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LIT

Lighter · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id
#67
symbol
LIT
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-22
predictions
792
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
234
of 264 predictions shown
direction hit
47.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3383
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0751
actual +0.0948

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos3.42193.2276-5.68%–pending––1.27
2026-10-20oos3.38263.2016-5.35%–pending––1.29
2026-10-19oos3.09472.9191-5.67%–pending––1.27
2026-10-18oos3.07522.9012-5.66%–pending––1.30
2026-10-17oos3.11462.9207-6.22%–pending––1.30
2026-10-16oos3.17522.9575-6.86%–pending––1.30
2026-10-15oos3.02532.8167-6.89%–pending––1.30
2026-10-14oos3.08422.8585-7.32%–pending––1.31
2026-10-13oos3.34763.0791-8.02%–pending––1.29
2026-10-12oos3.37593.0999-8.18%–pending––1.31
2026-10-11oos3.83473.4919-8.94%–pending––1.31
2026-10-10oos3.63723.3323-8.38%–pending––1.38
2026-10-09oos3.62623.3294-8.19%–pending––1.38
2026-10-08oos3.60613.3126-8.14%–pending––1.38
2026-10-07oos3.57273.2849-8.05%–pending––1.44
2026-10-06oos3.81543.5165-7.83%–pending––1.42
2026-10-05oos4.01873.7157-7.54%–pending––1.43
2026-10-04oos3.66433.4314-6.36%–pending––1.47
2026-10-03oos3.56673.3039-7.37%–pending––1.48
2026-10-02oos3.55123.2836-7.54%–pending––1.49
2026-10-01oos3.80483.5232-7.40%–pending––1.48
2026-09-30oos3.94993.6176-8.41%–pending––1.50
2026-09-29oos3.93283.5859-8.82%–pending––1.48
2026-09-28oos4.44134.0254-9.36%–pending––1.51
2026-09-27oos4.65474.2206-9.33%–pending––1.47
2026-09-26oos4.8444.3969-9.23%–pending––1.48
2026-09-25oos4.85224.4154-9.00%–pending––1.48
2026-09-24oos5.07294.6212-8.91%–pending––1.48
2026-09-23oos5.31964.7971-9.82%–pending––1.47
2026-09-22oos5.06674.6075-9.06%–pending––1.54
2026-09-21oos4.73864.3209-8.81%3.4219-27.79%0.1672✓1.43
2026-09-20oos4.77454.2881-10.19%3.3826-29.15%0.2731✓1.66
2026-09-19oos4.80924.3163-10.25%3.0947-35.65%0.3449✓1.65
2026-09-18oos4.76874.2729-10.40%3.0752-35.51%0.3517✓1.64
2026-09-17oos4.81074.2591-11.47%3.1146-35.26%0.4295✓1.83
2026-09-16oos4.60354.0671-11.65%3.1752-31.03%0.3706✓1.81
2026-09-15oos4.01953.5633-11.35%3.0253-24.73%0.3141✓1.81
2026-09-14oos4.38853.8746-11.71%3.0842-29.72%0.3031✓1.77
2026-09-13oos4.11323.6474-11.32%3.3476-18.61%0.2229✓1.74
2026-09-12oos4.21583.7408-11.27%3.3759-19.92%0.2001✓1.73
2026-09-11oos4.35183.865-11.18%3.8347-11.88%0.1466✓1.72
2026-09-10oos4.29233.8198-11.01%3.6372-15.26%0.1878✓1.74
2026-09-09oos4.52624.0354-10.84%3.6262-19.88%0.1981✓1.72
2026-09-08oos4.82974.2918-11.14%3.6061-25.33%0.2452✓1.75
2026-09-07oos4.72484.2341-10.39%3.5727-24.38%0.2621✓1.79
2026-09-06oos4.51484.0796-9.64%3.8154-15.49%0.1767✓1.75
2026-09-05oos4.75474.281-9.96%4.0187-15.48%0.1886✓1.75
2026-09-04oos4.82894.3182-10.58%3.6643-24.12%0.3017✓1.67
2026-09-03oos4.44214.0602-8.60%3.5667-19.71%0.2031✓1.75
2026-09-02oos3.79143.5249-7.03%3.5512-6.34%0.1274✓1.52
2026-09-01oos3.523.3183-5.73%3.8048+8.09%0.0063✓1.56
2026-08-31oos3.56643.3733-5.41%3.9499+10.75%0.0737✗1.37
2026-08-30oos3.52833.3318-5.57%3.9328+11.46%0.0976✗0.92
2026-08-29oos3.55373.3603-5.44%4.4413+24.97%0.2192✗0.92
2026-08-28oos3.49623.3082-5.38%4.6547+33.14%0.2661✗0.92
2026-08-27oos3.71083.493-5.87%4.844+30.54%0.2818✗0.90
2026-08-26oos3.45183.2811-4.95%4.8522+40.57%0.3368✗0.88
2026-08-25oos3.28373.141-4.35%5.0729+54.48%0.4173✗0.86
2026-08-24oos3.39993.2327-4.92%5.3196+56.46%0.4402✗0.88
2026-08-23oos3.57213.3253-6.91%5.0667+41.84%0.3205✗0.97
2026-08-22oos3.18943.0464-4.48%4.7386+48.58%0.3300✗0.96
2026-08-21oos3.12673.0003-4.04%4.7745+52.70%0.4301✗0.97
2026-08-20oos2.66822.5828-3.20%4.8092+80.24%0.5348✗0.81
2026-08-19oos2.60372.4632-5.40%4.7687+83.15%0.5078✗0.99
2026-08-18oos2.35882.2113-6.25%4.8107+103.95%0.6208✗0.94
2026-08-17oos2.332.1789-6.49%4.6035+97.57%0.5850✗0.98
2026-08-16oos2.27712.1239-6.73%4.0195+76.51%0.4548✗0.99
2026-08-15oos2.2622.1123-6.62%4.3885+94.01%0.5201✗0.98
2026-08-14oos2.2352.0938-6.32%4.1132+84.03%0.4797✗0.99
2026-08-13oos2.27132.1264-6.38%4.2158+85.61%0.4924✗0.97
2026-08-12oos2.33562.1763-6.82%4.3518+86.32%0.4923✗1.02
2026-08-11oos2.41812.2345-7.59%4.2923+77.50%0.4653✗1.01
2026-08-10oos2.38242.209-7.28%4.5262+89.98%0.5103✗1.02
2026-08-09oos2.30352.1511-6.62%4.8297+109.67%0.6057✗1.07
2026-08-08oos2.28222.1279-6.76%4.7248+107.03%0.5855✗1.07
2026-08-07oos2.29842.1292-7.36%4.5148+96.43%0.5265✗1.05
2026-08-06oos2.37442.1844-8.00%4.7547+100.25%0.5469✗1.06
2026-08-05oos2.18492.0645-5.51%4.8289+121.01%0.6225✗1.08
2026-08-04oos2.05841.9504-5.25%4.4421+115.80%0.5742✗1.05
2026-08-03oos2.00551.899-5.31%3.7914+89.05%0.4875✗1.03
2026-08-02oos2.03281.9293-5.09%3.52+73.16%0.3918✗1.06
2026-08-01oos2.01721.9175-4.94%3.5664+76.80%0.3882✗1.03
2026-07-31oos2.06691.9673-4.82%3.5283+70.70%0.3643✗1.04
2026-07-30oos2.282.1615-5.20%3.5537+55.87%0.3153✗0.96
2026-07-29oos2.17812.063-5.28%3.4962+60.52%0.3428✗0.94
2026-07-28oos2.29842.1564-6.18%3.7108+61.45%0.3334✗0.91
2026-07-27oos2.12862.0102-5.56%3.4518+62.16%0.3474✗0.90
2026-07-26oos2.14312.0329-5.15%3.2837+53.22%0.3169✗0.88
2026-07-25oos2.06261.9477-5.57%3.3999+64.84%0.3709✗0.90
2026-07-24oos2.03191.9203-5.49%3.5721+75.80%0.4497✗0.89
2026-07-23oos2.1622.0492-5.22%3.1894+47.52%0.2976✗0.86
2026-07-22oos2.30052.1896-4.82%3.1267+35.92%0.2168✗0.82
2026-07-21oos2.34532.2258-5.10%2.6682+13.77%0.1049✗0.82
2026-07-20oos2.1792.053-5.78%2.6037+19.49%0.1926✗0.74
2026-07-19oos2.20982.0714-6.26%2.3588+6.74%0.1299✗0.75
2026-07-18oos2.25642.1177-6.15%2.33+3.26%0.0991✗0.73
2026-07-17oos2.28922.1451-6.29%2.2771-0.53%0.0733✗0.81
2026-07-16oos2.28592.1347-6.61%2.262-1.05%0.0680✓0.85
2026-07-15oos2.41662.2214-8.08%2.235-7.51%0.0279✓0.80
2026-07-14oos2.59282.3192-10.55%2.2713-12.40%0.0016✓0.79
2026-07-13oos2.30422.0596-10.62%2.3356+1.36%0.1134✗0.68
2026-07-12oos2.63192.3352-11.27%2.4181-8.12%0.0369✓0.59
2026-07-11oos2.57742.2849-11.35%2.3824-7.56%0.0405✓0.60
2026-07-10oos2.68962.3718-11.82%2.3035-14.36%0.0368✓0.68
2026-07-09oos2.39652.139-10.74%2.2822-4.77%0.0476✓0.63
2026-07-08oos2.332.0698-11.16%2.2984-1.35%0.0763✓0.68
2026-07-07oos2.45752.1679-11.78%2.3744-3.38%0.0813✓0.66
2026-07-06oos2.57692.2577-12.39%2.1849-15.21%0.0390✓0.67
2026-07-05oos2.4582.1911-10.86%2.0584-16.26%0.0674✓0.67
2026-07-04oos2.2011.9979-9.23%2.0055-8.88%0.0001✓0.65
2026-07-03oos2.11361.9214-9.09%2.0328-3.82%0.0465✓0.64
2026-07-02oos2.06891.8619-10.01%2.0172-2.50%0.0671✓0.63
2026-07-01oos2.07121.8518-10.59%2.0669-0.21%0.0794✓0.65
2026-06-30oos1.8491.6852-8.86%2.28+23.31%0.2464✗0.55
2026-06-29oos1.86031.6852-9.42%2.1781+17.08%0.2232✗0.55
2026-06-28oos1.72741.5816-8.44%2.2984+33.05%0.3332✗0.57
2026-06-27oos1.71961.5706-8.66%2.1286+23.78%0.2702✗0.56
2026-06-26oos1.82281.6418-9.93%2.1431+17.57%0.2186✗0.56
2026-06-25oos1.60911.468-8.77%2.0626+28.18%0.3000✗0.54
2026-06-24oos1.69591.5238-10.14%2.0319+19.82%0.2613✗0.53
2026-06-23oos1.50471.3839-8.03%2.162+43.68%0.4197✗0.70
2026-06-22oos1.60941.4696-8.68%2.3005+42.95%0.4266✗0.66
2026-06-21oos1.56761.4331-8.58%2.3453+49.61%0.4599✗0.65
2026-06-20oos1.55671.4216-8.67%2.179+39.98%0.4174✗0.63
2026-06-19oos1.54561.4112-8.70%2.2098+42.97%0.4358✗0.68
2026-06-18oos1.61181.4625-9.26%2.2564+39.99%0.4129✗0.69
2026-06-17oos1.72071.5433-10.31%2.2892+33.04%0.3997✗0.62
2026-06-16oos1.73351.5641-9.77%2.2859+31.87%0.3974✗0.63
2026-06-15oos1.68961.5261-9.68%2.4166+43.03%0.4759✗0.68
2026-06-14oos1.68671.5159-10.13%2.5928+53.72%0.5439✗0.65
2026-06-13oos1.63191.4597-10.55%2.3042+41.20%0.4796✗0.67
2026-06-12oos1.53731.3679-11.02%2.6319+71.19%0.6524✗0.63
2026-06-11oos1.55811.3746-11.78%2.5774+65.42%0.6265✗0.63
2026-06-10oos1.39161.228-11.75%2.6896+93.27%0.7610✗0.54
2026-06-09oos1.58311.3726-13.30%2.3965+51.38%0.5444✗0.54
2026-06-08oos1.47451.2785-13.29%2.33+58.02%0.6079✗0.59
2026-06-07oos1.43341.2385-13.60%2.4575+71.44%0.6850✗0.60
2026-06-06oos1.43071.2389-13.41%2.5769+80.11%0.7020✗0.60
2026-06-05oos1.50841.2883-14.59%2.458+62.95%0.6196✗0.64
2026-06-04oos1.45311.2453-14.30%2.201+51.47%0.5777✗0.72
2026-06-03oos1.78541.4718-17.56%2.1136+18.38%0.3798✗0.74
2026-06-02oos1.60391.3336-16.85%2.0689+28.99%0.5169✗0.96
2026-06-01oos1.34381.1614-13.57%2.0712+54.13%0.8226✗1.41
2026-05-31oos1.37651.1989-12.90%1.849+34.33%0.7616✗1.43
2026-05-30oos1.3691.1819-13.67%1.8603+35.89%0.7306✗1.36
2026-05-29oos1.25911.0954-13.01%1.7274+37.19%0.7380✗1.35
2026-05-28oos1.17221.0462-10.75%1.7196+46.70%0.7731✗1.35
2026-05-27oos1.13381.0219-9.87%1.8228+60.77%0.8738✗1.38
2026-05-26oos1.18321.0602-10.40%1.6091+35.99%0.7456✗1.37
2026-05-25oos1.37961.1899-13.75%1.6959+22.92%0.6437✗1.22
2026-05-24oos1.29131.121-13.19%1.5047+16.53%0.5437✗1.21
2026-05-23oos1.22751.0913-11.10%1.6094+31.11%0.6036✗1.19
2026-05-22oos1.19061.0701-10.12%1.5676+31.67%0.5917✗1.19
2026-05-21oos1.4261.2125-14.97%1.5567+9.16%0.4550✗1.09
2026-05-20oos1.27641.1246-11.90%1.5456+21.09%0.5368✗1.10
2026-05-19oos1.14151.0321-9.58%1.6118+41.20%0.6614✗1.08
2026-05-18oos0.95090.913545-3.93%1.7207+80.95%0.8330✗1.13
2026-05-17oos0.863450.845592-2.07%1.7335+100.76%0.9099✗1.16
2026-05-16oos0.87980.861177-2.12%1.6896+92.04%0.8648✗1.16
2026-05-15oos0.8580.846259-1.37%1.6867+96.59%0.9046✗1.16
2026-05-14oos0.91520.904852-1.13%1.6319+78.31%0.8544✗1.15
2026-05-13oos0.8970.880417-1.85%1.5373+71.39%0.8264✗1.21
2026-05-12oos0.926550.913291-1.43%1.5581+68.16%0.8178✗1.20
2026-05-11oos0.999750.982322-1.74%1.3916+39.19%0.6850✗1.18
2026-05-10oos1.05681.04-1.59%1.5831+49.80%0.7601✗1.18
2026-05-09oos1.05421.0314-2.16%1.4745+39.87%0.6510✗1.19
2026-05-08oos1.0811.0491-2.95%1.4334+32.60%0.5938✗1.19
2026-05-07oos0.990650.978137-1.26%1.4307+44.42%0.7050✗1.19
2026-05-06oos0.953850.956849+0.31%1.5084+58.14%0.8125✓1.24
2026-05-05oos0.966850.964726-0.22%1.4531+50.29%0.6567✗1.04
2026-05-04oos0.90290.902439-0.05%1.7854+97.74%0.8993✗0.98
2026-05-03oos0.92210.91078-1.23%1.6039+73.94%0.7308✗1.00
2026-05-02oos0.9080.89752-1.15%1.3438+48.00%0.5034✗1.01
2026-05-01oos0.90350.897457-0.67%1.3765+52.35%0.4901✗1.02
2026-04-30oos0.883750.873257-1.19%1.369+54.91%0.4844✗1.03
2026-04-29oos0.948450.925972-2.37%1.2591+32.75%0.3404✗1.03
2026-04-28oos0.896050.88095-1.69%1.1722+30.81%0.3278✗1.13
2026-04-27oos0.86350.853314-1.18%1.1338+31.30%0.3298✗1.14
2026-04-26oos0.91640.906052-1.13%1.1832+29.12%0.3091✗1.14
2026-04-25oos0.92960.910423-2.06%1.3796+48.41%0.4217✗1.16
2026-04-24oos0.945550.923117-2.37%1.2913+36.57%0.3432✗1.19
2026-04-23oos0.92440.905955-2.00%1.2275+32.79%0.3289✗1.20
2026-04-22oos0.87920.860083-2.17%1.1906+35.42%0.3682✗1.19
2026-04-21oos0.8980.863563-3.83%1.426+58.80%0.4828✗1.21
2026-04-20oos0.89910.859751-4.38%1.2764+41.96%0.3698✗1.21
2026-04-19oos0.890750.843071-5.35%1.1415+28.15%0.2556✗1.21
2026-04-18oos0.978850.928442-5.15%0.9509-2.86%0.0050✓1.20
2026-04-17oos1.04880.99907-4.74%0.86345-17.67%0.1507✓1.19
2026-04-16oos1.04590.98769-5.57%0.8798-15.88%0.1616✓1.20
2026-04-15oos1.04190.985612-5.40%0.858-17.65%0.2043✓1.20
2026-04-14oos1.02570.967078-5.72%0.9152-10.78%0.1615✓1.20
2026-04-13oos1.14331.0665-6.71%0.897-21.54%0.2483✓1.19
2026-04-12oos1.09261.0038-8.13%0.92655-15.20%0.2350✓1.20
2026-04-11oos1.20611.1171-7.37%0.99975-17.11%0.2431✓1.18
2026-04-10oos1.13681.0474-7.87%1.0568-7.04%0.1310✓1.18
2026-04-09oos1.01450.951195-6.24%1.0542+3.91%0.0317✓1.16
2026-04-08oos0.999250.935344-6.40%1.081+8.18%0.0056✓1.16
2026-04-07oos1.07630.996948-7.38%0.99065-7.96%0.1289✓1.15
2026-04-06oos1.02480.934263-8.83%0.95385-6.92%0.1719✓1.15
2026-04-05oos1.0080.924369-8.30%0.96685-4.09%0.1376✓1.15
2026-04-04oos0.98710.899709-8.85%0.9029-8.53%0.1931✓1.15
2026-04-03oos0.989350.921541-6.85%0.9221-6.80%0.1830✓1.15
2026-04-02oos0.94860.88496-6.71%0.908-4.28%0.1604✓1.15
2026-04-01oos0.89060.845642-5.05%0.9035+1.45%0.0948✓1.16
2026-03-31oos0.87250.838977-3.84%0.88375+1.29%0.0781✓1.16
2026-03-30oos0.80730.787949-2.40%0.94845+17.48%0.0407✗1.14
2026-03-29oos0.826750.805022-2.63%0.89605+8.38%0.0604✓1.15
2026-03-28oos0.858250.833155-2.92%0.8635+0.61%0.1411✓1.15
2026-03-27oos0.88250.854807-3.14%0.9164+3.84%0.1261✓1.15
2026-03-26oos0.911650.875677-3.95%0.9296+1.97%0.0805✓1.15
2026-03-25oos0.99570.970395-2.54%0.94555-5.04%0.1202✓1.14
2026-03-24oos1.0170.998085-1.86%0.9244-9.10%0.1958✓1.14
2026-03-23oos0.9550.928013-2.83%0.8792-7.94%0.1667✓1.14
2026-03-22oos0.93910.90955-3.15%0.898-4.38%0.1500✓1.16
2026-03-21oos1.05271.0142-3.66%0.8991-14.59%0.2308✓1.15
2026-03-20oos1.06341.0289-3.25%0.89075-16.24%0.1973✓1.15
2026-03-19oos1.19281.1441-4.08%0.97885-17.94%0.2498✓1.17
2026-03-18oos1.21161.1635-3.97%1.0488-13.44%0.1966✓1.18
2026-03-17oos1.29611.2545-3.21%1.0459-19.30%0.2010✓1.17
2026-03-16oos1.16271.1365-2.25%1.0419-10.39%0.0861✓1.18
2026-03-15oos1.08521.0533-2.93%1.0257-5.47%0.0479✓1.16
2026-03-14oos1.10781.0672-3.66%1.1433+3.20%0.0167✓1.18
2026-03-13oos1.09861.0558-3.89%1.0926-0.55%0.0374✓1.18
2026-03-12oos1.15231.0995-4.59%1.2061+4.66%0.0503✗1.19
2026-03-11oos1.07171.0205-4.78%1.1368+6.07%0.0621✗1.18
2026-03-10oos1.05591.0039-4.92%1.0145-3.92%0.0200✓1.18
2026-03-09oos1.02040.968816-5.05%0.99925-2.07%0.0136✓1.17
2026-03-08oos1.01980.97178-4.71%1.0763+5.55%0.0007✓1.19
2026-03-07oos1.12951.0765-4.69%1.0248-9.27%0.0769✓1.18
2026-03-06oos1.13861.0844-4.77%1.008-11.47%0.0884✓1.18
2026-03-05oos1.20911.1558-4.41%0.9871-18.36%0.0966✓1.18
2026-03-04oos1.37151.3154-4.09%0.98935-27.86%0.1908✓1.15
2026-03-03oos1.29821.2302-5.24%0.9486-26.93%0.2351✓1.16
2026-03-02oos1.35921.2865-5.35%0.8906-34.48%0.3556✓1.16
2026-03-01oos1.35871.2874-5.25%0.8725-35.78%0.4335✓1.21
2026-02-28oos1.38571.3182-4.87%0.8073-41.74%0.4861✓1.21
2026-02-27oos1.35681.2881-5.07%0.82675-39.07%0.4452✓1.21
2026-02-26oos1.42831.3531-5.26%0.85825-39.91%0.4341✓1.21
2026-02-25oos1.45511.3735-5.61%0.8825-39.35%0.4129✓1.21
2026-02-24oos1.42981.3476-5.75%0.91165-36.24%0.4818✓1.29
2026-02-23oos1.3891.3019-6.27%0.9957-28.32%0.3944✓1.28
2026-02-22oos1.44631.3515-6.55%1.017-29.69%0.3390✓1.29
2026-02-21oos1.52441.4203-6.83%0.955-37.35%0.4514✓1.30
2026-02-20oos1.53191.423-7.11%0.9391-38.70%0.4136✓1.00
2026-02-19oos1.47661.3707-7.17%1.0527-28.71%0.2926✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.4461.3367-7.56%1.0634-26.46%0.2883✓1.00
2026-02-17oos1.58881.4681-7.59%1.1928-24.92%0.2434✓1.00
2026-02-16oos1.68791.544-8.52%1.2116-28.22%0.2765✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.6771.5328-8.60%1.2961-22.71%0.2398✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.64781.495-9.28%1.1627-29.44%0.3218✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.59721.4414-9.75%1.0852-32.06%0.3406✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.42871.2977-9.17%1.1078-22.46%0.2313✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.4161.28-9.61%1.0986-22.42%0.2096✓1.00
2026-02-10oos1.47021.3327-9.35%1.1523-21.62%0.1702✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.54881.4025-9.45%1.0717-30.80%0.2705✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.61981.4492-10.53%1.0559-34.81%0.3121✓1.00
2026-02-07oos1.62611.4524-10.68%1.0204-37.25%0.3413✓1.00
2026-02-06oos1.66281.4721-11.47%1.0198-38.67%0.3003✓1.00
2026-02-05oos1.43931.3084-9.10%1.1295-21.53%0.2158✓1.00
2026-02-04oos1.57541.3976-11.29%1.1386-27.72%0.1356✓1.00
2026-02-03oos1.4811.3152-11.19%1.2091-18.36%0.0190✓1.00
2026-02-02oos1.59661.4028-12.14%1.3715-14.10%0.0566✓1.00
2026-02-01oos1.51441.3422-11.37%1.2982-14.27%0.0847✓1.00
2026-01-31oos1.56621.3842-11.62%1.3592-13.22%0.1151✓1.00