TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · gru_s8
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
57.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0658
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0118
actual +0.0039
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.872327 | -0.32% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.88802 | -0.36% | 0.87515 | -1.81% | 0.0154 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.896489 | -0.38% | 0.89125 | -0.96% | 0.0026 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.835778 | -0.22% | 0.8999 | +7.43% | 0.0735 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.877051 | -0.32% | 0.83765 | -4.80% | 0.0445 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.883636 | -0.37% | 0.8799 | -0.79% | 0.0045 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0355 | -0.75% | 0.8869 | -14.99% | 0.1473 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.0218 | -0.79% | 1.0433 | +1.29% | 0.0140 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 1.0054 | -0.83% | 1.03 | +1.60% | 0.0429 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.978734 | -0.86% | 1.0138 | +2.69% | 0.0187 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0748 | -1.10% | 0.98725 | -9.16% | 0.0616 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.1213 | -1.37% | 1.0868 | -4.40% | 0.0405 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0449 | -1.17% | 1.1368 | +7.52% | 0.0799 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 1.0236 | -1.17% | 1.0573 | +2.07% | 0.0219 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0728 | -1.22% | 1.0358 | -4.62% | 0.0159 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.1285 | -1.28% | 1.0859 | -5.00% | 0.0116 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.1 | -1.31% | 1.1432 | +2.56% | 0.0410 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1518 | -1.47% | 1.1146 | -4.65% | 0.0240 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1753 | -2.24% | 1.1689 | -2.77% | 0.0260 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.831622 | -1.11% | 1.2022 | +42.96% | 0.3657 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.843384 | -1.10% | 0.84095 | -1.39% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.867714 | -1.19% | 0.8528 | -2.89% | 0.0327 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.989397 | -1.52% | 0.87815 | -12.60% | 0.1183 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.1151 | -2.04% | 1.0047 | -11.74% | 0.1064 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0565 | -2.67% | 1.1383 | +4.87% | 0.0866 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.887692 | -1.61% | 1.0855 | +20.32% | 0.2006 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.803238 | -1.95% | 0.9022 | +10.13% | 0.1123 | ✗ | 1.00 |