META2

META2 · · gru_s8

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +7d

assessed

70

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

48.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4886

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0758

actual -0.0593

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	16.221	15.868	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.9865	17.5504	-2.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.2695	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.1443	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.1581	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.2671	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.0949	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.1057	-3.61%	16.221	-8.59%	0.0825	✓	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	16.9665	-4.31%	17.9865	+1.45%	0.0239	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.1083	-4.26%	17.747	-0.69%	0.0390	✓	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.1244	-4.62%	17.6365	-1.77%	0.0281	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.5477	-3.09%	17.677	-2.38%	0.0328	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.5275	-3.25%	17.826	-1.60%	0.0402	✗	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.2829	-3.38%	17.685	-1.13%	0.0389	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.2356	-3.54%	17.746	-0.69%	0.0227	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.4555	-3.66%	17.73	-2.15%	0.0424	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.3553	-4.20%	17.87	-1.36%	0.0694	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.3666	-4.50%	17.954	-1.26%	0.1005	✗	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	18.8751	-3.22%	18.108	-7.16%	0.0053	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	18.6486	-3.50%	18.116	-6.25%	0.0013	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	18.603	-3.67%	17.887	-7.38%	0.0067	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	18.673	-3.81%	17.869	-7.96%	0.0093	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	18.5381	-4.15%	18.1195	-6.31%	0.0182	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	17.9295	-4.42%	18.1155	-3.43%	0.0213	✓	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	17.3358	-6.07%	18.184	-1.47%	0.0095	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.4678	-3.67%	19.5035	+14.09%	0.1332	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	15.9581	-3.81%	19.3245	+16.48%	0.1856	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.173	-4.15%	19.312	+14.45%	0.1700	✗	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.3755	-4.44%	19.4135	+13.29%	0.1617	✗	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	15.8938	-4.65%	19.34	+16.03%	0.2115	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	15.898	-4.82%	18.7595	+12.31%	0.2157	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	15.445	-5.12%	18.4555	+13.37%	0.2411	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.1353	-5.69%	17.0955	+14.06%	0.1277	✗	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	12.647	-5.89%	16.5905	+23.45%	0.2095	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.0066	-6.49%	16.8735	-12.37%	0.1277	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	17.8782	-6.98%	17.1355	-10.85%	0.2048	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	17.8004	-7.48%	16.6685	-13.37%	0.2326	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	17.6992	-7.96%	16.7035	-13.14%	0.2697	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	17.5737	-8.73%	16.2785	-15.46%	0.2682	✓	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	17.4493	-9.36%	14.9885	-22.14%	0.2533	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	17.3083	-10.11%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3476	✓	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	16.523	-10.78%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0644	✓	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	16.2873	-11.55%	19.2205	+4.38%	0.1702	✗	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	15.846	-14.06%	19.2405	+4.35%	0.2520	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	16.5567	-10.57%	19.2305	+3.87%	0.2289	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.3641	-4.12%	19.2555	+448.82%	1.7841	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.3479	-4.98%	19.2505	+446.35%	1.9126	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	16.5123	-10.15%	19.2555	+4.77%	0.2736	✗	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.7216	-7.39%	18.5185	+360.83%	1.7309	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.6581	-8.91%	18.4135	+358.50%	1.8790	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.6167	-10.10%	18.4385	+358.33%	1.5725	✗	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.5751	-11.07%	18.5135	+360.53%	1.5830	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	5.463	-10.49%	3.5085	-42.52%	0.4720	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	38.3517	-5.96%	3.5235	-91.36%	2.5553	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	38.548	-6.31%	18.3785	-55.33%	0.8439	✓	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	38.4089	-6.84%	4.0185	-90.25%	2.3766	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	37.976	-6.69%	4.016	-90.13%	2.2589	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	26.0088	-5.42%	4.023	-85.37%	1.8444	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	37.0165	-8.98%	4.02	-90.12%	2.2056	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	36.0232	-7.34%	6.1035	-84.30%	1.7700	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	37.1484	-8.41%	40.783	+0.55%	0.0942	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	46.5727	-11.16%	41.1425	-21.52%	0.1392	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	28.6057	-6.62%	41.2285	+34.59%	0.3718	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	28.3433	-7.88%	40.7005	+32.28%	0.2670	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	28.0251	-8.75%	27.5005	-10.46%	0.1502	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	27.6905	-9.36%	40.6705	+33.13%	0.1904	✗	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	26.9919	-11.82%	38.8775	+27.01%	0.1620	✗	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	27.2803	-10.71%	40.5615	+32.76%	0.1840	✗	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	27.0025	-11.68%	52.426	+71.47%	0.4624	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	26.503	-13.50%	30.6335	-0.01%	0.0733	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	4.6904	-9.17%	30.768	+495.82%	1.7402	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	27.6494	-9.92%	30.7125	+0.06%	0.0163	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	27.2338	-11.40%	30.549	-0.61%	0.0969	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	27.3792	-11.42%	30.6105	-0.96%	0.1028	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	27.1555	-11.82%	30.5515	-0.80%	0.1494	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	27.1098	-12.18%	30.5745	-0.96%	0.1498	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	27.9298	-9.60%	30.638	-0.84%	0.1225	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.