TMX

TermMax · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id: #846
symbol: TMX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

41.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1110

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0009

actual -0.0513

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00942	0.00939	-0.32%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.00918	0.009155	-0.27%	0.00942	+2.61%	0.0378	✗	3.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.00918	0.009157	-0.25%	0.00918	+0.00%	0.0395	✓	3.15
2026-10-18	oos	0.008945	0.008922	-0.26%	0.00918	+2.63%	0.0350	✗	3.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.008375	0.008358	-0.20%	0.008945	+6.81%	0.0439	✗	3.13
2026-10-16	oos	0.007985	0.007971	-0.17%	0.008375	+4.88%	0.0540	✗	3.14
2026-10-15	oos	0.00795	0.007938	-0.15%	0.007985	+0.44%	0.0302	✗	3.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.00869	0.008676	-0.16%	0.00795	-8.52%	0.1092	✓	3.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.010375	0.010336	-0.37%	0.00869	-16.24%	0.1151	✓	3.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.01041	0.010374	-0.34%	0.010375	-0.34%	0.0516	✓	3.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.01259	0.012478	-0.89%	0.01041	-17.32%	0.1099	✓	3.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.011045	0.01099	-0.50%	0.01259	+13.99%	0.1086	✗	2.97
2026-10-09	oos	0.010635	0.010594	-0.38%	0.011045	+3.86%	0.0286	✗	2.95
2026-10-08	oos	0.010685	0.010649	-0.33%	0.010635	-0.47%	0.0318	✓	2.94
2026-10-07	oos	0.01237	0.012282	-0.71%	0.010685	-13.62%	0.0836	✓	2.90
2026-10-06	oos	0.012635	0.012531	-0.82%	0.01237	-2.10%	0.0708	✗	3.12
2026-10-05	oos	0.014305	0.014108	-1.38%	0.012635	-11.67%	0.1027	✓	3.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.01564	0.015193	-2.86%	0.014305	-8.54%	0.0329	✓	3.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.011575	0.011511	-0.55%	0.01564	+35.12%	0.2500	✗	2.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0112	0.011131	-0.62%	0.011575	+3.35%	0.0315	✗	2.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.01535	0.01498	-2.41%	0.0112	-27.04%	0.2800	✓	2.64
2026-09-30	oos	0.00878	0.008816	+0.41%	0.01535	+74.83%	0.5220	✓	2.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.008885	0.008924	+0.44%	0.00878	-1.18%	0.0142	✗	2.13
2026-09-28	oos	0.008805	0.008844	+0.45%	0.008885	+0.91%	0.0000	✓	2.13
2026-09-27	oos	0.01078	0.010846	+0.61%	0.008805	-18.32%	0.1840	✗	2.04
2026-09-26	oos	0.012155	0.012242	+0.72%	0.01078	-11.31%	0.1283	✗	2.04
2026-09-25	oos	0.011725	0.011817	+0.78%	0.012155	+3.67%	0.0205	✓	2.03
2026-09-24	oos	0.01571	0.015809	+0.63%	0.011725	-25.37%	0.2921	✗	1.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.01868	0.018761	+0.43%	0.01571	-15.90%	0.1776	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.02111	0.021156	+0.22%	0.01868	-11.51%	0.1031	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02088	0.020929	+0.23%	0.02111	+1.10%	0.0132	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.02122	0.021295	+0.36%	0.02088	-1.60%	0.0845	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.02048	0.020561	+0.40%	0.02122	+3.61%	0.0324	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.02102	0.021111	+0.43%	0.02048	-2.57%	0.0348	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.022235	0.022356	+0.54%	0.02102	-5.46%	0.1192	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02379	0.023919	+0.54%	0.022235	-6.54%	0.0757	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.026725	0.026855	+0.49%	0.02379	-10.98%	0.1286	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.032755	0.032843	+0.27%	0.026725	-18.41%	0.1724	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.02957	0.029665	+0.32%	0.032755	+10.77%	0.0813	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.03304	0.03312	+0.24%	0.02957	-10.50%	0.1074	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.03	0.030009	+0.03%	0.03304	+10.13%	0.0955	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.030845	0.030828	-0.06%	0.03	-2.74%	0.0360	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.036275	0.03633	+0.15%	0.030845	-14.97%	0.1411	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.04783	0.047956	+0.26%	0.036275	-24.16%	0.2771	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.055525	0.055749	+0.40%	0.04783	-13.86%	0.1450	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.078715	0.078798	+0.11%	0.055525	-29.46%	0.3344	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.094865	0.094794	-0.08%	0.078715	-17.02%	0.1922	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.0947	0.094765	+0.07%	0.094865	+0.17%	0.0009	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.11449	0.114397	-0.08%	0.0947	-17.29%	0.1692	✓	1.00