MON

Monad · native · gru_s8

token id: #168
symbol: MON
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-24
predictions: 972

Track record at +30d

assessed

294

of 324 predictions shown

direction hit

48.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1422

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0525

actual +0.0239

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.022257	0.020762	-6.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.022069	0.02072	-6.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-20	oos	0.022084	0.020721	-6.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-19	oos	0.0209	0.019577	-6.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.021073	0.0198	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-17	oos	0.021746	0.020348	-6.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-16	oos	0.022843	0.02142	-6.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.022939	0.021553	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-14	oos	0.024094	0.022572	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-13	oos	0.024401	0.022886	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.024261	0.022593	-6.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.027548	0.025695	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.025129	0.023314	-7.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.024415	0.02259	-7.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.023977	0.022124	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.025431	0.023623	-7.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.028428	0.026642	-6.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-05	oos	0.031459	0.029454	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.03334	0.031303	-6.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	0.033871	0.031554	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	0.032313	0.030141	-6.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	0.033663	0.03136	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-30	oos	0.031757	0.029435	-7.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	0.026859	0.025026	-6.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.028539	0.026535	-7.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-27	oos	0.02811	0.026299	-6.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.026738	0.025076	-6.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.026401	0.024777	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-24	oos	0.02498	0.02359	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-23	oos	0.023997	0.022797	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.027307	0.026086	-4.47%	0.022257	-18.49%	0.1268	✓	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	0.025628	0.024708	-3.59%	0.022069	-13.89%	0.0714	✓	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.023379	-6.44%	0.022084	-11.63%	0.0892	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.024811	0.023382	-5.76%	0.0209	-15.76%	0.1232	✓	1.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.024673	0.023345	-5.38%	0.021073	-14.59%	0.1228	✓	1.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.023255	0.02182	-6.17%	0.021746	-6.49%	0.0990	✓	1.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.022142	0.020916	-5.54%	0.022843	+3.16%	0.0131	✓	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.021684	0.020522	-5.36%	0.022939	+5.79%	0.0117	✓	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.022915	0.021833	-4.72%	0.024094	+5.15%	0.0350	✓	1.50
2026-09-13	oos	0.022645	0.021585	-4.68%	0.024401	+7.75%	0.0052	✓	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.023138	0.022203	-4.04%	0.024261	+4.86%	0.0050	✓	1.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.023311	0.022573	-3.17%	0.027548	+18.18%	0.0795	✗	1.49
2026-09-10	oos	0.022922	0.022213	-3.10%	0.025129	+9.62%	0.0040	✓	1.49
2026-09-09	oos	0.024977	0.02433	-2.59%	0.024415	-2.25%	0.0736	✓	1.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.025632	0.024979	-2.55%	0.023977	-6.45%	0.0989	✓	1.43
2026-09-07	oos	0.027005	0.026466	-2.00%	0.025431	-5.83%	0.1130	✓	1.42
2026-09-06	oos	0.027105	0.0268	-1.12%	0.028428	+4.88%	0.0283	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.024932	0.024833	-0.40%	0.031459	+26.18%	0.1369	✗	1.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.025037	0.025023	-0.06%	0.03334	+33.16%	0.1725	✗	1.39
2026-09-03	oos	0.027102	0.027255	+0.56%	0.033871	+24.98%	0.1605	✓	1.36
2026-09-02	oos	0.025364	0.025065	-1.18%	0.032313	+27.40%	0.1381	✗	1.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.026479	0.026195	-1.07%	0.033663	+27.13%	0.1325	✗	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.026459	0.026354	-0.40%	0.031757	+20.02%	0.1102	✗	1.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.02655	0.026255	-1.11%	0.026859	+1.16%	0.0709	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.026721	0.02668	-0.15%	0.028539	+6.80%	0.0152	✓	1.28
2026-08-28	oos	0.027336	0.027427	+0.33%	0.02811	+2.83%	0.0798	✗	1.28
2026-08-27	oos	0.028608	0.028966	+1.25%	0.026738	-6.54%	0.1440	✗	1.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.028582	0.028798	+0.76%	0.026401	-7.63%	0.1665	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.027753	0.027981	+0.82%	0.02498	-9.99%	0.2048	✗	1.27
2026-08-24	oos	0.031585	0.032029	+1.41%	0.023997	-24.02%	0.3729	✗	1.27
2026-08-23	oos	0.03043	0.030702	+0.90%	0.027307	-10.26%	0.2496	✗	1.28
2026-08-22	oos	0.028133	0.028413	+0.99%	0.025628	-8.90%	0.2513	✗	1.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.028652	0.029235	+2.04%	0.02499	-12.78%	0.2020	✗	1.27
2026-08-20	oos	0.026718	0.026202	-1.93%	0.024811	-7.14%	0.1923	✓	1.29
2026-08-19	oos	0.022569	0.021656	-4.05%	0.024673	+9.32%	0.0509	✓	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.021228	0.020107	-5.28%	0.023255	+9.55%	0.0580	✓	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.021767	0.020567	-5.51%	0.022142	+1.72%	0.1328	✓	1.24
2026-08-16	oos	0.02028	0.019212	-5.27%	0.021684	+6.92%	0.1013	✓	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.020882	0.019761	-5.37%	0.022915	+9.73%	0.1119	✓	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.02112	0.019958	-5.50%	0.022645	+7.22%	0.1127	✓	1.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.021522	0.02033	-5.54%	0.023138	+7.51%	0.1082	✓	1.20
2026-08-12	oos	0.021804	0.020595	-5.54%	0.023311	+6.91%	0.1167	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.021406	0.020252	-5.39%	0.022922	+7.08%	0.0970	✓	1.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.021747	0.020579	-5.37%	0.024977	+14.85%	0.0469	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.020972	0.019927	-4.98%	0.025632	+22.22%	0.0161	✓	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.020865	0.019844	-4.90%	0.027005	+29.43%	0.0627	✗	1.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.020895	0.019895	-4.79%	0.027105	+29.72%	0.0436	✓	1.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.020439	0.019472	-4.73%	0.024932	+21.98%	0.0219	✓	1.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.020988	0.019992	-4.75%	0.025037	+19.29%	0.0367	✓	1.25
2026-08-04	oos	0.020531	0.019571	-4.67%	0.027102	+32.01%	0.0329	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.021527	0.020433	-5.08%	0.025364	+17.82%	0.0323	✓	1.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.02096	0.019905	-5.04%	0.026479	+26.33%	0.0317	✓	1.28
2026-08-01	oos	0.02046	0.01944	-4.99%	0.026459	+29.32%	0.0229	✓	1.27
2026-07-31	oos	0.02071	0.019691	-4.92%	0.02655	+28.20%	0.0294	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.0217	0.020673	-4.73%	0.026721	+23.14%	0.0174	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.02076	0.019842	-4.42%	0.027336	+31.68%	0.0615	✗	1.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.021235	0.020361	-4.12%	0.028608	+34.72%	0.0395	✓	1.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.02011	0.019366	-3.70%	0.028582	+42.13%	0.1051	✗	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.021355	0.020587	-3.59%	0.027753	+29.96%	0.0580	✗	1.31
2026-07-25	oos	0.0206	0.019892	-3.44%	0.031585	+53.33%	0.1928	✗	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.02186	0.021062	-3.65%	0.03043	+39.20%	0.1118	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.022335	0.021591	-3.33%	0.028133	+25.96%	0.0396	✗	1.33
2026-07-22	oos	0.02292	0.022246	-2.94%	0.028652	+25.01%	0.0254	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.022935	0.022283	-2.84%	0.026718	+16.49%	0.0569	✗	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.02287	0.022138	-3.20%	0.022569	-1.32%	0.0630	✓	1.35
2026-07-19	oos	0.02122	0.020557	-3.13%	0.021228	+0.04%	0.0321	✗	1.34
2026-07-18	oos	0.02157	0.020917	-3.03%	0.021767	+0.91%	0.0465	✗	1.36
2026-07-17	oos	0.02194	0.021251	-3.14%	0.02028	-7.57%	0.0233	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.02156	0.020885	-3.13%	0.020882	-3.14%	0.0168	✓	1.43
2026-07-15	oos	0.02229	0.021644	-2.90%	0.02112	-5.25%	0.0138	✓	1.41
2026-07-14	oos	0.02266	0.022034	-2.76%	0.021522	-5.02%	0.0106	✓	1.40
2026-07-13	oos	0.02229	0.021581	-3.18%	0.021804	-2.18%	0.0164	✓	1.46
2026-07-12	oos	0.022805	0.022127	-2.98%	0.021406	-6.13%	0.0283	✓	1.48
2026-07-11	oos	0.02227	0.02164	-2.83%	0.021747	-2.35%	0.0016	✓	1.51
2026-07-10	oos	0.02296	0.022322	-2.78%	0.020972	-8.66%	0.0796	✓	1.54
2026-07-09	oos	0.02308	0.022432	-2.81%	0.020865	-9.60%	0.1146	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.02309	0.022457	-2.74%	0.020895	-9.51%	0.1385	✓	1.59
2026-07-07	oos	0.02438	0.02371	-2.75%	0.020439	-16.16%	0.1720	✓	1.59
2026-07-06	oos	0.02497	0.024303	-2.67%	0.020988	-15.95%	0.1614	✓	1.58
2026-07-05	oos	0.02159	0.021167	-1.96%	0.020531	-4.91%	0.0423	✓	1.61
2026-07-04	oos	0.02112	0.020723	-1.88%	0.021527	+1.93%	0.0284	✗	1.61
2026-07-03	oos	0.0205	0.020154	-1.69%	0.02096	+2.24%	0.0143	✓	1.60
2026-07-02	oos	0.019985	0.019658	-1.64%	0.02046	+2.38%	0.0071	✓	1.60
2026-07-01	oos	0.02004	0.01966	-1.90%	0.02071	+3.34%	0.0243	✓	1.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.01833	0.017994	-1.83%	0.0217	+18.39%	0.0303	✗	1.56
2026-06-29	oos	0.01892	0.018569	-1.86%	0.02076	+9.73%	0.0171	✓	1.57
2026-06-28	oos	0.01866	0.018313	-1.86%	0.021235	+13.80%	0.0330	✗	1.62
2026-06-27	oos	0.01883	0.018499	-1.76%	0.02011	+6.80%	0.0151	✓	1.62
2026-06-26	oos	0.01934	0.018991	-1.80%	0.021355	+10.42%	0.0213	✓	1.63
2026-06-25	oos	0.01915	0.018795	-1.85%	0.0206	+7.57%	0.0288	✓	1.63
2026-06-24	oos	0.019675	0.019269	-2.06%	0.02186	+11.11%	0.0441	✗	1.66
2026-06-23	oos	0.020095	0.019657	-2.18%	0.022335	+11.15%	0.0638	✗	1.70
2026-06-22	oos	0.02063	0.020174	-2.21%	0.02292	+11.10%	0.0705	✗	1.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.02075	0.020255	-2.38%	0.022935	+10.53%	0.0364	✗	1.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.020585	0.020087	-2.42%	0.02287	+11.10%	0.1035	✗	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.02066	0.020148	-2.48%	0.02122	+2.71%	0.0192	✓	1.73
2026-06-18	oos	0.02108	0.020548	-2.52%	0.02157	+2.32%	0.0039	✓	1.75
2026-06-17	oos	0.02177	0.021202	-2.61%	0.02194	+0.78%	0.0493	✗	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.02304	0.022396	-2.80%	0.02156	-6.42%	0.0119	✓	1.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.02261	0.021965	-2.85%	0.02229	-1.42%	0.0557	✗	1.72
2026-06-14	oos	0.02249	0.021823	-2.96%	0.02266	+0.76%	0.0566	✗	1.73
2026-06-13	oos	0.02182	0.021191	-2.88%	0.02229	+2.15%	0.1099	✗	1.74
2026-06-12	oos	0.02108	0.020499	-2.76%	0.022805	+8.18%	0.1011	✗	1.74
2026-06-11	oos	0.02161	0.020996	-2.84%	0.02227	+3.05%	0.0532	✗	1.75
2026-06-10	oos	0.02105	0.020486	-2.68%	0.02296	+9.07%	0.0379	✗	1.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.02127	0.020669	-2.82%	0.02308	+8.51%	0.0679	✗	1.78
2026-06-08	oos	0.02086	0.020255	-2.90%	0.02309	+10.69%	0.1548	✗	1.81
2026-06-07	oos	0.02217	0.021448	-3.26%	0.02438	+9.97%	0.1275	✗	1.79
2026-06-06	oos	0.02108	0.020468	-2.90%	0.02497	+18.45%	0.1087	✗	1.78
2026-06-05	oos	0.02106	0.020448	-2.90%	0.02159	+2.52%	0.0193	✓	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.02153	0.020793	-3.42%	0.02112	-1.90%	0.0367	✗	1.86
2026-06-03	oos	0.02044	0.019749	-3.38%	0.0205	+0.29%	0.0802	✗	1.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.02045	0.01966	-3.87%	0.019985	-2.27%	0.1666	✗	1.86
2026-06-01	oos	0.02251	0.02137	-5.06%	0.02004	-10.97%	0.2636	✗	1.89
2026-05-31	oos	0.02378	0.022431	-5.67%	0.01833	-22.92%	0.2330	✗	1.90
2026-05-30	oos	0.023235	0.021902	-5.74%	0.01892	-18.57%	0.2247	✗	1.82
2026-05-29	oos	0.02328	0.021947	-5.73%	0.01866	-19.85%	0.2178	✗	1.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.02368	0.022283	-5.90%	0.01883	-20.48%	0.2004	✗	1.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.02331	0.02189	-6.09%	0.01934	-17.03%	0.2610	✗	1.80
2026-05-26	oos	0.02503	0.023381	-6.59%	0.01915	-23.49%	0.2263	✗	1.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.02627	0.024493	-6.76%	0.019675	-25.10%	0.1897	✗	1.73
2026-05-24	oos	0.02527	0.023571	-6.72%	0.020095	-20.48%	0.1968	✗	1.73
2026-05-23	oos	0.02577	0.024035	-6.73%	0.02063	-19.95%	0.1384	✗	1.61
2026-05-22	oos	0.02615	0.024359	-6.85%	0.02075	-20.65%	0.1267	✗	1.63
2026-05-21	oos	0.02865	0.026659	-6.95%	0.020585	-28.15%	0.0420	✓	1.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.026905	0.025017	-7.02%	0.02066	-23.21%	0.1268	✗	1.60
2026-05-19	oos	0.02591	0.0241	-6.99%	0.02108	-18.64%	0.1838	✗	1.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.02698	0.025007	-7.31%	0.02177	-19.31%	0.1480	✗	1.62
2026-05-17	oos	0.0278	0.025694	-7.58%	0.02304	-17.12%	0.1599	✗	1.63
2026-05-16	oos	0.02775	0.025671	-7.49%	0.02261	-18.52%	0.1410	✗	1.63
2026-05-15	oos	0.02828	0.026258	-7.15%	0.02249	-20.47%	0.1436	✗	1.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.02977	0.027778	-6.69%	0.02182	-26.70%	0.1281	✗	1.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.0302	0.028051	-7.12%	0.02108	-30.20%	0.0871	✗	1.68
2026-05-12	oos	0.03085	0.028733	-6.86%	0.02161	-29.95%	0.1067	✗	1.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.03362	0.031381	-6.66%	0.02105	-37.39%	0.0652	✓	1.63
2026-05-10	oos	0.03549	0.033142	-6.62%	0.02127	-40.07%	0.0055	✓	1.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.03467	0.032209	-7.10%	0.02086	-39.83%	0.0482	✓	1.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.03425	0.031816	-7.11%	0.02217	-35.27%	0.0060	✓	1.55
2026-05-07	oos	0.03238	0.030224	-6.66%	0.02108	-34.90%	0.0611	✓	1.54
2026-05-06	oos	0.03229	0.030381	-5.91%	0.02106	-34.78%	0.0170	✓	1.33
2026-05-05	oos	0.03131	0.029489	-5.82%	0.02153	-31.24%	0.0274	✓	1.21
2026-05-04	oos	0.02945	0.027776	-5.68%	0.02044	-30.59%	0.0568	✓	1.13
2026-05-03	oos	0.02913	0.02739	-5.97%	0.02045	-29.80%	0.1048	✓	1.14
2026-05-02	oos	0.03011	0.02839	-5.71%	0.02251	-25.24%	0.1199	✓	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.03008	0.028451	-5.41%	0.02378	-20.94%	0.1094	✓	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.02716	0.025719	-5.31%	0.023235	-14.45%	0.0627	✓	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.027	0.025589	-5.22%	0.02328	-13.78%	0.0577	✓	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.02915	0.027525	-5.58%	0.02368	-18.77%	0.1074	✓	1.15
2026-04-27	oos	0.03062	0.028912	-5.58%	0.02331	-23.87%	0.1694	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.03209	0.030354	-5.41%	0.02503	-22.00%	0.1502	✓	1.16
2026-04-25	oos	0.0313	0.029604	-5.42%	0.02627	-16.07%	0.1135	✓	1.16
2026-04-24	oos	0.03069	0.028984	-5.56%	0.02527	-17.66%	0.1297	✓	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.03248	0.030745	-5.34%	0.02577	-20.66%	0.1519	✓	1.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.033715	0.03186	-5.50%	0.02615	-22.44%	0.1554	✓	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.03274	0.030743	-6.10%	0.02865	-12.49%	0.0887	✓	1.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.031895	0.029887	-6.30%	0.026905	-15.65%	0.1298	✓	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.03008	0.02802	-6.85%	0.02591	-13.86%	0.1253	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.03245	0.030358	-6.45%	0.02698	-16.86%	0.1369	✓	1.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.03479	0.032787	-5.76%	0.0278	-20.09%	0.1698	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	0.0343	0.032119	-6.36%	0.02775	-19.10%	0.1921	✓	1.19
2026-04-15	oos	0.03514	0.032897	-6.38%	0.02828	-19.52%	0.2169	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.0345	0.032281	-6.43%	0.02977	-13.71%	0.1879	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.03603	0.033739	-6.36%	0.0302	-16.18%	0.1853	✓	1.18
2026-04-12	oos	0.03271	0.030445	-6.93%	0.03085	-5.69%	0.1374	✓	1.17
2026-04-11	oos	0.03556	0.033202	-6.63%	0.03362	-5.46%	0.1158	✓	1.15
2026-04-10	oos	0.03511	0.032852	-6.43%	0.03549	+1.08%	0.0588	✓	1.15
2026-04-09	oos	0.03296	0.030801	-6.55%	0.03467	+5.19%	0.0139	✓	1.14
2026-04-08	oos	0.03114	0.029101	-6.55%	0.03425	+9.99%	0.0265	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.0304	0.028494	-6.27%	0.03238	+6.51%	0.0067	✓	1.14
2026-04-06	oos	0.0271	0.025436	-6.14%	0.03229	+19.15%	0.0499	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.02828	0.02649	-6.33%	0.03131	+10.71%	0.0120	✓	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.02726	0.025532	-6.34%	0.02945	+8.03%	0.0469	✓	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.02727	0.025508	-6.46%	0.02913	+6.82%	0.0436	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.02499	0.023539	-5.81%	0.03011	+20.49%	0.0670	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.02383	0.022534	-5.44%	0.03008	+26.23%	0.1303	✗	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02487	0.023485	-5.57%	0.02716	+9.21%	0.0167	✓	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02231	0.021157	-5.17%	0.027	+21.02%	0.1013	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.02204	0.02092	-5.08%	0.02915	+32.26%	0.1666	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.02328	0.022077	-5.17%	0.03062	+31.53%	0.1526	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.02239	0.021281	-4.95%	0.03209	+43.32%	0.2182	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.02432	0.023135	-4.87%	0.0313	+28.70%	0.1673	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.02642	0.025181	-4.69%	0.03069	+16.16%	0.1073	✗	1.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.023335	0.022394	-4.03%	0.03248	+39.19%	0.2600	✗	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.02156	0.020784	-3.60%	0.033715	+56.38%	0.3774	✗	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.02053	0.019717	-3.96%	0.03274	+59.47%	0.3800	✗	1.08
2026-03-21	oos	0.02141	0.020568	-3.93%	0.031895	+48.97%	0.3358	✗	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.02244	0.021605	-3.72%	0.03008	+34.05%	0.2816	✗	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.02198	0.021182	-3.63%	0.03245	+47.63%	0.3412	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.02305	0.022264	-3.41%	0.03479	+50.93%	0.3600	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.0236	0.02299	-2.59%	0.0343	+45.34%	0.3818	✗	1.11
2026-03-16	oos	0.02476	0.024212	-2.21%	0.03514	+41.92%	0.3733	✗	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.02346	0.022841	-2.64%	0.0345	+47.06%	0.3916	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.02218	0.021582	-2.69%	0.03603	+62.44%	0.4626	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.021915	0.021358	-2.54%	0.03271	+49.26%	0.4293	✗	1.16
2026-03-12	oos	0.0212	0.020657	-2.56%	0.03556	+67.74%	0.5021	✗	1.15
2026-03-11	oos	0.02141	0.020827	-2.73%	0.03511	+63.99%	0.4766	✗	1.17
2026-03-10	oos	0.02157	0.020988	-2.70%	0.03296	+52.80%	0.4210	✗	1.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.02123	0.020634	-2.81%	0.03114	+46.68%	0.3669	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	0.02042	0.019792	-3.07%	0.0304	+48.87%	0.3292	✗	1.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.02168	0.021022	-3.03%	0.0271	+25.00%	0.2268	✗	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.02174	0.021104	-2.92%	0.02828	+30.08%	0.2777	✗	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.02174	0.021185	-2.55%	0.02726	+25.39%	0.3128	✗	1.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.02256	0.022027	-2.36%	0.02727	+20.88%	0.3084	✗	1.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.02038	0.019798	-2.86%	0.02499	+22.62%	0.2573	✗	1.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.02121	0.020572	-3.01%	0.02383	+12.35%	0.1588	✗	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.02085	0.020152	-3.35%	0.02487	+19.28%	0.1697	✗	1.11
2026-02-28	oos	0.02113	0.020412	-3.40%	0.02231	+5.58%	0.0925	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.02067	0.019945	-3.51%	0.02204	+6.63%	0.0984	✗	1.03
2026-02-26	oos	0.02104	0.020317	-3.44%	0.02328	+10.65%	0.1542	✗	1.03
2026-02-25	oos	0.02156	0.020814	-3.46%	0.02239	+3.85%	0.0982	✗	1.03
2026-02-24	oos	0.02003	0.019321	-3.54%	0.02432	+21.42%	0.1599	✗	0.99
2026-02-23	oos	0.02053	0.019777	-3.67%	0.02642	+28.69%	0.1926	✗	0.99
2026-02-22	oos	0.019855	0.019137	-3.62%	0.023335	+17.53%	0.1565	✗	0.99
2026-02-21	oos	0.02062	0.019836	-3.80%	0.02156	+4.56%	0.0418	✗	0.99
2026-02-20	oos	0.02104	0.020195	-4.02%	0.02053	-2.42%	0.0185	✓	0.99
2026-02-19	oos	0.02044	0.019609	-4.07%	0.02141	+4.75%	0.0597	✗	0.99
2026-02-18	oos	0.02016	0.019337	-4.08%	0.02244	+11.31%	0.0901	✗	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.02213	0.021146	-4.44%	0.02198	-0.68%	0.0040	✓	0.97
2026-02-16	oos	0.02351	0.022409	-4.68%	0.02305	-1.96%	0.0046	✓	0.96
2026-02-15	oos	0.02402	0.022864	-4.81%	0.0236	-1.75%	0.0377	✓	0.96
2026-02-14	oos	0.02339	0.022291	-4.70%	0.02476	+5.86%	0.0367	✓	0.97
2026-02-13	oos	0.02278	0.021723	-4.64%	0.02346	+2.99%	0.0221	✓	0.97
2026-02-12	oos	0.02015	0.019328	-4.08%	0.02218	+10.07%	0.0707	✗	0.91
2026-02-11	oos	0.01905	0.018305	-3.91%	0.021915	+15.04%	0.1275	✗	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01969	0.018876	-4.13%	0.0212	+7.67%	0.0933	✗	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.01796	0.017268	-3.85%	0.02141	+19.21%	0.2136	✗	0.95
2026-02-08	oos	0.01812	0.017404	-3.95%	0.02157	+19.04%	0.2189	✗	0.95
2026-02-07	oos	0.01861	0.017865	-4.00%	0.02123	+14.08%	0.1839	✗	0.96
2026-02-06	oos	0.01856	0.0178	-4.09%	0.02042	+10.02%	0.2015	✗	0.96
2026-02-05	oos	0.01724	0.016688	-3.20%	0.02168	+25.75%	0.1904	✗	1.04
2026-02-04	oos	0.01973	0.018793	-4.75%	0.02174	+10.19%	0.2254	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.01754	0.016744	-4.54%	0.02174	+23.95%	0.3474	✗	1.32
2026-02-02	oos	0.01847	0.017521	-5.14%	0.02256	+22.14%	0.3580	✗	1.33
2026-02-01	oos	0.01783	0.016963	-4.86%	0.02038	+14.30%	0.3395	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.01804	0.017109	-5.16%	0.02121	+17.57%	0.3933	✗	1.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.02019	0.01892	-6.29%	0.02085	+3.27%	0.4149	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.02001	0.018726	-6.42%	0.02113	+5.60%	0.4221	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	0.02128	0.019754	-7.17%	0.02067	-2.87%	0.4477	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.02218	0.020487	-7.63%	0.02104	-5.14%	0.3960	✗	1.33
2026-01-26	oos	0.01881	0.017559	-6.65%	0.02156	+14.62%	0.5332	✗	1.26
2026-01-25	oos	0.01779	0.01664	-6.46%	0.02003	+12.59%	0.5529	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01909	0.017733	-7.11%	0.02053	+7.54%	0.5260	✗	1.18
2026-01-23	oos	0.018315	0.016969	-7.35%	0.019855	+8.41%	0.4918	✗	1.19
2026-01-22	oos	0.0181	0.016729	-7.57%	0.02062	+13.92%	0.5377	✗	1.20
2026-01-21	oos	0.01876	0.017305	-7.76%	0.02104	+12.15%	0.5225	✗	1.20
2026-01-20	oos	0.01789	0.016467	-7.96%	0.02044	+14.25%	0.5402	✗	1.17
2026-01-19	oos	0.02012	0.018337	-8.86%	0.02016	+0.20%	0.4366	✗	1.03
2026-01-18	oos	0.02176	0.01974	-9.28%	0.02213	+1.70%	0.4383	✗	0.99
2026-01-17	oos	0.02211	0.019991	-9.58%	0.02351	+6.33%	0.4836	✗	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.02229	0.020127	-9.70%	0.02402	+7.76%	0.5037	✗	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.02213	0.019895	-10.10%	0.02339	+5.69%	0.4760	✗	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.023185	0.020848	-10.08%	0.02278	-1.75%	0.4231	✗	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.02475	0.022234	-10.16%	0.02015	-18.59%	0.2813	✗	1.04
2026-01-12	oos	0.02307	0.020547	-10.94%	0.01905	-17.43%	0.2179	✗	0.95
2026-01-11	oos	0.02384	0.021172	-11.19%	0.01969	-17.41%	0.1943	✗	0.96
2026-01-10	oos	0.02425	0.021526	-11.23%	0.01796	-25.94%	0.0639	✓	0.96
2026-01-09	oos	0.02612	0.023243	-11.01%	0.01812	-30.63%	0.0073	✓	0.96
2026-01-08	oos	0.0278	0.02479	-10.83%	0.01861	-33.06%	0.0316	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	0.02681	0.023844	-11.06%	0.01856	-30.77%	0.0073	✓	0.94
2026-01-06	oos	0.02984	0.026624	-10.78%	0.01724	-42.23%	0.1185	✓	0.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.0283	0.025176	-11.04%	0.01973	-30.28%	0.0423	✓	0.80
2026-01-04	oos	0.02875	0.025541	-11.16%	0.01754	-38.99%	0.2120	✓	0.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.02932	0.025998	-11.33%	0.01847	-37.01%	0.2177	✓	0.88
2026-01-02	oos	0.02795	0.024611	-11.94%	0.01783	-36.21%	0.1877	✓	0.86
2026-01-01	oos	0.0237	0.021011	-11.35%	0.01804	-23.88%	0.0680	✓	0.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.0227	0.020186	-11.07%	0.02019	-11.06%	0.0261	✓	0.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.0226	0.020017	-11.43%	0.02001	-11.46%	0.0298	✓	0.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.02147	0.01912	-10.95%	0.02128	-0.88%	0.0928	✓	0.61
2025-12-28	oos	0.02244	0.019863	-11.48%	0.02218	-1.16%	0.1020	✓	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	0.0231	0.020401	-11.68%	0.01881	-18.57%	0.0842	✓	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	0.02333	0.020625	-11.59%	0.01779	-23.75%	0.1428	✓	0.60
2025-12-25	oos	0.02315	0.020506	-11.42%	0.01909	-17.54%	0.0844	✓	0.59
2025-12-24	oos	0.02169	0.019346	-10.81%	0.018315	-15.56%	0.0679	✓	0.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.01976	0.017803	-9.91%	0.0181	-8.40%	0.0064	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.01921	0.017352	-9.67%	0.01876	-2.34%	0.0689	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.0205	0.018475	-9.88%	0.01789	-12.73%	0.0285	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.01877	0.017057	-9.13%	0.02012	+7.19%	0.1183	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.01905	0.017363	-8.86%	0.02176	+14.23%	0.1647	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.01691	0.015607	-7.70%	0.02211	+30.75%	0.2413	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.01873	0.017258	-7.86%	0.02229	+19.01%	0.1535	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.02155	0.019769	-8.27%	0.02213	+2.69%	0.0285	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.01987	0.018322	-7.79%	0.023185	+16.68%	0.1204	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.02064	0.019012	-7.89%	0.02475	+19.91%	0.1851	✗	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.02351	0.021619	-8.04%	0.02307	-1.87%	0.0547	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.02407	0.022194	-7.79%	0.02384	-0.96%	0.0650	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.02624	0.024233	-7.65%	0.02425	-7.58%	0.0244	✓	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.02691	0.024875	-7.56%	0.02612	-2.94%	0.0655	✓	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.02737	0.025322	-7.48%	0.0278	+1.57%	0.1115	✗	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.02811	0.026018	-7.44%	0.02681	-4.62%	0.0231	✓	1.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02558	0.023634	-7.61%	0.02984	+16.65%	0.1971	✗	1.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02719	0.025206	-7.30%	0.0283	+4.08%	0.0655	✓	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	0.02723	0.025276	-7.17%	0.02875	+5.58%	0.1050	✗	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	0.02769	0.025705	-7.17%	0.02932	+5.89%	0.1480	✗	1.00
2025-12-03	oos	0.03054	0.028507	-6.66%	0.02795	-8.48%	0.0184	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.