ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · gru_s8
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 282
Track record at +1d
assessed
92
of 94 predictions shown
direction hit
63.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1534
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0100
actual -0.0290
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.041806 | -2.01% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.040938 | -2.92% | 0.042665 | +1.17% | 0.0494 | ✗ | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021249 | -0.85% | 0.04217 | +96.78% | 0.6544 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.020653 | -0.94% | 0.02143 | +2.78% | 0.0417 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.027464 | -0.74% | 0.02085 | -24.65% | 0.2943 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.03291 | -0.84% | 0.02767 | -16.63% | 0.1699 | ✓ | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.029176 | -0.68% | 0.033189 | +12.98% | 0.1477 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033442 | -0.64% | 0.029376 | -12.72% | 0.1469 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.035975 | -0.74% | 0.033658 | -7.13% | 0.0209 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036254 | -0.76% | 0.036243 | -0.79% | 0.0421 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.053184 | -1.11% | 0.036532 | -32.08% | 0.3305 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.060338 | -1.49% | 0.053783 | -12.19% | 0.1336 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.058856 | -1.57% | 0.061248 | +2.43% | 0.0309 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.041988 | -1.02% | 0.059795 | +40.96% | 0.3340 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.04981 | -1.14% | 0.04242 | -15.80% | 0.1297 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.052788 | -1.14% | 0.050383 | -5.65% | 0.0076 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.066875 | -1.21% | 0.0534 | -21.12% | 0.2218 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.092205 | -1.59% | 0.067695 | -27.75% | 0.3002 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.10343 | -2.49% | 0.093694 | -11.67% | 0.1255 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.076829 | -1.49% | 0.106073 | +36.01% | 0.3189 | ✗ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.084683 | -1.82% | 0.077989 | -9.58% | 0.0783 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.087805 | -2.39% | 0.086255 | -4.11% | 0.0332 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.065864 | -1.51% | 0.089951 | +34.50% | 0.3127 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.069853 | -1.57% | 0.066876 | -5.76% | 0.0457 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.089554 | -2.52% | 0.070965 | -22.75% | 0.2207 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.07182 | -1.89% | 0.09187 | +25.50% | 0.2457 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.074004 | -2.41% | 0.073202 | -3.47% | 0.0147 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.060153 | -1.86% | 0.075834 | +23.73% | 0.2351 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.064649 | -2.22% | 0.06129 | -7.30% | 0.0534 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.059753 | -2.00% | 0.066113 | +8.43% | 0.1225 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.076913 | -3.38% | 0.06097 | -23.41% | 0.2277 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.053932 | -2.56% | 0.079604 | +43.83% | 0.3245 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.053903 | -3.32% | 0.055348 | -0.73% | 0.0274 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.03854 | -2.31% | 0.055756 | +41.33% | 0.3649 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.048457 | -3.95% | 0.039451 | -21.80% | 0.2632 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.027614 | -3.27% | 0.05045 | +76.73% | 0.6000 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015778 | -1.86% | 0.028547 | +77.56% | 0.5855 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.014014 | -1.41% | 0.016078 | +13.11% | 0.1711 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015117 | -1.53% | 0.014214 | -7.41% | 0.0793 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.016948 | -1.67% | 0.015351 | -10.93% | 0.0929 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.01929 | -1.95% | 0.017236 | -12.39% | 0.1133 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001612 | -0.79% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 0.000001115 | -1.30% | 0.000001625 | +43.81% | 0.3898 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 7.58e-7 | -1.60% | 0.00000113 | +46.75% | 0.3847 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001456 | -1.26% | 7.70e-7 | -47.80% | 0.6293 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010468 | -0.45% | 0.000001475 | -85.97% | 1.9606 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009384 | -0.17% | 0.000010515 | +11.86% | 0.1068 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010093 | -0.31% | 0.0000094 | -7.16% | 0.0729 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010506 | -0.41% | 0.000010125 | -4.03% | 0.0309 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010868 | -0.47% | 0.00001055 | -3.39% | 0.0322 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010955 | -0.54% | 0.00001092 | -0.86% | 0.0124 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011142 | -0.56% | 0.000011015 | -1.70% | 0.0103 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012585 | -0.79% | 0.000011205 | -11.67% | 0.1206 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011606 | -0.63% | 0.000012685 | +8.60% | 0.0857 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009539 | -0.22% | 0.00001168 | +22.18% | 0.1737 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010338 | -0.31% | 0.00000956 | -7.81% | 0.0700 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011652 | -0.45% | 0.00001037 | -11.41% | 0.0994 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011662 | -0.28% | 0.000011705 | +0.09% | 0.0110 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012637 | -0.26% | 0.000011695 | -7.70% | 0.0599 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013512 | -0.35% | 0.00001267 | -6.56% | 0.0442 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014614 | -0.38% | 0.00001356 | -7.57% | 0.0747 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015326 | -0.48% | 0.00001467 | -4.74% | 0.0220 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015368 | -0.40% | 0.0000154 | -0.19% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015609 | -0.39% | 0.00001543 | -1.53% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000014938 | -0.21% | 0.00001567 | +4.68% | 0.0301 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015227 | -0.15% | 0.00001497 | -1.84% | 0.0192 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016542 | -0.05% | 0.00001525 | -7.85% | 0.0919 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016589 | -0.01% | 0.00001655 | -0.24% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017432 | -0.10% | 0.00001659 | -4.93% | 0.0241 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000017896 | -0.14% | 0.00001745 | -2.62% | 0.0127 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017238 | -0.01% | 0.00001792 | +3.94% | 0.0208 | ✗ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019747 | +0.24% | 0.00001724 | -12.49% | 0.2080 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000023919 | -0.00% | 0.0000197 | -17.64% | 0.1469 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027655 | -0.16% | 0.00002392 | -13.65% | 0.1400 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029444 | -0.19% | 0.0000277 | -6.10% | 0.0602 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000032939 | -0.37% | 0.0000295 | -10.77% | 0.1057 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031711 | -0.18% | 0.00003306 | +4.06% | 0.0323 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033361 | -0.12% | 0.00003177 | -4.88% | 0.0842 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035829 | -0.20% | 0.0000334 | -6.96% | 0.0595 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038123 | -0.20% | 0.0000359 | -6.02% | 0.0767 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040225 | -0.19% | 0.0000382 | -5.21% | 0.0764 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040139 | -0.15% | 0.0000403 | +0.25% | 0.0085 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000042197 | -0.24% | 0.0000402 | -4.96% | 0.0314 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000044195 | -0.46% | 0.0000423 | -4.73% | 0.0115 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000045934 | -0.58% | 0.0000444 | -3.90% | 0.0182 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000042936 | -0.38% | 0.0000462 | +7.19% | 0.0645 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000041937 | -0.39% | 0.0000431 | +2.38% | 0.0497 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000040552 | -0.36% | 0.0000421 | +3.44% | 0.0518 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039384 | -0.29% | 0.0000407 | +3.04% | 0.0219 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.00004079 | -0.51% | 0.0000395 | -3.66% | 0.0205 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000041926 | -0.65% | 0.000041 | -2.84% | 0.0022 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000036757 | -0.66% | 0.0000422 | +14.05% | 0.1515 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000046565 | -0.71% | 0.000037 | -21.11% | 0.2015 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055294 | -0.73% | 0.0000469 | -15.80% | 0.1768 | ✓ | 1.00 |