S

Sonic · native · gru_s8

token id: #120
symbol: S
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-06-24
predictions: 1,431

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

71.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1557

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0265

actual -0.0686

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.05664	0.052625	-7.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-21	oos	0.055915	0.05214	-6.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-20	oos	0.05751	0.053387	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-19	oos	0.05861	0.053967	-7.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-18	oos	0.051685	0.047705	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-17	oos	0.052695	0.048369	-8.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.054935	0.049956	-9.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-15	oos	0.055925	0.050091	-10.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.054155	0.048455	-10.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-13	oos	0.057115	0.050409	-11.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-12	oos	0.05647	0.0496	-12.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-11	oos	0.06086	0.052803	-13.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.04728	0.042787	-9.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-10-09	oos	0.043925	0.039844	-9.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-10-08	oos	0.038495	0.035308	-8.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.040855	0.037665	-7.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.043535	0.040346	-7.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-05	oos	0.043635	0.040387	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-04	oos	0.040785	0.038074	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-03	oos	0.043395	0.040019	-7.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.03797	0.035366	-6.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-01	oos	0.03865	0.036029	-6.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-09-30	oos	0.040745	0.037499	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.037615	0.034881	-7.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.038825	0.035855	-7.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.04043	0.037257	-7.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-26	oos	0.039945	0.03677	-7.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-25	oos	0.04142	0.037871	-8.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.04092	0.037457	-8.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-23	oos	0.04014	0.036699	-8.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.04336	0.039116	-9.79%	0.05664	+30.63%	0.3995	✗	1.26
2026-09-21	oos	0.039495	0.036431	-7.76%	0.055915	+41.57%	0.4693	✗	1.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.039995	0.035541	-11.14%	0.05751	+43.79%	0.4476	✗	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.033515	0.031151	-7.05%	0.05861	+74.88%	0.6206	✗	1.55
2026-09-18	oos	0.032415	0.030175	-6.91%	0.051685	+59.45%	0.5165	✗	1.55
2026-09-17	oos	0.027	0.025852	-4.25%	0.052695	+95.17%	0.6254	✗	1.36
2026-09-16	oos	0.025855	0.024943	-3.53%	0.054935	+112.47%	0.6984	✗	1.34
2026-09-15	oos	0.02546	0.024582	-3.45%	0.055925	+119.66%	0.7149	✗	1.29
2026-09-14	oos	0.02675	0.02595	-2.99%	0.054155	+102.45%	0.6816	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.026345	0.025542	-3.05%	0.057115	+116.80%	0.7041	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.027485	0.026538	-3.45%	0.05647	+105.46%	0.6835	✗	1.27
2026-09-11	oos	0.02702	0.026222	-2.95%	0.06086	+125.24%	0.7385	✗	1.29
2026-09-10	oos	0.02649	0.025727	-2.88%	0.04728	+78.48%	0.5061	✗	1.28
2026-09-09	oos	0.02824	0.027546	-2.46%	0.043925	+55.54%	0.4001	✗	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.02972	0.028824	-3.01%	0.038495	+29.53%	0.2386	✗	1.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.029985	0.029253	-2.44%	0.040855	+36.25%	0.2689	✗	1.26
2026-09-06	oos	0.03098	0.030341	-2.06%	0.043535	+40.53%	0.2862	✗	1.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.02983	0.029366	-1.56%	0.043635	+46.28%	0.3111	✗	1.19
2026-09-04	oos	0.02953	0.029145	-1.30%	0.040785	+38.11%	0.2412	✗	1.15
2026-09-03	oos	0.02826	0.028257	-0.01%	0.043395	+53.56%	0.3787	✗	1.20
2026-09-02	oos	0.02658	0.026099	-1.81%	0.03797	+42.85%	0.2615	✗	1.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.02764	0.027105	-1.94%	0.03865	+39.83%	0.2366	✗	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.02777	0.027503	-0.96%	0.040745	+46.72%	0.3171	✗	1.23
2026-08-30	oos	0.02759	0.027282	-1.12%	0.037615	+36.34%	0.2304	✗	1.23
2026-08-29	oos	0.03037	0.029831	-1.78%	0.038825	+27.84%	0.1882	✗	1.17
2026-08-28	oos	0.02984	0.029406	-1.45%	0.04043	+35.49%	0.2232	✗	1.17
2026-08-27	oos	0.03047	0.030609	+0.46%	0.039945	+31.10%	0.2068	✓	1.18
2026-08-26	oos	0.03201	0.031757	-0.79%	0.04142	+29.40%	0.1909	✗	1.20
2026-08-25	oos	0.02739	0.027862	+1.72%	0.04092	+49.40%	0.2984	✓	1.19
2026-08-24	oos	0.028635	0.028945	+1.08%	0.04014	+40.18%	0.2480	✓	1.20
2026-08-23	oos	0.02816	0.028289	+0.46%	0.04336	+53.98%	0.3035	✓	1.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.02708	0.027292	+0.78%	0.039495	+45.85%	0.2307	✓	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.02856	0.028791	+0.81%	0.039995	+40.04%	0.2869	✓	1.17
2026-08-20	oos	0.02506	0.024813	-0.98%	0.033515	+33.74%	0.1861	✗	1.07
2026-08-19	oos	0.02324	0.022683	-2.40%	0.032415	+39.48%	0.1949	✗	1.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.021375	0.020624	-3.52%	0.027	+26.32%	0.1014	✗	1.01
2026-08-17	oos	0.02184	0.021047	-3.63%	0.025855	+18.38%	0.0355	✓	1.02
2026-08-16	oos	0.02196	0.021116	-3.84%	0.02546	+15.94%	0.0069	✓	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.02231	0.021444	-3.88%	0.02675	+19.90%	0.0044	✓	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.02206	0.021265	-3.60%	0.026345	+19.42%	0.0060	✓	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.02262	0.021831	-3.49%	0.027485	+21.51%	0.0230	✓	1.05
2026-08-12	oos	0.02238	0.021652	-3.25%	0.02702	+20.73%	0.0115	✓	1.07
2026-08-11	oos	0.023	0.022265	-3.19%	0.02649	+15.17%	0.0253	✓	1.07
2026-08-10	oos	0.02353	0.022771	-3.23%	0.02824	+20.02%	0.0027	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.02351	0.022818	-2.94%	0.02972	+26.41%	0.0554	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	0.02358	0.022874	-2.99%	0.029985	+27.16%	0.0534	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.02169	0.021218	-2.17%	0.03098	+42.83%	0.1406	✗	1.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.0219	0.021409	-2.24%	0.02983	+36.21%	0.0906	✗	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.02193	0.021488	-2.02%	0.02953	+34.66%	0.0811	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.02235	0.021845	-2.26%	0.02826	+26.44%	0.0102	✓	1.12
2026-08-03	oos	0.02253	0.021959	-2.54%	0.02658	+17.98%	0.0363	✓	1.15
2026-08-02	oos	0.02177	0.021313	-2.10%	0.02764	+26.96%	0.0313	✗	1.16
2026-08-01	oos	0.0214	0.020965	-2.03%	0.02777	+29.77%	0.0226	✗	1.15
2026-07-31	oos	0.02131	0.020896	-1.94%	0.02759	+29.47%	0.0338	✗	1.15
2026-07-30	oos	0.02149	0.021184	-1.42%	0.03037	+41.32%	0.1369	✗	1.18
2026-07-29	oos	0.02114	0.020875	-1.25%	0.02984	+41.15%	0.1261	✗	1.17
2026-07-28	oos	0.02166	0.021378	-1.30%	0.03047	+40.67%	0.0891	✗	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.02165	0.021381	-1.24%	0.03201	+47.85%	0.1537	✗	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.02341	0.023092	-1.36%	0.02739	+17.00%	0.0337	✓	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.02345	0.023084	-1.56%	0.028635	+22.11%	0.0153	✓	1.12
2026-07-24	oos	0.0234	0.023062	-1.45%	0.02816	+20.34%	0.0169	✓	1.12
2026-07-23	oos	0.02404	0.023736	-1.27%	0.02708	+12.65%	0.0578	✓	1.12
2026-07-22	oos	0.024615	0.024394	-0.90%	0.02856	+16.03%	0.0291	✓	1.10
2026-07-21	oos	0.02451	0.024353	-0.64%	0.02506	+2.24%	0.0742	✓	1.10
2026-07-20	oos	0.02515	0.024819	-1.32%	0.02324	-7.59%	0.1340	✓	1.12
2026-07-19	oos	0.02396	0.023664	-1.23%	0.021375	-10.79%	0.1017	✓	1.11
2026-07-18	oos	0.02426	0.024059	-0.83%	0.02184	-9.98%	0.0912	✓	1.12
2026-07-17	oos	0.02478	0.024534	-0.99%	0.02196	-11.38%	0.0919	✓	1.14
2026-07-16	oos	0.02491	0.024631	-1.12%	0.02231	-10.44%	0.0851	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.02547	0.025295	-0.69%	0.02206	-13.39%	0.1051	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.02549	0.025384	-0.42%	0.02262	-11.26%	0.0866	✓	1.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.02526	0.025111	-0.59%	0.02238	-11.40%	0.1379	✓	1.25
2026-07-12	oos	0.02531	0.025187	-0.48%	0.023	-9.13%	0.0867	✓	1.27
2026-07-11	oos	0.025885	0.025761	-0.48%	0.02353	-9.10%	0.0934	✓	1.27
2026-07-10	oos	0.02603	0.025886	-0.55%	0.02351	-9.68%	0.1104	✓	1.27
2026-07-09	oos	0.025275	0.025149	-0.50%	0.02358	-6.71%	0.0985	✓	1.26
2026-07-08	oos	0.02502	0.02492	-0.40%	0.02169	-13.31%	0.1915	✓	1.26
2026-07-07	oos	0.02562	0.025469	-0.59%	0.0219	-14.52%	0.1696	✓	1.26
2026-07-06	oos	0.02665	0.026419	-0.87%	0.02193	-17.71%	0.1981	✓	1.27
2026-07-05	oos	0.02718	0.026901	-1.03%	0.02235	-17.77%	0.1950	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.02669	0.026436	-0.95%	0.02253	-15.59%	0.1678	✓	1.32
2026-07-03	oos	0.02711	0.026837	-1.01%	0.02177	-19.70%	0.2292	✓	1.29
2026-07-02	oos	0.02489	0.024784	-0.42%	0.0214	-14.02%	0.1726	✓	1.25
2026-07-01	oos	0.02297	0.022983	+0.06%	0.02131	-7.23%	0.1320	✗	1.21
2026-06-30	oos	0.02269	0.022797	+0.47%	0.02149	-5.29%	0.1846	✗	1.25
2026-06-29	oos	0.02448	0.024449	-0.13%	0.02114	-13.64%	0.2188	✓	1.22
2026-06-28	oos	0.02413	0.024079	-0.21%	0.02166	-10.24%	0.1921	✓	1.21
2026-06-27	oos	0.02214	0.022211	+0.32%	0.02165	-2.21%	0.1006	✗	1.23
2026-06-26	oos	0.02018	0.02029	+0.55%	0.02341	+16.01%	0.0377	✓	1.24
2026-06-25	oos	0.02002	0.020172	+0.76%	0.02345	+17.13%	0.0591	✓	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.02089	0.021011	+0.58%	0.0234	+12.02%	0.0470	✓	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.02376	0.023771	+0.05%	0.02404	+1.18%	0.0317	✗	1.14
2026-06-22	oos	0.025055	0.024967	-0.35%	0.024615	-1.76%	0.0511	✓	1.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.02697	0.026823	-0.54%	0.02451	-9.12%	0.1484	✓	1.15
2026-06-20	oos	0.02794	0.02773	-0.75%	0.02515	-9.99%	0.1151	✓	1.14
2026-06-19	oos	0.03075	0.030351	-1.30%	0.02396	-22.08%	0.2586	✓	1.18
2026-06-18	oos	0.03279	0.032221	-1.74%	0.02426	-26.01%	0.3198	✓	1.20
2026-06-17	oos	0.03205	0.031524	-1.64%	0.02478	-22.68%	0.2301	✓	1.23
2026-06-16	oos	0.03216	0.031583	-1.79%	0.02491	-22.54%	0.2021	✓	1.24
2026-06-15	oos	0.03274	0.03208	-2.01%	0.02547	-22.21%	0.2004	✓	1.27
2026-06-14	oos	0.03225	0.031599	-2.02%	0.02549	-20.96%	0.2009	✓	1.27
2026-06-13	oos	0.03076	0.0303	-1.49%	0.02526	-17.88%	0.1381	✓	1.28
2026-06-12	oos	0.03053	0.030162	-1.21%	0.02531	-17.10%	0.1795	✓	1.31
2026-06-11	oos	0.03056	0.030234	-1.07%	0.025885	-15.30%	0.1596	✓	1.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.02939	0.02928	-0.38%	0.02603	-11.43%	0.1737	✓	1.31
2026-06-09	oos	0.03161	0.031317	-0.93%	0.025275	-20.04%	0.2456	✓	1.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.02988	0.029661	-0.73%	0.02502	-16.27%	0.1522	✓	1.36
2026-06-07	oos	0.02978	0.029571	-0.70%	0.02562	-13.97%	0.1438	✓	1.36
2026-06-06	oos	0.02949	0.029445	-0.15%	0.02665	-9.63%	0.1704	✓	1.40
2026-06-05	oos	0.02964	0.029568	-0.24%	0.02718	-8.30%	0.1410	✓	1.39
2026-06-04	oos	0.03336	0.032752	-1.82%	0.02669	-19.99%	0.1897	✓	1.32
2026-06-03	oos	0.03696	0.035935	-2.77%	0.02711	-26.65%	0.2505	✓	1.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.03707	0.035902	-3.15%	0.02489	-32.86%	0.2572	✓	1.35
2026-06-01	oos	0.04034	0.038723	-4.01%	0.02297	-43.06%	0.3010	✓	1.28
2026-05-31	oos	0.03982	0.038275	-3.88%	0.02269	-43.02%	0.2209	✓	1.32
2026-05-30	oos	0.04047	0.038922	-3.82%	0.02448	-39.51%	0.2025	✓	1.28
2026-05-29	oos	0.04032	0.038781	-3.82%	0.02413	-40.15%	0.2060	✓	1.28
2026-05-28	oos	0.04035	0.038831	-3.77%	0.02214	-45.13%	0.3021	✓	1.27
2026-05-27	oos	0.04289	0.041135	-4.09%	0.02018	-52.95%	0.4456	✓	1.25
2026-05-26	oos	0.04466	0.042757	-4.26%	0.02002	-55.17%	0.4608	✓	1.25
2026-05-25	oos	0.04606	0.044052	-4.36%	0.02089	-54.65%	0.4474	✓	1.26
2026-05-24	oos	0.04541	0.043437	-4.34%	0.02376	-47.68%	0.3429	✓	1.26
2026-05-23	oos	0.04681	0.044625	-4.67%	0.025055	-46.48%	0.3519	✓	1.24
2026-05-22	oos	0.04565	0.043444	-4.83%	0.02697	-40.92%	0.2566	✓	1.25
2026-05-21	oos	0.04834	0.045864	-5.12%	0.02794	-42.20%	0.2633	✓	1.23
2026-05-20	oos	0.04456	0.04259	-4.42%	0.03075	-30.99%	0.0799	✓	1.23
2026-05-19	oos	0.04363	0.041696	-4.43%	0.03279	-24.85%	0.0042	✓	1.23
2026-05-18	oos	0.04456	0.042487	-4.65%	0.03205	-28.07%	0.0593	✓	1.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.04397	0.041976	-4.53%	0.03216	-26.86%	0.0598	✓	1.25
2026-05-16	oos	0.045505	0.043531	-4.34%	0.03274	-28.05%	0.0805	✓	1.24
2026-05-15	oos	0.04681	0.044976	-3.92%	0.03225	-31.10%	0.1011	✓	1.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.04942	0.047773	-3.33%	0.03076	-37.76%	0.1505	✓	1.26
2026-05-13	oos	0.04843	0.046767	-3.43%	0.03053	-36.96%	0.1509	✓	1.24
2026-05-12	oos	0.050295	0.048726	-3.12%	0.03056	-39.24%	0.1748	✓	1.24
2026-05-11	oos	0.05302	0.051382	-3.09%	0.02939	-44.57%	0.2377	✓	1.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.055	0.053119	-3.42%	0.03161	-42.53%	0.1980	✓	1.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.05253	0.050756	-3.38%	0.02988	-43.12%	0.2565	✓	1.11
2026-05-08	oos	0.05402	0.051866	-3.99%	0.02978	-44.87%	0.2983	✓	1.09
2026-05-07	oos	0.048855	0.047676	-2.41%	0.02949	-39.64%	0.1811	✓	1.09
2026-05-06	oos	0.04883	0.048003	-1.69%	0.02964	-39.30%	0.1683	✓	1.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.04528	0.04477	-1.13%	0.03336	-26.33%	0.0555	✓	1.01
2026-05-04	oos	0.04434	0.043725	-1.39%	0.03696	-16.64%	0.0552	✗	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.0437	0.04289	-1.85%	0.03707	-15.17%	0.0202	✗	1.01
2026-05-02	oos	0.04378	0.042995	-1.79%	0.04034	-7.86%	0.0365	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.04408	0.043379	-1.59%	0.03982	-9.66%	0.0226	✓	1.03
2026-04-30	oos	0.04319	0.04221	-2.27%	0.04047	-6.30%	0.0050	✓	1.10
2026-04-29	oos	0.045185	0.043799	-3.07%	0.04032	-10.77%	0.0475	✓	1.10
2026-04-28	oos	0.04602	0.044673	-2.93%	0.04035	-12.32%	0.0595	✓	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.04557	0.044572	-2.19%	0.04289	-5.88%	0.0071	✓	1.13
2026-04-26	oos	0.04674	0.045997	-1.59%	0.04466	-4.45%	0.0122	✓	1.13
2026-04-25	oos	0.04619	0.045329	-1.86%	0.04606	-0.28%	0.0219	✗	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.04634	0.045383	-2.07%	0.04541	-2.01%	0.0078	✓	1.14
2026-04-23	oos	0.04397	0.043596	-0.85%	0.04681	+6.46%	0.0953	✗	1.15
2026-04-22	oos	0.04344	0.043095	-0.79%	0.04565	+5.09%	0.0989	✗	1.15
2026-04-21	oos	0.04306	0.042343	-1.67%	0.04834	+12.26%	0.1145	✗	1.15
2026-04-20	oos	0.04319	0.042372	-1.89%	0.04456	+3.17%	0.0261	✗	1.16
2026-04-19	oos	0.041505	0.040552	-2.30%	0.04363	+5.12%	0.0277	✗	1.16
2026-04-18	oos	0.0428	0.042182	-1.44%	0.04456	+4.11%	0.0365	✗	1.16
2026-04-17	oos	0.04703	0.046047	-2.09%	0.04397	-6.51%	0.0508	✓	1.15
2026-04-16	oos	0.046245	0.04482	-3.08%	0.045505	-1.60%	0.0292	✓	1.16
2026-04-15	oos	0.04265	0.041743	-2.13%	0.04681	+9.75%	0.0514	✗	1.15
2026-04-14	oos	0.04094	0.040146	-1.94%	0.04942	+20.71%	0.1055	✗	1.15
2026-04-13	oos	0.042885	0.041905	-2.29%	0.04843	+12.93%	0.0729	✗	1.14
2026-04-12	oos	0.040445	0.039084	-3.36%	0.050295	+24.35%	0.1026	✗	1.16
2026-04-11	oos	0.04206	0.040987	-2.55%	0.05302	+26.06%	0.1278	✗	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.042265	0.041226	-2.46%	0.055	+30.13%	0.1506	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.04152	0.040373	-2.76%	0.05253	+26.52%	0.1285	✗	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.04137	0.040166	-2.91%	0.05402	+30.58%	0.1567	✗	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	0.04404	0.04263	-3.20%	0.048855	+10.93%	0.0131	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.04032	0.038852	-3.64%	0.04883	+21.11%	0.0376	✗	1.14
2026-04-05	oos	0.04081	0.039322	-3.65%	0.04528	+10.95%	0.0400	✓	1.14
2026-04-04	oos	0.04169	0.039967	-4.13%	0.04434	+6.36%	0.0954	✓	1.16
2026-04-03	oos	0.04201	0.040292	-4.09%	0.0437	+4.02%	0.1073	✓	1.18
2026-04-02	oos	0.04181	0.040072	-4.16%	0.04378	+4.71%	0.1028	✓	1.18
2026-04-01	oos	0.04561	0.04343	-4.78%	0.04408	-3.35%	0.1473	✓	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.04091	0.039392	-3.71%	0.04319	+5.57%	0.0405	✓	1.18
2026-03-30	oos	0.04012	0.038603	-3.78%	0.045185	+12.62%	0.0071	✓	1.19
2026-03-29	oos	0.03984	0.038393	-3.63%	0.04602	+15.51%	0.0076	✓	1.19
2026-03-28	oos	0.04111	0.039599	-3.67%	0.04557	+10.85%	0.0430	✓	1.19
2026-03-27	oos	0.040245	0.038845	-3.48%	0.04674	+16.14%	0.0177	✓	1.19
2026-03-26	oos	0.04215	0.040736	-3.35%	0.04619	+9.58%	0.0197	✓	1.20
2026-03-25	oos	0.04345	0.04208	-3.15%	0.04634	+6.65%	0.0033	✓	1.20
2026-03-24	oos	0.04358	0.042206	-3.15%	0.04397	+0.89%	0.0849	✓	1.21
2026-03-23	oos	0.04382	0.042404	-3.23%	0.04344	-0.87%	0.0951	✓	1.21
2026-03-22	oos	0.04206	0.040671	-3.30%	0.04306	+2.38%	0.0867	✓	1.22
2026-03-21	oos	0.04309	0.041615	-3.42%	0.04319	+0.23%	0.0798	✓	1.22
2026-03-20	oos	0.04452	0.043023	-3.36%	0.041505	-6.77%	0.0918	✓	1.21
2026-03-19	oos	0.04455	0.043069	-3.32%	0.0428	-3.93%	0.1033	✓	1.21
2026-03-18	oos	0.045045	0.043639	-3.12%	0.04703	+4.41%	0.0221	✓	1.23
2026-03-17	oos	0.0492	0.04761	-3.23%	0.046245	-6.01%	0.0491	✓	1.21
2026-03-16	oos	0.04974	0.048167	-3.16%	0.04265	-14.25%	0.1208	✓	1.22
2026-03-15	oos	0.04646	0.045027	-3.08%	0.04094	-11.88%	0.1172	✓	1.20
2026-03-14	oos	0.04366	0.042629	-2.36%	0.042885	-1.78%	0.0468	✓	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.04252	0.041561	-2.26%	0.040445	-4.88%	0.0240	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.042775	0.041802	-2.28%	0.04206	-1.67%	0.0365	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.04183	0.040979	-2.03%	0.042265	+1.04%	0.0158	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.04131	0.040552	-1.83%	0.04152	+0.51%	0.0074	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.04007	0.039408	-1.65%	0.04137	+3.24%	0.0031	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.038575	0.038076	-1.29%	0.04404	+14.17%	0.0423	✗	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	0.03863	0.038149	-1.25%	0.04032	+4.37%	0.0271	✗	1.21
2026-03-06	oos	0.03965	0.039128	-1.32%	0.04081	+2.93%	0.0264	✗	1.20
2026-03-05	oos	0.04146	0.040804	-1.58%	0.04169	+0.55%	0.0840	✗	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.04239	0.041645	-1.76%	0.04201	-0.90%	0.1079	✗	1.21
2026-03-03	oos	0.04104	0.040487	-1.35%	0.04181	+1.88%	0.0586	✗	1.24
2026-03-02	oos	0.0404	0.03989	-1.26%	0.04561	+12.90%	0.1471	✗	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.039275	0.03892	-0.91%	0.04091	+4.16%	0.0034	✓	1.27
2026-02-28	oos	0.04006	0.039622	-1.09%	0.04012	+0.15%	0.0169	✗	1.29
2026-02-27	oos	0.03994	0.039553	-0.97%	0.03984	-0.25%	0.0053	✓	1.29
2026-02-26	oos	0.04056	0.040084	-1.17%	0.04111	+1.36%	0.0479	✗	1.30
2026-02-25	oos	0.042635	0.041966	-1.57%	0.040245	-5.61%	0.0103	✓	1.29
2026-02-24	oos	0.03908	0.038862	-0.56%	0.04215	+7.86%	0.0093	✓	1.28
2026-02-23	oos	0.03971	0.03944	-0.68%	0.04345	+9.42%	0.0265	✓	1.25
2026-02-22	oos	0.04125	0.040701	-1.33%	0.04358	+5.65%	0.0149	✗	1.27
2026-02-21	oos	0.04306	0.042336	-1.68%	0.04382	+1.76%	0.0194	✓	1.28
2026-02-20	oos	0.04351	0.042759	-1.73%	0.04206	-3.33%	0.0139	✓	1.27
2026-02-19	oos	0.04279	0.042182	-1.42%	0.04309	+0.70%	0.0149	✓	1.27
2026-02-18	oos	0.04403	0.043364	-1.51%	0.04452	+1.11%	0.0502	✓	1.28
2026-02-17	oos	0.048645	0.047447	-2.46%	0.04455	-8.42%	0.1079	✓	1.26
2026-02-16	oos	0.04907	0.047624	-2.95%	0.045045	-8.20%	0.0987	✓	1.26
2026-02-15	oos	0.04802	0.046616	-2.92%	0.0492	+2.46%	0.0372	✓	1.26
2026-02-14	oos	0.05037	0.048346	-4.02%	0.04974	-1.25%	0.0608	✓	1.26
2026-02-13	oos	0.04599	0.044919	-2.33%	0.04646	+1.02%	0.0372	✓	1.25
2026-02-12	oos	0.04486	0.044218	-1.43%	0.04366	-2.67%	0.1048	✓	1.26
2026-02-11	oos	0.04543	0.044771	-1.45%	0.04252	-6.41%	0.1221	✓	1.24
2026-02-10	oos	0.040455	0.04025	-0.51%	0.042775	+5.73%	0.0289	✗	1.29
2026-02-09	oos	0.04113	0.040894	-0.57%	0.04183	+1.70%	0.0207	✗	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.0421	0.041948	-0.36%	0.04131	-1.88%	0.0095	✓	1.30
2026-02-07	oos	0.045525	0.045305	-0.48%	0.04007	-11.98%	0.1073	✓	1.31
2026-02-06	oos	0.047525	0.047093	-0.91%	0.038575	-18.83%	0.1144	✓	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.04218	0.043011	+1.97%	0.03863	-8.42%	0.1976	✗	1.31
2026-02-04	oos	0.04777	0.04723	-1.13%	0.03965	-17.00%	0.0541	✓	1.74
2026-02-03	oos	0.05052	0.049694	-1.63%	0.04146	-17.93%	0.0683	✓	1.73
2026-02-02	oos	0.052515	0.051449	-2.03%	0.04239	-19.28%	0.0562	✓	1.74
2026-02-01	oos	0.04984	0.049231	-1.22%	0.04104	-17.66%	0.0073	✓	1.60
2026-01-31	oos	0.05228	0.051637	-1.23%	0.0404	-22.72%	0.0242	✓	1.66
2026-01-30	oos	0.06154	0.060123	-2.30%	0.039275	-36.18%	0.0373	✓	1.58
2026-01-29	oos	0.061395	0.06004	-2.21%	0.04006	-34.75%	0.0355	✓	1.59
2026-01-28	oos	0.06854	0.067135	-2.05%	0.03994	-41.73%	0.0540	✓	1.54
2026-01-27	oos	0.06747	0.066083	-2.06%	0.04056	-39.88%	0.0542	✓	1.56
2026-01-26	oos	0.06747	0.065919	-2.30%	0.042635	-36.81%	0.0330	✓	1.54
2026-01-25	oos	0.06591	0.064334	-2.39%	0.03908	-40.71%	0.0328	✓	1.55
2026-01-24	oos	0.070225	0.068376	-2.63%	0.03971	-43.45%	0.0495	✓	1.54
2026-01-23	oos	0.07085	0.069042	-2.55%	0.04125	-41.78%	0.0812	✓	1.55
2026-01-22	oos	0.07213	0.070079	-2.84%	0.04306	-40.30%	0.0607	✓	1.55
2026-01-21	oos	0.07287	0.070801	-2.84%	0.04351	-40.29%	0.0623	✓	1.55
2026-01-20	oos	0.07088	0.068798	-2.94%	0.04279	-39.63%	0.0492	✓	1.54
2026-01-19	oos	0.07668	0.074604	-2.71%	0.04403	-42.58%	0.0162	✓	1.54
2026-01-18	oos	0.0772	0.075125	-2.69%	0.048645	-36.99%	0.0741	✗	1.55
2026-01-17	oos	0.08104	0.078783	-2.78%	0.04907	-39.45%	0.0199	✓	1.53
2026-01-16	oos	0.08223	0.079906	-2.83%	0.04802	-41.60%	0.0074	✓	1.53
2026-01-15	oos	0.08222	0.079805	-2.94%	0.05037	-38.74%	0.0212	✓	1.53
2026-01-14	oos	0.086885	0.084444	-2.81%	0.04599	-47.07%	0.0831	✓	1.53
2026-01-13	oos	0.08951	0.086387	-3.49%	0.04486	-49.88%	0.0885	✓	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	0.08172	0.078171	-4.34%	0.04543	-44.41%	0.0720	✓	1.53
2026-01-11	oos	0.08444	0.080561	-4.59%	0.040455	-52.09%	0.2592	✓	1.54
2026-01-10	oos	0.08494	0.08074	-4.94%	0.04113	-51.58%	0.2792	✓	1.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.08794	0.08358	-4.96%	0.0421	-52.13%	0.2802	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.089465	0.084771	-5.25%	0.045525	-49.11%	0.1894	✓	1.58
2026-01-07	oos	0.09185	0.086829	-5.47%	0.047525	-48.26%	0.0583	✓	2.11
2026-01-06	oos	0.09761	0.092252	-5.49%	0.04218	-56.79%	0.0636	✗	2.11
2026-01-05	oos	0.097	0.09132	-5.86%	0.04777	-50.75%	0.1248	✓	2.08
2026-01-04	oos	0.09157	0.085613	-6.51%	0.05052	-44.83%	0.1462	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.08263	0.078095	-5.49%	0.052515	-36.45%	0.1170	✓	1.98
2026-01-02	oos	0.08252	0.077741	-5.79%	0.04984	-39.60%	0.1344	✓	1.98
2026-01-01	oos	0.08058	0.075948	-5.75%	0.05228	-35.12%	0.1351	✓	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.07379	0.070248	-4.80%	0.06154	-16.60%	0.0557	✓	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.076875	0.072829	-5.26%	0.061395	-20.14%	0.0843	✓	1.92
2025-12-29	oos	0.0747	0.071038	-4.90%	0.06854	-8.25%	0.0814	✓	1.96
2025-12-28	oos	0.07763	0.073523	-5.29%	0.06747	-13.09%	0.1133	✓	1.96
2025-12-27	oos	0.0772	0.073267	-5.09%	0.06747	-12.60%	0.0922	✓	1.94
2025-12-26	oos	0.07268	0.069688	-4.12%	0.06591	-9.31%	0.0394	✓	1.93
2025-12-25	oos	0.0713	0.068632	-3.74%	0.070225	-1.51%	0.0189	✓	1.93
2025-12-24	oos	0.07579	0.072821	-3.92%	0.07085	-6.52%	0.0682	✓	1.94
2025-12-23	oos	0.07128	0.06922	-2.89%	0.07213	+1.19%	0.0032	✓	1.93
2025-12-22	oos	0.07369	0.071571	-2.88%	0.07287	-1.11%	0.0006	✓	1.92
2025-12-21	oos	0.075515	0.073416	-2.78%	0.07088	-6.14%	0.0280	✓	1.92
2025-12-20	oos	0.07844	0.076246	-2.80%	0.07668	-2.24%	0.0860	✓	1.96
2025-12-19	oos	0.07941	0.077279	-2.68%	0.0772	-2.78%	0.1205	✓	1.96
2025-12-18	oos	0.07469	0.073017	-2.24%	0.08104	+8.50%	0.1044	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.07879	0.076876	-2.43%	0.08223	+4.37%	0.1322	✓	1.95
2025-12-16	oos	0.08329	0.081196	-2.51%	0.08222	-1.28%	0.1516	✓	1.95
2025-12-15	oos	0.08304	0.080959	-2.51%	0.086885	+4.63%	0.1543	✓	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.08731	0.085114	-2.52%	0.08951	+2.52%	0.1032	✓	1.95
2025-12-13	oos	0.0917	0.089479	-2.42%	0.08172	-10.88%	0.1108	✓	1.95
2025-12-12	oos	0.0907	0.088661	-2.25%	0.08444	-6.90%	0.0616	✓	1.95
2025-12-11	oos	0.09442	0.092518	-2.01%	0.08494	-10.04%	0.0389	✓	1.96
2025-12-10	oos	0.0953	0.093218	-2.18%	0.08794	-7.72%	0.0255	✓	1.97
2025-12-09	oos	0.09869	0.096506	-2.21%	0.089465	-9.35%	0.0401	✓	1.97
2025-12-08	oos	0.09609	0.093969	-2.21%	0.09185	-4.41%	0.0362	✓	1.94
2025-12-07	oos	0.09203	0.090375	-1.80%	0.09761	+6.06%	0.0072	✓	1.94
2025-12-06	oos	0.09565	0.093725	-2.01%	0.097	+1.41%	0.0640	✓	1.96
2025-12-05	oos	0.09574	0.094055	-1.76%	0.09157	-4.36%	0.0734	✓	1.96
2025-12-04	oos	0.10124	0.09929	-1.93%	0.08263	-18.38%	0.1515	✓	1.97
2025-12-03	oos	0.10517	0.102987	-2.08%	0.08252	-21.54%	0.1465	✓	1.97
2025-12-02	oos	0.10324	0.101028	-2.14%	0.08058	-21.95%	0.1696	✓	1.98
2025-12-01	oos	0.09531	0.093754	-1.63%	0.07379	-22.58%	0.2676	✓	2.02
2025-11-30	oos	0.10465	0.102263	-2.28%	0.076875	-26.54%	0.2407	✓	2.03
2025-11-29	oos	0.10764	0.105279	-2.19%	0.0747	-30.60%	0.2591	✓	2.01
2025-11-28	oos	0.11083	0.108057	-2.50%	0.07763	-29.96%	0.2626	✓	2.01
2025-11-27	oos	0.11165	0.108574	-2.76%	0.0772	-30.86%	0.2621	✓	2.01
2025-11-26	oos	0.11204	0.109066	-2.65%	0.07268	-35.13%	0.3351	✓	1.98
2025-11-25	oos	0.11271	0.10966	-2.71%	0.0713	-36.74%	0.4269	✓	2.06
2025-11-24	oos	0.11139	0.108263	-2.81%	0.07579	-31.96%	0.3411	✓	2.07
2025-11-23	oos	0.10407	0.101985	-2.00%	0.07128	-31.51%	0.3729	✓	2.06
2025-11-22	oos	0.10432	0.102552	-1.69%	0.07369	-29.36%	0.4254	✓	2.12
2025-11-21	oos	0.10554	0.103579	-1.86%	0.075515	-28.45%	0.4029	✓	2.11
2025-11-20	oos	0.11425	0.110869	-2.96%	0.07844	-31.34%	0.3888	✓	2.09
2025-11-19	oos	0.1208	0.115651	-4.26%	0.07941	-34.26%	0.2935	✓	2.20
2025-11-18	oos	0.123815	0.117865	-4.81%	0.07469	-39.68%	0.2725	✓	2.20
2025-11-17	oos	0.11994	0.114563	-4.48%	0.07879	-34.31%	0.2277	✓	2.22
2025-11-16	oos	0.12583	0.11907	-5.37%	0.08329	-33.81%	0.2027	✓	2.22
2025-11-15	oos	0.13222	0.124321	-5.97%	0.08304	-37.20%	0.1811	✓	2.22
2025-11-14	oos	0.1312	0.1239	-5.56%	0.08731	-33.45%	0.1957	✓	2.22
2025-11-13	oos	0.13693	0.128123	-6.43%	0.0917	-33.03%	0.1031	✓	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.14172	0.132294	-6.65%	0.0907	-36.00%	0.0986	✓	2.35
2025-11-11	oos	0.14019	0.131425	-6.25%	0.09442	-32.65%	0.0794	✓	2.35
2025-11-10	oos	0.15163	0.142628	-5.94%	0.0953	-37.15%	0.0749	✓	2.33
2025-11-09	oos	0.15409	0.144673	-6.11%	0.09869	-35.95%	0.0960	✓	2.35
2025-11-08	oos	0.16684	0.153488	-8.00%	0.09609	-42.41%	0.1728	✓	2.45
2025-11-07	oos	0.16628	0.154933	-6.82%	0.09203	-44.65%	0.2009	✓	2.40
2025-11-06	oos	0.12409	0.11871	-4.34%	0.09565	-22.92%	0.0684	✗	2.25
2025-11-05	oos	0.12541	0.119591	-4.64%	0.09574	-23.66%	0.1211	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.12529	0.120235	-4.03%	0.10124	-19.20%	0.0553	✗	2.34
2025-11-03	oos	0.1221	0.117501	-3.77%	0.10517	-13.87%	0.2252	✗	2.56
2025-11-02	oos	0.14051	0.136853	-2.60%	0.10324	-26.52%	0.2018	✗	2.53
2025-11-01	oos	0.142825	0.139485	-2.34%	0.09531	-33.27%	0.2360	✗	2.54
2025-10-31	oos	0.137605	0.134685	-2.12%	0.10465	-23.95%	0.2355	✗	2.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.143925	0.140637	-2.28%	0.10764	-25.21%	0.1837	✗	2.56
2025-10-29	oos	0.15944	0.156295	-1.97%	0.11083	-30.49%	0.1345	✗	2.50
2025-10-28	oos	0.16166	0.159523	-1.32%	0.11165	-30.94%	0.1824	✗	2.54
2025-10-27	oos	0.16729	0.165218	-1.24%	0.11204	-33.03%	0.2007	✗	2.54
2025-10-26	oos	0.174865	0.172024	-1.62%	0.11271	-35.54%	0.2655	✗	2.54
2025-10-25	oos	0.16693	0.163696	-1.94%	0.11139	-33.27%	0.2168	✗	2.56
2025-10-24	oos	0.165915	0.162879	-1.83%	0.10407	-37.28%	0.1802	✗	2.55
2025-10-23	oos	0.16373	0.160367	-2.05%	0.10432	-36.29%	0.2402	✗	2.55
2025-10-22	oos	0.16071	0.156906	-2.37%	0.10554	-34.33%	0.2076	✗	2.57
2025-10-21	oos	0.165255	0.160647	-2.79%	0.11425	-30.86%	0.2382	✗	2.57
2025-10-20	oos	0.174005	0.168223	-3.32%	0.1208	-30.58%	0.1624	✗	2.60
2025-10-19	oos	0.1764	0.170099	-3.57%	0.123815	-29.81%	0.0848	✗	2.57
2025-10-18	oos	0.172865	0.166599	-3.62%	0.11994	-30.62%	0.0622	✗	2.57
2025-10-17	oos	0.171525	0.165368	-3.59%	0.12583	-26.64%	0.0415	✗	2.57
2025-10-16	oos	0.181	0.173538	-4.12%	0.13222	-26.95%	0.0470	✗	2.56
2025-10-15	oos	0.18851	0.18002	-4.50%	0.1312	-30.40%	0.0933	✗	2.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.20075	0.192051	-4.33%	0.13693	-31.79%	0.0127	✓	2.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.21232	0.203578	-4.12%	0.14172	-33.25%	0.0372	✓	2.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.19667	0.188601	-4.10%	0.14019	-28.72%	0.0168	✓	2.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.17866	0.171574	-3.97%	0.15163	-15.13%	0.0127	✓	2.51
2025-10-10	oos	0.1768	0.170397	-3.62%	0.15409	-12.85%	0.0946	✗	2.56
2025-10-09	oos	0.27329	0.266283	-2.56%	0.16684	-38.95%	0.1697	✓	1.71
2025-10-08	oos	0.28482	0.278403	-2.25%	0.16628	-41.62%	0.2111	✓	1.71
2025-10-07	oos	0.297305	0.287491	-3.30%	0.12409	-58.26%	0.5209	✓	1.76
2025-10-06	oos	0.2814	0.276607	-1.70%	0.12541	-55.43%	0.4398	✓	1.92
2025-10-05	oos	0.27518	0.270224	-1.80%	0.12529	-54.47%	0.3924	✓	1.91
2025-10-04	oos	0.27814	0.271986	-2.21%	0.1221	-56.10%	0.5341	✓	1.92
2025-10-03	oos	0.28135	0.274693	-2.37%	0.14051	-50.06%	0.4761	✓	1.92
2025-10-02	oos	0.27842	0.27076	-2.75%	0.142825	-48.70%	0.4631	✓	1.93
2025-10-01	oos	0.28123	0.271147	-3.59%	0.137605	-51.07%	0.5205	✓	1.98
2025-09-30	oos	0.25245	0.244387	-3.19%	0.143925	-42.99%	0.4302	✓	1.92
2025-09-29	oos	0.24691	0.239759	-2.90%	0.15944	-35.43%	0.3324	✓	1.96
2025-09-28	oos	0.246095	0.237491	-3.50%	0.16166	-34.31%	0.3972	✓	2.00
2025-09-27	oos	0.236765	0.229911	-2.89%	0.16729	-29.34%	0.3969	✓	2.01
2025-09-26	oos	0.2391	0.232494	-2.76%	0.174865	-26.87%	0.3723	✓	2.02
2025-09-25	oos	0.2298	0.224134	-2.47%	0.16693	-27.36%	0.3427	✓	2.01
2025-09-24	oos	0.25036	0.243344	-2.80%	0.165915	-33.73%	0.3418	✓	2.01
2025-09-23	oos	0.255405	0.247781	-2.99%	0.16373	-35.89%	0.3795	✓	2.03
2025-09-22	oos	0.249745	0.242669	-2.83%	0.16071	-35.65%	0.3201	✓	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	0.285965	0.275816	-3.55%	0.165255	-42.21%	0.3971	✓	1.86
2025-09-20	oos	0.28919	0.2791	-3.49%	0.174005	-39.83%	0.3873	✓	1.86
2025-09-19	oos	0.296955	0.285805	-3.75%	0.1764	-40.60%	0.3663	✓	1.86
2025-09-18	oos	0.31025	0.297744	-4.03%	0.172865	-44.28%	0.3805	✓	1.85

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.