TMX

TermMax · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id: #846
symbol: TMX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

42.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4064

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0055

actual -0.3422

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00942	0.00932	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.00918	0.009089	-0.99%	–	pending	–	–	3.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.00918	0.009091	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-18	oos	0.008945	0.008852	-1.04%	–	pending	–	–	3.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.008375	0.008293	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	3.13
2026-10-16	oos	0.007985	0.0079	-1.06%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-15	oos	0.00795	0.00786	-1.13%	–	pending	–	–	3.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.00869	0.008599	-1.05%	0.00942	+8.40%	0.0473	✗	3.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.010375	0.010184	-1.84%	0.00918	-11.52%	0.0976	✓	3.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.01041	0.010229	-1.74%	0.00918	-11.82%	0.1119	✓	3.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.01259	0.012114	-3.78%	0.008945	-28.95%	0.2419	✓	3.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.011045	0.010776	-2.43%	0.008375	-24.17%	0.1968	✓	2.97
2026-10-09	oos	0.010635	0.010411	-2.11%	0.007985	-24.92%	0.2277	✓	2.95
2026-10-08	oos	0.010685	0.010477	-1.94%	0.00795	-25.60%	0.2915	✓	2.94
2026-10-07	oos	0.01237	0.011938	-3.49%	0.00869	-29.75%	0.2573	✓	2.90
2026-10-06	oos	0.012635	0.012122	-4.06%	0.010375	-17.89%	0.0654	✓	3.12
2026-10-05	oos	0.014305	0.013452	-5.96%	0.01041	-27.23%	0.1078	✓	3.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.01564	0.014209	-9.15%	0.01259	-19.50%	0.0177	✓	3.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.011575	0.011278	-2.56%	0.011045	-4.58%	0.0390	✗	2.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0112	0.010937	-2.35%	0.010635	-5.04%	0.0362	✗	2.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.01535	0.014211	-7.42%	0.010685	-30.39%	0.1850	✓	2.64
2026-09-30	oos	0.00878	0.008897	+1.33%	0.01237	+40.89%	0.3367	✓	2.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.008885	0.009006	+1.36%	0.012635	+42.21%	0.2907	✓	2.13
2026-09-28	oos	0.008805	0.008915	+1.25%	0.014305	+62.46%	0.4152	✓	2.13
2026-09-27	oos	0.01078	0.011064	+2.64%	0.01564	+45.08%	0.2973	✓	2.04
2026-09-26	oos	0.012155	0.012557	+3.31%	0.011575	-4.77%	0.0893	✗	2.04
2026-09-25	oos	0.011725	0.012146	+3.59%	0.0112	-4.48%	0.0910	✗	2.03
2026-09-24	oos	0.01571	0.016129	+2.67%	0.01535	-2.29%	0.0602	✗	1.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.01868	0.018946	+1.42%	0.00878	-53.00%	0.7593	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.02111	0.021155	+0.21%	0.008885	-57.91%	0.8374	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02088	0.020948	+0.32%	0.008805	-57.83%	0.8298	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.02122	0.021432	+1.00%	0.01078	-49.20%	0.7271	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.02048	0.02073	+1.22%	0.012155	-40.65%	0.5723	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.02102	0.02132	+1.43%	0.011725	-44.22%	0.6369	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.022235	0.022703	+2.10%	0.01571	-29.35%	0.4683	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02379	0.024273	+2.03%	0.01868	-21.48%	0.3646	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.026725	0.027174	+1.68%	0.02111	-21.01%	0.3839	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.032755	0.032934	+0.55%	0.02088	-36.25%	0.5580	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.02957	0.029756	+0.63%	0.02122	-28.24%	0.3933	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.03304	0.033115	+0.23%	0.02048	-38.01%	0.5306	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.03	0.029606	-1.31%	0.02102	-29.93%	0.3889	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.030845	0.030236	-1.98%	0.022235	-27.91%	0.3049	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.036275	0.036019	-0.71%	0.02379	-34.42%	0.3871	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.04783	0.048054	+0.47%	0.026725	-44.13%	0.5495	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.055525	0.056357	+1.50%	0.032755	-41.01%	0.5310	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.078715	0.079222	+0.64%	0.02957	-62.43%	0.9404	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.094865	0.094906	+0.04%	0.03304	-65.17%	1.0225	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.0947	0.095318	+0.65%	0.03	-68.32%	1.1246	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.11449	0.114774	+0.25%	0.030845	-73.06%	1.2541	✗	1.00