MANTLE

? · · gru_s8

token id: #484
symbol: MANTLE
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-05-01
predictions: 1,590

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0601

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0210

actual -0.0076

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.5382	0.525997	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-20	oos	0.53495	0.523985	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-19	oos	0.534	0.522804	-2.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-18	oos	0.52945	0.519233	-1.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-17	oos	0.5277	0.517308	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.53675	0.525702	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-15	oos	0.53085	0.520455	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-14	oos	0.52305	0.512815	-1.96%	0.5382	+2.90%	0.0353	✗	0.94
2026-10-13	oos	0.54095	0.529701	-2.08%	0.53495	-1.11%	0.0117	✓	0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.53655	0.524676	-2.21%	0.534	-0.48%	0.0166	✓	0.91
2026-10-11	oos	0.56565	0.553036	-2.23%	0.52945	-6.40%	0.0265	✓	0.85
2026-10-10	oos	0.5686	0.555738	-2.26%	0.5277	-7.19%	0.0363	✓	0.83
2026-10-09	oos	0.5524	0.540425	-2.17%	0.53675	-2.83%	0.0038	✓	0.83
2026-10-08	oos	0.5538	0.541771	-2.17%	0.53085	-4.14%	0.0248	✓	0.84
2026-10-07	oos	0.5815	0.568322	-2.27%	0.52305	-10.05%	0.0662	✓	0.81
2026-10-06	oos	0.59135	0.578493	-2.17%	0.54095	-8.52%	0.0434	✓	0.82
2026-10-05	oos	0.6521	0.634624	-2.68%	0.53655	-17.72%	0.1298	✓	0.80
2026-10-04	oos	0.6643	0.644806	-2.93%	0.56565	-14.85%	0.1041	✓	0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.6437	0.623517	-3.14%	0.5686	-11.67%	0.0747	✓	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.6534	0.632095	-3.26%	0.5524	-15.46%	0.1161	✓	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.68125	0.657704	-3.46%	0.5538	-18.71%	0.1421	✓	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.6969	0.669273	-3.96%	0.5815	-16.56%	0.1379	✓	0.80
2026-09-29	oos	0.6649	0.641434	-3.53%	0.59135	-11.06%	0.0996	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.6647	0.640684	-3.61%	0.6521	-1.90%	0.0045	✓	0.82
2026-09-27	oos	0.6761	0.65185	-3.59%	0.6643	-1.75%	0.0010	✓	0.83
2026-09-26	oos	0.69405	0.66754	-3.82%	0.6437	-7.25%	0.0396	✓	0.83
2026-09-25	oos	0.6735	0.65017	-3.46%	0.6534	-2.98%	0.0009	✓	0.84
2026-09-24	oos	0.6771	0.653221	-3.53%	0.68125	+0.61%	0.0374	✗	0.84
2026-09-23	oos	0.6531	0.633527	-3.00%	0.6969	+6.71%	0.1035	✗	0.84
2026-09-22	oos	0.6686	0.648515	-3.00%	0.6649	-0.55%	0.0523	✗	0.91
2026-09-21	oos	0.65115	0.633301	-2.74%	0.6647	+2.08%	0.0821	✗	0.91
2026-09-20	oos	0.6071	0.592119	-2.47%	0.6761	+11.37%	0.0966	✗	0.90
2026-09-19	oos	0.62265	0.606064	-2.66%	0.69405	+11.47%	0.1009	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.6246	0.606823	-2.85%	0.6735	+7.83%	0.0691	✗	0.90
2026-09-17	oos	0.5697	0.559091	-1.86%	0.6771	+18.85%	0.1082	✗	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	0.55185	0.543812	-1.46%	0.6531	+18.35%	0.0980	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	0.5444	0.537569	-1.25%	0.6686	+22.81%	0.1095	✗	0.83
2026-09-14	oos	0.5725	0.563519	-1.57%	0.65115	+13.74%	0.0616	✗	0.81
2026-09-13	oos	0.55665	0.549771	-1.24%	0.6071	+9.06%	0.0543	✗	0.81
2026-09-12	oos	0.55705	0.551105	-1.07%	0.62265	+11.78%	0.0812	✗	0.82
2026-09-11	oos	0.5807	0.573154	-1.30%	0.6246	+7.56%	0.0480	✗	0.82
2026-09-10	oos	0.56825	0.562033	-1.09%	0.5697	+0.26%	0.0156	✗	0.82
2026-09-09	oos	0.6011	0.592533	-1.43%	0.55185	-8.19%	0.0491	✓	0.80
2026-09-08	oos	0.63665	0.623945	-2.00%	0.5444	-14.49%	0.1072	✓	0.79
2026-09-07	oos	0.62095	0.610018	-1.76%	0.5725	-7.80%	0.0542	✓	0.80
2026-09-06	oos	0.6084	0.600066	-1.37%	0.55665	-8.51%	0.0382	✓	0.82
2026-09-05	oos	0.5878	0.581218	-1.12%	0.55705	-5.23%	0.0159	✓	0.81
2026-09-04	oos	0.5741	0.569796	-0.75%	0.5807	+1.15%	0.0453	✗	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.5687	0.566558	-0.38%	0.56825	-0.08%	0.0544	✗	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.5638	0.556091	-1.37%	0.6011	+6.62%	0.0660	✗	0.94
2026-09-01	oos	0.5365	0.531371	-0.96%	0.63665	+18.67%	0.1678	✗	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.5467	0.542257	-0.81%	0.62095	+13.58%	0.1293	✗	0.93
2026-08-30	oos	0.5482	0.540984	-1.32%	0.6084	+10.98%	0.0870	✗	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.51925	0.514721	-0.87%	0.5878	+13.20%	0.1141	✗	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.50805	0.504676	-0.66%	0.5741	+13.00%	0.1074	✗	0.92
2026-08-27	oos	0.5168	0.515216	-0.31%	0.5687	+10.04%	0.0872	✗	0.94
2026-08-26	oos	0.5051	0.502017	-0.61%	0.5638	+11.62%	0.1366	✗	0.94
2026-08-25	oos	0.51735	0.51194	-1.05%	0.5365	+3.70%	0.0604	✗	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.5158	0.510573	-1.01%	0.5467	+5.99%	0.0733	✗	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.512	0.505617	-1.25%	0.5482	+7.07%	0.0816	✗	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.4828	0.477857	-1.02%	0.51925	+7.55%	0.0690	✗	0.93
2026-08-21	oos	0.5171	0.509602	-1.45%	0.50805	-1.75%	0.0026	✓	0.90
2026-08-20	oos	0.51655	0.500846	-3.04%	0.5168	+0.05%	0.0669	✓	1.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.4671	0.455868	-2.40%	0.5051	+8.14%	0.0266	✓	0.98
2026-08-18	oos	0.42655	0.417875	-2.03%	0.51735	+21.29%	0.0348	✗	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.4392	0.429398	-2.23%	0.5158	+17.44%	0.0094	✓	0.95
2026-08-16	oos	0.4476	0.436845	-2.40%	0.512	+14.39%	0.0522	✓	0.99
2026-08-15	oos	0.43255	0.423383	-2.12%	0.4828	+11.62%	0.0683	✓	0.99
2026-08-14	oos	0.44275	0.432706	-2.27%	0.5171	+16.79%	0.0391	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.448	0.437187	-2.41%	0.51655	+15.30%	0.0256	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.4581	0.44583	-2.68%	0.4671	+1.96%	0.0437	✓	1.02
2026-08-11	oos	0.43485	0.42541	-2.17%	0.42655	-1.91%	0.0157	✓	1.03
2026-08-10	oos	0.44495	0.434192	-2.42%	0.4392	-1.29%	0.0025	✓	1.02
2026-08-09	oos	0.42305	0.416345	-1.58%	0.4476	+5.80%	0.1056	✗	1.05
2026-08-08	oos	0.4297	0.422663	-1.64%	0.43255	+0.66%	0.0543	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	0.41835	0.411697	-1.59%	0.44275	+5.83%	0.1049	✗	1.07
2026-08-06	oos	0.409	0.402802	-1.52%	0.448	+9.54%	0.1204	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.40675	0.4008	-1.46%	0.4581	+12.62%	0.1536	✗	1.07
2026-08-04	oos	0.401	0.394724	-1.57%	0.43485	+8.44%	0.1055	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.3966	0.39019	-1.62%	0.44495	+12.19%	0.1238	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.3983	0.391573	-1.69%	0.42305	+6.21%	0.0548	✗	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.39445	0.387455	-1.77%	0.4297	+8.94%	0.0676	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.39235	0.385409	-1.77%	0.41835	+6.63%	0.0475	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	0.397	0.39076	-1.57%	0.409	+3.02%	0.0533	✗	1.09
2026-07-29	oos	0.39615	0.389866	-1.59%	0.40675	+2.68%	0.0306	✗	1.07
2026-07-28	oos	0.40155	0.394869	-1.66%	0.401	-0.14%	0.0120	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.4003	0.393495	-1.70%	0.3966	-0.92%	0.0117	✓	1.07
2026-07-26	oos	0.4159	0.409424	-1.56%	0.3983	-4.23%	0.0029	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.4115	0.404631	-1.67%	0.39445	-4.14%	0.0003	✓	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.41015	0.403245	-1.68%	0.39235	-4.34%	0.0064	✓	1.06
2026-07-23	oos	0.40705	0.400915	-1.51%	0.397	-2.47%	0.0044	✓	1.08
2026-07-22	oos	0.42095	0.415243	-1.36%	0.39615	-5.89%	0.0112	✓	1.06
2026-07-21	oos	0.42935	0.423618	-1.34%	0.40155	-6.47%	0.0100	✓	1.06
2026-07-20	oos	0.4246	0.418538	-1.43%	0.4003	-5.72%	0.0194	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.4243	0.417834	-1.52%	0.4159	-1.98%	0.0155	✓	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.4199	0.413549	-1.51%	0.4115	-2.00%	0.0032	✓	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.42625	0.419948	-1.48%	0.41015	-3.78%	0.0268	✓	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.44125	0.434385	-1.56%	0.40705	-7.75%	0.0869	✓	1.10
2026-07-15	oos	0.4255	0.4202	-1.25%	0.42095	-1.07%	0.0216	✓	1.12
2026-07-14	oos	0.42295	0.418285	-1.10%	0.42935	+1.51%	0.0001	✓	1.12
2026-07-13	oos	0.42095	0.416328	-1.10%	0.4246	+0.87%	0.0350	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.4176	0.413282	-1.03%	0.4243	+1.60%	0.0085	✓	1.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.4224	0.417836	-1.08%	0.4199	-0.59%	0.0136	✓	1.16
2026-07-10	oos	0.4296	0.424965	-1.08%	0.42625	-0.78%	0.0072	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.4288	0.424079	-1.10%	0.44125	+2.90%	0.0289	✗	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.421	0.416454	-1.08%	0.4255	+1.07%	0.0238	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.4221	0.417839	-1.01%	0.42295	+0.20%	0.0183	✓	1.17
2026-07-06	oos	0.4414	0.436895	-1.02%	0.42095	-4.63%	0.0051	✓	1.17
2026-07-05	oos	0.44085	0.436406	-1.01%	0.4176	-5.27%	0.0469	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.453	0.448089	-1.08%	0.4224	-6.75%	0.0715	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.4487	0.444214	-1.00%	0.4296	-4.26%	0.0623	✓	1.13
2026-07-02	oos	0.4365	0.432735	-0.86%	0.4288	-1.76%	0.0397	✓	1.13
2026-07-01	oos	0.4229	0.420039	-0.68%	0.421	-0.45%	0.0395	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.4106	0.408933	-0.41%	0.4221	+2.80%	0.0570	✓	1.13
2026-06-29	oos	0.42845	0.426096	-0.55%	0.4414	+3.02%	0.0339	✓	1.12
2026-06-28	oos	0.4265	0.424663	-0.43%	0.44085	+3.36%	0.0372	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.436	0.433788	-0.51%	0.453	+3.90%	0.0141	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.438	0.435556	-0.56%	0.4487	+2.44%	0.0163	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.4421	0.440148	-0.44%	0.4365	-1.27%	0.0413	✓	1.12
2026-06-24	oos	0.5028	0.498064	-0.94%	0.4229	-15.89%	0.1459	✓	1.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.51505	0.509535	-1.07%	0.4106	-20.28%	0.1426	✓	1.08
2026-06-22	oos	0.5334	0.526587	-1.28%	0.42845	-19.68%	0.1404	✓	1.08
2026-06-21	oos	0.52865	0.522062	-1.25%	0.4265	-19.32%	0.1361	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.53535	0.528043	-1.36%	0.436	-18.56%	0.1213	✓	1.02
2026-06-19	oos	0.52935	0.522264	-1.34%	0.438	-17.26%	0.1184	✓	1.02
2026-06-18	oos	0.53095	0.523831	-1.34%	0.4421	-16.73%	0.1167	✓	1.02
2026-06-17	oos	0.5418	0.533357	-1.56%	0.5028	-7.20%	0.0023	✓	1.03
2026-06-16	oos	0.5575	0.547928	-1.72%	0.51505	-7.61%	0.0142	✓	1.03
2026-06-15	oos	0.57695	0.565644	-1.96%	0.5334	-7.55%	0.0209	✓	1.06
2026-06-14	oos	0.5687	0.55803	-1.88%	0.52865	-7.04%	0.0134	✓	1.06
2026-06-13	oos	0.557	0.547013	-1.79%	0.53535	-3.89%	0.0180	✓	1.09
2026-06-12	oos	0.53675	0.527831	-1.66%	0.52935	-1.38%	0.0039	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.5408	0.531979	-1.63%	0.53095	-1.82%	0.0099	✓	1.09
2026-06-10	oos	0.52835	0.52188	-1.22%	0.5418	+2.55%	0.0151	✓	1.10
2026-06-09	oos	0.5362	0.529509	-1.25%	0.5575	+3.97%	0.0169	✓	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.5476	0.539548	-1.47%	0.57695	+5.36%	0.0119	✓	1.11
2026-06-07	oos	0.543	0.535287	-1.42%	0.5687	+4.73%	0.0187	✗	1.12
2026-06-06	oos	0.5145	0.510847	-0.71%	0.557	+8.26%	0.0235	✗	1.10
2026-06-05	oos	0.5189	0.515108	-0.73%	0.53675	+3.44%	0.0035	✓	1.11
2026-06-04	oos	0.556	0.548021	-1.44%	0.5408	-2.73%	0.0091	✓	1.09
2026-06-03	oos	0.5969	0.587257	-1.62%	0.52835	-11.48%	0.0619	✓	1.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.6062	0.595483	-1.77%	0.5362	-11.55%	0.0223	✓	1.07
2026-06-01	oos	0.6354	0.621746	-2.15%	0.5476	-13.82%	0.0027	✓	1.01
2026-05-31	oos	0.66695	0.651182	-2.36%	0.543	-18.58%	0.0337	✓	0.98
2026-05-30	oos	0.6773	0.65988	-2.57%	0.5145	-24.04%	0.0618	✓	0.97
2026-05-29	oos	0.6428	0.62856	-2.22%	0.5189	-19.28%	0.0154	✓	0.96
2026-05-28	oos	0.6297	0.616251	-2.14%	0.556	-11.70%	0.0325	✗	0.96
2026-05-27	oos	0.6269	0.614118	-2.04%	0.5969	-4.79%	0.1130	✗	0.95
2026-05-26	oos	0.6374	0.623824	-2.13%	0.6062	-4.89%	0.0930	✗	0.94
2026-05-25	oos	0.65335	0.639405	-2.13%	0.6354	-2.75%	0.0688	✗	0.94
2026-05-24	oos	0.6514	0.637611	-2.12%	0.66695	+2.39%	0.0870	✗	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.66505	0.650107	-2.25%	0.6773	+1.84%	0.0770	✗	0.94
2026-05-22	oos	0.6363	0.623411	-2.03%	0.6428	+1.02%	0.0567	✗	0.94
2026-05-21	oos	0.6775	0.660755	-2.47%	0.6297	-7.06%	0.0005	✓	0.91
2026-05-20	oos	0.6653	0.650669	-2.20%	0.6269	-5.77%	0.0007	✓	0.91
2026-05-19	oos	0.6229	0.613007	-1.59%	0.6374	+2.33%	0.0501	✗	0.90
2026-05-18	oos	0.6278	0.617821	-1.59%	0.65335	+4.07%	0.0524	✗	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.6342	0.624412	-1.54%	0.6514	+2.71%	0.0473	✗	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	0.6429	0.63339	-1.48%	0.66505	+3.45%	0.0657	✗	0.90
2026-05-15	oos	0.66595	0.655961	-1.50%	0.6363	-4.45%	0.0120	✓	0.91
2026-05-14	oos	0.69485	0.684332	-1.51%	0.6775	-2.50%	0.0302	✗	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.6716	0.662376	-1.37%	0.6653	-0.94%	0.0252	✗	0.90
2026-05-12	oos	0.66775	0.661066	-1.00%	0.6229	-6.72%	0.0166	✓	0.91
2026-05-11	oos	0.69755	0.690176	-1.06%	0.6278	-10.00%	0.0407	✓	0.90
2026-05-10	oos	0.71375	0.705737	-1.12%	0.6342	-11.15%	0.0532	✓	0.89
2026-05-09	oos	0.6826	0.676188	-0.94%	0.6429	-5.82%	0.0221	✓	0.88
2026-05-08	oos	0.6845	0.677756	-0.99%	0.66595	-2.71%	0.0051	✓	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	0.66245	0.657545	-0.74%	0.69485	+4.89%	0.0436	✗	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	0.6677	0.664341	-0.50%	0.6716	+0.58%	0.0327	✗	0.82
2026-05-05	oos	0.64595	0.643902	-0.32%	0.66775	+3.37%	0.0409	✗	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.6396	0.636875	-0.43%	0.69755	+9.06%	0.0711	✗	0.86
2026-05-03	oos	0.6316	0.62791	-0.58%	0.71375	+13.01%	0.0898	✗	0.85
2026-05-02	oos	0.6309	0.627505	-0.54%	0.6826	+8.19%	0.0629	✗	0.86
2026-05-01	oos	0.6305	0.627097	-0.54%	0.6845	+8.56%	0.0661	✗	0.87
2026-04-30	oos	0.62805	0.622361	-0.91%	0.66245	+5.48%	0.0211	✗	0.87
2026-04-29	oos	0.6247	0.618305	-1.02%	0.6677	+6.88%	0.0134	✗	0.88
2026-04-28	oos	0.6309	0.624504	-1.01%	0.64595	+2.39%	0.0188	✓	0.90
2026-04-27	oos	0.6378	0.632179	-0.88%	0.6396	+0.28%	0.0168	✓	0.90
2026-04-26	oos	0.6548	0.649664	-0.78%	0.6316	-3.54%	0.0269	✓	0.90
2026-04-25	oos	0.65925	0.652447	-1.03%	0.6309	-4.30%	0.0455	✓	0.91
2026-04-24	oos	0.6481	0.641236	-1.06%	0.6305	-2.72%	0.0260	✓	0.92
2026-04-23	oos	0.64735	0.641312	-0.93%	0.62805	-2.98%	0.0025	✓	0.92
2026-04-22	oos	0.64435	0.638261	-0.95%	0.6247	-3.05%	0.0078	✓	0.92
2026-04-21	oos	0.6314	0.623607	-1.23%	0.6309	-0.08%	0.0120	✓	0.92
2026-04-20	oos	0.6314	0.622491	-1.41%	0.6378	+1.01%	0.0063	✓	0.92
2026-04-19	oos	0.6219	0.612115	-1.57%	0.6548	+5.29%	0.0086	✓	0.92
2026-04-18	oos	0.6615	0.651978	-1.44%	0.65925	-0.34%	0.0118	✓	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.6819	0.672452	-1.39%	0.6481	-4.96%	0.0412	✓	0.91
2026-04-16	oos	0.67305	0.66178	-1.67%	0.64735	-3.82%	0.0593	✓	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.6652	0.654102	-1.67%	0.64435	-3.13%	0.0553	✓	0.91
2026-04-14	oos	0.65505	0.643451	-1.77%	0.6314	-3.61%	0.0452	✓	0.91
2026-04-13	oos	0.6832	0.670134	-1.91%	0.6314	-7.58%	0.0767	✓	0.91
2026-04-12	oos	0.66475	0.65008	-2.21%	0.6219	-6.45%	0.0834	✓	0.92
2026-04-11	oos	0.68055	0.666472	-2.07%	0.6615	-2.80%	0.0403	✓	0.92
2026-04-10	oos	0.6932	0.678104	-2.18%	0.6819	-1.63%	0.0448	✓	0.92
2026-04-09	oos	0.6659	0.65152	-2.16%	0.67305	+1.07%	0.0095	✓	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.6586	0.643764	-2.25%	0.6652	+1.00%	0.0144	✓	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.67465	0.659298	-2.28%	0.65505	-2.91%	0.0349	✓	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.655	0.639427	-2.38%	0.6832	+4.31%	0.0067	✓	0.93
2026-04-05	oos	0.6707	0.654341	-2.44%	0.66475	-0.89%	0.0076	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.669	0.652839	-2.42%	0.68055	+1.73%	0.0365	✓	0.95
2026-04-03	oos	0.6751	0.658531	-2.45%	0.6932	+2.68%	0.0306	✓	0.95
2026-04-02	oos	0.6721	0.655383	-2.49%	0.6659	-0.92%	0.0512	✓	0.95
2026-04-01	oos	0.70075	0.682491	-2.61%	0.6586	-6.01%	0.0762	✓	0.95
2026-03-31	oos	0.697	0.678446	-2.66%	0.67465	-3.21%	0.0556	✓	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.6867	0.66812	-2.71%	0.655	-4.62%	0.0495	✓	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.6711	0.653802	-2.58%	0.6707	-0.06%	0.0168	✓	0.94
2026-03-28	oos	0.6726	0.655538	-2.54%	0.669	-0.54%	0.0067	✓	0.94
2026-03-27	oos	0.67445	0.657977	-2.44%	0.6751	+0.10%	0.0172	✓	0.94
2026-03-26	oos	0.69535	0.678667	-2.40%	0.6721	-3.34%	0.0163	✓	0.94
2026-03-25	oos	0.7403	0.720994	-2.61%	0.70075	-5.34%	0.0141	✓	0.93
2026-03-24	oos	0.7161	0.700348	-2.20%	0.697	-2.67%	0.0261	✗	0.93
2026-03-23	oos	0.70575	0.690962	-2.10%	0.6867	-2.70%	0.0495	✗	0.93
2026-03-22	oos	0.71065	0.695734	-2.10%	0.6711	-5.57%	0.0091	✓	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.737	0.720927	-2.18%	0.6726	-8.74%	0.0329	✓	0.95
2026-03-20	oos	0.7516	0.735359	-2.16%	0.67445	-10.26%	0.0288	✓	0.95
2026-03-19	oos	0.7501	0.734061	-2.14%	0.69535	-7.30%	0.0384	✓	0.95
2026-03-18	oos	0.7754	0.758517	-2.18%	0.7403	-4.53%	0.0251	✓	0.94
2026-03-17	oos	0.8376	0.818294	-2.30%	0.7161	-14.51%	0.0896	✓	0.93
2026-03-16	oos	0.8656	0.843317	-2.57%	0.70575	-18.47%	0.1269	✓	0.93
2026-03-15	oos	0.8046	0.788081	-2.05%	0.71065	-11.68%	0.0395	✓	0.90
2026-03-14	oos	0.7965	0.777637	-2.37%	0.737	-7.47%	0.0242	✓	0.89
2026-03-13	oos	0.7156	0.706192	-1.31%	0.7516	+5.03%	0.0680	✗	0.89
2026-03-12	oos	0.7162	0.706968	-1.29%	0.7501	+4.73%	0.0670	✗	0.89
2026-03-11	oos	0.6905	0.683082	-1.07%	0.7754	+12.30%	0.1140	✗	0.87
2026-03-10	oos	0.70015	0.691894	-1.18%	0.8376	+19.63%	0.1427	✗	0.88
2026-03-09	oos	0.66845	0.661889	-0.98%	0.8656	+29.49%	0.1904	✗	0.86
2026-03-08	oos	0.6487	0.642303	-0.99%	0.8046	+24.03%	0.1398	✗	0.86
2026-03-07	oos	0.6747	0.667875	-1.01%	0.7965	+18.05%	0.1268	✗	0.86
2026-03-06	oos	0.6844	0.677484	-1.01%	0.7156	+4.56%	0.0195	✗	0.86
2026-03-05	oos	0.6999	0.692707	-1.03%	0.7162	+2.33%	0.0377	✗	0.87
2026-03-04	oos	0.6945	0.687451	-1.02%	0.6905	-0.58%	0.0342	✗	0.86
2026-03-03	oos	0.6907	0.682654	-1.16%	0.70015	+1.37%	0.0041	✓	0.90
2026-03-02	oos	0.6591	0.653518	-0.85%	0.66845	+1.42%	0.0280	✗	0.93
2026-03-01	oos	0.6364	0.631814	-0.72%	0.6487	+1.93%	0.0235	✗	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	0.63865	0.634099	-0.71%	0.6747	+5.64%	0.0579	✗	0.96
2026-02-27	oos	0.6349	0.630582	-0.68%	0.6844	+7.80%	0.0497	✗	0.96
2026-02-26	oos	0.6401	0.635399	-0.73%	0.6999	+9.34%	0.0494	✗	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.6235	0.62035	-0.51%	0.6945	+11.39%	0.0485	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.5908	0.589494	-0.22%	0.6907	+16.91%	0.0963	✗	0.96
2026-02-23	oos	0.5764	0.575867	-0.09%	0.6591	+14.35%	0.0737	✗	0.97
2026-02-22	oos	0.6058	0.603894	-0.31%	0.6364	+5.05%	0.0793	✗	0.97
2026-02-21	oos	0.6329	0.630088	-0.44%	0.63865	+0.91%	0.0276	✗	0.97
2026-02-20	oos	0.63055	0.628148	-0.38%	0.6349	+0.69%	0.0414	✗	0.97
2026-02-19	oos	0.62075	0.619071	-0.27%	0.6401	+3.12%	0.0260	✗	0.97
2026-02-18	oos	0.62075	0.61934	-0.23%	0.6235	+0.44%	0.0163	✓	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.6335	0.631351	-0.34%	0.5908	-6.74%	0.0152	✓	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.645	0.641909	-0.48%	0.5764	-10.64%	0.0451	✓	0.99
2026-02-15	oos	0.6278	0.625459	-0.37%	0.6058	-3.50%	0.0150	✓	0.98
2026-02-14	oos	0.6638	0.659636	-0.63%	0.6329	-4.66%	0.0150	✓	0.99
2026-02-13	oos	0.6373	0.634923	-0.37%	0.63055	-1.06%	0.0050	✗	0.98
2026-02-12	oos	0.61275	0.613799	+0.17%	0.62075	+1.31%	0.0000	✓	0.99
2026-02-11	oos	0.6159	0.616782	+0.14%	0.62075	+0.79%	0.0153	✓	0.98
2026-02-10	oos	0.632	0.631129	-0.14%	0.6335	+0.24%	0.0231	✗	0.98
2026-02-09	oos	0.64615	0.643787	-0.37%	0.645	-0.18%	0.0194	✗	0.98
2026-02-08	oos	0.64165	0.639831	-0.28%	0.6278	-2.16%	0.0022	✓	0.99
2026-02-07	oos	0.6433	0.643231	-0.01%	0.6638	+3.19%	0.0238	✗	0.99
2026-02-06	oos	0.646	0.645012	-0.15%	0.6373	-1.35%	0.0122	✗	0.99
2026-02-05	oos	0.60115	0.61273	+1.93%	0.61275	+1.93%	0.0560	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.6979	0.692349	-0.80%	0.6159	-11.75%	0.0209	✓	1.13
2026-02-03	oos	0.7095	0.699971	-1.34%	0.632	-10.92%	0.0068	✓	1.15
2026-02-02	oos	0.72145	0.709067	-1.72%	0.64615	-10.44%	0.0392	✗	1.15
2026-02-01	oos	0.6847	0.679283	-0.79%	0.64165	-6.29%	0.0356	✗	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.7323	0.721173	-1.52%	0.6433	-12.15%	0.0254	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.777	0.759938	-2.20%	0.646	-16.86%	0.0355	✗	1.12
2026-01-29	oos	0.8409	0.820703	-2.40%	0.60115	-28.51%	0.0211	✓	1.12
2026-01-28	oos	0.91915	0.897133	-2.40%	0.6979	-24.07%	0.0348	✓	1.08
2026-01-27	oos	0.8926	0.872782	-2.22%	0.7095	-20.51%	0.0261	✓	1.11
2026-01-26	oos	0.8655	0.847165	-2.12%	0.72145	-16.64%	0.0356	✓	1.09
2026-01-25	oos	0.8472	0.830384	-1.98%	0.6847	-19.18%	0.0640	✓	1.09
2026-01-24	oos	0.904	0.886033	-1.99%	0.7323	-18.99%	0.0573	✓	1.07
2026-01-23	oos	0.8815	0.865751	-1.79%	0.777	-11.85%	0.0399	✓	1.10
2026-01-22	oos	0.88205	0.866345	-1.78%	0.8409	-4.67%	0.0331	✗	1.11
2026-01-21	oos	0.8882	0.87146	-1.88%	0.91915	+3.48%	0.0558	✗	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.87	0.853311	-1.92%	0.8926	+2.60%	0.0349	✗	1.12
2026-01-19	oos	0.915	0.899305	-1.72%	0.8655	-5.41%	0.0153	✓	1.13
2026-01-18	oos	0.9463	0.930925	-1.62%	0.8472	-10.47%	0.0030	✓	1.16
2026-01-17	oos	0.9499	0.935821	-1.48%	0.904	-4.83%	0.0406	✗	1.15
2026-01-16	oos	0.9499	0.936235	-1.44%	0.8815	-7.20%	0.0173	✗	1.19
2026-01-15	oos	0.9631	0.948139	-1.55%	0.88205	-8.42%	0.0070	✓	1.20
2026-01-14	oos	0.97685	0.962843	-1.43%	0.8882	-9.08%	0.0184	✗	1.22
2026-01-13	oos	0.9887	0.97195	-1.69%	0.87	-12.01%	0.0151	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.9442	0.924645	-2.07%	0.915	-3.09%	0.0296	✓	1.28
2026-01-11	oos	0.9841	0.962118	-2.23%	0.9463	-3.84%	0.0556	✓	1.30
2026-01-10	oos	0.97685	0.954833	-2.25%	0.9499	-2.76%	0.0713	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	0.9638	0.942603	-2.20%	0.9499	-1.44%	0.0783	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.9992	0.97616	-2.31%	0.9631	-3.61%	0.0923	✓	1.61
2026-01-07	oos	1.0332	1.0077	-2.47%	0.97685	-5.45%	0.1469	✓	1.92
2026-01-06	oos	1.1155	1.0839	-2.84%	0.9887	-11.37%	0.1259	✓	1.94
2026-01-05	oos	1.0789	1.0525	-2.45%	0.9442	-12.48%	0.0508	✓	1.99
2026-01-04	oos	1.0433	1.0154	-2.67%	0.9841	-5.67%	0.0176	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	1.02	0.994182	-2.53%	0.97685	-4.23%	0.0125	✓	2.05
2026-01-02	oos	1.0146	0.98737	-2.68%	0.9638	-5.01%	0.0370	✓	2.07
2026-01-01	oos	0.973	0.947553	-2.62%	0.9992	+2.69%	0.0004	✓	2.07
2025-12-31	oos	0.9624	0.937701	-2.57%	1.0332	+7.36%	0.0101	✓	2.05
2025-12-30	oos	0.96835	0.944325	-2.48%	1.1155	+15.20%	0.0461	✗	2.06
2025-12-29	oos	1.0142	0.988057	-2.57%	1.0789	+6.38%	0.0675	✓	2.08
2025-12-28	oos	1.0407	1.0135	-2.61%	1.0433	+0.25%	0.0549	✓	2.08
2025-12-27	oos	1.0617	1.0337	-2.63%	1.02	-3.93%	0.0790	✓	2.10
2025-12-26	oos	1.0439	1.0165	-2.63%	1.0146	-2.81%	0.0647	✓	2.09
2025-12-25	oos	1.0325	1.0054	-2.63%	0.973	-5.76%	0.0700	✓	2.09
2025-12-24	oos	1.0386	1.0106	-2.69%	0.9624	-7.34%	0.0462	✓	2.11
2025-12-23	oos	1.0579	1.0302	-2.62%	0.96835	-8.46%	0.0851	✓	2.11
2025-12-22	oos	1.1093	1.0788	-2.74%	1.0142	-8.57%	0.0275	✓	2.09
2025-12-21	oos	1.1743	1.14	-2.92%	1.0407	-11.38%	0.0731	✓	2.09
2025-12-20	oos	1.1913	1.1549	-3.06%	1.0617	-10.88%	0.0723	✓	2.02
2025-12-19	oos	1.1525	1.1169	-3.09%	1.0439	-9.42%	0.0492	✓	2.02
2025-12-18	oos	1.1439	1.1093	-3.02%	1.0325	-9.74%	0.1127	✓	2.06
2025-12-17	oos	1.2092	1.1675	-3.45%	1.0386	-14.11%	0.1503	✓	2.07
2025-12-16	oos	1.2475	1.2049	-3.42%	1.0579	-15.20%	0.1201	✓	2.08
2025-12-15	oos	1.2895	1.2391	-3.91%	1.1093	-13.98%	0.1622	✓	2.11
2025-12-14	oos	1.2492	1.2029	-3.71%	1.1743	-6.00%	0.0354	✓	2.15
2025-12-13	oos	1.332	1.2789	-3.98%	1.1913	-10.56%	0.0246	✓	2.14
2025-12-12	oos	1.2521	1.2031	-3.91%	1.1525	-7.95%	0.0094	✓	2.14
2025-12-11	oos	1.1987	1.1558	-3.58%	1.1439	-4.57%	0.1634	✗	2.18
2025-12-10	oos	1.1666	1.1235	-3.70%	1.2092	+3.65%	0.2166	✗	2.19
2025-12-09	oos	1.1132	1.0749	-3.44%	1.2475	+12.07%	0.2678	✗	2.22
2025-12-08	oos	1.0939	1.0608	-3.03%	1.2895	+17.88%	0.3034	✗	2.26
2025-12-07	oos	1.0965	1.0636	-3.00%	1.2492	+13.93%	0.2172	✗	2.25
2025-12-06	oos	1.0658	1.0359	-2.81%	1.332	+24.97%	0.2266	✗	2.26
2025-12-05	oos	1.0882	1.0549	-3.06%	1.2521	+15.06%	0.1480	✗	2.25
2025-12-04	oos	1.0583	1.0282	-2.84%	1.1987	+13.27%	0.1421	✗	2.31
2025-12-03	oos	1.1061	1.0715	-3.13%	1.1666	+5.47%	0.1204	✗	2.31
2025-12-02	oos	1.0247	0.997203	-2.68%	1.1132	+8.64%	0.0756	✗	2.29
2025-12-01	oos	0.97575	0.960553	-1.56%	1.0939	+12.11%	0.0105	✓	2.42
2025-11-30	oos	1.0664	1.0373	-2.73%	1.0965	+2.82%	0.0546	✗	2.41
2025-11-29	oos	1.0875	1.0583	-2.68%	1.0658	-1.99%	0.0485	✗	2.39
2025-11-28	oos	1.0763	1.051	-2.35%	1.0882	+1.11%	0.0761	✗	2.39
2025-11-27	oos	1.0633	1.0436	-1.84%	1.0583	-0.47%	0.0063	✓	2.40
2025-11-26	oos	1.0705	1.0517	-1.75%	1.1061	+3.33%	0.0282	✓	2.42
2025-11-25	oos	1.0265	1.02	-0.63%	1.0247	-0.18%	0.1057	✓	2.47
2025-11-24	oos	1.022	1.0159	-0.59%	0.97575	-4.53%	0.0160	✗	2.48
2025-11-23	oos	1.0158	1.0147	-0.10%	1.0664	+4.99%	0.0507	✓	2.50
2025-11-22	oos	0.9871	0.996052	+0.91%	1.0875	+10.17%	0.0893	✗	2.53
2025-11-21	oos	0.94735	0.963775	+1.73%	1.0763	+13.61%	0.0568	✗	2.52
2025-11-20	oos	1.0422	1.0523	+0.97%	1.0633	+2.02%	0.1244	✗	2.51
2025-11-19	oos	1.1181	1.1115	-0.60%	1.0705	-4.26%	0.0099	✓	2.53
2025-11-18	oos	1.1084	1.1003	-0.73%	1.0265	-7.39%	0.0893	✗	2.56
2025-11-17	oos	1.1051	1.1011	-0.37%	1.022	-7.52%	0.0337	✗	2.54
2025-11-16	oos	1.192	1.1768	-1.27%	1.0158	-14.78%	0.0524	✗	2.45
2025-11-15	oos	1.2014	1.1838	-1.47%	0.9871	-17.84%	0.1138	✗	2.45
2025-11-14	oos	1.1661	1.1592	-0.59%	0.94735	-18.76%	0.0554	✗	2.45
2025-11-13	oos	1.2232	1.1985	-2.02%	1.0422	-14.80%	0.2215	✗	2.57
2025-11-12	oos	1.2643	1.2318	-2.57%	1.1181	-11.56%	0.1726	✗	2.55
2025-11-11	oos	1.2367	1.2061	-2.47%	1.1084	-10.37%	0.1727	✗	2.49
2025-11-10	oos	1.3199	1.28	-3.02%	1.1051	-16.27%	0.2054	✗	2.51
2025-11-09	oos	1.3355	1.2936	-3.14%	1.192	-10.75%	0.1865	✗	2.54
2025-11-08	oos	1.336	1.2999	-2.70%	1.2014	-10.07%	0.0977	✗	2.59
2025-11-07	oos	1.2914	1.261	-2.35%	1.1661	-9.70%	0.1462	✗	2.53
2025-11-06	oos	1.2093	1.1986	-0.88%	1.2232	+1.15%	0.0624	✗	2.52
2025-11-05	oos	1.2479	1.2271	-1.67%	1.2643	+1.31%	0.0849	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	1.2699	1.2508	-1.51%	1.2367	-2.61%	0.0517	✓	2.68
2025-11-03	oos	1.2269	1.2006	-2.14%	1.3199	+7.58%	0.1105	✗	2.90
2025-11-02	oos	1.4307	1.3818	-3.42%	1.3355	-6.65%	0.1187	✗	2.82
2025-11-01	oos	1.4412	1.3912	-3.47%	1.336	-7.30%	0.1686	✗	2.86
2025-10-31	oos	1.4536	1.4021	-3.55%	1.2914	-11.16%	0.0859	✗	2.85
2025-10-30	oos	1.4418	1.3905	-3.56%	1.2093	-16.13%	0.0523	✗	2.87
2025-10-29	oos	1.5839	1.5244	-3.76%	1.2479	-21.21%	0.0363	✓	2.84
2025-10-28	oos	1.608	1.5458	-3.87%	1.2699	-21.03%	0.1097	✗	2.87
2025-10-27	oos	1.6634	1.5974	-3.97%	1.2269	-26.24%	0.0684	✓	2.86
2025-10-26	oos	1.7735	1.699	-4.20%	1.4307	-19.33%	0.0700	✓	2.86
2025-10-25	oos	1.6585	1.5868	-4.32%	1.4412	-13.10%	0.0543	✓	2.88
2025-10-24	oos	1.6436	1.5715	-4.39%	1.4536	-11.56%	0.0391	✓	2.88
2025-10-23	oos	1.6854	1.6084	-4.57%	1.4418	-14.45%	0.0613	✓	2.90
2025-10-22	oos	1.5951	1.5205	-4.68%	1.5839	-0.70%	0.0247	✓	2.92
2025-10-21	oos	1.6283	1.5506	-4.77%	1.608	-1.25%	0.0836	✓	2.92
2025-10-20	oos	1.8123	1.7244	-4.85%	1.6634	-8.22%	0.1265	✓	2.89
2025-10-19	oos	1.8595	1.7602	-5.34%	1.7735	-4.62%	0.1455	✓	2.91
2025-10-18	oos	1.6695	1.5831	-5.18%	1.6585	-0.66%	0.0707	✓	2.88
2025-10-17	oos	1.6085	1.5234	-5.29%	1.6436	+2.18%	0.0452	✓	2.88
2025-10-16	oos	1.7167	1.6254	-5.32%	1.6854	-1.82%	0.0141	✓	2.86
2025-10-15	oos	1.8153	1.7215	-5.17%	1.5951	-12.13%	0.0079	✓	2.85
2025-10-14	oos	1.9764	1.8732	-5.22%	1.6283	-17.61%	0.0196	✓	2.84
2025-10-13	oos	2.118	2.003	-5.43%	1.8123	-14.43%	0.0173	✓	2.82
2025-10-12	oos	2.2453	2.098	-6.56%	1.8595	-17.18%	0.0398	✓	2.81
2025-10-11	oos	1.6232	1.5382	-5.23%	1.6695	+2.85%	0.1639	✗	2.51
2025-10-10	oos	1.7255	1.6383	-5.05%	1.6085	-6.78%	0.1310	✗	2.51
2025-10-09	oos	2.3402	2.2202	-5.13%	1.7167	-26.64%	0.0164	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	2.6927	2.525	-6.23%	1.8153	-32.58%	0.1235	✓	1.93
2025-10-07	oos	2.2989	2.1841	-4.99%	1.9764	-14.03%	0.0245	✓	1.75
2025-10-06	oos	2.4751	2.3292	-5.89%	2.118	-14.43%	0.0387	✓	1.70
2025-10-05	oos	2.1182	2.0191	-4.68%	2.2453	+6.00%	0.2229	✗	1.65
2025-10-04	oos	1.9637	1.8832	-4.10%	1.6232	-17.34%	0.0152	✓	1.63
2025-10-03	oos	1.9263	1.846	-4.17%	1.7255	-10.42%	0.0617	✗	1.63
2025-10-02	oos	1.9791	1.8856	-4.72%	2.3402	+18.25%	0.2010	✗	1.66
2025-10-01	oos	1.8996	1.8075	-4.85%	2.6927	+41.75%	0.3335	✗	1.68
2025-09-30	oos	1.7711	1.6833	-4.96%	2.2989	+29.80%	0.2063	✗	1.69
2025-09-29	oos	1.9229	1.8036	-6.21%	2.4751	+28.72%	0.1738	✗	1.65
2025-09-28	oos	1.7842	1.6938	-5.07%	2.1182	+18.72%	0.0654	✗	1.65
2025-09-27	oos	1.7156	1.6254	-5.26%	1.9637	+14.46%	0.0054	✓	1.67
2025-09-26	oos	1.7512	1.6578	-5.33%	1.9263	+10.00%	0.0297	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	1.5966	1.5213	-4.72%	1.9791	+23.95%	0.0983	✗	1.63
2025-09-24	oos	1.723	1.6367	-5.01%	1.8996	+10.25%	0.0765	✗	1.58
2025-09-23	oos	1.76	1.6577	-5.81%	1.7711	+0.63%	0.0369	✓	1.62
2025-09-22	oos	1.7384	1.6338	-6.02%	1.9229	+10.61%	0.1400	✗	1.60
2025-09-21	oos	1.5555	1.4901	-4.20%	1.7842	+14.70%	0.2279	✗	1.76
2025-09-20	oos	1.6741	1.6019	-4.31%	1.7156	+2.48%	0.1570	✗	1.64
2025-09-19	oos	1.6508	1.579	-4.35%	1.7512	+6.08%	0.1919	✗	1.66
2025-09-18	oos	1.7761	1.6841	-5.18%	1.5966	-10.10%	0.0632	✗	1.63
2025-09-17	oos	1.698	1.6196	-4.61%	1.723	+1.48%	0.1061	✗	1.62

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.