META2

META2 · · gru_s8

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 228

Track record at +1d

assessed

75

of 76 predictions shown

direction hit

49.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1983

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0172

actual -0.0115

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	17.7705	17.6631	-0.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.6309	-0.65%	17.7705	+0.13%	0.0112	✗	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.5185	-0.67%	17.747	+0.63%	0.0022	✓	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.5529	-0.70%	17.6365	-0.23%	0.0071	✗	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.6928	-0.75%	17.677	-0.84%	0.0096	✓	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.545	-0.79%	17.826	+0.80%	0.0176	✗	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.5891	-0.88%	17.685	-0.34%	0.0143	✗	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.496	-1.32%	17.746	+0.09%	0.0063	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.6255	-1.37%	17.73	-0.78%	0.0284	✗	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.6832	-1.51%	17.87	-0.47%	0.0092	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.983	-0.69%	17.954	-0.85%	0.0279	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.986	-0.72%	18.108	-0.04%	0.0048	✓	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.756	-0.73%	18.116	+1.28%	0.0145	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.7341	-0.76%	17.887	+0.10%	0.0043	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.9726	-0.81%	17.869	-1.38%	0.0190	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.9019	-1.18%	18.1195	+0.02%	0.0494	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.9235	-1.43%	18.1155	-0.38%	0.0141	✓	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.356	-0.76%	18.184	-6.77%	0.0501	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	19.1696	-0.80%	19.5035	+0.93%	0.0113	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	19.1488	-0.84%	19.3245	+0.06%	0.0052	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	19.2389	-0.90%	19.312	-0.52%	0.0095	✗	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	19.1496	-0.98%	19.4135	+0.38%	0.0076	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.5562	-1.08%	19.34	+3.09%	0.0428	✗	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	18.0797	-2.04%	18.7595	+1.65%	0.0338	✗	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.9579	-0.80%	18.4555	+7.96%	0.1027	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.4551	-0.82%	17.0955	+3.04%	0.0374	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.7201	-0.91%	16.5905	-1.68%	0.0136	✓	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.9652	-0.99%	16.8735	-1.53%	0.0001	✓	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.4982	-1.02%	17.1355	+2.80%	0.0378	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.5221	-1.09%	16.6685	-0.21%	0.0443	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	16.0907	-1.15%	16.7035	+2.61%	0.0452	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.8133	-1.17%	16.2785	+8.61%	0.0072	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.2905	-1.10%	14.9885	+11.53%	0.1217	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.9704	-1.48%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3519	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.9188	-1.57%	19.2555	+0.18%	0.0758	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.9118	-1.71%	19.2205	-0.10%	0.0118	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	18.8791	-1.83%	19.2405	+0.05%	0.0070	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	18.8577	-2.07%	19.2305	-0.13%	0.0827	✗	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	18.8202	-2.24%	19.2555	+0.03%	0.0097	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	18.7782	-2.48%	19.2505	-0.03%	0.0362	✗	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	18.0252	-2.66%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0647	✗	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	17.8727	-2.94%	18.5185	+0.57%	0.0190	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	17.6174	-4.45%	18.4135	-0.14%	0.0914	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	18.0223	-2.65%	18.4385	-0.41%	0.0273	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.4957	-0.36%	18.5135	+427.68%	1.6946	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.5069	-0.47%	3.5085	-0.43%	0.0572	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	17.9307	-2.44%	3.5235	-80.83%	1.6503	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.9798	-0.96%	18.3785	+357.35%	1.5221	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.9655	-1.26%	4.0185	+0.06%	0.0999	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.9631	-1.49%	4.016	-0.17%	0.2109	✓	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.9525	-1.68%	4.023	+0.07%	0.0231	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	6.0077	-1.57%	4.02	-34.14%	0.3368	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	40.1875	-1.46%	6.1035	-85.03%	1.9417	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.4941	-1.58%	40.783	-0.87%	0.0443	✗	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	40.4915	-1.79%	41.1425	-0.21%	0.0099	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	39.9789	-1.77%	41.2285	+1.30%	0.0616	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.1451	-1.29%	40.7005	+48.00%	0.3894	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	39.5154	-2.84%	27.5005	-32.38%	0.3688	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	38.1021	-1.99%	40.6705	+4.61%	0.0710	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	39.5832	-2.41%	38.8775	-4.15%	0.0340	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	50.4031	-3.86%	40.5615	-22.63%	0.2260	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	30.1058	-1.72%	52.426	+71.14%	0.5710	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	30.1569	-1.99%	30.6335	-0.44%	0.0546	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	30.0489	-2.16%	30.768	+0.18%	0.0285	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	29.8567	-2.27%	30.7125	+0.54%	0.0407	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	29.5254	-3.54%	30.549	-0.20%	0.0309	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	29.6894	-2.82%	30.6105	+0.19%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	29.5925	-3.21%	30.5515	-0.08%	0.0348	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	29.3224	-4.29%	30.5745	-0.21%	0.0411	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	5.1002	-1.24%	30.638	+493.30%	1.8001	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	29.9716	-2.36%	5.164	-83.18%	1.7588	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	29.7772	-3.12%	30.695	-0.14%	0.0322	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	29.9334	-3.15%	30.7365	-0.55%	0.0324	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	29.7429	-3.42%	30.9075	+0.36%	0.0530	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	29.7432	-3.65%	30.797	-0.24%	0.0357	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	30.2113	-2.22%	30.87	-0.08%	0.0213	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.