O

o1.exchange · Base · gru_s8

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 354

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

111

of 118 predictions shown

direction hit

70.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0783

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0195

actual -0.0293

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.44305	0.435273	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.432063	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.402473	-1.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.421156	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.438014	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.451382	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.448177	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.454058	-1.53%	0.44305	-3.92%	0.0318	✓	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.465583	-1.61%	0.439245	-7.18%	0.0572	✓	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.474901	-1.91%	0.407545	-15.82%	0.1536	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.471936	-1.81%	0.42721	-11.12%	0.0872	✓	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.468553	-2.04%	0.445015	-6.96%	0.0399	✓	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.444359	-1.13%	0.4589	+2.11%	0.0401	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.449203	-1.19%	0.455525	+0.20%	0.0107	✓	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.465179	-1.40%	0.46111	-2.26%	0.0036	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.49468	-1.66%	0.47322	-5.93%	0.0280	✓	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.498677	-1.69%	0.48416	-4.55%	0.0026	✓	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.504627	-1.65%	0.480645	-6.33%	0.0308	✓	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.503612	-1.78%	0.47832	-6.71%	0.0397	✓	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.511795	-1.65%	0.449425	-13.64%	0.1176	✓	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.52936	-1.79%	0.454605	-15.66%	0.1318	✓	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.541333	-2.12%	0.47178	-14.70%	0.1357	✓	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.553528	-2.22%	0.503025	-11.14%	0.1075	✓	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.520436	-1.66%	0.50726	-4.15%	0.0413	✓	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.530464	-1.63%	0.513105	-4.85%	0.0478	✓	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.53497	-1.60%	0.51275	-5.69%	0.0448	✓	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.540351	-1.46%	0.5204	-5.10%	0.0405	✓	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.544021	-1.34%	0.539035	-2.24%	0.0124	✓	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.538988	-1.19%	0.55308	+1.40%	0.0315	✗	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.552718	-1.08%	0.566075	+1.31%	0.0486	✗	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.540471	-0.79%	0.52923	-2.86%	0.0030	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.543368	-1.21%	0.53924	-1.96%	0.0323	✓	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.558815	-1.42%	0.543685	-4.09%	0.0504	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.564243	-1.52%	0.548345	-4.30%	0.0535	✓	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.550522	-1.49%	0.55141	-1.33%	0.0618	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.53114	-0.91%	0.54546	+1.76%	0.0453	✓	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.523387	-0.65%	0.55875	+6.06%	0.0400	✓	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.540909	-0.94%	0.54479	-0.23%	0.0743	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.506233	+0.05%	0.550025	+8.70%	0.0408	✓	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.538388	-0.60%	0.566845	+4.65%	0.0140	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.545099	-0.51%	0.572975	+4.58%	0.0152	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.531863	-0.11%	0.55887	+4.96%	0.0514	✗	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.527805	+0.53%	0.536045	+2.10%	0.0368	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.536748	+0.57%	0.52681	-1.30%	0.0099	✓	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.54758	+0.54%	0.54605	+0.26%	0.0061	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.541177	+1.09%	0.506	-5.48%	0.0318	✗	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.540255	+1.00%	0.541645	+1.26%	0.0283	✓	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.558187	+0.74%	0.54789	-1.12%	0.0061	✓	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.566543	+1.03%	0.53246	-5.05%	0.0146	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.550201	+0.05%	0.525035	-4.53%	0.0571	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.557599	-0.06%	0.53373	-4.33%	0.0547	✓	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.554638	+0.28%	0.54462	-1.53%	0.0238	✗	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.53423	+0.06%	0.53535	+0.27%	0.0257	✗	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.531799	+0.13%	0.53493	+0.72%	0.0109	✗	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.455544	+0.73%	0.55411	+22.52%	0.1769	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.441087	+1.03%	0.56077	+28.44%	0.2290	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.450633	+0.79%	0.549935	+22.99%	0.2193	✓	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.448648	+0.56%	0.55791	+25.05%	0.2312	✓	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.432316	+0.52%	0.55311	+28.61%	0.2514	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.442134	+0.12%	0.53392	+20.91%	0.1894	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.43653	+0.03%	0.5311	+21.70%	0.1817	✓	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.51069	-0.29%	0.452265	-11.69%	0.1162	✓	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.475631	-1.03%	0.4366	-9.15%	0.1621	✓	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.478213	-1.63%	0.44712	-8.03%	0.1904	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.473563	-2.22%	0.446145	-7.88%	0.2959	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.448003	-2.23%	0.43008	-6.14%	0.2853	✓	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.439127	-2.30%	0.44159	-1.75%	0.2531	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.445262	-2.24%	0.4364	-4.19%	0.2645	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.432191	-2.24%	0.51216	+15.85%	0.0947	✓	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.43491	-2.32%	0.48057	+7.93%	0.0715	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.428935	-2.37%	0.48616	+10.66%	0.0172	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.434813	-2.49%	0.484325	+8.62%	0.0860	✗	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.441293	-2.62%	0.45821	+1.11%	0.0269	✗	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.458769	-2.82%	0.449445	-4.79%	0.0171	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.454348	-2.90%	0.455485	-2.66%	0.0379	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.462871	-3.04%	0.4421	-7.39%	0.0100	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.465425	-3.18%	0.44526	-7.37%	0.0284	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.473727	-3.30%	0.439325	-10.33%	0.0530	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.486577	-3.54%	0.445895	-11.61%	0.0773	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.480467	-3.64%	0.45317	-9.12%	0.0670	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.462641	-3.59%	0.47207	-1.62%	0.0055	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.495716	-3.90%	0.467935	-9.29%	0.1015	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.47806	-3.71%	0.47738	-3.84%	0.0437	✓	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.483252	-3.85%	0.4807	-4.36%	0.0045	✓	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.461891	-3.55%	0.489915	+2.30%	0.0441	✗	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.468677	-3.81%	0.50446	+3.54%	0.0693	✗	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.465622	-3.36%	0.49863	+3.49%	0.0733	✗	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.463437	-3.01%	0.47985	+0.43%	0.0768	✗	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.492528	-3.43%	0.51585	+1.14%	0.0848	✗	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.472012	-2.87%	0.496455	+2.16%	0.0818	✗	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.52327	-4.02%	0.5026	-7.81%	0.0329	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.57247	-3.24%	0.47888	-19.06%	0.1326	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.597834	-3.59%	0.487225	-21.43%	0.1499	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.601188	-3.99%	0.48183	-23.05%	0.1882	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.569045	-3.47%	0.4778	-18.95%	0.1886	✓	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.555415	-3.40%	0.51004	-11.29%	0.0746	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.546817	-3.46%	0.48595	-14.21%	0.1220	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.507934	-2.67%	0.54517	+4.47%	0.0509	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.538969	-3.06%	0.59166	+6.41%	0.0723	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.538776	-3.08%	0.6201	+11.55%	0.1173	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.511015	-2.71%	0.6262	+19.21%	0.1570	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.526622	-2.95%	0.5895	+8.64%	0.0981	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.545138	-3.23%	0.57496	+2.06%	0.0373	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.536336	-3.16%	0.56643	+2.27%	0.0583	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.55209	-3.47%	0.521855	-8.75%	0.0657	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.535878	-3.34%	0.556	+0.29%	0.0022	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.539457	-3.46%	0.55588	-0.52%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.5158	-3.14%	0.525275	-1.36%	0.0457	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.534977	-3.37%	0.542635	-1.98%	0.0118	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.584504	-4.10%	0.56335	-7.57%	0.0477	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.521496	-3.45%	0.55385	+2.54%	0.0348	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.53721	-3.70%	0.57192	+2.52%	0.0355	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.53741	-3.69%	0.55441	-0.64%	0.0061	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.489331	-3.10%	0.558795	+10.65%	0.0539	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.516092	-3.54%	0.53254	-0.47%	0.0305	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.472206	-3.24%	0.55362	+13.45%	0.0922	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.414334	-3.10%	0.609515	+42.54%	0.3347	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.442627	-3.15%	0.54012	+18.19%	0.1580	✗	1.00