O
o1.exchange · Base · gru_s8
- token id
- #266
- symbol
- O
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-17
- predictions
- 357
Track record at +30d
assessed
89
of 119 predictions shown
direction hit
94.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1122
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0603
actual -0.1449
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.43434 | 0.410717 | -5.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.44 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.43252 | 0.41087 | -5.01% | – | pending | – | – | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.439245 | 0.416531 | -5.17% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.407545 | 0.386769 | -5.10% | – | pending | – | – | 0.52 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.42721 | 0.404403 | -5.34% | – | pending | – | – | 0.51 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.445015 | 0.419301 | -5.78% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.4589 | 0.432218 | -5.81% | – | pending | – | – | 0.52 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.455525 | 0.429199 | -5.78% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.46111 | 0.433223 | -6.05% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.47322 | 0.445829 | -5.79% | – | pending | – | – | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.48416 | 0.453365 | -6.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.56 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.480645 | 0.452103 | -5.94% | – | pending | – | – | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.47832 | 0.448549 | -6.22% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.449425 | 0.423765 | -5.71% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.454605 | 0.427249 | -6.02% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.47178 | 0.444133 | -5.86% | – | pending | – | – | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.503025 | 0.475497 | -5.47% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.50726 | 0.478075 | -5.75% | – | pending | – | – | 0.56 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.513105 | 0.48523 | -5.43% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.51275 | 0.480947 | -6.20% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.5204 | 0.489876 | -5.87% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.539035 | 0.50824 | -5.71% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.55308 | 0.518627 | -6.23% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.566075 | 0.530082 | -6.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.52923 | 0.499081 | -5.70% | – | pending | – | – | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.53924 | 0.511201 | -5.20% | – | pending | – | – | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.543685 | 0.516984 | -4.91% | – | pending | – | – | 0.63 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.548345 | 0.524442 | -4.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.55141 | 0.531578 | -3.60% | – | pending | – | – | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.54546 | 0.527337 | -3.32% | – | pending | – | – | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.55875 | 0.547776 | -1.96% | 0.43434 | -22.27% | 0.2130 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.54479 | 0.537971 | -1.25% | 0.43252 | -20.61% | 0.2035 | ✓ | 0.49 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.550025 | 0.526043 | -4.36% | 0.439245 | -20.14% | 0.1937 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.566845 | 0.541686 | -4.44% | 0.407545 | -28.10% | 0.2890 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.572975 | 0.546792 | -4.57% | 0.42721 | -25.44% | 0.2557 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.55887 | 0.524817 | -6.09% | 0.445015 | -20.37% | 0.2054 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.536045 | 0.507689 | -5.29% | 0.4589 | -14.39% | 0.1486 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.52681 | 0.50041 | -5.01% | 0.455525 | -13.53% | 0.1605 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.54605 | 0.521814 | -4.44% | 0.46111 | -15.56% | 0.1575 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.506 | 0.486737 | -3.81% | 0.47322 | -6.48% | 0.0884 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.541645 | 0.516871 | -4.57% | 0.48416 | -10.61% | 0.1076 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.54789 | 0.523733 | -4.41% | 0.480645 | -12.27% | 0.1460 | ✓ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.53246 | 0.51099 | -4.03% | 0.47832 | -10.17% | 0.1255 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.525035 | 0.511402 | -2.60% | 0.449425 | -14.40% | 0.1700 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.53373 | 0.521504 | -2.29% | 0.454605 | -14.82% | 0.1685 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.54462 | 0.531424 | -2.42% | 0.47178 | -13.37% | 0.1585 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.53535 | 0.52858 | -1.26% | 0.503025 | -6.04% | 0.0989 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.53493 | 0.527507 | -1.39% | 0.50726 | -5.17% | 0.0953 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.55411 | 0.546365 | -1.40% | 0.513105 | -7.40% | 0.1274 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.56077 | 0.559582 | -0.21% | 0.51275 | -8.56% | 0.1206 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.549935 | 0.539758 | -1.85% | 0.5204 | -5.37% | 0.1093 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.55791 | 0.551354 | -1.18% | 0.539035 | -3.38% | 0.0976 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.55311 | 0.554301 | +0.22% | 0.55308 | -0.01% | 0.0535 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.53392 | 0.538071 | +0.78% | 0.566075 | +6.02% | 0.0102 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.5311 | 0.539317 | +1.55% | 0.52923 | -0.35% | 0.0724 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.452265 | 0.465145 | +2.85% | 0.53924 | +19.23% | 0.0813 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.4366 | 0.453387 | +3.85% | 0.543685 | +24.53% | 0.1363 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.44712 | 0.463695 | +3.71% | 0.548345 | +22.64% | 0.1107 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.446145 | 0.462646 | +3.70% | 0.55141 | +23.59% | 0.1096 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.43008 | 0.447387 | +4.02% | 0.54546 | +26.83% | 0.1366 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.44159 | 0.456209 | +3.31% | 0.55875 | +26.53% | 0.1046 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.4364 | 0.4512 | +3.39% | 0.54479 | +24.84% | 0.0780 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.51216 | 0.530459 | +3.57% | 0.550025 | +7.39% | 0.0063 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.48057 | 0.4827 | +0.44% | 0.566845 | +17.95% | 0.0746 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.48616 | 0.47573 | -2.15% | 0.572975 | +17.86% | 0.0411 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.484325 | 0.461196 | -4.78% | 0.55887 | +15.39% | 0.0099 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.45821 | 0.43498 | -5.07% | 0.536045 | +16.99% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.449445 | 0.424309 | -5.59% | 0.52681 | +17.21% | 0.0083 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.455485 | 0.428542 | -5.92% | 0.54605 | +19.88% | 0.0197 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.4421 | 0.416259 | -5.84% | 0.506 | +14.45% | 0.0454 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.44526 | 0.419355 | -5.82% | 0.541645 | +21.65% | 0.0157 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.439325 | 0.413187 | -5.95% | 0.54789 | +24.71% | 0.0428 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.445895 | 0.418154 | -6.22% | 0.53246 | +19.41% | 0.0153 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.45317 | 0.423563 | -6.53% | 0.525035 | +15.86% | 0.0316 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.47207 | 0.439106 | -6.98% | 0.53373 | +13.06% | 0.0324 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.467935 | 0.432535 | -7.57% | 0.54462 | +16.39% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.47738 | 0.439338 | -7.97% | 0.53535 | +12.14% | 0.0579 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.4807 | 0.440587 | -8.34% | 0.53493 | +11.28% | 0.0676 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.489915 | 0.447508 | -8.66% | 0.55411 | +13.10% | 0.0387 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.50446 | 0.458734 | -9.06% | 0.56077 | +11.16% | 0.0912 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.49863 | 0.451938 | -9.36% | 0.549935 | +10.29% | 0.0449 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.47985 | 0.433668 | -9.62% | 0.55791 | +16.27% | 0.0098 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.51585 | 0.465539 | -9.75% | 0.55311 | +7.22% | 0.1204 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.496455 | 0.447686 | -9.82% | 0.53392 | +7.55% | 0.1007 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.5026 | 0.451222 | -10.22% | 0.5311 | +5.67% | 0.1008 | ✓ | 1.39 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.47888 | 0.431 | -10.00% | 0.452265 | -5.56% | 0.2178 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.487225 | 0.43735 | -10.24% | 0.4366 | -10.39% | 0.3105 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.48183 | 0.434211 | -9.88% | 0.44712 | -7.20% | 0.2608 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.4778 | 0.430693 | -9.86% | 0.446145 | -6.63% | 0.2350 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.51004 | 0.459466 | -9.92% | 0.43008 | -15.68% | 0.3948 | ✓ | 1.60 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.48595 | 0.439524 | -9.55% | 0.44159 | -9.13% | 0.3005 | ✓ | 1.58 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.54517 | 0.487879 | -10.51% | 0.4364 | -19.95% | 0.3575 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.59166 | 0.533701 | -9.80% | 0.51216 | -13.44% | 0.2726 | ✓ | 1.36 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.6201 | 0.55956 | -9.76% | 0.48057 | -22.50% | 0.2767 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.6262 | 0.562369 | -10.19% | 0.48616 | -22.36% | 0.2310 | ✓ | 1.41 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.5895 | 0.531292 | -9.87% | 0.484325 | -17.84% | 0.0925 | ✓ | 1.36 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.57496 | 0.519932 | -9.57% | 0.45821 | -20.31% | 0.1196 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.56643 | 0.512433 | -9.53% | 0.449445 | -20.65% | 0.1084 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.521855 | 0.474614 | -9.05% | 0.455485 | -12.72% | 0.0293 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.556 | 0.505931 | -9.01% | 0.4421 | -20.49% | 0.1076 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.55588 | 0.506171 | -8.94% | 0.44526 | -19.90% | 0.1039 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.525275 | 0.479271 | -8.76% | 0.439325 | -16.36% | 0.1053 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.542635 | 0.493438 | -9.07% | 0.445895 | -17.83% | 0.0980 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.56335 | 0.511538 | -9.20% | 0.45317 | -19.56% | 0.1233 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.55385 | 0.503969 | -9.01% | 0.47207 | -14.77% | 0.0766 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.57192 | 0.518551 | -9.33% | 0.467935 | -18.18% | 0.1298 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.55441 | 0.503279 | -9.22% | 0.47738 | -13.89% | 0.0946 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.558795 | 0.506991 | -9.27% | 0.4807 | -13.98% | 0.0680 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.53254 | 0.483926 | -9.13% | 0.489915 | -8.00% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.55362 | 0.503417 | -9.07% | 0.50446 | -8.88% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.609515 | 0.549957 | -9.77% | 0.49863 | -18.19% | 0.1040 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.54012 | 0.489478 | -9.38% | 0.47985 | -11.16% | 0.0354 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.557835 | 0.504923 | -9.49% | 0.51585 | -7.53% | 0.0008 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.558 | 0.504607 | -9.57% | 0.496455 | -11.03% | 0.0630 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.505 | 0.458712 | -9.17% | 0.5026 | -0.48% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.535035 | 0.486674 | -9.04% | 0.47888 | -10.50% | 0.0763 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.488 | 0.443044 | -9.21% | 0.487225 | -0.16% | 0.0241 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.427605 | 0.383127 | -10.40% | 0.48183 | +12.68% | 0.1684 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.457 | 0.411864 | -9.88% | 0.4778 | +4.55% | 0.0633 | ✓ | 1.00 |