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001273	-1.56%	0.001016	-21.42%	0.2009	✓	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.00127	-1.53%	0.001064	-17.52%	0.1355	✓	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001245	-2.94%	0.001073	-16.37%	0.1672	✓	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001244	-3.23%	0.001081	-15.94%	0.1664	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.001236	-4.45%	0.001127	-12.91%	0.1349	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001246	-3.07%	0.001148	-10.66%	0.0986	✓	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001294	-2.10%	0.001148	-13.16%	0.1242	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.001201	-3.23%	0.001173	-5.48%	0.0644	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.00121	-3.26%	0.001194	-4.56%	0.0720	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001197	-3.41%	0.00121	-2.34%	0.0828	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.001191	-3.03%	0.001223	-0.41%	0.0402	✓	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001121	-4.79%	0.001247	+5.95%	0.0286	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.00114	-3.54%	0.00125	+5.75%	0.0265	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001156	-3.46%	0.001246	+4.09%	0.0504	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.001184	-4.11%	0.001259	+1.94%	0.0631	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001197	-4.46%	0.001245	-0.64%	0.0903	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001215	-4.19%	0.001261	-0.55%	0.0774	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.001239	-5.90%	0.001284	-2.51%	0.1529	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.001154	-5.40%	0.001274	+4.43%	0.0796	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001116	-5.54%	0.001287	+8.88%	0.0467	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001118	-5.58%	0.001263	+6.67%	0.0541	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001104	-5.40%	0.001264	+8.31%	0.0433	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.001112	-5.05%	0.00126	+7.60%	0.0276	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001144	-4.93%	0.001261	+4.82%	0.0256	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.001113	-4.75%	0.001279	+9.41%	0.0006	✓	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001133	-4.84%	0.001283	+7.72%	0.0360	✓	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001184	-4.98%	0.001329	+6.66%	0.0532	✓	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.001263	-5.27%	0.001364	+2.33%	0.1098	✓	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001382	-5.24%	0.001351	-7.34%	0.1535	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.001442	-4.57%	0.001327	-12.18%	0.1725	✓	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.001454	-4.54%	0.001293	-15.10%	0.2301	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001473	-4.37%	0.00129	-16.23%	0.2392	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.001448	-4.77%	0.001283	-15.65%	0.2519	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001504	-4.89%	0.001286	-18.66%	0.2623	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.0015	-4.83%	0.001294	-17.89%	0.1987	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.00168	-5.05%	0.001285	-27.36%	0.3578	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001693	-5.01%	0.001322	-25.81%	0.3363	✓	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001754	-5.02%	0.001241	-32.81%	0.3649	✓	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001772	-5.08%	0.001251	-32.99%	0.3475	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.001768	-5.30%	0.001239	-33.64%	0.3761	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001747	-5.42%	0.001228	-33.51%	0.4022	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001748	-5.56%	0.001177	-36.41%	0.3926	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.001714	-5.61%	0.001182	-34.91%	0.4116	✓	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001716	-5.78%	0.001197	-34.27%	0.4037	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001699	-5.93%	0.001235	-31.62%	0.3479	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001763	-6.23%	0.001253	-33.35%	0.3848	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001724	-6.17%	0.001268	-30.97%	0.4053	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001813	-6.48%	0.001317	-32.08%	0.3463	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001813	-6.47%	0.00122	-37.05%	0.4107	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.001942	-6.75%	0.001182	-43.25%	0.4389	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.002014	-6.95%	0.001184	-45.31%	0.4417	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.001934	-6.90%	0.001167	-43.81%	0.4812	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.002064	-7.48%	0.001171	-47.51%	0.5556	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002036	-7.64%	0.001203	-45.42%	0.5652	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002267	-9.20%	0.001169	-53.18%	0.6589	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.002214	-9.21%	0.001191	-51.17%	0.6217	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002126	-8.69%	0.001246	-46.48%	0.5156	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.002122	-9.11%	0.001333	-42.91%	0.4391	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.001991	-8.53%	0.001458	-33.03%	0.3860	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002166	-10.21%	0.001511	-37.35%	0.4630	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002279	-11.48%	0.001523	-40.83%	0.4465	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.002138	-11.70%	0.00154	-36.39%	0.3716	✓	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.001703	-7.51%	0.001521	-17.38%	0.1108	✓	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001645	-7.24%	0.001581	-10.83%	0.0684	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001624	-7.23%	0.001576	-9.99%	0.0910	✓	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.00162	-7.44%	0.001769	+1.09%	0.0528	✓	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.00148	-7.01%	0.001782	+11.93%	0.1503	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.001478	-7.02%	0.001847	+16.24%	0.1490	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.001528	-7.36%	0.001867	+13.22%	0.1277	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001641	-7.74%	0.001867	+4.95%	0.0692	✓	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001657	-7.67%	0.001847	+2.90%	0.0295	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.001684	-8.02%	0.001851	+1.09%	0.0345	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001799	-8.83%	0.001816	-7.96%	0.0159	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.001806	-9.13%	0.001821	-8.35%	0.0069	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.001855	-9.49%	0.001806	-11.86%	0.0219	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.001873	-9.72%	0.00188	-9.40%	0.0157	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.001843	-10.05%	0.001837	-10.35%	0.0661	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.00159	-8.28%	0.001939	+11.82%	0.1324	✗	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.001867	-10.67%	0.001938	-7.27%	0.0931	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002137	-11.75%	0.002083	-14.00%	0.0202	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.00215	-12.01%	0.002165	-11.38%	0.0626	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.001991	-11.98%	0.002077	-8.18%	0.1225	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002134	-12.69%	0.002231	-8.72%	0.1333	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.002622	-14.27%	0.002204	-27.93%	0.0829	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002574	-15.02%	0.002497	-17.56%	0.0559	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.002455	-14.44%	0.002439	-14.99%	0.1368	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002234	-13.61%	0.002328	-9.98%	0.1725	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001733	-10.20%	0.002335	+20.98%	0.3934	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.001728	-10.62%	0.002177	+12.62%	0.3423	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.002101	-13.27%	0.002412	-0.45%	0.2079	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002188	-14.44%	0.002574	+0.66%	0.2242	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002466	-18.67%	0.002421	-20.15%	0.0439	✓	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.001898	-12.78%	0.001841	-15.40%	0.0211	✓	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.0015	-8.45%	0.001773	+8.24%	0.1972	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001215	-4.62%	0.001751	+37.44%	0.5111	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001193	-3.88%	0.00175	+41.02%	0.5376	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001172	-3.14%	0.001592	+31.57%	0.4645	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001215	-2.78%	0.001589	+27.12%	0.4360	✗	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001219	-2.57%	0.001649	+31.81%	0.4644	✗	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001129	-1.94%	0.001779	+54.56%	0.6272	✗	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001058	-2.66%	0.001795	+65.13%	0.7242	✗	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.001031	-3.95%	0.001831	+70.64%	0.7455	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.001009	-4.15%	0.001973	+87.37%	0.8261	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001022	-3.95%	0.001987	+86.75%	0.8076	✗	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001253	-3.43%	0.002049	+57.98%	0.6418	✗	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.00138	-3.38%	0.002075	+45.31%	0.5807	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001396	-3.28%	0.002049	+42.00%	0.5971	✗	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001444	-2.61%	0.001734	+16.93%	0.5097	✗	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001443	-2.49%	0.00209	+41.22%	0.5767	✗	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.001465	-3.13%	0.002422	+60.19%	0.6628	✗	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001464	-3.19%	0.002443	+61.57%	0.6322	✗	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.001465	-3.18%	0.002262	+49.50%	0.5653	✗	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001452	-3.13%	0.002444	+63.04%	0.6206	✗	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.001445	-3.07%	0.003058	+105.10%	0.7816	✗	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001456	-2.88%	0.003029	+102.07%	0.7696	✗	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.001485	-3.02%	0.002869	+87.39%	0.6391	✗	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001507	-2.93%	0.002586	+66.52%	0.5279	✗	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001504	-2.85%	0.00193	+24.68%	0.2452	✗	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.001468	-2.65%	0.001933	+28.18%	0.2822	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001478	-2.59%	0.002423	+59.72%	0.4765	✗	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001505	-2.56%	0.002557	+65.50%	0.5123	✗	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.001467	-2.35%	0.003032	+101.86%	0.7071	✗	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001489	-2.28%	0.002176	+42.78%	0.3717	✗	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001525	-2.37%	0.001638	+4.87%	0.0746	✗	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.001515	-2.34%	0.001274	-17.86%	0.2119	✓	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.001493	-2.25%	0.001241	-18.73%	0.2350	✓	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001435	-2.13%	0.00121	-17.46%	0.2562	✓	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.001552	-2.45%	0.00125	-21.43%	0.2973	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001534	-2.33%	0.001251	-20.37%	0.2715	✓	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.001657	-2.80%	0.001151	-32.49%	0.4608	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001712	-2.91%	0.001087	-38.34%	0.5184	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001725	-2.85%	0.001073	-39.58%	0.4834	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001699	-2.74%	0.001053	-39.73%	0.4838	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001728	-2.58%	0.001064	-40.02%	0.4657	✓	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.001763	-2.67%	0.001297	-28.38%	0.2932	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001796	-2.79%	0.001428	-22.69%	0.2145	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001806	-2.87%	0.001443	-22.38%	0.2297	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001813	-2.93%	0.001483	-20.61%	0.2298	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001847	-3.05%	0.00148	-22.31%	0.2624	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.00189	-3.18%	0.001512	-22.54%	0.2428	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001881	-3.03%	0.001512	-22.06%	0.2045	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001844	-2.86%	0.001513	-20.28%	0.1647	✓	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.00204	-3.47%	0.001499	-29.06%	0.2810	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.001962	-3.03%	0.001491	-26.30%	0.2876	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.002019	-3.25%	0.001499	-28.17%	0.2768	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.001988	-3.12%	0.001531	-25.39%	0.2218	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002036	-3.24%	0.001553	-26.19%	0.2388	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.002083	-3.38%	0.001548	-28.20%	0.2599	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002161	-3.65%	0.001508	-32.77%	0.3274	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002058	-3.24%	0.001517	-28.68%	0.3035	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002043	-3.29%	0.001545	-26.88%	0.2731	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.002003	-3.10%	0.001502	-27.33%	0.2941	✓	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.001992	-2.93%	0.001524	-25.73%	0.3075	✓	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.001969	-2.90%	0.001562	-22.98%	0.2683	✓	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.002045	-3.28%	0.001551	-26.63%	0.2944	✓	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.002053	-3.63%	0.001527	-28.31%	0.2575	✓	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002273	-4.44%	0.001466	-38.38%	0.3556	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.002271	-4.43%	0.001591	-33.04%	0.2900	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002389	-5.02%	0.001571	-37.53%	0.3494	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.002376	-5.10%	0.001705	-31.91%	0.2301	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002368	-5.10%	0.001763	-29.34%	0.2245	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.00241	-5.44%	0.001776	-30.33%	0.1996	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002261	-4.83%	0.001747	-26.47%	0.1244	✓	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002244	-4.75%	0.001774	-24.70%	0.1131	✓	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002314	-4.85%	0.001811	-25.53%	0.0834	✓	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002326	-4.90%	0.001847	-24.49%	0.0905	✓	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.00223	-4.73%	0.001859	-20.59%	0.0456	✓	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002236	-4.97%	0.001868	-20.61%	0.0288	✓	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.002183	-4.87%	0.001905	-16.99%	0.0060	✓	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002201	-5.09%	0.001952	-15.83%	0.0527	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.002224	-5.18%	0.00194	-17.31%	0.0241	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002317	-5.71%	0.001898	-22.75%	0.0367	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.002412	-5.83%	0.002113	-17.49%	0.1105	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002423	-6.00%	0.002023	-21.53%	0.1286	✗	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.002385	-5.96%	0.002087	-17.71%	0.1079	✗	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.002348	-5.97%	0.002052	-17.82%	0.0845	✗	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002407	-6.07%	0.002104	-17.91%	0.0993	✗	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.002396	-5.79%	0.002156	-15.22%	0.1762	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002415	-5.64%	0.002243	-12.35%	0.2355	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002427	-5.50%	0.002127	-17.17%	0.2347	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002392	-5.81%	0.002113	-16.78%	0.1946	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.002444	-5.69%	0.002067	-20.22%	0.1701	✗	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.002494	-5.94%	0.002052	-22.60%	0.1665	✗	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002401	-5.87%	0.002028	-20.50%	0.1474	✗	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.00246	-5.92%	0.002114	-19.16%	0.1506	✗	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002601	-6.09%	0.00213	-23.10%	0.0543	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002581	-6.28%	0.002379	-13.62%	0.1210	✗	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002446	-6.03%	0.002376	-8.72%	0.1623	✗	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002414	-6.03%	0.002515	-2.10%	0.1937	✗	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.002186	-5.80%	0.002504	+7.88%	0.3008	✗	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002466	-5.82%	0.002495	-4.70%	0.2168	✗	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002591	-5.97%	0.002549	-7.48%	0.1474	✗	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.0027	-5.88%	0.002376	-17.18%	0.0402	✓	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.002701	-6.07%	0.002356	-18.08%	0.0094	✓	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002585	-6.83%	0.002432	-12.36%	0.0024	✓	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.00292	-6.63%	0.002446	-21.78%	0.0764	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003555	-4.04%	0.002341	-36.82%	0.2305	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003479	-3.66%	0.002353	-34.84%	0.1821	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003389	-4.64%	0.002295	-35.42%	0.1671	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003512	-3.42%	0.002319	-36.22%	0.1860	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.003402	-3.94%	0.002346	-33.77%	0.1293	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003589	-4.07%	0.002457	-34.32%	0.2067	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003719	-3.98%	0.002561	-33.88%	0.2479	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003799	-4.53%	0.002578	-35.21%	0.2724	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.0037	-5.31%	0.002536	-35.11%	0.2798	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.00352	-6.91%	0.002497	-33.96%	0.2798	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.003523	-6.88%	0.002563	-32.25%	0.2682	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.003516	-7.38%	0.002543	-33.01%	0.3322	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.00346	-7.87%	0.002559	-31.87%	0.3536	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003542	-7.56%	0.002568	-32.99%	0.3785	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.00355	-7.47%	0.002539	-33.81%	0.3663	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.00378	-6.33%	0.002591	-35.79%	0.3500	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.003843	-6.52%	0.002651	-35.51%	0.3482	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.00387	-6.31%	0.002551	-38.25%	0.3536	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.004062	-5.35%	0.002615	-39.06%	0.3551	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.004007	-5.20%	0.00277	-34.47%	0.3051	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004362	-4.69%	0.002754	-39.83%	0.3756	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004392	-4.28%	0.002603	-43.28%	0.4013	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.004752	0.004543	-4.40%	0.002569	-45.94%	0.4493	✓	1.34

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.