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MSFTX

Microsoft xStock · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id
#605
symbol
MSFTX
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x5621737f42dae558b81269fcb9e9e70c19aa6b35
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2025-11-25
predictions
783
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
187
of 261 predictions shown
direction hit
47.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0835
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0413
actual +0.0246

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos527.2872501.3537-4.92%–pending––0.08
2026-10-20oos529.0269497.0239-6.05%–pending––0.08
2026-10-19oos532.8345499.0455-6.34%–pending––0.09
2026-10-18oos526.7454500.3135-5.02%–pending––0.09
2026-10-17oos527.6699500.5238-5.14%–pending––0.10
2026-10-16oos527.6898501.0723-5.04%–pending––0.10
2026-10-15oos536.9949505.0531-5.95%–pending––0.09
2026-10-14oos531.9497496.8696-6.59%–pending––0.09
2026-10-13oos541.0907506.1893-6.45%–pending––0.08
2026-10-12oos541.1951503.9274-6.89%–pending––0.07
2026-10-11oos536.13507.9703-5.25%–pending––0.06
2026-10-10oos534.8327505.9126-5.41%–pending––0.08
2026-10-09oos534.9768506.0819-5.40%–pending––0.08
2026-10-08oos522.4756490.6337-6.09%–pending––0.07
2026-10-07oos529.6532502.9471-5.04%–pending––0.06
2026-10-06oos529.4942500.7475-5.43%–pending––0.05
2026-10-05oos525.0852496.4252-5.46%–pending––0.07
2026-10-04oos517.8778494.5952-4.50%–pending––0.06
2026-10-03oos518.4096492.583-4.98%–pending––0.06
2026-10-02oos518.3699492.7527-4.94%–pending––0.06
2026-10-01oos514.8357488.4695-5.12%–pending––0.06
2026-09-30oos514.4331487.8077-5.18%–pending––0.06
2026-09-29oos509.4575484.4859-4.90%–pending––0.08
2026-09-28oos514.1746488.1283-5.07%–pending––0.09
2026-09-27oos516.9532490.6063-5.10%–pending––0.07
2026-09-26oos517.4155490.7058-5.16%–pending––0.07
2026-09-25oos517.4155490.5425-5.19%–pending––0.07
2026-09-24oos495.992474.6563-4.30%–pending––0.07
2026-09-23oos499.9088481.4696-3.69%–pending––0.07
2026-09-22oos500.0928481.3003-3.76%–pending––0.08
2026-09-21oos500.5451483.4362-3.42%527.2872+5.34%0.0914✗0.10
2026-09-20oos501.7629477.6523-4.81%529.0269+5.43%0.0995✗0.12
2026-09-19oos497.3092474.8675-4.51%532.8345+7.14%0.1143✗0.12
2026-09-18oos496.4343476.4332-4.03%526.7454+6.11%0.0988✗0.12
2026-09-17oos491.6874469.9254-4.43%527.6699+7.32%0.1083✗0.12
2026-09-16oos489.714467.9986-4.43%527.6898+7.75%0.1120✗0.12
2026-09-15oos496.9414476.1987-4.17%536.9949+8.06%0.1084✗0.14
2026-09-14oos499.8194478.4817-4.27%531.9497+6.43%0.0996✗0.15
2026-09-13oos492.2739475.0575-3.50%541.0907+9.92%0.1183✗0.15
2026-09-11oos492.4031476.257-3.28%536.13+8.88%0.1079✗0.13
2026-09-10oos492.2739473.2542-3.86%534.8327+8.65%0.1096✗0.16
2026-09-09oos492.4479473.0497-3.94%534.9768+8.64%0.1146✗0.16
2026-09-08oos494.6449472.361-4.51%522.4756+5.63%0.0955✗0.13
2026-09-07oos497.2893482.0691-3.06%529.6532+6.51%0.0874✗0.13
2026-09-06oos497.334486.4996-2.18%529.4942+6.47%0.0759✗0.14
2026-09-05oos497.339488.7267-1.73%525.0852+5.58%0.0617✗0.14
2026-09-04oos494.6896489.9662-0.95%517.8778+4.69%0.0439✗0.14
2026-09-03oos509.5122506.3454-0.62%518.4096+1.75%0.0186✗0.12
2026-09-02oos497.8908487.7195-2.04%518.3699+4.11%0.0492✗0.13
2026-09-01oos501.0123487.23-2.75%514.8357+2.76%0.0430✗0.13
2026-08-31oos507.9514494.0966-2.73%514.4331+1.28%0.0303✗0.16
2026-08-30oos510.72496.9978-2.69%509.4575-0.25%0.0082✓0.22
2026-08-29oos510.5759501.1117-1.85%514.1746+0.70%0.0120✓0.21
2026-08-28oos509.88504.4806-1.06%516.9532+1.39%0.0071✓0.21
2026-08-27oos503.0404502.0318-0.20%517.4155+2.86%0.0188✗0.23
2026-08-26oos496.0466491.561-0.90%517.4155+4.31%0.0374✗0.22
2026-08-25oos489.8234480.6338-1.88%495.992+1.26%0.0162✓0.21
2026-08-24oos487.4474479.0611-1.72%499.9088+2.56%0.0288✗0.21
2026-08-23oos478.7388469.9625-1.83%500.0928+4.46%0.0398✗0.22
2026-08-22oos478.7239471.4349-1.52%500.5451+4.56%0.0346✗0.22
2026-08-21oos478.7935479.7252+0.19%501.7629+4.80%0.0372✓0.22
2026-08-20oos481.4528470.3436-2.31%497.3092+3.29%0.0268✗0.27
2026-08-19oos483.9431468.7189-3.15%496.4343+2.58%0.0099✓0.31
2026-08-18oos481.3295459.1115-4.62%491.6874+2.15%0.0076✓0.37
2026-08-17oos476.0188453.2463-4.78%489.714+2.88%0.0170✓0.36
2026-08-14oos494.1408463.2649-6.25%492.2739-0.38%0.0111✓0.36
2026-08-13oos495.7335459.4323-7.32%–pending––0.36
2026-08-12oos488.631453.7478-7.14%492.4031+0.77%0.0133✓0.35
2026-08-11oos495.0118454.6122-8.16%492.2739-0.55%0.0154✓0.34
2026-08-10oos505.2897462.0124-8.56%492.4479-2.54%0.0070✓0.35
2026-08-09oos497.5054459.7441-7.59%494.6449-0.57%0.0051✓0.36
2026-08-08oos500.8899460.208-8.12%497.2893-0.72%0.0066✓0.36
2026-08-07oos495.0018453.17-8.45%497.334+0.47%0.0166✓0.36
2026-08-06oos498.6103454.5885-8.83%497.339-0.25%0.0106✓0.37
2026-08-05oos485.4855444.9799-8.34%494.6896+1.90%0.0296✓0.36
2026-08-04oos490.0645446.9462-8.80%509.5122+3.97%0.0440✓0.37
2026-08-03oos484.0869441.4395-8.81%497.8908+2.85%0.0479✓0.37
2026-08-02oos457.4987424.0852-7.30%501.0123+9.51%0.0979✗0.35
2026-08-01oos457.4987421.1404-7.95%507.9514+11.03%0.1084✗0.35
2026-07-31oos459.7086421.6174-8.29%510.72+11.10%0.1168✗0.35
2026-07-30oos446.0312415.2731-6.90%510.5759+14.47%0.1324✗0.39
2026-07-29oos425.5053401.286-5.69%509.88+19.83%0.1631✗0.39
2026-07-28oos395.3485379.3404-4.05%503.0404+27.24%0.2013✗0.35
2026-07-27oos381.4024363.4562-4.71%496.0466+30.06%0.2366✗0.35
2026-07-26oos388.475375.2246-3.41%489.8234+26.09%0.2054✗0.33
2026-07-25oos384.0005371.5608-3.24%487.4474+26.94%0.2054✗0.32
2026-07-24oos381.6662371.5813-2.64%478.7388+25.43%0.1916✗0.32
2026-07-23oos385.9266377.0178-2.31%478.7239+24.05%0.1851✗0.32
2026-07-22oos391.5658381.6032-2.54%478.7935+22.28%0.1746✗0.31
2026-07-21oos399.5144388.6-2.73%481.4528+20.51%0.1862✗0.30
2026-07-20oos399.0863384.7279-3.60%483.9431+21.26%0.2111✗0.30
2026-07-19oos385.3692374.5728-2.80%481.3295+24.90%0.2508✗0.29
2026-07-17oos394.4327380.5826-3.51%–pending––0.29
2026-07-16oos400.3705386.0976-3.56%–pending––0.30
2026-07-15oos396.9262384.1261-3.22%494.1408+24.49%0.2603✗0.31
2026-07-14oos386.7578371.5802-3.92%495.7335+28.18%0.2959✗0.31
2026-07-13oos389.8288370.2625-5.02%488.631+25.35%0.2704✗0.38
2026-07-12oos396.4982380.3194-4.08%495.0118+24.85%0.2648✗0.37
2026-07-11oos395.5028379.6153-4.02%505.2897+27.76%0.2852✗0.37
2026-07-10oos387.0565373.6095-3.47%497.5054+28.54%0.2822✗0.38
2026-07-09oos384.1996367.7635-4.28%500.8899+30.37%0.2988✗0.38
2026-07-08oos386.8325369.3151-4.53%495.0018+27.96%0.2766✗0.39
2026-07-07oos395.9656378.6563-4.37%498.6103+25.92%0.2696✗0.38
2026-07-06oos386.285371.8571-3.74%485.4855+25.68%0.2630✗0.39
2026-07-05oos416.0984399.8881-3.90%490.0645+17.78%0.2004✗0.41
2026-07-02oos398.6235381.0501-4.41%457.4987+14.77%0.1745✗0.41
2026-07-01oos384.3041365.6931-4.84%459.7086+19.62%0.2112✗0.38
2026-06-30oos377.3061357.8557-5.16%446.0312+18.21%0.1829✗0.37
2026-06-29oos371.3086352.1044-5.17%425.5053+14.60%0.1655✗0.40
2026-06-27oos400.4003373.8622-6.63%381.4024-4.74%0.0055✓0.42
2026-06-26oos372.7968350.7768-5.91%388.475+4.21%0.0669✗0.41
2026-06-25oos360.8665340.2854-5.70%384.0005+6.41%0.0910✗0.40
2026-06-24oos365.8735349.0186-4.61%381.6662+4.32%0.0688✗0.42
2026-06-23oos373.6131357.2964-4.37%385.9266+3.30%0.0620✗0.40
2026-06-22oos372.8565354.5417-4.91%391.5658+5.02%0.0857✗0.41
2026-06-21oos382.5023366.9087-4.08%399.5144+4.45%0.0632✗0.43
2026-06-19oos382.5023364.4679-4.71%385.3692+0.75%0.0476✓0.43
2026-06-18oos380.7305364.1859-4.35%–pending––0.43
2026-06-17oos389.1668372.6763-4.24%394.4327+1.35%0.0604✗0.42
2026-06-16oos396.7122376.9709-4.98%400.3705+0.92%0.0718✗0.40
2026-06-15oos403.093382.8155-5.03%396.9262-1.53%0.0462✓0.42
2026-06-14oos416.3522395.3741-5.04%386.7578-7.11%0.0171✓0.45
2026-06-13oos421.3493400.2072-5.02%389.8288-7.48%0.0101✓0.47
2026-06-12oos391.7251376.0893-3.99%396.4982+1.22%0.0515✗0.42
2026-06-11oos392.8201375.6993-4.36%395.5028+0.68%0.0500✗0.42
2026-06-10oos400.0669381.1522-4.73%387.0565-3.25%0.0041✓0.46
2026-06-09oos405.8056384.0031-5.37%384.1996-5.32%0.0110✓0.48
2026-06-08oos410.4991385.5814-6.07%386.8325-5.77%0.0092✓0.45
2026-06-05oos417.9947387.3131-7.34%416.0984-0.45%0.0539✓0.43
2026-06-04oos428.4369398.8228-6.91%–pending––0.42
2026-06-03oos427.7002395.3427-7.57%–pending––0.41
2026-06-02oos441.8255402.0795-9.00%398.6235-9.78%0.0204✓0.36
2026-06-01oos459.4547418.4029-8.93%384.3041-16.36%0.0385✓0.27
2026-05-31oos455.1246425.3935-6.53%377.3061-17.10%0.0539✓0.29
2026-05-29oos440.3224409.792-6.93%–pending––0.29
2026-05-28oos431.6969404.9671-6.19%400.4003-7.25%0.0478✓0.29
2026-05-27oos418.0295389.8955-6.73%372.7968-10.82%0.0174✓0.29
2026-05-26oos415.1428386.2512-6.96%360.8665-13.07%0.0048✓0.30
2026-05-25oos426.6948401.5931-5.88%365.8735-14.25%0.0167✓0.32
2026-05-24oos426.6899402.4179-5.69%373.6131-12.44%0.0084✓0.32
2026-05-23oos426.6749404.3345-5.24%372.8565-12.61%0.0231✓0.32
2026-05-22oos422.6036402.973-4.65%382.5023-9.49%0.0039✓0.32
2026-05-21oos421.21404.6355-3.93%–pending––0.33
2026-05-20oos417.7398400.5128-4.12%382.5023-8.44%0.0189✓0.33
2026-05-19oos417.0968399.3296-4.26%380.7305-8.72%0.0176✓0.33
2026-05-18oos422.9837402.9204-4.74%389.1668-7.99%0.0221✓0.32
2026-05-17oos423.871404.2175-4.64%396.7122-6.41%0.0342✓0.32
2026-05-15oos412.0971403.0518-2.19%416.3522+1.03%0.0917✗0.32
2026-05-14oos408.4034405.5542-0.70%421.3493+3.17%0.1159✗0.34
2026-05-13oos405.3378398.248-1.75%391.7251-3.36%0.0536✗0.32
2026-05-12oos411.8528406.611-1.27%392.8201-4.62%0.0386✗0.31
2026-05-11oos413.8268415.0294+0.29%400.0669-3.33%0.0612✓0.34
2026-05-08oos418.2183417.1324-0.26%–pending––0.33
2026-05-07oos420.7157419.9461-0.18%–pending––0.33
2026-05-06oos416.3092419.8848+0.86%417.9947+0.40%0.0540✓0.20
2026-05-05oos409.5798412.625+0.74%428.4369+4.60%0.0783✓0.17
2026-05-04oos413.0442413.2934+0.06%427.7002+3.55%0.0718✓0.17
2026-05-01oos421.7674417.9235-0.91%455.1246+7.91%0.0974✗0.20
2026-04-30oos408.6427400.8633-1.90%–pending––0.19
2026-04-29oos425.6157411.7691-3.25%440.3224+3.46%0.0732✗0.19
2026-04-28oos428.437417.8783-2.46%431.6969+0.76%0.0399✗0.20
2026-04-27oos425.4163416.4759-2.10%418.0295-1.74%0.0115✓0.19
2026-04-26oos422.1662416.4079-1.36%415.1428-1.66%0.0045✓0.21
2026-04-24oos425.7353420.46-1.24%426.6899+0.22%0.0160✗0.21
2026-04-23oos418.7816418.8286+0.01%426.6749+1.88%0.0229✓0.21
2026-04-22oos427.6743425.5607-0.49%422.6036-1.19%0.0006✓0.21
2026-04-21oos425.9746417.9145-1.89%421.21-1.12%0.0046✓0.21
2026-04-20oos417.9691408.5953-2.24%417.7398-0.05%0.0180✓0.20
2026-04-17oos426.2487419.6264-1.55%423.871-0.56%0.0093✓0.20
2026-04-16oos420.0627407.7092-2.94%–pending––0.19
2026-04-15oos416.0649402.9967-3.14%412.0971-0.95%0.0118✓0.19
2026-04-14oos394.6206385.3998-2.34%408.4034+3.49%0.0417✗0.18
2026-04-13oos386.8644379.5905-1.88%405.3378+4.78%0.0545✗0.18
2026-04-10oos377.6526365.9504-3.10%–pending––0.15
2026-04-09oos373.1265362.2641-2.91%–pending––0.14
2026-04-08oos373.939362.2403-3.13%418.2183+11.84%0.1269✗0.14
2026-04-07oos382.6075371.5273-2.90%420.7157+9.96%0.1097✗0.14
2026-04-06oos378.6047362.8985-4.15%416.3092+9.96%0.1177✗0.12
2026-04-03oos379.7363359.0674-5.44%–pending––0.12
2026-04-02oos379.7562362.5118-4.54%–pending––0.12
2026-04-01oos382.6374366.0259-4.34%421.7674+10.23%0.1257✗0.12
2026-03-31oos384.0829367.583-4.30%408.6427+6.39%0.0929✗0.12
2026-03-30oos371.5713356.256-4.12%425.6157+14.54%0.1651✗0.10
2026-03-27oos368.7998352.8574-4.32%422.1662+14.47%0.1619✗0.10
2026-03-26oos378.9487364.3089-3.86%–pending––0.09
2026-03-25oos382.2785371.6561-2.78%425.7353+11.37%0.1281✗0.09
2026-03-24oos375.0008364.3421-2.84%418.7816+11.67%0.1301✗0.09
2026-03-23oos390.1344379.4713-2.73%427.6743+9.62%0.1110✗0.09
2026-03-20oos388.5193376.8985-2.99%–pending––0.09
2026-03-19oos389.6758378.721-2.81%–pending––0.09
2026-03-18oos387.652379.855-2.01%426.2487+9.96%0.1081✗0.09
2026-03-17oos398.6084398.6011-0.00%420.0627+5.38%0.0512✗0.08
2026-03-16oos413.5925415.3796+0.43%416.0649+0.60%0.0017✓0.07
2026-03-13oos396.3753391.657-1.19%–pending––0.07
2026-03-12oos416.1547408.6969-1.79%–pending––0.08
2026-03-11oos389.9988384.092-1.51%377.6526-3.17%0.0196✓0.07
2026-03-10oos420.004410.5101-2.26%373.1265-11.16%0.0975✓0.08
2026-03-09oos422.5885411.3102-2.67%373.939-11.51%0.0983✓0.08
2026-03-06oos407.8403397.4671-2.54%–pending––0.08
2026-03-05oos410.1653403.062-1.73%–pending––0.08
2026-03-04oos406.124401.2033-1.21%379.7363-6.50%0.0498✓0.06
2026-03-03oos403.0805394.4963-2.13%379.7562-5.79%0.0365✓0.07
2026-03-02oos398.4006390.5317-1.98%382.6374-3.96%0.0195✓0.08
2026-02-27oos399.6529387.8932-2.94%–pending––0.06
2026-02-26oos397.1134386.5221-2.67%–pending––0.07
2026-02-25oos401.2545390.2472-2.74%368.7998-8.09%0.0549✓0.07
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