KAT

Katana · Base · gru_s8

token id: #157
symbol: KAT
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0xd5390300c5db71f80d46f0fa9983fc72d4d1e3da
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-18
predictions: 627

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

179

of 209 predictions shown

direction hit

89.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1183

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0742

actual -0.1638

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004091	0.003916	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-20	oos	0.00408	0.003928	-3.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.003988	0.003823	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.003837	0.003682	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.004005	0.003833	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-16	oos	0.004156	0.003991	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-15	oos	0.004154	0.004005	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.00421	0.004054	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.004313	0.004174	-3.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-12	oos	0.00438	0.00419	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-11	oos	0.004635	0.004432	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-10	oos	0.004614	0.004398	-4.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-09	oos	0.004588	0.004377	-4.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-08	oos	0.004441	0.004234	-4.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.004618	0.004408	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-06	oos	0.004724	0.004545	-3.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-05	oos	0.004836	0.00464	-4.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-04	oos	0.004805	0.004637	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-03	oos	0.004783	0.004571	-4.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-02	oos	0.004798	0.004623	-3.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-01	oos	0.004947	0.004752	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.005049	0.004808	-4.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-29	oos	0.00486	0.004659	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.004899	0.004695	-4.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-27	oos	0.005221	0.004976	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-26	oos	0.005144	0.004919	-4.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-25	oos	0.005188	0.004961	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-24	oos	0.005001	0.004837	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-23	oos	0.004896	0.004762	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.005103	0.004988	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.004902	0.00484	-1.26%	0.004091	-16.55%	0.1222	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004699	0.004533	-3.54%	0.00408	-13.16%	0.1270	✓	1.01
2026-09-19	oos	0.004719	0.004553	-3.51%	0.003988	-15.49%	0.1400	✓	1.01
2026-09-18	oos	0.004691	0.004517	-3.70%	0.003837	-18.21%	0.1776	✓	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.004315	0.004066	-5.78%	0.004005	-7.20%	0.0785	✓	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.00421	0.003971	-5.69%	0.004156	-1.27%	0.0226	✓	1.01
2026-09-15	oos	0.004137	0.003892	-5.92%	0.004154	+0.41%	0.0199	✓	1.02
2026-09-14	oos	0.004399	0.004205	-4.42%	0.00421	-4.30%	0.0409	✓	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.004472	0.004246	-5.08%	0.004313	-3.58%	0.0637	✓	1.01
2026-09-12	oos	0.00477	0.004512	-5.41%	0.00438	-8.18%	0.0856	✓	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.004781	0.004509	-5.67%	0.004635	-3.03%	0.0506	✓	0.97
2026-09-10	oos	0.004846	0.004548	-6.16%	0.004614	-4.78%	0.0613	✓	0.95
2026-09-09	oos	0.006317	0.005636	-10.77%	0.004588	-27.37%	0.2467	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.004799	0.004662	-2.86%	0.004441	-7.48%	0.0802	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.004647	0.004577	-1.51%	0.004618	-0.65%	0.0310	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.004747	0.004731	-0.33%	0.004724	-0.48%	0.0423	✓	0.65
2026-09-05	oos	0.004658	0.004637	-0.46%	0.004836	+3.82%	0.0036	✓	0.64
2026-09-04	oos	0.004648	0.004617	-0.66%	0.004805	+3.38%	0.0131	✓	0.64
2026-09-03	oos	0.004535	0.004569	+0.75%	0.004783	+5.46%	0.0174	✓	0.68
2026-09-02	oos	0.004436	0.004327	-2.45%	0.004798	+8.16%	0.0324	✗	0.80
2026-09-01	oos	0.004487	0.004384	-2.29%	0.004947	+10.25%	0.0459	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.004692	0.004609	-1.77%	0.005049	+7.62%	0.0454	✗	0.74
2026-08-30	oos	0.004442	0.004339	-2.32%	0.00486	+9.41%	0.0528	✗	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.004496	0.004392	-2.31%	0.004899	+8.96%	0.0583	✗	0.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.004483	0.004388	-2.10%	0.005221	+16.48%	0.1095	✗	0.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.004649	0.004636	-0.27%	0.005144	+10.66%	0.0647	✗	0.78
2026-08-26	oos	0.004582	0.004529	-1.16%	0.005188	+13.20%	0.0874	✗	0.78
2026-08-25	oos	0.004442	0.004395	-1.05%	0.005001	+12.58%	0.0725	✗	0.79
2026-08-24	oos	0.004572	0.004527	-0.97%	0.004896	+7.10%	0.0267	✗	0.78
2026-08-23	oos	0.004738	0.004628	-2.33%	0.005103	+7.70%	0.0137	✓	0.81
2026-08-22	oos	0.004697	0.004575	-2.60%	0.004902	+4.38%	0.0257	✓	0.81
2026-08-21	oos	0.004902	0.0048	-2.08%	0.004699	-4.14%	0.0497	✓	0.80
2026-08-20	oos	0.004634	0.004411	-4.81%	0.004719	+1.82%	0.0184	✓	0.80
2026-08-19	oos	0.004476	0.004198	-6.20%	0.004691	+4.79%	0.0174	✓	0.83
2026-08-18	oos	0.004288	0.003997	-6.79%	0.004315	+0.62%	0.0647	✓	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.004303	0.003995	-7.16%	0.00421	-2.16%	0.0901	✓	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.00443	0.004105	-7.34%	0.004137	-6.61%	0.1589	✓	0.90
2026-08-15	oos	0.004304	0.004002	-7.02%	0.004399	+2.21%	0.0998	✓	0.90
2026-08-14	oos	0.004249	0.003961	-6.78%	0.004472	+5.26%	0.0588	✓	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.00435	0.00405	-6.90%	0.00477	+9.66%	0.0142	✓	0.90
2026-08-12	oos	0.004339	0.004036	-6.99%	0.004781	+10.18%	0.0112	✓	0.92
2026-08-11	oos	0.00446	0.004136	-7.26%	0.004846	+8.65%	0.0111	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0046	0.004261	-7.38%	0.006317	+37.32%	0.2039	✗	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.00473	0.00438	-7.40%	0.004799	+1.47%	0.0889	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.00462	0.004288	-7.18%	0.004647	+0.60%	0.1059	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.0046	0.004264	-7.30%	0.004747	+3.20%	0.0938	✓	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.00454	0.004207	-7.33%	0.004658	+2.60%	0.1038	✓	0.95
2026-08-05	oos	0.004415	0.004114	-6.83%	0.004648	+5.28%	0.0788	✓	0.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.00448	0.004158	-7.18%	0.004535	+1.23%	0.1423	✓	0.96
2026-08-03	oos	0.00438	0.00407	-7.08%	0.004436	+1.28%	0.1031	✓	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.0043	0.004006	-6.84%	0.004487	+4.35%	0.0691	✓	0.92
2026-08-01	oos	0.0043	0.00401	-6.75%	0.004692	+9.10%	0.0577	✓	0.96
2026-07-31	oos	0.00439	0.004101	-6.58%	0.004442	+1.18%	0.1229	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.004425	0.004166	-5.86%	0.004496	+1.60%	0.1100	✓	0.98
2026-07-29	oos	0.00425	0.004015	-5.54%	0.004483	+5.47%	0.0628	✓	0.88
2026-07-28	oos	0.00455	0.004277	-6.00%	0.004649	+2.18%	0.1171	✓	0.88
2026-07-27	oos	0.004485	0.004231	-5.66%	0.004582	+2.17%	0.1100	✓	0.88
2026-07-26	oos	0.004775	0.004517	-5.41%	0.004442	-6.97%	0.1715	✓	0.84
2026-07-25	oos	0.004795	0.004524	-5.65%	0.004572	-4.66%	0.1691	✓	0.87
2026-07-24	oos	0.0048	0.004535	-5.53%	0.004738	-1.29%	0.1006	✓	0.75
2026-07-23	oos	0.004675	0.004467	-4.46%	0.004697	+0.47%	0.0687	✓	0.70
2026-07-22	oos	0.0048	0.004633	-3.48%	0.004902	+2.13%	0.0341	✓	0.53
2026-07-21	oos	0.004875	0.004736	-2.84%	0.004634	-4.93%	0.0750	✓	0.57
2026-07-20	oos	0.004805	0.004659	-3.04%	0.004476	-6.85%	0.0729	✓	0.54
2026-07-19	oos	0.004695	0.004567	-2.74%	0.004288	-8.66%	0.0628	✓	0.53
2026-07-18	oos	0.004765	0.00465	-2.41%	0.004303	-9.70%	0.0747	✓	0.58
2026-07-17	oos	0.004805	0.004678	-2.64%	0.00443	-7.81%	0.0442	✓	0.62
2026-07-16	oos	0.005075	0.004901	-3.43%	0.004304	-15.19%	0.1225	✓	0.62
2026-07-15	oos	0.0048	0.004684	-2.43%	0.004249	-11.48%	0.0769	✓	0.75
2026-07-14	oos	0.00488	0.004759	-2.47%	0.00435	-10.86%	0.0715	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.004965	0.004797	-3.38%	0.004339	-12.61%	0.1155	✓	0.83
2026-07-12	oos	0.005055	0.004895	-3.16%	0.00446	-11.77%	0.0904	✓	0.84
2026-07-11	oos	0.00542	0.005191	-4.23%	0.0046	-15.13%	0.1226	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.00554	0.005268	-4.90%	0.00473	-14.62%	0.1178	✓	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	0.004945	0.00479	-3.14%	0.00462	-6.57%	0.0590	✓	0.84
2026-07-08	oos	0.00459	0.004463	-2.76%	0.0046	+0.22%	0.0035	✓	0.81
2026-07-07	oos	0.00479	0.004643	-3.07%	0.00454	-5.22%	0.0341	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.00505	0.004868	-3.61%	0.004415	-12.57%	0.1049	✓	0.78
2026-07-05	oos	0.005025	0.004833	-3.83%	0.00448	-10.85%	0.0816	✓	0.80
2026-07-04	oos	0.005155	0.004941	-4.16%	0.00438	-15.03%	0.1253	✓	0.81
2026-07-03	oos	0.0051	0.004886	-4.20%	0.0043	-15.69%	0.1394	✓	0.75
2026-07-02	oos	0.005045	0.004832	-4.22%	0.0043	-14.77%	0.1322	✓	0.76
2026-07-01	oos	0.00497	0.004765	-4.12%	0.00439	-11.67%	0.1172	✓	0.75
2026-06-30	oos	0.00485	0.00466	-3.91%	0.004425	-8.76%	0.1312	✓	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.004885	0.004683	-4.14%	0.00425	-13.00%	0.1454	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	0.004875	0.004674	-4.11%	0.00455	-6.67%	0.0811	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.005075	0.004836	-4.72%	0.004485	-11.63%	0.1206	✓	0.75
2026-06-26	oos	0.00494	0.00472	-4.46%	0.004775	-3.34%	0.0524	✓	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.00484	0.004643	-4.08%	0.004795	-0.93%	0.0230	✓	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.005135	0.004891	-4.74%	0.0048	-6.52%	0.0580	✓	0.79
2026-06-23	oos	0.005345	0.005066	-5.22%	0.004675	-12.54%	0.1028	✓	0.60
2026-06-22	oos	0.005355	0.00507	-5.33%	0.0048	-10.36%	0.0753	✓	0.63
2026-06-21	oos	0.00541	0.005116	-5.43%	0.004875	-9.89%	0.0808	✓	0.64
2026-06-20	oos	0.00582	0.005399	-7.23%	0.004805	-17.44%	0.1269	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.00569	0.005347	-6.04%	0.004695	-17.49%	0.1412	✓	0.60
2026-06-18	oos	0.00533	0.005046	-5.32%	0.004765	-10.60%	0.0755	✓	0.60
2026-06-17	oos	0.00564	0.005271	-6.54%	0.004805	-14.80%	0.0875	✓	0.60
2026-06-16	oos	0.005695	0.005286	-7.17%	0.005075	-10.89%	0.0221	✓	0.66
2026-06-15	oos	0.005765	0.005307	-7.94%	0.0048	-16.74%	0.0848	✓	0.66
2026-06-14	oos	0.00577	0.005284	-8.42%	0.00488	-15.42%	0.0724	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	0.00589	0.005405	-8.24%	0.004965	-15.70%	0.0619	✓	0.67
2026-06-12	oos	0.00628	0.005689	-9.41%	0.005055	-19.51%	0.1204	✓	0.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.00671	0.005969	-11.05%	0.00542	-19.23%	0.0987	✓	0.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.00679	0.00605	-10.89%	0.00554	-18.41%	0.1195	✓	0.73
2026-06-09	oos	0.00619	0.005725	-7.52%	0.004945	-20.11%	0.1641	✓	0.74
2026-06-08	oos	0.00539	0.005162	-4.23%	0.00459	-14.84%	0.1064	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0052	0.004997	-3.90%	0.00479	-7.88%	0.0426	✓	0.84
2026-06-06	oos	0.00506	0.004924	-2.69%	0.00505	-0.20%	0.0170	✓	0.84
2026-06-05	oos	0.00521	0.005062	-2.85%	0.005025	-3.55%	0.0416	✓	0.84
2026-06-04	oos	0.00584	0.005545	-5.05%	0.005155	-11.73%	0.0645	✓	0.74
2026-06-03	oos	0.00661	0.006174	-6.60%	0.0051	-22.84%	0.1735	✓	0.73
2026-06-02	oos	0.00654	0.006072	-7.15%	0.005045	-22.86%	0.1211	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.00727	0.006605	-9.15%	0.00497	-31.64%	0.1687	✓	0.67
2026-05-31	oos	0.007225	0.006551	-9.33%	0.00485	-32.87%	0.1377	✓	0.71
2026-05-30	oos	0.007175	0.006506	-9.32%	0.004885	-31.92%	0.1410	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.007195	0.00652	-9.38%	0.004875	-32.24%	0.1409	✓	0.71
2026-05-28	oos	0.00722	0.006543	-9.38%	0.005075	-29.71%	0.1082	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.00769	0.006923	-9.98%	0.00494	-35.76%	0.1898	✓	0.69
2026-05-26	oos	0.00782	0.007032	-10.08%	0.00484	-38.11%	0.2079	✓	0.69
2026-05-25	oos	0.008245	0.007405	-10.19%	0.005135	-37.72%	0.2094	✓	0.66
2026-05-24	oos	0.00813	0.007307	-10.12%	0.005345	-34.26%	0.1765	✓	0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.008385	0.007548	-9.99%	0.005355	-36.14%	0.2228	✓	0.66
2026-05-22	oos	0.00805	0.007242	-10.04%	0.00541	-32.80%	0.1786	✓	0.64
2026-05-21	oos	0.00854	0.007709	-9.73%	0.00582	-31.85%	0.1695	✓	0.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.00854	0.007703	-9.80%	0.00569	-33.37%	0.1849	✓	0.59
2026-05-19	oos	0.00841	0.007579	-9.88%	0.00533	-36.62%	0.2350	✓	0.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.00821	0.007411	-9.73%	0.00564	-31.30%	0.1682	✓	0.59
2026-05-17	oos	0.00824	0.007482	-9.19%	0.005695	-30.89%	0.1749	✓	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.00863	0.007911	-8.33%	0.005765	-33.20%	0.2219	✓	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.00865	0.007961	-7.96%	0.00577	-33.29%	0.2140	✓	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.00909	0.00845	-7.04%	0.00589	-35.20%	0.2361	✓	0.54
2026-05-13	oos	0.00904	0.008333	-7.82%	0.00628	-30.53%	0.1623	✓	0.54
2026-05-12	oos	0.00985	0.009108	-7.54%	0.00671	-31.88%	0.1923	✓	0.48
2026-05-11	oos	0.01041	0.009659	-7.22%	0.00679	-34.77%	0.2274	✓	0.44
2026-05-10	oos	0.01024	0.009516	-7.07%	0.00619	-39.55%	0.3015	✓	0.45
2026-05-09	oos	0.01013	0.009306	-8.13%	0.00539	-46.79%	0.4371	✓	0.44
2026-05-08	oos	0.00975	0.008925	-8.46%	0.0052	-46.67%	0.4371	✓	0.44
2026-05-07	oos	0.00939	0.008562	-8.82%	0.00506	-46.11%	0.4067	✓	0.44
2026-05-06	oos	0.00956	0.008773	-8.23%	0.00521	-45.50%	0.3971	✓	0.43
2026-05-05	oos	0.0094	0.00858	-8.72%	0.00584	-37.87%	0.2836	✓	0.43
2026-05-04	oos	0.01	0.00904	-9.60%	0.00661	-33.90%	0.2110	✓	0.46
2026-05-03	oos	0.00941	0.00842	-10.53%	0.00654	-30.50%	0.1841	✓	0.42
2026-05-02	oos	0.00988	0.008843	-10.50%	0.00727	-26.42%	0.1557	✓	0.41
2026-05-01	oos	0.00985	0.008774	-10.92%	0.007225	-26.65%	0.1693	✓	0.41
2026-04-30	oos	0.01068	0.009343	-12.52%	0.007175	-32.82%	0.2463	✓	0.52
2026-04-29	oos	0.01092	0.009461	-13.36%	0.007195	-34.11%	0.2567	✓	0.53
2026-04-28	oos	0.01151	0.009923	-13.79%	0.00722	-37.27%	0.2990	✓	0.51
2026-04-27	oos	0.01139	0.009845	-13.57%	0.00769	-32.48%	0.2260	✓	0.52
2026-04-26	oos	0.01224	0.01059	-13.48%	0.00782	-36.11%	0.2865	✓	0.45
2026-04-25	oos	0.01554	0.012716	-18.17%	0.008245	-46.94%	0.4301	✓	0.61
2026-04-24	oos	0.02469	0.018568	-24.80%	0.00813	-67.07%	0.8220	✓	0.62
2026-04-23	oos	0.01414	0.01174	-16.98%	0.008385	-40.70%	0.3143	✓	1.06
2026-04-22	oos	0.00937	0.008492	-9.37%	0.00805	-14.09%	0.0139	✓	1.10
2026-04-21	oos	0.009565	0.008496	-11.18%	0.00854	-10.72%	0.0128	✓	1.15
2026-04-20	oos	0.00957	0.00844	-11.81%	0.00854	-10.76%	0.0124	✓	1.15
2026-04-19	oos	0.00903	0.007782	-13.82%	0.00841	-6.87%	0.0348	✓	1.09
2026-04-18	oos	0.00968	0.008483	-12.37%	0.00821	-15.19%	0.0490	✓	1.03
2026-04-17	oos	0.00971	0.008592	-11.51%	0.00824	-15.14%	0.0461	✓	1.06
2026-04-16	oos	0.00858	0.007547	-12.03%	0.00863	+0.58%	0.0956	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.00816	0.007234	-11.35%	0.00865	+6.00%	0.1239	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.00801	0.007075	-11.67%	0.00909	+13.48%	0.1617	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.00829	0.007364	-11.17%	0.00904	+9.05%	0.1420	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.00788	0.006895	-12.50%	0.00985	+25.00%	0.2279	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.00849	0.007512	-11.52%	0.01041	+22.61%	0.2146	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.0086	0.00763	-11.27%	0.01024	+19.07%	0.1754	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.00856	0.007574	-11.52%	0.01013	+18.34%	0.1745	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.00875	0.007734	-11.61%	0.00975	+11.43%	0.1111	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.00898	0.007998	-10.94%	0.00939	+4.57%	0.0538	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.008595	0.007575	-11.87%	0.00956	+11.23%	0.0649	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.00868	0.007708	-11.20%	0.0094	+8.29%	0.0393	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.009165	0.008131	-11.28%	0.01	+9.11%	0.0358	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.0089	0.007904	-11.19%	0.00941	+5.73%	0.0146	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.00903	0.00803	-11.07%	0.00988	+9.41%	0.0450	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.01009	0.009001	-10.80%	0.00985	-2.38%	0.0484	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.01048	0.009338	-10.89%	0.01068	+1.91%	0.0223	✓	1.00
2026-03-30	oos	0.01104	0.009736	-11.81%	0.01092	-1.09%	0.0120	✓	1.00
2026-03-29	oos	0.01139	0.010001	-12.19%	0.01151	+1.05%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-03-28	oos	0.01209	0.01056	-12.65%	0.01139	-5.79%	0.0784	✓	1.00
2026-03-27	oos	0.0119	0.010392	-12.68%	0.01224	+2.86%	0.0066	✓	1.00