TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · gru_s8
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +7d
assessed
21
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
61.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1347
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0694
actual -0.0223
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.85085 | 0.816548 | -4.03% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.8493 | 0.817096 | -3.79% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.854389 | -4.14% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.862554 | -4.15% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.806414 | -3.73% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.843995 | -4.08% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.849385 | -4.23% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 0.991491 | -4.97% | 0.85085 | -18.45% | 0.1782 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 0.976811 | -5.16% | 0.8493 | -17.54% | 0.1696 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.959001 | -5.41% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.0713 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.930817 | -5.72% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0349 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0203 | -6.12% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.1771 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.0628 | -6.51% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.1702 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 0.986089 | -6.73% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.0933 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 0.964017 | -6.93% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0738 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0116 | -6.85% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0388 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.0669 | -6.67% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0221 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0393 | -6.75% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.0878 | -6.94% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0323 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1032 | -8.24% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0519 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.782654 | -6.93% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.3242 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.794393 | -6.85% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.3033 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.815831 | -7.10% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.2894 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.931523 | -7.28% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.1822 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.0457 | -8.14% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0368 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 0.992179 | -8.60% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.1400 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.842496 | -6.62% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3517 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.768975 | -6.13% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0846 | ✗ | 1.00 |