ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · gru_s8
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 282
Track record at +7d
assessed
80
of 94 predictions shown
direction hit
67.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4571
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0481
actual -0.1949
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.03903 | -8.52% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.037885 | -10.16% | – | pending | – | – | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.020085 | -6.28% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.019371 | -7.09% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.02611 | -5.64% | – | pending | – | – | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.031372 | -5.47% | – | pending | – | – | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.027769 | -5.47% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.031904 | -5.21% | 0.042665 | +26.76% | 0.2558 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.034189 | -5.67% | 0.04217 | +16.35% | 0.2147 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.034333 | -6.02% | 0.02143 | -41.34% | 0.4743 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.050196 | -6.67% | 0.02085 | -61.23% | 0.8397 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.056493 | -7.76% | 0.02767 | -54.82% | 0.6761 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.055003 | -8.01% | 0.033189 | -44.50% | 0.4793 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.039371 | -7.19% | 0.029376 | -30.75% | 0.3027 | ✓ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.046638 | -7.43% | 0.033658 | -33.20% | 0.2928 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.049454 | -7.39% | 0.036243 | -32.13% | 0.2687 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.062884 | -7.11% | 0.036532 | -46.03% | 0.4792 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.086643 | -7.53% | 0.053783 | -42.60% | 0.4437 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.096044 | -9.45% | 0.061248 | -42.26% | 0.4216 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.072146 | -7.49% | 0.059795 | -23.33% | 0.1574 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.079248 | -8.12% | 0.04242 | -50.82% | 0.5871 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.08158 | -9.31% | 0.050383 | -43.99% | 0.4786 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.061784 | -7.61% | 0.0534 | -20.15% | 0.1683 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.065427 | -7.80% | 0.067695 | -4.61% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.083093 | -9.55% | 0.093694 | +1.99% | 0.0961 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.067106 | -8.33% | 0.106073 | +44.90% | 0.4540 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.068703 | -9.40% | 0.077989 | +2.84% | 0.1219 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.056202 | -8.30% | 0.086255 | +40.73% | 0.4229 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.060113 | -9.07% | 0.089951 | +36.06% | 0.4128 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.055802 | -8.48% | 0.066876 | +9.69% | 0.2112 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.07098 | -10.83% | 0.070965 | -10.85% | 0.0367 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.049848 | -9.94% | 0.09187 | +65.99% | 0.5715 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.049524 | -11.18% | 0.073202 | +31.29% | 0.3523 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.035795 | -9.27% | 0.075834 | +92.22% | 0.7117 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.044119 | -12.55% | 0.06129 | +21.49% | 0.2286 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.025369 | -11.13% | 0.066113 | +131.59% | 0.8552 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.014703 | -8.55% | 0.06097 | +279.23% | 1.2909 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.013188 | -7.22% | 0.079604 | +460.04% | 1.6954 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.014172 | -7.68% | 0.055348 | +260.55% | 1.3071 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.015864 | -7.96% | 0.055756 | +223.50% | 1.2068 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.017989 | -8.56% | 0.039451 | +100.52% | 0.7389 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001532 | -5.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 0.00000103 | -8.82% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 6.86e-7 | -10.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001338 | -9.26% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010247 | -2.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.00000927 | -1.38% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000009923 | -2.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010295 | -2.42% | 0.000001625 | -84.60% | 1.8446 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.00001063 | -2.65% | 0.00000113 | -89.65% | 2.2548 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010688 | -2.97% | 7.70e-7 | -93.01% | 2.6104 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.00001086 | -3.08% | 0.000001475 | -86.84% | 1.9859 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012197 | -3.85% | 0.000010515 | -17.11% | 0.1411 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011294 | -3.31% | 0.0000094 | -19.52% | 0.1725 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009397 | -1.71% | 0.000010125 | +5.91% | 0.0558 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.00001016 | -2.03% | 0.00001055 | +1.74% | 0.0225 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011409 | -2.53% | 0.00001092 | -6.71% | 0.0394 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011493 | -1.73% | 0.000011015 | -5.81% | 0.0642 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012467 | -1.60% | 0.000011205 | -11.56% | 0.1113 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013287 | -2.01% | 0.000012685 | -6.45% | 0.0277 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014368 | -2.06% | 0.00001168 | -20.38% | 0.1857 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015009 | -2.54% | 0.00000956 | -37.92% | 0.3812 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015091 | -2.20% | 0.00001037 | -32.79% | 0.3185 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015327 | -2.19% | 0.000011705 | -25.30% | 0.2230 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000014749 | -1.47% | 0.000011695 | -21.88% | 0.1939 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015065 | -1.21% | 0.00001267 | -16.92% | 0.1534 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016459 | -0.55% | 0.00001356 | -18.07% | 0.2029 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016523 | -0.41% | 0.00001467 | -11.57% | 0.1275 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017277 | -0.99% | 0.0000154 | -11.75% | 0.1191 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000017698 | -1.24% | 0.00001543 | -13.90% | 0.1241 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017117 | -0.71% | 0.00001567 | -9.11% | 0.0999 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019889 | +0.96% | 0.00001497 | -24.01% | 0.3472 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.00002384 | -0.33% | 0.00001525 | -36.25% | 0.4472 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027418 | -1.02% | 0.00001655 | -40.25% | 0.4875 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029161 | -1.15% | 0.00001659 | -43.76% | 0.5467 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000032458 | -1.82% | 0.00001745 | -47.22% | 0.6291 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031435 | -1.05% | 0.00001792 | -43.59% | 0.5945 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033188 | -0.63% | 0.00001724 | -48.38% | 0.6996 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035537 | -1.01% | 0.0000197 | -45.13% | 0.5672 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000037818 | -1.00% | 0.00002392 | -37.38% | 0.4983 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000039943 | -0.89% | 0.0000277 | -31.27% | 0.4361 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000039892 | -0.77% | 0.0000295 | -26.62% | 0.3681 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.00004179 | -1.21% | 0.00003306 | -21.84% | 0.2881 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000043416 | -2.22% | 0.00003177 | -28.45% | 0.3014 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000044967 | -2.67% | 0.0000334 | -27.71% | 0.2353 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000042258 | -1.95% | 0.0000359 | -16.71% | 0.1205 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000041213 | -2.11% | 0.0000382 | -9.26% | 0.0056 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000039816 | -2.17% | 0.0000403 | -0.98% | 0.1328 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000038745 | -1.91% | 0.0000402 | +1.77% | 0.1420 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000039748 | -3.05% | 0.0000423 | +3.17% | 0.2030 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000040664 | -3.64% | 0.0000444 | +5.21% | 0.1934 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000035439 | -4.22% | 0.0000462 | +24.86% | 0.3683 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000045038 | -3.97% | 0.0000431 | -8.10% | 0.0964 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000053618 | -3.74% | 0.0000421 | -24.42% | 0.1360 | ✓ | 1.00 |