NOCK

Nockchain · Base · gru_s8

token id: #744
symbol: NOCK
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-25
predictions: 330

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

103

of 110 predictions shown

direction hit

60.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2351

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0333

actual -0.0286

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.021	0.020025	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-20	oos	0.02115	0.020138	-4.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-19	oos	0.01957	0.019072	-2.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.018735	0.018429	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.01787	0.017813	-0.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.01995	0.019557	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	0.01899	0.018919	-0.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.02035	0.020184	-0.82%	0.021	+3.19%	0.0216	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.02241	0.021845	-2.52%	0.02115	-5.62%	0.0297	✓	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.02193	0.021606	-1.48%	0.01957	-10.76%	0.1005	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.024565	0.023664	-3.67%	0.018735	-23.73%	0.2039	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.027275	0.025935	-4.91%	0.01787	-34.48%	0.3461	✓	1.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.02348	0.022953	-2.25%	0.01995	-15.03%	0.1222	✓	1.42
2026-10-08	oos	0.020085	0.020295	+1.05%	0.01899	-5.45%	0.0739	✗	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.023665	0.023148	-2.18%	0.02035	-14.01%	0.1017	✓	1.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.024845	0.023902	-3.80%	0.02241	-9.80%	0.0268	✓	1.30
2026-10-05	oos	0.025125	0.024049	-4.28%	0.02193	-12.72%	0.0275	✓	1.35
2026-10-04	oos	0.01995	0.019809	-0.71%	0.024565	+23.13%	0.2615	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.01937	0.019352	-0.09%	0.027275	+40.81%	0.3733	✗	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	0.01954	0.019483	-0.29%	0.02348	+20.16%	0.2186	✗	1.36
2026-10-01	oos	0.020375	0.020102	-1.34%	0.020085	-1.42%	0.0510	✗	1.37
2026-09-30	oos	0.022815	0.022267	-2.40%	0.023665	+3.73%	0.0656	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.024225	0.023537	-2.84%	0.024845	+2.56%	0.0210	✓	1.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.022935	0.022302	-2.76%	0.025125	+9.55%	0.0797	✗	1.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.02204	0.021262	-3.53%	0.01995	-9.48%	0.1012	✓	1.57
2026-09-26	oos	0.030865	0.029478	-4.49%	0.01937	-37.24%	0.4258	✓	1.53
2026-09-25	oos	0.031395	0.02997	-4.54%	0.01954	-37.76%	0.4354	✓	1.57
2026-09-24	oos	0.03092	0.029536	-4.48%	0.020375	-34.10%	0.3799	✓	1.57
2026-09-23	oos	0.0308	0.029495	-4.24%	0.022815	-25.93%	0.2414	✓	1.57
2026-09-22	oos	0.036775	0.035168	-4.37%	0.024225	-34.13%	0.3283	✓	1.47
2026-09-21	oos	0.04147	0.039409	-4.97%	0.022935	-44.69%	0.4879	✓	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.038625	0.036826	-4.66%	0.02204	-42.94%	0.5725	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.043515	0.041271	-5.16%	0.030865	-29.07%	0.3470	✓	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.048125	0.044935	-6.63%	0.031395	-34.76%	0.4160	✓	1.47
2026-09-17	oos	0.0388	0.036727	-5.34%	0.03092	-20.31%	0.2954	✓	1.23
2026-09-16	oos	0.03942	0.037129	-5.81%	0.0308	-21.87%	0.3134	✓	1.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.036105	0.034261	-5.11%	0.036775	+1.86%	0.0895	✓	1.22
2026-09-14	oos	0.03963	0.037453	-5.49%	0.04147	+4.64%	0.0164	✓	1.16
2026-09-13	oos	0.051235	0.047293	-7.69%	0.038625	-24.61%	0.2741	✓	1.30
2026-09-12	oos	0.050925	0.046205	-9.27%	0.043515	-14.55%	0.1252	✓	1.30
2026-09-11	oos	0.03621	0.034012	-6.07%	0.048125	+32.91%	0.2853	✗	1.33
2026-09-10	oos	0.033195	0.031392	-5.43%	0.0388	+16.89%	0.2151	✗	1.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.030795	0.029387	-4.57%	0.03942	+28.01%	0.3330	✗	1.42
2026-09-08	oos	0.038595	0.035831	-7.16%	0.036105	-6.45%	0.0587	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.03316	0.031069	-6.30%	0.03963	+19.51%	0.2602	✗	1.45
2026-09-06	oos	0.032875	0.030416	-7.48%	0.051235	+55.85%	0.5878	✗	1.47
2026-09-05	oos	0.0209	0.020306	-2.84%	0.050925	+143.66%	0.9664	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.02251	0.021741	-3.42%	0.03621	+60.86%	0.5551	✗	1.43
2026-09-03	oos	0.01819	0.017869	-1.77%	0.033195	+82.49%	0.7188	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.01672	0.016425	-1.76%	0.030795	+84.18%	0.6081	✗	1.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.0209	0.020077	-3.94%	0.038595	+84.67%	0.6322	✗	1.59
2026-08-31	oos	0.016965	0.016706	-1.53%	0.03316	+95.46%	0.6736	✗	1.78
2026-08-30	oos	0.01601	0.015779	-1.44%	0.032875	+105.34%	0.6744	✗	1.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.01545	0.015316	-0.86%	0.0209	+35.28%	0.2746	✗	1.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.014115	0.014045	-0.50%	0.02251	+59.48%	0.4300	✗	1.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.016785	0.016589	-1.17%	0.01819	+8.37%	0.0721	✗	1.64
2026-08-26	oos	0.01661	0.016361	-1.50%	0.01672	+0.66%	0.0576	✗	1.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.0199	0.019249	-3.27%	0.0209	+5.03%	0.1061	✗	1.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.01984	0.0192	-3.22%	0.016965	-14.49%	0.1149	✓	1.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.02078	0.019917	-4.15%	0.01601	-22.95%	0.2170	✓	1.69
2026-08-22	oos	0.0206	0.019614	-4.78%	0.01545	-25.00%	0.2643	✓	1.69
2026-08-21	oos	0.02013	0.019242	-4.41%	0.014115	-29.88%	0.2989	✓	1.75
2026-08-20	oos	0.017805	0.01684	-5.42%	0.016785	-5.73%	0.1636	✓	1.69
2026-08-19	oos	0.01454	0.013987	-3.80%	0.01661	+14.24%	0.0063	✓	1.26
2026-08-18	oos	0.01529	0.014348	-6.16%	0.0199	+30.15%	0.0643	✓	2.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.01648	0.015262	-7.39%	0.01984	+20.39%	0.1492	✓	2.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.00971	0.009501	-2.16%	0.02078	+114.01%	0.6109	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.01037	0.010104	-2.56%	0.0206	+98.65%	0.5531	✗	0.79
2026-08-14	oos	0.009505	0.009292	-2.24%	0.02013	+111.78%	0.5994	✗	0.80
2026-08-13	oos	0.00902	0.008829	-2.12%	0.017805	+97.39%	0.5795	✗	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.011985	0.011586	-3.33%	0.01454	+21.32%	0.1525	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.01267	0.012152	-4.08%	0.01529	+20.68%	0.2148	✗	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.01093	0.010562	-3.37%	0.01648	+50.78%	0.4364	✗	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.009845	0.009558	-2.91%	0.00971	-1.37%	0.0538	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.010245	0.009922	-3.15%	0.01037	+1.22%	0.0797	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.010525	0.010143	-3.63%	0.009505	-9.69%	0.0289	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.01052	0.010219	-2.86%	0.00902	-14.26%	0.1092	✓	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.011685	0.011308	-3.23%	0.011985	+2.57%	0.0793	✗	1.14
2026-08-04	oos	0.012345	0.011956	-3.15%	0.01267	+2.63%	0.0675	✗	1.16
2026-08-03	oos	0.011605	0.011296	-2.66%	0.01093	-5.82%	0.0407	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0113	0.011024	-2.44%	0.009845	-12.88%	0.1366	✓	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.01103	0.010804	-2.05%	0.010245	-7.12%	0.0890	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.012835	0.012522	-2.44%	0.010525	-18.00%	0.2073	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.01223	0.011925	-2.50%	0.01052	-13.98%	0.1151	✓	1.45
2026-07-29	oos	0.012565	0.012263	-2.41%	0.011685	-7.00%	0.0644	✓	1.47
2026-07-28	oos	0.013	0.012692	-2.37%	0.012345	-5.04%	0.0324	✓	1.47
2026-07-27	oos	0.01546	0.014991	-3.03%	0.011605	-24.94%	0.2507	✓	1.48
2026-07-26	oos	0.01542	0.014969	-2.92%	0.0113	-26.72%	0.2317	✓	1.73
2026-07-25	oos	0.015505	0.015061	-2.87%	0.01103	-28.86%	0.2695	✓	1.74
2026-07-24	oos	0.01597	0.015487	-3.02%	0.012835	-19.63%	0.1680	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.0161	0.015558	-3.36%	0.01223	-24.04%	0.2356	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.014495	0.014093	-2.77%	0.012565	-13.31%	0.0811	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.01253	0.012317	-1.70%	0.013	+3.75%	0.0949	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.015555	0.01525	-1.96%	0.01546	-0.61%	0.0372	✗	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.01812	0.017691	-2.37%	0.01542	-14.90%	0.1475	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.01853	0.018095	-2.35%	0.015505	-16.32%	0.1467	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.01878	0.018342	-2.33%	0.01597	-14.96%	0.1415	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.020335	0.019805	-2.61%	0.0161	-20.83%	0.2270	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.022055	0.021391	-3.01%	0.014495	-34.28%	0.4101	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.02333	0.022523	-3.46%	0.01253	-46.29%	0.6096	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.01811	0.017724	-2.13%	0.015555	-14.11%	0.1768	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.016905	0.016622	-1.67%	0.01812	+7.19%	0.0716	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.01807	0.01776	-1.71%	0.01853	+2.55%	0.0265	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.020035	0.019675	-1.80%	0.01878	-6.26%	0.0429	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.02064	0.020238	-1.95%	0.020335	-1.48%	0.0046	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.02032	0.01993	-1.92%	0.022055	+8.54%	0.0623	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.02279	0.022274	-2.27%	0.02333	+2.37%	0.0204	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.020825	0.020416	-1.96%	0.01811	-13.04%	0.0924	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.02308	0.022562	-2.25%	0.016905	-26.75%	0.2911	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.02652	0.025759	-2.87%	0.01807	-31.86%	0.3654	✓	1.00