MANTLE

? · · gru_s8

token id: #484
symbol: MANTLE
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-05-01
predictions: 1,590

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0251

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0045

actual -0.0009

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.5382	0.53533	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-20	oos	0.53495	0.532426	-0.47%	0.5382	+0.61%	0.0136	✗	0.95
2026-10-19	oos	0.534	0.53149	-0.47%	0.53495	+0.18%	0.0063	✓	0.95
2026-10-18	oos	0.52945	0.527186	-0.43%	0.534	+0.86%	0.0148	✗	0.95
2026-10-17	oos	0.5277	0.525489	-0.42%	0.52945	+0.33%	0.0002	✓	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.53675	0.534404	-0.44%	0.5277	-1.69%	0.0112	✓	0.95
2026-10-15	oos	0.53085	0.528696	-0.41%	0.53675	+1.11%	0.0223	✗	0.94
2026-10-14	oos	0.52305	0.521067	-0.38%	0.53085	+1.49%	0.0122	✗	0.94
2026-10-13	oos	0.54095	0.538678	-0.42%	0.52305	-3.31%	0.0125	✓	0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.53655	0.534297	-0.42%	0.54095	+0.82%	0.0026	✓	0.91
2026-10-11	oos	0.56565	0.563105	-0.45%	0.53655	-5.14%	0.0284	✓	0.85
2026-10-10	oos	0.5686	0.566096	-0.44%	0.56565	-0.52%	0.0085	✓	0.83
2026-10-09	oos	0.5524	0.550198	-0.40%	0.5686	+2.93%	0.0292	✗	0.83
2026-10-08	oos	0.5538	0.55171	-0.38%	0.5524	-0.25%	0.0074	✓	0.84
2026-10-07	oos	0.5815	0.579079	-0.42%	0.5538	-4.76%	0.0290	✓	0.81
2026-10-06	oos	0.59135	0.588875	-0.42%	0.5815	-1.67%	0.0094	✗	0.82
2026-10-05	oos	0.6521	0.648471	-0.56%	0.59135	-9.32%	0.0903	✓	0.80
2026-10-04	oos	0.6643	0.660215	-0.61%	0.6521	-1.84%	0.0053	✓	0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.6437	0.639766	-0.61%	0.6643	+3.20%	0.0211	✗	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.6534	0.649158	-0.65%	0.6437	-1.48%	0.0107	✓	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.68125	0.676466	-0.70%	0.6534	-4.09%	0.0315	✓	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.6969	0.690971	-0.85%	0.68125	-2.25%	0.0265	✓	0.80
2026-09-29	oos	0.6649	0.660379	-0.68%	0.6969	+4.81%	0.0546	✗	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.6647	0.660038	-0.70%	0.6649	+0.03%	0.0056	✓	0.82
2026-09-27	oos	0.6761	0.671262	-0.72%	0.6647	-1.69%	0.0002	✓	0.83
2026-09-26	oos	0.69405	0.688397	-0.81%	0.6761	-2.59%	0.0185	✓	0.83
2026-09-25	oos	0.6735	0.668761	-0.70%	0.69405	+3.05%	0.0339	✗	0.84
2026-09-24	oos	0.6771	0.671653	-0.80%	0.6735	-0.53%	0.0056	✓	0.84
2026-09-23	oos	0.6531	0.648818	-0.66%	0.6771	+3.67%	0.0426	✗	0.84
2026-09-22	oos	0.6686	0.663583	-0.75%	0.6531	-2.32%	0.0035	✓	0.91
2026-09-21	oos	0.65115	0.646412	-0.73%	0.6686	+2.68%	0.0380	✗	0.91
2026-09-20	oos	0.6071	0.603965	-0.52%	0.65115	+7.26%	0.0166	✗	0.90
2026-09-19	oos	0.62265	0.618988	-0.59%	0.6071	-2.50%	0.0186	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.6246	0.620308	-0.69%	0.62265	-0.31%	0.0002	✓	0.90
2026-09-17	oos	0.5697	0.567632	-0.36%	0.6246	+9.64%	0.0477	✗	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	0.55185	0.550413	-0.26%	0.5697	+3.23%	0.0322	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	0.5444	0.54325	-0.21%	0.55185	+1.37%	0.0096	✗	0.83
2026-09-14	oos	0.5725	0.570615	-0.33%	0.5444	-4.91%	0.0197	✓	0.81
2026-09-13	oos	0.55665	0.55525	-0.25%	0.5725	+2.85%	0.0162	✗	0.81
2026-09-12	oos	0.55705	0.555879	-0.21%	0.55665	-0.07%	0.0063	✗	0.82
2026-09-11	oos	0.5807	0.579177	-0.26%	0.55705	-4.07%	0.0395	✓	0.82
2026-09-10	oos	0.56825	0.567087	-0.20%	0.5807	+2.19%	0.0165	✗	0.82
2026-09-09	oos	0.6011	0.599263	-0.31%	0.56825	-5.46%	0.0352	✓	0.80
2026-09-08	oos	0.63665	0.633673	-0.47%	0.6011	-5.58%	0.0511	✓	0.79
2026-09-07	oos	0.62095	0.618085	-0.46%	0.63665	+2.53%	0.0361	✗	0.80
2026-09-06	oos	0.6084	0.606063	-0.38%	0.62095	+2.06%	0.0371	✗	0.82
2026-09-05	oos	0.5878	0.585878	-0.33%	0.6084	+3.50%	0.0326	✗	0.81
2026-09-04	oos	0.5741	0.572661	-0.25%	0.5878	+2.39%	0.0244	✗	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.5687	0.567534	-0.20%	0.5741	+0.95%	0.0284	✗	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.5638	0.561708	-0.37%	0.5687	+0.87%	0.0347	✓	0.94
2026-09-01	oos	0.5365	0.534969	-0.29%	0.5638	+5.09%	0.0536	✗	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.5467	0.544902	-0.33%	0.5365	-1.87%	0.0017	✓	0.93
2026-08-30	oos	0.5482	0.545783	-0.44%	0.5467	-0.27%	0.0087	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.51925	0.517419	-0.35%	0.5482	+5.58%	0.0645	✗	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.50805	0.506389	-0.33%	0.51925	+2.20%	0.0204	✗	0.92
2026-08-27	oos	0.5168	0.514587	-0.43%	0.50805	-1.69%	0.0162	✗	0.94
2026-08-26	oos	0.5051	0.503297	-0.36%	0.5168	+2.32%	0.0118	✗	0.94
2026-08-25	oos	0.51735	0.5147	-0.51%	0.5051	-2.37%	0.0247	✓	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.5158	0.512405	-0.66%	0.51735	+0.30%	0.0150	✗	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.512	0.50878	-0.63%	0.5158	+0.74%	0.0013	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.4828	0.48015	-0.55%	0.512	+6.05%	0.0562	✗	0.93
2026-08-21	oos	0.5171	0.512751	-0.84%	0.4828	-6.63%	0.0454	✓	0.90
2026-08-20	oos	0.51655	0.510225	-1.22%	0.5171	+0.11%	0.0594	✓	1.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.4671	0.463774	-0.71%	0.51655	+10.59%	0.0564	✗	0.98
2026-08-18	oos	0.42655	0.424733	-0.43%	0.4671	+9.51%	0.0315	✗	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.4392	0.437008	-0.50%	0.42655	-2.88%	0.0272	✓	0.95
2026-08-16	oos	0.4476	0.445272	-0.52%	0.4392	-1.88%	0.0393	✓	0.99
2026-08-15	oos	0.43255	0.430683	-0.43%	0.4476	+3.48%	0.0414	✗	0.99
2026-08-14	oos	0.44275	0.440675	-0.47%	0.43255	-2.30%	0.0193	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.448	0.445576	-0.54%	0.44275	-1.17%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.4581	0.455013	-0.67%	0.448	-2.20%	0.0158	✓	1.02
2026-08-11	oos	0.43485	0.432461	-0.55%	0.4581	+5.35%	0.0595	✗	1.03
2026-08-10	oos	0.44495	0.441845	-0.70%	0.43485	-2.27%	0.0099	✓	1.02
2026-08-09	oos	0.42305	0.421359	-0.40%	0.44495	+5.18%	0.0698	✗	1.05
2026-08-08	oos	0.4297	0.427897	-0.42%	0.42305	-1.55%	0.0104	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	0.41835	0.416561	-0.43%	0.4297	+2.71%	0.0308	✗	1.07
2026-08-06	oos	0.409	0.407458	-0.38%	0.41835	+2.29%	0.0161	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.40675	0.405249	-0.37%	0.409	+0.55%	0.0148	✗	1.07
2026-08-04	oos	0.401	0.399381	-0.40%	0.40675	+1.43%	0.0092	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.3966	0.395044	-0.39%	0.401	+1.11%	0.0052	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.3983	0.396679	-0.41%	0.3966	-0.43%	0.0004	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.39445	0.392819	-0.41%	0.3983	+0.98%	0.0014	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.39235	0.390769	-0.40%	0.39445	+0.54%	0.0104	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	0.397	0.395543	-0.37%	0.39235	-1.17%	0.0242	✗	1.09
2026-07-29	oos	0.39615	0.394722	-0.36%	0.397	+0.21%	0.0080	✓	1.07
2026-07-28	oos	0.40155	0.400019	-0.38%	0.39615	-1.34%	0.0105	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.4003	0.39872	-0.39%	0.40155	+0.31%	0.0045	✗	1.07
2026-07-26	oos	0.4159	0.414312	-0.38%	0.4003	-3.75%	0.0072	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.4115	0.40989	-0.39%	0.4159	+1.07%	0.0027	✓	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.41015	0.408557	-0.39%	0.4115	+0.33%	0.0037	✓	1.06
2026-07-23	oos	0.40705	0.405625	-0.35%	0.41015	+0.76%	0.0272	✗	1.08
2026-07-22	oos	0.42095	0.419514	-0.34%	0.40705	-3.30%	0.0134	✓	1.06
2026-07-21	oos	0.42935	0.427831	-0.35%	0.42095	-1.96%	0.0093	✓	1.06
2026-07-20	oos	0.4246	0.423044	-0.37%	0.42935	+1.12%	0.0063	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.4243	0.422742	-0.37%	0.4246	+0.07%	0.0043	✓	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.4199	0.418364	-0.37%	0.4243	+1.05%	0.0160	✗	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.42625	0.424594	-0.39%	0.4199	-1.49%	0.0265	✓	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.44125	0.43926	-0.45%	0.42625	-3.40%	0.0322	✓	1.10
2026-07-15	oos	0.4255	0.42401	-0.35%	0.44125	+3.70%	0.0563	✗	1.12
2026-07-14	oos	0.42295	0.421655	-0.31%	0.4255	+0.60%	0.0138	✗	1.12
2026-07-13	oos	0.42095	0.419769	-0.28%	0.42295	+0.48%	0.0430	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.4176	0.416552	-0.25%	0.42095	+0.80%	0.0389	✗	1.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.4224	0.421265	-0.27%	0.4176	-1.14%	0.0081	✓	1.16
2026-07-10	oos	0.4296	0.428445	-0.27%	0.4224	-1.68%	0.0078	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.4288	0.427626	-0.27%	0.4296	+0.19%	0.0126	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.421	0.419874	-0.27%	0.4288	+1.85%	0.0037	✗	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.4221	0.421086	-0.24%	0.421	-0.26%	0.0201	✗	1.17
2026-07-06	oos	0.4414	0.440268	-0.26%	0.4221	-4.37%	0.0297	✓	1.17
2026-07-05	oos	0.44085	0.439763	-0.25%	0.4414	+0.12%	0.0038	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.453	0.451744	-0.28%	0.44085	-2.68%	0.0335	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.4487	0.44755	-0.26%	0.453	+0.96%	0.0019	✓	1.13
2026-07-02	oos	0.4365	0.435568	-0.21%	0.4487	+2.79%	0.0109	✗	1.13
2026-07-01	oos	0.4229	0.422185	-0.17%	0.4365	+3.22%	0.0052	✗	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.4106	0.410185	-0.10%	0.4229	+3.00%	0.0032	✗	1.13
2026-06-29	oos	0.42845	0.427888	-0.13%	0.4106	-4.17%	0.0103	✓	1.12
2026-06-28	oos	0.4265	0.426095	-0.10%	0.42845	+0.46%	0.0073	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.436	0.435509	-0.11%	0.4265	-2.18%	0.0123	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.438	0.437397	-0.14%	0.436	-0.46%	0.0019	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.4421	0.44168	-0.09%	0.438	-0.93%	0.0140	✓	1.12
2026-06-24	oos	0.5028	0.501703	-0.22%	0.4421	-12.07%	0.1042	✓	1.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.51505	0.513797	-0.24%	0.5028	-2.38%	0.0073	✗	1.08
2026-06-22	oos	0.5334	0.531815	-0.30%	0.51505	-3.44%	0.0098	✓	1.08
2026-06-21	oos	0.52865	0.527187	-0.28%	0.5334	+0.90%	0.0004	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.53535	0.533753	-0.30%	0.52865	-1.25%	0.0061	✗	1.02
2026-06-19	oos	0.52935	0.52785	-0.28%	0.53535	+1.13%	0.0021	✓	1.02
2026-06-18	oos	0.53095	0.529471	-0.28%	0.52935	-0.30%	0.0099	✓	1.02
2026-06-17	oos	0.5418	0.53998	-0.34%	0.53095	-2.00%	0.0084	✗	1.03
2026-06-16	oos	0.5575	0.555389	-0.38%	0.5418	-2.82%	0.0063	✓	1.03
2026-06-15	oos	0.57695	0.5743	-0.46%	0.5575	-3.37%	0.0191	✓	1.06
2026-06-14	oos	0.5687	0.566369	-0.41%	0.57695	+1.45%	0.0093	✗	1.06
2026-06-13	oos	0.557	0.554903	-0.38%	0.5687	+2.10%	0.0031	✓	1.09
2026-06-12	oos	0.53675	0.534965	-0.33%	0.557	+3.77%	0.0253	✗	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.5408	0.539067	-0.32%	0.53675	-0.75%	0.0039	✓	1.09
2026-06-10	oos	0.52835	0.527164	-0.22%	0.5408	+2.36%	0.0118	✓	1.10
2026-06-09	oos	0.5362	0.535006	-0.22%	0.52835	-1.46%	0.0082	✓	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.5476	0.54616	-0.26%	0.5362	-2.08%	0.0061	✗	1.11
2026-06-07	oos	0.543	0.541701	-0.24%	0.5476	+0.85%	0.0151	✗	1.12
2026-06-06	oos	0.5145	0.51411	-0.08%	0.543	+5.54%	0.0111	✗	1.10
2026-06-05	oos	0.5189	0.518486	-0.08%	0.5145	-0.85%	0.0044	✓	1.11
2026-06-04	oos	0.556	0.554751	-0.22%	0.5189	-6.67%	0.0185	✓	1.09
2026-06-03	oos	0.5969	0.595342	-0.26%	0.556	-6.85%	0.0645	✓	1.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.6062	0.604371	-0.30%	0.5969	-1.53%	0.0303	✗	1.07
2026-06-01	oos	0.6354	0.632809	-0.41%	0.6062	-4.60%	0.0253	✗	1.01
2026-05-31	oos	0.66695	0.663835	-0.47%	0.6354	-4.73%	0.0131	✓	0.98
2026-05-30	oos	0.6773	0.673619	-0.54%	0.66695	-1.53%	0.0074	✓	0.97
2026-05-29	oos	0.6428	0.64003	-0.43%	0.6773	+5.37%	0.0513	✗	0.96
2026-05-28	oos	0.6297	0.627092	-0.41%	0.6428	+2.08%	0.0266	✗	0.96
2026-05-27	oos	0.6269	0.624488	-0.38%	0.6297	+0.45%	0.0186	✗	0.95
2026-05-26	oos	0.6374	0.634679	-0.43%	0.6269	-1.65%	0.0067	✗	0.94
2026-05-25	oos	0.65335	0.650523	-0.43%	0.6374	-2.44%	0.0029	✓	0.94
2026-05-24	oos	0.6514	0.648637	-0.42%	0.65335	+0.30%	0.0039	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.66505	0.661957	-0.47%	0.6514	-2.05%	0.0201	✓	0.94
2026-05-22	oos	0.6363	0.633792	-0.39%	0.66505	+4.52%	0.0333	✗	0.94
2026-05-21	oos	0.6775	0.673473	-0.59%	0.6363	-6.08%	0.0318	✓	0.91
2026-05-20	oos	0.6653	0.661916	-0.51%	0.6775	+1.83%	0.0224	✗	0.91
2026-05-19	oos	0.6229	0.620976	-0.31%	0.6653	+6.81%	0.0607	✗	0.90
2026-05-18	oos	0.6278	0.625849	-0.31%	0.6229	-0.78%	0.0027	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.6342	0.632321	-0.30%	0.6278	-1.01%	0.0018	✓	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	0.6429	0.64108	-0.28%	0.6342	-1.35%	0.0027	✓	0.90
2026-05-15	oos	0.66595	0.663923	-0.30%	0.6429	-3.46%	0.0212	✓	0.91
2026-05-14	oos	0.69485	0.692206	-0.38%	0.66595	-4.16%	0.0159	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.6716	0.669441	-0.32%	0.69485	+3.46%	0.0171	✗	0.90
2026-05-12	oos	0.66775	0.666185	-0.23%	0.6716	+0.58%	0.0217	✗	0.91
2026-05-11	oos	0.69755	0.695485	-0.30%	0.66775	-4.27%	0.0270	✓	0.90
2026-05-10	oos	0.71375	0.711239	-0.35%	0.69755	-2.27%	0.0143	✓	0.89
2026-05-09	oos	0.6826	0.680805	-0.26%	0.71375	+4.56%	0.0305	✗	0.88
2026-05-08	oos	0.6845	0.682601	-0.28%	0.6826	-0.28%	0.0051	✓	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	0.66245	0.660933	-0.23%	0.6845	+3.33%	0.0330	✗	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	0.6677	0.666289	-0.21%	0.66245	-0.79%	0.0087	✗	0.82
2026-05-05	oos	0.64595	0.645017	-0.14%	0.6677	+3.37%	0.0289	✗	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.6396	0.638522	-0.17%	0.64595	+0.99%	0.0003	✓	0.86
2026-05-03	oos	0.6316	0.630401	-0.19%	0.6396	+1.27%	0.0007	✓	0.85
2026-05-02	oos	0.6309	0.629763	-0.18%	0.6316	+0.11%	0.0043	✗	0.86
2026-05-01	oos	0.6305	0.629392	-0.18%	0.6309	+0.06%	0.0026	✓	0.87
2026-04-30	oos	0.62805	0.62653	-0.24%	0.6305	+0.39%	0.0155	✓	0.87
2026-04-29	oos	0.6247	0.623034	-0.27%	0.62805	+0.54%	0.0016	✓	0.88
2026-04-28	oos	0.6309	0.629224	-0.27%	0.6247	-0.98%	0.0005	✓	0.90
2026-04-27	oos	0.6378	0.636226	-0.25%	0.6309	-1.08%	0.0039	✗	0.90
2026-04-26	oos	0.6548	0.653199	-0.24%	0.6378	-2.60%	0.0087	✓	0.90
2026-04-25	oos	0.65925	0.657381	-0.28%	0.6548	-0.68%	0.0158	✓	0.91
2026-04-24	oos	0.6481	0.646281	-0.28%	0.65925	+1.72%	0.0176	✗	0.92
2026-04-23	oos	0.64735	0.645635	-0.26%	0.6481	+0.12%	0.0135	✗	0.92
2026-04-22	oos	0.64435	0.642588	-0.27%	0.64735	+0.47%	0.0065	✗	0.92
2026-04-21	oos	0.6314	0.629389	-0.32%	0.64435	+2.05%	0.0014	✓	0.92
2026-04-20	oos	0.6314	0.628961	-0.39%	0.6314	+0.00%	0.0020	✓	0.92
2026-04-19	oos	0.6219	0.619726	-0.35%	0.6314	+1.53%	0.0065	✓	0.92
2026-04-18	oos	0.6615	0.659282	-0.34%	0.6219	-5.99%	0.0349	✓	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.6819	0.679363	-0.37%	0.6615	-2.99%	0.0104	✓	0.91
2026-04-16	oos	0.67305	0.670362	-0.40%	0.6819	+1.31%	0.0062	✓	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.6652	0.662621	-0.39%	0.67305	+1.18%	0.0116	✗	0.91
2026-04-14	oos	0.65505	0.652398	-0.40%	0.6652	+1.55%	0.0114	✗	0.91
2026-04-13	oos	0.6832	0.680169	-0.44%	0.65505	-4.12%	0.0344	✓	0.91
2026-04-12	oos	0.66475	0.661689	-0.46%	0.6832	+2.78%	0.0149	✓	0.92
2026-04-11	oos	0.68055	0.677428	-0.46%	0.66475	-2.32%	0.0110	✗	0.92
2026-04-10	oos	0.6932	0.689736	-0.50%	0.68055	-1.82%	0.0145	✓	0.92
2026-04-09	oos	0.6659	0.662768	-0.47%	0.6932	+4.10%	0.0297	✗	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.6586	0.655262	-0.51%	0.6659	+1.11%	0.0070	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.67465	0.670984	-0.54%	0.6586	-2.38%	0.0081	✓	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.655	0.6516	-0.52%	0.67465	+3.00%	0.0058	✓	0.93
2026-04-05	oos	0.6707	0.667047	-0.54%	0.655	-2.34%	0.0162	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.669	0.665658	-0.50%	0.6707	+0.25%	0.0162	✓	0.95
2026-04-03	oos	0.6751	0.671781	-0.49%	0.669	-0.90%	0.0088	✓	0.95
2026-04-02	oos	0.6721	0.668861	-0.48%	0.6751	+0.45%	0.0084	✗	0.95
2026-04-01	oos	0.70075	0.697057	-0.53%	0.6721	-4.09%	0.0193	✓	0.95
2026-03-31	oos	0.697	0.693253	-0.54%	0.70075	+0.54%	0.0123	✗	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.6867	0.683056	-0.53%	0.697	+1.50%	0.0007	✓	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.6711	0.667931	-0.47%	0.6867	+2.32%	0.0167	✗	0.94
2026-03-28	oos	0.6726	0.669474	-0.46%	0.6711	-0.22%	0.0076	✗	0.94
2026-03-27	oos	0.67445	0.67143	-0.45%	0.6726	-0.27%	0.0022	✓	0.94
2026-03-26	oos	0.69535	0.692064	-0.47%	0.67445	-3.01%	0.0078	✗	0.94
2026-03-25	oos	0.7403	0.73566	-0.63%	0.69535	-6.07%	0.0227	✓	0.93
2026-03-24	oos	0.7161	0.712759	-0.47%	0.7403	+3.38%	0.0279	✗	0.93
2026-03-23	oos	0.70575	0.70247	-0.46%	0.7161	+1.47%	0.0237	✗	0.93
2026-03-22	oos	0.71065	0.707707	-0.41%	0.70575	-0.69%	0.0445	✓	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.737	0.733799	-0.43%	0.71065	-3.58%	0.0172	✓	0.95
2026-03-20	oos	0.7516	0.748302	-0.44%	0.737	-1.94%	0.0064	✗	0.95
2026-03-19	oos	0.7501	0.746893	-0.43%	0.7516	+0.20%	0.0016	✓	0.95
2026-03-18	oos	0.7754	0.77157	-0.49%	0.7501	-3.26%	0.0105	✓	0.94
2026-03-17	oos	0.8376	0.832323	-0.63%	0.7754	-7.43%	0.0364	✓	0.93
2026-03-16	oos	0.8656	0.85843	-0.83%	0.8376	-3.23%	0.0127	✓	0.93
2026-03-15	oos	0.8046	0.799912	-0.58%	0.8656	+7.58%	0.0538	✗	0.90
2026-03-14	oos	0.7965	0.790476	-0.76%	0.8046	+1.02%	0.0021	✓	0.89
2026-03-13	oos	0.7156	0.713126	-0.35%	0.7965	+11.31%	0.1070	✗	0.89
2026-03-12	oos	0.7162	0.713856	-0.33%	0.7156	-0.08%	0.0028	✓	0.89
2026-03-11	oos	0.6905	0.688596	-0.28%	0.7162	+3.72%	0.0353	✗	0.87
2026-03-10	oos	0.70015	0.697835	-0.33%	0.6905	-1.38%	0.0137	✓	0.88
2026-03-09	oos	0.66845	0.666735	-0.26%	0.70015	+4.74%	0.0298	✗	0.86
2026-03-08	oos	0.6487	0.647033	-0.26%	0.66845	+3.04%	0.0009	✓	0.86
2026-03-07	oos	0.6747	0.67299	-0.25%	0.6487	-3.85%	0.0201	✓	0.86
2026-03-06	oos	0.6844	0.682639	-0.26%	0.6747	-1.42%	0.0009	✓	0.86
2026-03-05	oos	0.6999	0.697929	-0.28%	0.6844	-2.21%	0.0152	✗	0.87
2026-03-04	oos	0.6945	0.692328	-0.31%	0.6999	+0.78%	0.0324	✗	0.86
2026-03-03	oos	0.6907	0.688336	-0.34%	0.6945	+0.55%	0.0468	✓	0.90
2026-03-02	oos	0.6591	0.657551	-0.23%	0.6907	+4.79%	0.0559	✗	0.93
2026-03-01	oos	0.6364	0.635154	-0.20%	0.6591	+3.57%	0.0053	✓	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	0.63865	0.637392	-0.20%	0.6364	-0.35%	0.0157	✗	0.96
2026-02-27	oos	0.6349	0.633672	-0.19%	0.63865	+0.59%	0.0082	✓	0.96
2026-02-26	oos	0.6401	0.638641	-0.23%	0.6349	-0.81%	0.0177	✗	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.6235	0.622541	-0.15%	0.6401	+2.66%	0.0350	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.5908	0.590306	-0.08%	0.6235	+5.53%	0.0026	✓	0.96
2026-02-23	oos	0.5764	0.576091	-0.05%	0.5908	+2.50%	0.0336	✗	0.97
2026-02-22	oos	0.6058	0.605145	-0.11%	0.5764	-4.85%	0.0048	✓	0.97
2026-02-21	oos	0.6329	0.632026	-0.14%	0.6058	-4.28%	0.0376	✓	0.97
2026-02-20	oos	0.63055	0.629798	-0.12%	0.6329	+0.37%	0.0053	✗	0.97
2026-02-19	oos	0.62075	0.620185	-0.09%	0.63055	+1.58%	0.0021	✗	0.97
2026-02-18	oos	0.62075	0.620269	-0.08%	0.62075	+0.00%	0.0074	✓	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.6335	0.632878	-0.10%	0.62075	-2.01%	0.0039	✓	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.645	0.644174	-0.13%	0.6335	-1.78%	0.0034	✗	0.99
2026-02-15	oos	0.6278	0.627139	-0.11%	0.645	+2.74%	0.0271	✗	0.98
2026-02-14	oos	0.6638	0.662752	-0.16%	0.6278	-5.42%	0.0399	✓	0.99
2026-02-13	oos	0.6373	0.636691	-0.10%	0.6638	+4.16%	0.0279	✗	0.98
2026-02-12	oos	0.61275	0.612851	+0.02%	0.6373	+4.01%	0.0011	✓	0.99
2026-02-11	oos	0.6159	0.61598	+0.01%	0.61275	-0.51%	0.0068	✓	0.98
2026-02-10	oos	0.632	0.631779	-0.03%	0.6159	-2.55%	0.0003	✓	0.98
2026-02-09	oos	0.64615	0.645664	-0.08%	0.632	-2.19%	0.0031	✓	0.98
2026-02-08	oos	0.64165	0.641354	-0.05%	0.64615	+0.70%	0.0100	✗	0.99
2026-02-07	oos	0.6433	0.643417	+0.02%	0.64165	-0.26%	0.0174	✗	0.99
2026-02-06	oos	0.646	0.645952	-0.01%	0.6433	-0.42%	0.0140	✗	0.99
2026-02-05	oos	0.60115	0.603422	+0.38%	0.646	+7.46%	0.0546	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.6979	0.697123	-0.11%	0.60115	-13.86%	0.0215	✗	1.13
2026-02-03	oos	0.7095	0.707853	-0.23%	0.6979	-1.63%	0.0269	✗	1.15
2026-02-02	oos	0.72145	0.719284	-0.30%	0.7095	-1.66%	0.0310	✗	1.15
2026-02-01	oos	0.6847	0.684137	-0.08%	0.72145	+5.37%	0.0297	✗	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.7323	0.730486	-0.25%	0.6847	-6.50%	0.0400	✓	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.777	0.773927	-0.40%	0.7323	-5.75%	0.0202	✗	1.12
2026-01-29	oos	0.8409	0.836969	-0.47%	0.777	-7.60%	0.0690	✓	1.12
2026-01-28	oos	0.91915	0.914307	-0.53%	0.8409	-8.51%	0.0258	✓	1.08
2026-01-27	oos	0.8926	0.888403	-0.47%	0.91915	+2.97%	0.0335	✗	1.11
2026-01-26	oos	0.8655	0.861805	-0.43%	0.8926	+3.13%	0.0245	✗	1.09
2026-01-25	oos	0.8472	0.843924	-0.39%	0.8655	+2.16%	0.0042	✗	1.09
2026-01-24	oos	0.904	0.900283	-0.41%	0.8472	-6.28%	0.0301	✓	1.07
2026-01-23	oos	0.8815	0.878331	-0.36%	0.904	+2.55%	0.0337	✗	1.10
2026-01-22	oos	0.88205	0.878889	-0.36%	0.8815	-0.06%	0.0028	✓	1.11
2026-01-21	oos	0.8882	0.884663	-0.40%	0.88205	-0.69%	0.0042	✓	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.87	0.866321	-0.42%	0.8882	+2.09%	0.0117	✗	1.12
2026-01-19	oos	0.915	0.911305	-0.40%	0.87	-4.92%	0.0065	✗	1.13
2026-01-18	oos	0.9463	0.942849	-0.36%	0.915	-3.31%	0.0166	✓	1.16
2026-01-17	oos	0.9499	0.946705	-0.34%	0.9463	-0.38%	0.0175	✗	1.15
2026-01-16	oos	0.9499	0.946802	-0.33%	0.9499	+0.00%	0.0082	✗	1.19
2026-01-15	oos	0.9631	0.959572	-0.37%	0.9499	-1.37%	0.0091	✓	1.20
2026-01-14	oos	0.97685	0.973452	-0.35%	0.9631	-1.41%	0.0066	✗	1.22
2026-01-13	oos	0.9887	0.984661	-0.41%	0.97685	-1.20%	0.0283	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.9442	0.939842	-0.46%	0.9887	+4.71%	0.0068	✓	1.28
2026-01-11	oos	0.9841	0.979287	-0.49%	0.9442	-4.05%	0.0410	✓	1.30
2026-01-10	oos	0.97685	0.972251	-0.47%	0.9841	+0.74%	0.0050	✗	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	0.9638	0.959545	-0.44%	0.97685	+1.35%	0.0204	✗	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.9992	0.994461	-0.47%	0.9638	-3.54%	0.0222	✓	1.61
2026-01-07	oos	1.0332	1.0277	-0.53%	0.9992	-3.29%	0.0228	✓	1.92
2026-01-06	oos	1.1155	1.1069	-0.77%	1.0332	-7.38%	0.0178	✓	1.94
2026-01-05	oos	1.0789	1.0726	-0.59%	1.1155	+3.39%	0.0424	✗	1.99
2026-01-04	oos	1.0433	1.0366	-0.64%	1.0789	+3.41%	0.0116	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	1.02	1.0143	-0.55%	1.0433	+2.28%	0.0079	✗	2.05
2026-01-02	oos	1.0146	1.0086	-0.59%	1.02	+0.53%	0.0035	✓	2.07
2026-01-01	oos	0.973	0.967795	-0.53%	1.0146	+4.28%	0.0190	✗	2.07
2025-12-31	oos	0.9624	0.957459	-0.51%	0.973	+1.10%	0.0128	✓	2.05
2025-12-30	oos	0.96835	0.963563	-0.49%	0.9624	-0.61%	0.0199	✗	2.06
2025-12-29	oos	1.0142	1.0088	-0.53%	0.96835	-4.52%	0.0714	✓	2.08
2025-12-28	oos	1.0407	1.0351	-0.53%	1.0142	-2.55%	0.0022	✓	2.08
2025-12-27	oos	1.0617	1.056	-0.53%	1.0407	-1.98%	0.0163	✓	2.10
2025-12-26	oos	1.0439	1.0385	-0.52%	1.0617	+1.70%	0.0098	✗	2.09
2025-12-25	oos	1.0325	1.0273	-0.50%	1.0439	+1.11%	0.0131	✗	2.09
2025-12-24	oos	1.0386	1.0333	-0.51%	1.0325	-0.59%	0.0098	✗	2.11
2025-12-23	oos	1.0579	1.0527	-0.49%	1.0386	-1.82%	0.0178	✓	2.11
2025-12-22	oos	1.1093	1.1033	-0.53%	1.0579	-4.63%	0.0153	✓	2.09
2025-12-21	oos	1.1743	1.1675	-0.58%	1.1093	-5.54%	0.0493	✓	2.09
2025-12-20	oos	1.1913	1.1843	-0.59%	1.1743	-1.43%	0.0157	✓	2.02
2025-12-19	oos	1.1525	1.1458	-0.58%	1.1913	+3.37%	0.0337	✗	2.02
2025-12-18	oos	1.1439	1.1378	-0.53%	1.1525	+0.75%	0.0498	✓	2.06
2025-12-17	oos	1.2092	1.2013	-0.65%	1.1439	-5.40%	0.0309	✓	2.07
2025-12-16	oos	1.2475	1.2395	-0.65%	1.2092	-3.07%	0.0145	✗	2.08
2025-12-15	oos	1.2895	1.2789	-0.82%	1.2475	-3.25%	0.0596	✓	2.11
2025-12-14	oos	1.2492	1.2398	-0.75%	1.2895	+3.23%	0.0825	✗	2.15
2025-12-13	oos	1.332	1.3206	-0.86%	1.2492	-6.22%	0.0056	✓	2.14
2025-12-12	oos	1.2521	1.2414	-0.86%	1.332	+6.38%	0.0710	✗	2.14
2025-12-11	oos	1.1987	1.1896	-0.76%	1.2521	+4.45%	0.1053	✗	2.18
2025-12-10	oos	1.1666	1.1568	-0.85%	1.1987	+2.75%	0.0236	✗	2.19
2025-12-09	oos	1.1132	1.1047	-0.76%	1.1666	+4.80%	0.0702	✗	2.22
2025-12-08	oos	1.0939	1.0873	-0.61%	1.1132	+1.76%	0.0266	✓	2.26
2025-12-07	oos	1.0965	1.0899	-0.61%	1.0939	-0.23%	0.0025	✓	2.25
2025-12-06	oos	1.0658	1.06	-0.55%	1.0965	+2.88%	0.0054	✓	2.26
2025-12-05	oos	1.0882	1.0812	-0.65%	1.0658	-2.05%	0.0123	✓	2.25
2025-12-04	oos	1.0583	1.0522	-0.58%	1.0882	+2.83%	0.1037	✗	2.31
2025-12-03	oos	1.1061	1.0989	-0.65%	1.0583	-4.32%	0.0037	✓	2.31
2025-12-02	oos	1.0247	1.019	-0.55%	1.1061	+7.94%	0.0287	✗	2.29
2025-12-01	oos	0.97575	0.973147	-0.27%	1.0247	+5.02%	0.0853	✓	2.42
2025-11-30	oos	1.0664	1.0602	-0.58%	0.97575	-8.50%	0.0284	✗	2.41
2025-11-29	oos	1.0875	1.0812	-0.57%	1.0664	-1.93%	0.0017	✓	2.39
2025-11-28	oos	1.0763	1.071	-0.49%	1.0875	+1.04%	0.0172	✗	2.39
2025-11-27	oos	1.0633	1.0595	-0.36%	1.0763	+1.23%	0.0266	✗	2.40
2025-11-26	oos	1.0705	1.0668	-0.34%	1.0633	-0.68%	0.0260	✓	2.42
2025-11-25	oos	1.0265	1.0255	-0.09%	1.0705	+4.29%	0.0446	✓	2.47
2025-11-24	oos	1.022	1.0212	-0.08%	1.0265	+0.44%	0.0318	✗	2.48
2025-11-23	oos	1.0158	1.0159	+0.01%	1.022	+0.61%	0.0356	✗	2.50
2025-11-22	oos	0.9871	0.989217	+0.21%	1.0158	+2.91%	0.0361	✗	2.53
2025-11-21	oos	0.94735	0.950844	+0.37%	0.9871	+4.20%	0.0489	✓	2.52
2025-11-20	oos	1.0422	1.0446	+0.23%	0.94735	-9.10%	0.0549	✗	2.51
2025-11-19	oos	1.1181	1.1173	-0.07%	1.0422	-6.79%	0.0705	✗	2.53
2025-11-18	oos	1.1084	1.1073	-0.10%	1.1181	+0.88%	0.0501	✗	2.56
2025-11-17	oos	1.1051	1.1048	-0.03%	1.1084	+0.30%	0.0191	✓	2.54
2025-11-16	oos	1.192	1.1894	-0.22%	1.1051	-7.29%	0.0187	✓	2.45
2025-11-15	oos	1.2014	1.1984	-0.25%	1.192	-0.79%	0.0297	✗	2.45
2025-11-14	oos	1.1661	1.1655	-0.05%	1.2014	+3.03%	0.0036	✗	2.45
2025-11-13	oos	1.2232	1.219	-0.34%	1.1661	-4.67%	0.0908	✗	2.57
2025-11-12	oos	1.2643	1.2582	-0.48%	1.2232	-3.25%	0.0231	✗	2.55
2025-11-11	oos	1.2367	1.2313	-0.44%	1.2643	+2.23%	0.0598	✗	2.49
2025-11-10	oos	1.3199	1.3117	-0.62%	1.2367	-6.30%	0.0125	✗	2.51
2025-11-09	oos	1.3355	1.3266	-0.66%	1.3199	-1.17%	0.0360	✓	2.54
2025-11-08	oos	1.336	1.3289	-0.53%	1.3355	-0.04%	0.0553	✓	2.59
2025-11-07	oos	1.2914	1.2858	-0.44%	1.336	+3.45%	0.0629	✗	2.53
2025-11-06	oos	1.2093	1.2083	-0.08%	1.2914	+6.79%	0.0174	✗	2.52
2025-11-05	oos	1.2479	1.2448	-0.25%	1.2093	-3.09%	0.0348	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	1.2699	1.2672	-0.21%	1.2479	-1.73%	0.0780	✓	2.68
2025-11-03	oos	1.2269	1.2229	-0.32%	1.2699	+3.50%	0.1796	✗	2.90
2025-11-02	oos	1.4307	1.421	-0.68%	1.2269	-14.24%	0.0437	✓	2.82
2025-11-01	oos	1.4412	1.4315	-0.67%	1.4307	-0.73%	0.0131	✓	2.86
2025-10-31	oos	1.4536	1.4439	-0.66%	1.4412	-0.85%	0.0148	✓	2.85
2025-10-30	oos	1.4418	1.4326	-0.64%	1.4536	+0.82%	0.0182	✓	2.87
2025-10-29	oos	1.5839	1.5723	-0.73%	1.4418	-8.97%	0.0418	✓	2.84
2025-10-28	oos	1.608	1.5957	-0.76%	1.5839	-1.50%	0.0665	✗	2.87
2025-10-27	oos	1.6634	1.65	-0.80%	1.608	-3.33%	0.0040	✓	2.86
2025-10-26	oos	1.7735	1.7572	-0.92%	1.6634	-6.21%	0.0433	✓	2.86
2025-10-25	oos	1.6585	1.6446	-0.84%	1.7735	+6.93%	0.0021	✓	2.88
2025-10-24	oos	1.6436	1.6304	-0.80%	1.6585	+0.91%	0.0009	✓	2.88
2025-10-23	oos	1.6854	1.6711	-0.85%	1.6436	-2.48%	0.0410	✓	2.90
2025-10-22	oos	1.5951	1.5825	-0.79%	1.6854	+5.66%	0.0048	✓	2.92
2025-10-21	oos	1.6283	1.6152	-0.81%	1.5951	-2.04%	0.0085	✗	2.92
2025-10-20	oos	1.8123	1.7961	-0.90%	1.6283	-10.15%	0.0398	✓	2.89
2025-10-19	oos	1.8595	1.84	-1.05%	1.8123	-2.54%	0.0654	✓	2.91
2025-10-18	oos	1.6695	1.6558	-0.82%	1.8595	+11.38%	0.0769	✗	2.88
2025-10-17	oos	1.6085	1.596	-0.78%	1.6695	+3.79%	0.0250	✗	2.88
2025-10-16	oos	1.7167	1.7026	-0.82%	1.6085	-6.30%	0.0106	✓	2.86
2025-10-15	oos	1.8153	1.8006	-0.81%	1.7167	-5.43%	0.0202	✗	2.85
2025-10-14	oos	1.9764	1.9583	-0.92%	1.8153	-8.15%	0.0185	✓	2.84
2025-10-13	oos	2.118	2.0952	-1.08%	1.9764	-6.69%	0.0040	✓	2.82
2025-10-12	oos	2.2453	2.2075	-1.68%	2.118	-5.67%	0.0464	✓	2.81
2025-10-11	oos	1.6232	1.6107	-0.77%	2.2453	+38.33%	0.2365	✗	2.51
2025-10-10	oos	1.7255	1.712	-0.78%	1.6232	-5.93%	0.0035	✓	2.51
2025-10-09	oos	2.3402	2.3115	-1.23%	1.7255	-26.27%	0.1402	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	2.6927	2.6417	-1.89%	2.3402	-13.09%	0.0956	✓	1.93
2025-10-07	oos	2.2989	2.2713	-1.20%	2.6927	+17.13%	0.1423	✗	1.75
2025-10-06	oos	2.4751	2.4287	-1.87%	2.2989	-7.12%	0.0090	✓	1.70
2025-10-05	oos	2.1182	2.0932	-1.18%	2.4751	+16.85%	0.1517	✗	1.65
2025-10-04	oos	1.9637	1.9472	-0.84%	2.1182	+7.87%	0.0701	✗	1.63
2025-10-03	oos	1.9263	1.9096	-0.87%	1.9637	+1.94%	0.0261	✗	1.63
2025-10-02	oos	1.9791	1.9576	-1.09%	1.9263	-2.67%	0.0393	✓	1.66
2025-10-01	oos	1.8996	1.8796	-1.05%	1.9791	+4.19%	0.0240	✗	1.68
2025-09-30	oos	1.7711	1.7545	-0.94%	1.8996	+7.26%	0.0126	✗	1.69
2025-09-29	oos	1.9229	1.8937	-1.52%	1.7711	-7.89%	0.0626	✓	1.65
2025-09-28	oos	1.7842	1.7673	-0.94%	1.9229	+7.77%	0.0529	✗	1.65
2025-09-27	oos	1.7156	1.699	-0.97%	1.7842	+4.00%	0.0111	✗	1.67
2025-09-26	oos	1.7512	1.7337	-1.00%	1.7156	-2.03%	0.0102	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	1.5966	1.5843	-0.77%	1.7512	+9.68%	0.0903	✗	1.63
2025-09-24	oos	1.723	1.7067	-0.94%	1.5966	-7.33%	0.0053	✓	1.58
2025-09-23	oos	1.76	1.7371	-1.30%	1.723	-2.10%	0.0273	✓	1.62
2025-09-22	oos	1.7384	1.7131	-1.46%	1.76	+1.24%	0.0372	✗	1.60
2025-09-21	oos	1.5555	1.5435	-0.77%	1.7384	+11.76%	0.1583	✗	1.76
2025-09-20	oos	1.6741	1.6606	-0.80%	1.5555	-7.08%	0.0587	✓	1.64
2025-09-19	oos	1.6508	1.6374	-0.81%	1.6741	+1.41%	0.0213	✗	1.66
2025-09-18	oos	1.7761	1.7547	-1.20%	1.6508	-7.05%	0.0411	✓	1.63
2025-09-17	oos	1.698	1.6813	-0.98%	1.7761	+4.60%	0.0461	✗	1.62

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.