UPROBINHOOD

? · · gru_s8

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +7d

assessed

56

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

66.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4409

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0366

actual +0.0621

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.263873	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.264083	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.238358	-4.22%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.213154	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.224102	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.269008	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.266625	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.262029	-4.50%	0.276795	+0.88%	0.0227	✓	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.278917	-6.21%	0.277585	-6.65%	0.0002	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.199714	+0.64%	0.24885	+25.40%	0.2174	✓	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.233073	-1.37%	0.21966	-7.05%	0.0177	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.210314	+0.88%	0.23107	+10.84%	0.1321	✓	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.208621	+1.38%	0.28208	+37.08%	0.3277	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.201577	+1.80%	0.279945	+41.38%	0.3177	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.231304	+0.92%	0.27437	+19.71%	0.2114	✓	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.243383	-0.10%	0.297375	+22.06%	0.2572	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.26399	-0.91%	0.198445	-25.51%	0.1923	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.282103	-1.98%	0.23632	-17.89%	0.1132	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.286386	-1.35%	0.20848	-28.19%	0.2751	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.272218	-0.44%	0.20578	-24.74%	0.2341	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.295317	-1.52%	0.19801	-33.97%	0.3269	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.385986	-4.91%	0.22919	-43.54%	0.5144	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.374279	-4.94%	0.24363	-38.12%	0.4753	✓	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.289546	-0.56%	0.266405	-8.51%	0.1398	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.309685	-1.71%	0.28781	-8.65%	0.1225	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.351915	-3.44%	0.290305	-20.35%	0.2003	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.32716	-2.59%	0.27341	-18.59%	0.1894	✓	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.330023	-2.92%	0.29989	-11.79%	0.1069	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.379139	-4.08%	0.40591	+2.69%	0.0878	✗	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.459973	-4.76%	0.39374	-18.47%	0.1000	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.527064	-5.39%	0.291185	-47.73%	0.5278	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.439606	-4.87%	0.31507	-31.82%	0.3967	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.460307	-5.21%	0.36447	-24.95%	0.2942	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.544782	-6.84%	0.33586	-42.56%	0.5447	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.449072	-5.10%	0.33996	-28.16%	0.4047	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.369116	-1.25%	0.39528	+5.75%	0.0639	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.316425	-0.79%	0.482965	+51.42%	0.2558	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.363321	-2.03%	0.55709	+50.22%	0.3203	✗	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.370302	-2.30%	0.46212	+21.93%	0.1622	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.343819	-2.87%	0.485615	+37.19%	0.2890	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.368394	-3.58%	0.58476	+53.04%	0.4110	✗	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.380136	-4.12%	0.47322	+19.36%	0.2217	✗	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.399134	-4.70%	0.37378	-10.75%	0.0379	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.476415	-5.09%	0.318955	-36.46%	0.3640	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.527981	-5.36%	0.37084	-33.53%	0.3416	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.638771	-5.96%	0.379015	-44.20%	0.4769	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.733303	-7.21%	0.353985	-55.21%	0.6956	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.592901	-6.04%	0.382085	-39.45%	0.4079	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.715909	-6.99%	0.396465	-48.49%	0.5310	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.771697	-7.93%	0.41882	-50.03%	0.6237	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.794941	-9.07%	0.50196	-42.59%	0.4732	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.817637	-10.58%	0.55791	-38.98%	0.3889	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.480263	-8.46%	0.679235	+29.47%	0.3128	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.306366	-5.54%	0.790295	+143.66%	0.9274	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.232648	-3.57%	0.63101	+161.55%	0.9745	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.255121	-3.61%	0.76968	+190.79%	1.0920	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.343896	-7.61%	0.838135	+125.17%	0.9128	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.154101	-2.18%	0.87428	+454.96%	1.7503	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.192201	-3.25%	0.91438	+360.30%	1.5650	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.137634	-2.32%	0.52462	+272.33%	1.3389	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.082831	-2.67%	0.32435	+281.14%	1.3498	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.109265	-1.30%	0.24126	+117.94%	0.7983	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.102544	-2.71%	0.26469	+151.13%	0.8534	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.