NOCK

Nockchain · Base · gru_s8

token id: #744
symbol: NOCK
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-25
predictions: 330

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

109

of 110 predictions shown

direction hit

57.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0960

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0083

actual -0.0059

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.021	0.020794	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-20	oos	0.02115	0.020933	-1.03%	0.021	-0.71%	0.0076	✓	1.51
2026-10-19	oos	0.01957	0.019486	-0.43%	0.02115	+8.07%	0.0626	✗	1.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.018735	0.018692	-0.23%	0.01957	+4.46%	0.0487	✗	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.01787	0.017878	+0.05%	0.018735	+4.84%	0.0368	✓	1.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.01995	0.019884	-0.33%	0.01787	-10.43%	0.1049	✓	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	0.01899	0.018997	+0.04%	0.01995	+5.06%	0.0589	✓	1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.02035	0.020339	-0.05%	0.01899	-6.68%	0.0776	✓	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.02241	0.022316	-0.42%	0.02035	-9.19%	0.0679	✓	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.02193	0.021892	-0.17%	0.02241	+2.19%	0.0018	✗	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.024565	0.024397	-0.68%	0.02193	-10.73%	0.0722	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.027275	0.026978	-1.09%	0.024565	-9.94%	0.1067	✓	1.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.02348	0.023393	-0.37%	0.027275	+16.16%	0.1473	✗	1.42
2026-10-08	oos	0.020085	0.02015	+0.32%	0.02348	+16.90%	0.1383	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.023665	0.023582	-0.35%	0.020085	-15.13%	0.1354	✓	1.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.024845	0.024654	-0.77%	0.023665	-4.75%	0.0060	✓	1.30
2026-10-05	oos	0.025125	0.02489	-0.94%	0.024845	-1.11%	0.0015	✓	1.35
2026-10-04	oos	0.01995	0.019945	-0.02%	0.025125	+25.94%	0.2431	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.01937	0.019393	+0.12%	0.01995	+2.99%	0.0001	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	0.01954	0.019558	+0.09%	0.01937	-0.87%	0.0135	✗	1.36
2026-10-01	oos	0.020375	0.02035	-0.12%	0.01954	-4.10%	0.0351	✓	1.37
2026-09-30	oos	0.022815	0.022729	-0.38%	0.020375	-10.69%	0.1310	✓	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.024225	0.02411	-0.48%	0.022815	-5.82%	0.0537	✓	1.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.022935	0.022846	-0.39%	0.024225	+5.62%	0.0554	✗	1.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.02204	0.02193	-0.50%	0.022935	+4.06%	0.0636	✗	1.57
2026-09-26	oos	0.030865	0.030571	-0.95%	0.02204	-28.59%	0.3280	✓	1.53
2026-09-25	oos	0.031395	0.031101	-0.94%	0.030865	-1.69%	0.0137	✓	1.57
2026-09-24	oos	0.03092	0.030651	-0.87%	0.031395	+1.54%	0.0294	✗	1.57
2026-09-23	oos	0.0308	0.030565	-0.76%	0.03092	+0.39%	0.0114	✗	1.57
2026-09-22	oos	0.036775	0.036431	-0.93%	0.0308	-16.25%	0.1365	✓	1.47
2026-09-21	oos	0.04147	0.040947	-1.26%	0.036775	-11.32%	0.1008	✓	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.038625	0.038251	-0.97%	0.04147	+7.37%	0.0154	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.043515	0.042988	-1.21%	0.038625	-11.24%	0.1057	✓	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.048125	0.047203	-1.92%	0.043515	-9.58%	0.0879	✓	1.47
2026-09-17	oos	0.0388	0.038356	-1.15%	0.048125	+24.03%	0.1559	✗	1.23
2026-09-16	oos	0.03942	0.038899	-1.32%	0.0388	-1.57%	0.0058	✓	1.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.036105	0.035744	-1.00%	0.03942	+9.18%	0.0889	✗	1.22
2026-09-14	oos	0.03963	0.039163	-1.18%	0.036105	-8.89%	0.0423	✓	1.16
2026-09-13	oos	0.051235	0.050115	-2.19%	0.03963	-22.65%	0.2578	✓	1.30
2026-09-12	oos	0.050925	0.049275	-3.24%	0.051235	+0.61%	0.0468	✗	1.30
2026-09-11	oos	0.03621	0.035623	-1.62%	0.050925	+40.64%	0.3564	✗	1.33
2026-09-10	oos	0.033195	0.032747	-1.35%	0.03621	+9.08%	0.0890	✗	1.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.030795	0.030473	-1.05%	0.033195	+7.79%	0.1176	✗	1.42
2026-09-08	oos	0.038595	0.037731	-2.24%	0.030795	-20.21%	0.2002	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.03316	0.032491	-2.02%	0.038595	+16.39%	0.1840	✗	1.45
2026-09-06	oos	0.032875	0.03191	-2.94%	0.03316	+0.87%	0.0615	✗	1.47
2026-09-05	oos	0.0209	0.020731	-0.81%	0.032875	+57.30%	0.4520	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.02251	0.022275	-1.05%	0.0209	-7.15%	0.0665	✓	1.43
2026-09-03	oos	0.01819	0.018079	-0.61%	0.02251	+23.75%	0.2520	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.01672	0.016643	-0.46%	0.01819	+8.79%	0.0077	✗	1.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.0209	0.020587	-1.50%	0.01672	-20.00%	0.2062	✓	1.59
2026-08-31	oos	0.016965	0.01687	-0.56%	0.0209	+23.19%	0.2408	✗	1.78
2026-08-30	oos	0.01601	0.015922	-0.55%	0.016965	+5.97%	0.0432	✗	1.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.01545	0.015399	-0.33%	0.01601	+3.62%	0.0520	✗	1.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.014115	0.014085	-0.21%	0.01545	+9.46%	0.0834	✗	1.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.016785	0.016693	-0.55%	0.014115	-15.91%	0.1173	✓	1.64
2026-08-26	oos	0.01661	0.016511	-0.59%	0.016785	+1.05%	0.0092	✓	1.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.0199	0.019618	-1.42%	0.01661	-16.53%	0.1769	✓	1.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.01984	0.019557	-1.43%	0.0199	+0.30%	0.0270	✗	1.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.02078	0.020404	-1.81%	0.01984	-4.52%	0.0550	✓	1.69
2026-08-22	oos	0.0206	0.020153	-2.17%	0.02078	+0.87%	0.0159	✓	1.69
2026-08-21	oos	0.02013	0.019711	-2.08%	0.0206	+2.33%	0.0728	✗	1.75
2026-08-20	oos	0.017805	0.017368	-2.46%	0.02013	+13.06%	0.0288	✗	1.69
2026-08-19	oos	0.01454	0.014359	-1.25%	0.017805	+22.46%	0.1493	✗	1.26
2026-08-18	oos	0.01529	0.014955	-2.19%	0.01454	-4.91%	0.1673	✓	2.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.01648	0.016002	-2.90%	0.01529	-7.22%	0.0519	✓	2.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.00971	0.009667	-0.44%	0.01648	+69.72%	0.5126	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.01037	0.010312	-0.56%	0.00971	-6.36%	0.0578	✓	0.79
2026-08-14	oos	0.009505	0.009463	-0.44%	0.01037	+9.10%	0.0909	✗	0.80
2026-08-13	oos	0.00902	0.008987	-0.36%	0.009505	+5.38%	0.0622	✗	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.011985	0.011892	-0.78%	0.00902	-24.74%	0.2766	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.01267	0.012531	-1.10%	0.011985	-5.41%	0.0430	✓	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.01093	0.010843	-0.80%	0.01267	+15.92%	0.1615	✗	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.009845	0.009785	-0.61%	0.01093	+11.02%	0.1282	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.010245	0.010175	-0.69%	0.009845	-3.90%	0.0318	✓	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.010525	0.01043	-0.90%	0.010245	-2.66%	0.0182	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.01052	0.010455	-0.61%	0.010525	+0.05%	0.0049	✓	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.011685	0.011597	-0.75%	0.01052	-9.97%	0.0915	✓	1.14
2026-08-04	oos	0.012345	0.012254	-0.74%	0.011685	-5.35%	0.0575	✓	1.16
2026-08-03	oos	0.011605	0.011539	-0.57%	0.012345	+6.38%	0.0574	✗	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0113	0.011245	-0.48%	0.011605	+2.70%	0.0321	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.01103	0.01099	-0.37%	0.0113	+2.45%	0.0154	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.012835	0.012773	-0.48%	0.01103	-14.06%	0.1457	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.01223	0.012175	-0.45%	0.012835	+4.95%	0.0959	✗	1.45
2026-07-29	oos	0.012565	0.012509	-0.45%	0.01223	-2.67%	0.0414	✓	1.47
2026-07-28	oos	0.013	0.012942	-0.45%	0.012565	-3.35%	0.0307	✓	1.47
2026-07-27	oos	0.01546	0.015353	-0.69%	0.013	-15.91%	0.1699	✓	1.48
2026-07-26	oos	0.01542	0.015321	-0.64%	0.01546	+0.26%	0.0533	✗	1.73
2026-07-25	oos	0.015505	0.01541	-0.61%	0.01542	-0.55%	0.0275	✓	1.74
2026-07-24	oos	0.01597	0.015862	-0.68%	0.015505	-2.91%	0.0261	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.0161	0.01596	-0.87%	0.01597	-0.81%	0.0156	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.014495	0.014399	-0.66%	0.0161	+11.07%	0.1274	✗	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.01253	0.0125	-0.24%	0.014495	+15.68%	0.1545	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.015555	0.015496	-0.38%	0.01253	-19.45%	0.2322	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.01812	0.018024	-0.53%	0.015555	-14.16%	0.1555	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.01853	0.018433	-0.53%	0.01812	-2.21%	0.0153	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.01878	0.018683	-0.52%	0.01853	-1.33%	0.0222	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.020335	0.020211	-0.61%	0.01878	-7.65%	0.0753	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.022055	0.02188	-0.79%	0.020335	-7.80%	0.0585	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.02333	0.023095	-1.01%	0.022055	-5.47%	0.0419	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.01811	0.018019	-0.50%	0.02333	+28.82%	0.2155	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.016905	0.016847	-0.34%	0.01811	+7.13%	0.0957	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.01807	0.018005	-0.36%	0.016905	-6.45%	0.0625	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.020035	0.019954	-0.40%	0.01807	-9.81%	0.0936	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.02064	0.02055	-0.44%	0.020035	-2.93%	0.0404	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.02032	0.020237	-0.41%	0.02064	+1.57%	0.0048	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.02279	0.022666	-0.54%	0.02032	-10.84%	0.0920	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.020825	0.020731	-0.45%	0.02279	+9.44%	0.1054	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.02308	0.022957	-0.53%	0.020825	-9.77%	0.1040	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.02652	0.026321	-0.75%	0.02308	-12.97%	0.1392	✓	1.00