HBAR

Hedera · Hedera · gru_s8

token id: #35
symbol: HBAR
variant: –
chain: Hedera
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-10-13
predictions: 4,368

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1113

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0274

actual -0.0082

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.08402	0.079911	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-20	oos	0.08427	0.080673	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-19	oos	0.082935	0.079269	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-18	oos	0.085345	0.081473	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-17	oos	0.085225	0.081134	-4.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-16	oos	0.083485	0.079593	-4.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-15	oos	0.085125	0.08117	-4.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.0844	0.080091	-5.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.08691	0.082432	-5.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-12	oos	0.08678	0.081777	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-11	oos	0.094055	0.088572	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-10	oos	0.09238	0.086693	-6.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-09	oos	0.092205	0.086648	-6.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.090265	0.08463	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.09284	0.087183	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-06	oos	0.09966	0.093696	-5.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-05	oos	0.10171	0.095417	-6.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-04	oos	0.10403	0.097552	-6.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.10197	0.095035	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.10239	0.095353	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.102615	0.095674	-6.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-09-30	oos	0.10472	0.096751	-7.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-09-29	oos	0.102385	0.094893	-7.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-09-28	oos	0.122	0.109444	-10.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.09585	0.090262	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-26	oos	0.093485	0.088434	-5.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-25	oos	0.095675	0.090242	-5.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-24	oos	0.09309	0.088567	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.09049	0.086738	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.099085	0.094176	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-21	oos	0.093385	0.09024	-3.37%	0.08402	-10.03%	0.0286	✓	0.93
2026-09-20	oos	0.086515	0.082871	-4.21%	0.08427	-2.59%	0.0026	✓	0.89
2026-09-19	oos	0.08142	0.079313	-2.59%	0.082935	+1.86%	0.0380	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.07921	0.077451	-2.22%	0.085345	+7.75%	0.0844	✗	0.91
2026-09-17	oos	0.07454	0.072166	-3.18%	0.085225	+14.33%	0.1096	✗	0.89
2026-09-16	oos	0.07388	0.07167	-2.99%	0.083485	+13.00%	0.0923	✗	0.89
2026-09-15	oos	0.074235	0.071897	-3.15%	0.085125	+14.67%	0.0959	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077725	0.075566	-2.78%	0.0844	+8.59%	0.0745	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.075075	0.072875	-2.93%	0.08691	+15.76%	0.1097	✗	0.84
2026-09-12	oos	0.074695	0.072802	-2.53%	0.08678	+16.18%	0.1279	✗	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.0744	0.072996	-1.89%	0.094055	+26.42%	0.1843	✗	0.86
2026-09-10	oos	0.07476	0.073188	-2.10%	0.09238	+23.57%	0.1641	✗	0.86
2026-09-09	oos	0.076535	0.075741	-1.04%	0.092205	+20.47%	0.1511	✗	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.07905	0.078509	-0.68%	0.090265	+14.19%	0.1051	✗	0.85
2026-09-07	oos	0.081845	0.08148	-0.45%	0.09284	+13.43%	0.0870	✗	0.84
2026-09-06	oos	0.08161	0.081863	+0.31%	0.09966	+22.12%	0.1430	✓	0.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.08021	0.080751	+0.67%	0.10171	+26.80%	0.1696	✓	0.85
2026-09-04	oos	0.0784	0.079354	+1.22%	0.10403	+32.69%	0.2007	✓	0.85
2026-09-03	oos	0.07927	0.080922	+2.08%	0.10197	+28.64%	0.1952	✓	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.07456	0.074736	+0.24%	0.10239	+37.33%	0.2411	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.07405	0.074631	+0.79%	0.102615	+38.58%	0.2420	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.07363	0.074881	+1.70%	0.10472	+42.22%	0.2848	✓	0.82
2026-08-30	oos	0.07347	0.074325	+1.16%	0.102385	+39.36%	0.2591	✓	0.83
2026-08-29	oos	0.07552	0.076457	+1.24%	0.122	+61.55%	0.4134	✓	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.0761	0.077177	+1.41%	0.09585	+25.95%	0.1486	✓	0.83
2026-08-27	oos	0.07877	0.08063	+2.36%	0.093485	+18.68%	0.1065	✓	0.82
2026-08-26	oos	0.07861	0.080029	+1.80%	0.095675	+21.71%	0.1276	✓	0.82
2026-08-25	oos	0.07776	0.079266	+1.94%	0.09309	+19.71%	0.1033	✓	0.80
2026-08-24	oos	0.0793	0.080784	+1.87%	0.09049	+14.11%	0.0610	✓	0.79
2026-08-23	oos	0.07982	0.080608	+0.99%	0.099085	+24.14%	0.1235	✓	0.80
2026-08-22	oos	0.07742	0.07841	+1.28%	0.093385	+20.62%	0.0819	✓	0.80
2026-08-21	oos	0.0798	0.081074	+1.60%	0.086515	+8.41%	0.0370	✓	0.79
2026-08-20	oos	0.07345	0.073096	-0.48%	0.08142	+10.85%	0.0295	✗	0.73
2026-08-19	oos	0.07058	0.069109	-2.08%	0.07921	+12.23%	0.0238	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.06734	0.065126	-3.29%	0.07454	+10.69%	0.0132	✓	0.73
2026-08-17	oos	0.06593	0.063834	-3.18%	0.07388	+12.06%	0.0247	✓	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.0646	0.062365	-3.46%	0.074235	+14.91%	0.0400	✗	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.06543	0.063081	-3.59%	0.077725	+18.79%	0.0524	✗	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.06584	0.063442	-3.64%	0.075075	+14.03%	0.0241	✓	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.06547	0.063087	-3.64%	0.074695	+14.09%	0.0245	✓	0.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.066	0.063529	-3.74%	0.0744	+12.73%	0.0134	✓	0.73
2026-08-11	oos	0.06638	0.063911	-3.72%	0.07476	+12.62%	0.0197	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0676	0.065055	-3.77%	0.076535	+13.22%	0.0141	✓	0.73
2026-08-09	oos	0.06858	0.066095	-3.62%	0.07905	+15.27%	0.0383	✗	0.74
2026-08-08	oos	0.06894	0.066464	-3.59%	0.081845	+18.72%	0.0621	✗	0.74
2026-08-07	oos	0.06804	0.0657	-3.44%	0.08161	+19.94%	0.0536	✗	0.76
2026-08-06	oos	0.06817	0.065732	-3.58%	0.08021	+17.66%	0.0326	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.06901	0.06656	-3.55%	0.0784	+13.61%	0.0020	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.06935	0.066729	-3.78%	0.07927	+14.30%	0.0122	✓	0.77
2026-08-03	oos	0.07046	0.067575	-4.09%	0.07456	+5.82%	0.0567	✓	0.79
2026-08-02	oos	0.07002	0.067126	-4.13%	0.07405	+5.76%	0.0593	✓	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.069	0.066046	-4.28%	0.07363	+6.71%	0.0675	✓	0.79
2026-07-31	oos	0.06876	0.065793	-4.32%	0.07347	+6.85%	0.0560	✓	0.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.06834	0.06577	-3.76%	0.07552	+10.51%	0.0159	✓	0.81
2026-07-29	oos	0.06781	0.065147	-3.93%	0.0761	+12.23%	0.0036	✓	0.81
2026-07-28	oos	0.06835	0.065694	-3.89%	0.07877	+15.25%	0.0017	✓	0.80
2026-07-27	oos	0.06807	0.065389	-3.94%	0.07861	+15.48%	0.0118	✓	0.80
2026-07-26	oos	0.0702	0.067705	-3.55%	0.07776	+10.77%	0.0068	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.07093	0.068215	-3.83%	0.0793	+11.80%	0.0163	✓	0.81
2026-07-24	oos	0.07076	0.068243	-3.56%	0.07982	+12.80%	0.0000	✓	0.81
2026-07-23	oos	0.07107	0.069065	-2.82%	0.07742	+8.93%	0.0240	✓	0.82
2026-07-22	oos	0.07286	0.071174	-2.31%	0.0798	+9.53%	0.0228	✓	0.81
2026-07-21	oos	0.06953	0.068347	-1.70%	0.07345	+5.64%	0.0040	✓	0.82
2026-07-20	oos	0.06671	0.065438	-1.91%	0.07058	+5.80%	0.0279	✗	0.79
2026-07-19	oos	0.06652	0.065189	-2.00%	0.06734	+1.23%	0.0325	✗	0.79
2026-07-18	oos	0.06708	0.065839	-1.85%	0.06593	-1.71%	0.0053	✓	0.79
2026-07-17	oos	0.06588	0.06467	-1.84%	0.0646	-1.94%	0.0121	✓	0.79
2026-07-16	oos	0.06654	0.065291	-1.88%	0.06543	-1.67%	0.0115	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.06793	0.066828	-1.62%	0.06584	-3.08%	0.0062	✓	0.77
2026-07-14	oos	0.0673	0.066329	-1.44%	0.06547	-2.72%	0.0060	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.06654	0.06522	-1.98%	0.066	-0.81%	0.0030	✓	0.82
2026-07-12	oos	0.067575	0.066365	-1.79%	0.06638	-1.77%	0.0029	✓	0.82
2026-07-11	oos	0.06844	0.067152	-1.88%	0.0676	-1.23%	0.0049	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.07032	0.068877	-2.05%	0.06858	-2.47%	0.0134	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.0699	0.068368	-2.19%	0.06894	-1.37%	0.0137	✓	0.82
2026-07-08	oos	0.06931	0.067718	-2.30%	0.06804	-1.83%	0.0291	✓	0.81
2026-07-07	oos	0.07088	0.069289	-2.24%	0.06817	-3.82%	0.0282	✓	0.81
2026-07-06	oos	0.07332	0.071709	-2.20%	0.06901	-5.88%	0.0459	✓	0.81
2026-07-05	oos	0.07629	0.074428	-2.44%	0.06935	-9.10%	0.0768	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.0772	0.075214	-2.57%	0.07046	-8.73%	0.0703	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.07332	0.071678	-2.24%	0.07002	-4.50%	0.0361	✓	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.07084	0.069324	-2.14%	0.069	-2.60%	0.0213	✓	0.80
2026-07-01	oos	0.07187	0.07024	-2.27%	0.06876	-4.33%	0.0600	✓	0.83
2026-06-30	oos	0.06945	0.06803	-2.05%	0.06834	-1.60%	0.0773	✓	0.81
2026-06-29	oos	0.07158	0.07008	-2.10%	0.06781	-5.27%	0.0816	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	0.07092	0.069453	-2.07%	0.06835	-3.62%	0.0727	✓	0.80
2026-06-27	oos	0.07182	0.070338	-2.06%	0.06807	-5.22%	0.0809	✓	0.79
2026-06-26	oos	0.07083	0.069451	-1.95%	0.0702	-0.89%	0.0569	✓	0.79
2026-06-25	oos	0.07336	0.071686	-2.28%	0.07093	-3.31%	0.0699	✓	0.80
2026-06-24	oos	0.07553	0.073629	-2.52%	0.07076	-6.32%	0.0787	✓	0.79
2026-06-23	oos	0.07748	0.075389	-2.70%	0.07107	-8.27%	0.0889	✓	0.79
2026-06-22	oos	0.07865	0.076434	-2.82%	0.07286	-7.36%	0.0740	✓	0.79
2026-06-21	oos	0.078	0.075755	-2.88%	0.06953	-10.86%	0.1258	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.08062	0.078127	-3.09%	0.06671	-17.25%	0.1702	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.08045	0.077944	-3.12%	0.06652	-17.32%	0.1736	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.08019	0.077666	-3.15%	0.06708	-16.35%	0.1707	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.08123	0.078674	-3.15%	0.06588	-18.90%	0.1705	✓	0.81
2026-06-16	oos	0.08058	0.078095	-3.08%	0.06654	-17.42%	0.1365	✓	0.83
2026-06-15	oos	0.08254	0.079774	-3.35%	0.06793	-17.70%	0.1412	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.08116	0.078341	-3.47%	0.0673	-17.08%	0.1429	✓	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.07828	0.07564	-3.37%	0.06654	-15.00%	0.1001	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.07784	0.075219	-3.37%	0.067575	-13.19%	0.1098	✓	0.83
2026-06-11	oos	0.07916	0.076313	-3.60%	0.06844	-13.54%	0.1116	✓	0.83
2026-06-10	oos	0.07762	0.07496	-3.43%	0.07032	-9.40%	0.0996	✓	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.07947	0.076637	-3.56%	0.0699	-12.04%	0.1119	✓	0.84
2026-06-08	oos	0.0813	0.078156	-3.87%	0.06931	-14.75%	0.1092	✓	0.83
2026-06-07	oos	0.08194	0.078613	-4.06%	0.07088	-13.50%	0.1038	✓	0.83
2026-06-06	oos	0.07967	0.076575	-3.89%	0.07332	-7.97%	0.0841	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.08035	0.077043	-4.12%	0.07629	-5.05%	0.0429	✓	0.81
2026-06-04	oos	0.08372	0.079832	-4.64%	0.0772	-7.79%	0.0244	✓	0.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.08512	0.081089	-4.74%	0.07332	-13.86%	0.0818	✓	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.0868	0.082485	-4.97%	0.07084	-18.39%	0.0875	✓	0.80
2026-06-01	oos	0.09223	0.087184	-5.47%	0.07187	-22.08%	0.0582	✓	0.78
2026-05-31	oos	0.09647	0.090806	-5.87%	0.06945	-28.01%	0.0939	✓	0.76
2026-05-30	oos	0.09499	0.0892	-6.10%	0.07158	-24.64%	0.0701	✓	0.74
2026-05-29	oos	0.09908	0.092571	-6.57%	0.07092	-28.42%	0.1089	✓	0.75
2026-05-28	oos	0.09089	0.086108	-5.26%	0.07182	-20.98%	0.0278	✓	0.75
2026-05-27	oos	0.08554	0.082049	-4.08%	0.07083	-17.20%	0.0190	✓	0.78
2026-05-26	oos	0.08645	0.08304	-3.94%	0.07336	-15.14%	0.0618	✗	0.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.08805	0.084648	-3.86%	0.07553	-14.22%	0.0782	✗	0.81
2026-05-24	oos	0.08834	0.084897	-3.90%	0.07748	-12.29%	0.0755	✗	0.81
2026-05-23	oos	0.08959	0.085953	-4.06%	0.07865	-12.21%	0.0571	✗	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.08782	0.084196	-4.13%	0.078	-11.18%	0.0654	✗	0.80
2026-05-21	oos	0.08984	0.086307	-3.93%	0.08062	-10.26%	0.0836	✗	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.08876	0.085347	-3.85%	0.08045	-9.36%	0.1021	✗	0.81
2026-05-19	oos	0.08848	0.085023	-3.91%	0.08019	-9.37%	0.1023	✗	0.81
2026-05-18	oos	0.09016	0.086543	-4.01%	0.08123	-9.90%	0.0803	✗	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.09007	0.086573	-3.88%	0.08058	-10.54%	0.0605	✗	0.80
2026-05-16	oos	0.09122	0.087837	-3.71%	0.08254	-9.52%	0.0690	✗	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.09283	0.089654	-3.42%	0.08116	-12.57%	0.0494	✗	0.81
2026-05-14	oos	0.09498	0.092331	-2.79%	0.07828	-17.58%	0.0227	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.09338	0.090419	-3.17%	0.07784	-16.64%	0.0367	✗	0.84
2026-05-12	oos	0.09385	0.091384	-2.63%	0.07916	-15.65%	0.0516	✗	0.83
2026-05-11	oos	0.09691	0.094673	-2.31%	0.07762	-19.91%	0.0344	✗	0.82
2026-05-10	oos	0.09753	0.095507	-2.07%	0.07947	-18.52%	0.0505	✗	0.82
2026-05-09	oos	0.09287	0.090925	-2.09%	0.0813	-12.46%	0.0853	✗	0.80
2026-05-08	oos	0.09267	0.090624	-2.21%	0.08194	-11.58%	0.0890	✗	0.80
2026-05-07	oos	0.09009	0.088502	-1.76%	0.07967	-11.57%	0.1141	✗	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.09137	0.090369	-1.10%	0.08035	-12.06%	0.1511	✗	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.09029	0.089218	-1.19%	0.08372	-7.28%	0.1543	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.08774	0.086494	-1.42%	0.08512	-2.99%	0.1840	✗	0.91
2026-05-03	oos	0.08771	0.085786	-2.19%	0.0868	-1.04%	0.1605	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.08857	0.08672	-2.09%	0.09223	+4.13%	0.1515	✗	0.91
2026-05-01	oos	0.08818	0.086371	-2.05%	0.09647	+9.40%	0.1672	✗	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.08731	0.084877	-2.79%	0.09499	+8.80%	0.1438	✗	0.92
2026-04-29	oos	0.08864	0.085967	-3.02%	0.09908	+11.78%	0.1716	✗	0.93
2026-04-28	oos	0.08891	0.086483	-2.73%	0.09089	+2.23%	0.0846	✗	0.93
2026-04-27	oos	0.08971	0.087797	-2.13%	0.08554	-4.65%	0.0114	✓	0.93
2026-04-26	oos	0.09231	0.090702	-1.74%	0.08645	-6.35%	0.0137	✓	0.93
2026-04-25	oos	0.09126	0.089379	-2.06%	0.08805	-3.52%	0.0101	✓	0.93
2026-04-24	oos	0.091	0.089136	-2.05%	0.08834	-2.92%	0.0031	✓	0.94
2026-04-23	oos	0.09082	0.089403	-1.56%	0.08959	-1.35%	0.0219	✗	0.94
2026-04-22	oos	0.09086	0.089536	-1.46%	0.08782	-3.35%	0.0145	✓	0.94
2026-04-21	oos	0.09038	0.088263	-2.34%	0.08984	-0.60%	0.0030	✓	0.95
2026-04-20	oos	0.08976	0.087556	-2.46%	0.08876	-1.11%	0.0063	✓	0.95
2026-04-19	oos	0.08727	0.084653	-3.00%	0.08848	+1.39%	0.0071	✓	0.95
2026-04-18	oos	0.08882	0.086836	-2.23%	0.09016	+1.51%	0.0225	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.09078	0.089332	-1.60%	0.09007	-0.78%	0.0044	✓	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.09076	0.088475	-2.52%	0.09122	+0.51%	0.0065	✓	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.08713	0.085177	-2.24%	0.09283	+6.54%	0.0332	✗	0.96
2026-04-14	oos	0.08511	0.083198	-2.25%	0.09498	+11.60%	0.0467	✗	0.96
2026-04-13	oos	0.08783	0.085747	-2.37%	0.09338	+6.32%	0.0246	✗	0.96
2026-04-12	oos	0.08519	0.082316	-3.37%	0.09385	+10.17%	0.0044	✓	0.98
2026-04-11	oos	0.08836	0.085845	-2.85%	0.09691	+9.68%	0.0116	✓	0.98
2026-04-10	oos	0.08955	0.087033	-2.81%	0.09753	+8.91%	0.0025	✓	0.98
2026-04-09	oos	0.08935	0.086585	-3.09%	0.09287	+3.94%	0.0443	✓	0.98
2026-04-08	oos	0.08901	0.086132	-3.23%	0.09267	+4.11%	0.0454	✓	0.98
2026-04-07	oos	0.09183	0.088846	-3.25%	0.09009	-1.89%	0.0908	✓	0.98
2026-04-06	oos	0.08742	0.084219	-3.66%	0.09137	+4.52%	0.0834	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.08802	0.084779	-3.68%	0.09029	+2.58%	0.0933	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.08748	0.084053	-3.92%	0.08774	+0.30%	0.1275	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.08772	0.084319	-3.88%	0.08771	-0.01%	0.1205	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.088	0.084576	-3.89%	0.08857	+0.65%	0.1161	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.08845	0.085243	-3.63%	0.08818	-0.31%	0.1063	✓	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	0.08758	0.084547	-3.46%	0.08731	-0.31%	0.0824	✓	1.02
2026-03-30	oos	0.08721	0.084057	-3.62%	0.08864	+1.64%	0.0776	✓	1.03
2026-03-29	oos	0.088	0.0848	-3.64%	0.08891	+1.03%	0.1029	✓	1.03
2026-03-28	oos	0.08978	0.086709	-3.42%	0.08971	-0.08%	0.1247	✓	1.03
2026-03-27	oos	0.08907	0.086312	-3.10%	0.09231	+3.64%	0.1083	✓	1.03
2026-03-26	oos	0.09107	0.088738	-2.56%	0.09126	+0.21%	0.0981	✓	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.09467	0.092779	-2.00%	0.091	-3.88%	0.1054	✓	1.04
2026-03-24	oos	0.09416	0.092395	-1.87%	0.09082	-3.55%	0.1256	✓	1.04
2026-03-23	oos	0.09318	0.091733	-1.55%	0.09086	-2.49%	0.1119	✓	1.04
2026-03-22	oos	0.08921	0.087491	-1.93%	0.09038	+1.31%	0.0907	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.09155	0.089782	-1.93%	0.08976	-1.96%	0.1004	✓	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.09318	0.09175	-1.53%	0.08727	-6.34%	0.0981	✓	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.09288	0.091394	-1.60%	0.08882	-4.37%	0.1120	✓	1.04
2026-03-18	oos	0.09579	0.094422	-1.43%	0.09078	-5.23%	0.1226	✓	1.05
2026-03-17	oos	0.09876	0.097933	-0.84%	0.09076	-8.10%	0.0935	✓	1.06
2026-03-16	oos	0.10029	0.099599	-0.69%	0.08713	-13.12%	0.1330	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09632	0.095389	-0.97%	0.08511	-11.64%	0.1334	✓	1.06
2026-03-14	oos	0.0936	0.092541	-1.13%	0.08783	-6.16%	0.0990	✓	1.06
2026-03-13	oos	0.09514	0.093931	-1.27%	0.08519	-10.46%	0.0948	✓	1.07
2026-03-12	oos	0.09484	0.09355	-1.36%	0.08836	-6.83%	0.0950	✓	1.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.09425	0.093062	-1.26%	0.08955	-4.99%	0.0802	✓	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.09519	0.094008	-1.24%	0.08935	-6.14%	0.0785	✓	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.09436	0.092959	-1.48%	0.08901	-5.67%	0.0842	✓	1.07
2026-03-08	oos	0.09392	0.09224	-1.79%	0.09183	-2.23%	0.0987	✓	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.09582	0.094111	-1.78%	0.08742	-8.77%	0.0994	✓	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.09758	0.095917	-1.70%	0.08802	-9.80%	0.1001	✓	1.09
2026-03-05	oos	0.09959	0.098056	-1.54%	0.08748	-12.16%	0.0569	✓	1.10
2026-03-04	oos	0.10116	0.099681	-1.46%	0.08772	-13.29%	0.0373	✓	1.10
2026-03-03	oos	0.09697	0.095493	-1.52%	0.088	-9.25%	0.0576	✓	1.13
2026-03-02	oos	0.09804	0.096482	-1.59%	0.08845	-9.78%	0.0751	✓	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.09696	0.095298	-1.71%	0.08758	-9.67%	0.1271	✓	1.17
2026-02-28	oos	0.1002	0.098293	-1.90%	0.08721	-12.96%	0.1156	✓	1.17
2026-02-27	oos	0.10041	0.098408	-1.99%	0.088	-12.36%	0.1135	✓	1.17
2026-02-26	oos	0.10265	0.100487	-2.11%	0.08978	-12.54%	0.0921	✓	1.17
2026-02-25	oos	0.10183	0.099838	-1.96%	0.08907	-12.53%	0.0855	✓	1.17
2026-02-24	oos	0.09503	0.093535	-1.57%	0.09107	-4.17%	0.1096	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.09492	0.093465	-1.53%	0.09467	-0.26%	0.1014	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09819	0.096491	-1.73%	0.09416	-4.10%	0.0740	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09977	0.097938	-1.84%	0.09318	-6.61%	0.0990	✓	1.17
2026-02-20	oos	0.09965	0.097832	-1.82%	0.08921	-10.48%	0.0898	✓	1.20
2026-02-19	oos	0.09759	0.095886	-1.75%	0.09155	-6.19%	0.0806	✓	1.20
2026-02-18	oos	0.09907	0.097211	-1.88%	0.09318	-5.95%	0.1144	✓	1.21
2026-02-17	oos	0.10203	0.09982	-2.17%	0.09288	-8.97%	0.1150	✓	1.20
2026-02-16	oos	0.10164	0.099341	-2.26%	0.09579	-5.76%	0.0777	✓	1.21
2026-02-15	oos	0.10028	0.098025	-2.25%	0.09876	-1.52%	0.0801	✓	1.22
2026-02-14	oos	0.10384	0.100945	-2.79%	0.10029	-3.42%	0.0916	✓	1.21
2026-02-13	oos	0.09878	0.096465	-2.34%	0.09632	-2.49%	0.0699	✓	1.20
2026-02-12	oos	0.0931	0.091405	-1.82%	0.0936	+0.54%	0.0638	✓	1.20
2026-02-11	oos	0.08903	0.087633	-1.57%	0.09514	+6.86%	0.0134	✓	1.21
2026-02-10	oos	0.09072	0.088957	-1.94%	0.09484	+4.54%	0.0338	✗	1.22
2026-02-09	oos	0.09207	0.089993	-2.26%	0.09425	+2.37%	0.0444	✗	1.22
2026-02-08	oos	0.09122	0.089112	-2.31%	0.09519	+4.35%	0.0716	✗	1.24
2026-02-07	oos	0.08995	0.088008	-2.16%	0.09436	+4.90%	0.0845	✗	1.26
2026-02-06	oos	0.09122	0.088883	-2.56%	0.09392	+2.96%	0.1386	✗	1.25
2026-02-05	oos	0.07803	0.078234	+0.26%	0.09582	+22.80%	0.1186	✓	1.22
2026-02-04	oos	0.08925	0.086881	-2.65%	0.09758	+9.33%	0.2159	✗	1.44
2026-02-03	oos	0.09058	0.087868	-2.99%	0.09959	+9.95%	0.2220	✗	1.49
2026-02-02	oos	0.09318	0.089964	-3.45%	0.10116	+8.56%	0.2373	✗	1.52
2026-02-01	oos	0.08845	0.085759	-3.04%	0.09697	+9.63%	0.2957	✗	1.46
2026-01-31	oos	0.09286	0.08957	-3.54%	0.09804	+5.58%	0.2897	✗	1.50
2026-01-30	oos	0.09859	0.09456	-4.09%	0.09696	-1.65%	0.4096	✗	1.56
2026-01-29	oos	0.10097	0.096639	-4.29%	0.1002	-0.76%	0.3986	✗	1.56
2026-01-28	oos	0.10696	0.102628	-4.05%	0.10041	-6.12%	0.4629	✗	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.10806	0.103715	-4.02%	0.10265	-5.01%	0.4341	✗	1.60
2026-01-26	oos	0.10647	0.102038	-4.16%	0.10183	-4.36%	0.4022	✗	1.55
2026-01-25	oos	0.10313	0.098784	-4.21%	0.09503	-7.85%	0.4228	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.1083	0.103661	-4.28%	0.09492	-12.35%	0.4031	✗	1.53
2026-01-23	oos	0.10938	0.10473	-4.25%	0.09819	-10.23%	0.3651	✗	1.53
2026-01-22	oos	0.1081	0.103362	-4.38%	0.09977	-7.71%	0.3863	✗	1.53
2026-01-21	oos	0.1092	0.104149	-4.63%	0.09965	-8.75%	0.3771	✗	1.54
2026-01-20	oos	0.10557	0.100635	-4.67%	0.09759	-7.56%	0.3862	✗	1.51
2026-01-19	oos	0.11079	0.106104	-4.23%	0.09907	-10.58%	0.4425	✗	1.54
2026-01-18	oos	0.11172	0.107256	-4.00%	0.10203	-8.67%	0.4552	✗	1.54
2026-01-17	oos	0.11884	0.114504	-3.65%	0.10164	-14.47%	0.3748	✗	1.53
2026-01-16	oos	0.11859	0.114534	-3.42%	0.10028	-15.44%	0.3702	✗	1.53
2026-01-15	oos	0.11779	0.113947	-3.26%	0.10384	-11.84%	0.3903	✗	1.54
2026-01-14	oos	0.12339	0.119733	-2.96%	0.09878	-19.94%	0.3347	✗	1.54
2026-01-13	oos	0.12222	0.118143	-3.34%	0.0931	-23.83%	0.3273	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	0.11494	0.110313	-4.03%	0.08903	-22.54%	0.2697	✗	1.57
2026-01-11	oos	0.11716	0.11234	-4.11%	0.09072	-22.57%	0.2234	✗	1.57
2026-01-10	oos	0.11767	0.112844	-4.10%	0.09207	-21.76%	0.1978	✗	1.58
2026-01-09	oos	0.12019	0.115442	-3.95%	0.09122	-24.10%	0.1748	✗	1.62
2026-01-08	oos	0.12042	0.115703	-3.92%	0.08995	-25.30%	0.1947	✗	1.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.12358	0.118785	-3.88%	0.09122	-26.19%	0.1831	✗	1.73
2026-01-06	oos	0.12892	0.124282	-3.60%	0.07803	-39.47%	0.2305	✗	1.74
2026-01-05	oos	0.13169	0.126594	-3.87%	0.08925	-32.23%	0.0853	✗	1.73
2026-01-04	oos	0.12536	0.120739	-3.69%	0.09058	-27.74%	0.0410	✗	1.73
2026-01-03	oos	0.12073	0.116522	-3.49%	0.09318	-22.82%	0.0216	✓	1.74
2026-01-02	oos	0.1216	0.11713	-3.68%	0.08845	-27.26%	0.0085	✓	1.74
2026-01-01	oos	0.11419	0.110539	-3.20%	0.09286	-18.68%	0.0327	✗	1.71
2025-12-31	oos	0.10617	0.10341	-2.60%	0.09859	-7.14%	0.0186	✓	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.11159	0.108556	-2.72%	0.10097	-9.52%	0.0026	✓	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.11273	0.109495	-2.87%	0.10696	-5.12%	0.0621	✓	1.66
2025-12-28	oos	0.11538	0.11195	-2.97%	0.10806	-6.34%	0.0587	✓	1.66
2025-12-27	oos	0.11516	0.111774	-2.94%	0.10647	-7.55%	0.0569	✓	1.65
2025-12-26	oos	0.11157	0.108441	-2.80%	0.10313	-7.56%	0.0364	✓	1.63
2025-12-25	oos	0.10884	0.106065	-2.55%	0.1083	-0.50%	0.0145	✓	1.63
2025-12-24	oos	0.10923	0.106714	-2.30%	0.10938	+0.14%	0.0098	✓	1.64
2025-12-23	oos	0.1104	0.108356	-1.85%	0.1081	-2.08%	0.0400	✓	1.64
2025-12-22	oos	0.11407	0.11196	-1.85%	0.1092	-4.27%	0.0398	✓	1.63
2025-12-21	oos	0.11193	0.110144	-1.60%	0.10557	-5.68%	0.0363	✓	1.63
2025-12-20	oos	0.11374	0.111967	-1.56%	0.11079	-2.59%	0.0873	✓	1.64
2025-12-19	oos	0.1119	0.110412	-1.33%	0.11172	-0.16%	0.0881	✓	1.64
2025-12-18	oos	0.10483	0.103744	-1.04%	0.11884	+13.36%	0.0379	✓	1.62
2025-12-17	oos	0.10992	0.108534	-1.26%	0.11859	+7.89%	0.0774	✓	1.62
2025-12-16	oos	0.1146	0.112946	-1.44%	0.11779	+2.78%	0.0947	✓	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	0.11416	0.112441	-1.51%	0.12339	+8.09%	0.0946	✓	1.63
2025-12-14	oos	0.11821	0.116137	-1.75%	0.12222	+3.39%	0.0767	✓	1.63
2025-12-13	oos	0.12302	0.120604	-1.96%	0.11494	-6.57%	0.0648	✓	1.62
2025-12-12	oos	0.12397	0.12143	-2.05%	0.11716	-5.49%	0.0465	✓	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	0.12992	0.126904	-2.32%	0.11767	-9.43%	0.0370	✓	1.62
2025-12-10	oos	0.13476	0.131126	-2.70%	0.12019	-10.81%	0.0598	✓	1.64
2025-12-09	oos	0.13898	0.13491	-2.93%	0.12042	-13.35%	0.0840	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	0.13455	0.130714	-2.85%	0.12358	-8.15%	0.0674	✓	1.63
2025-12-07	oos	0.13099	0.127539	-2.63%	0.12892	-1.58%	0.0480	✓	1.63
2025-12-06	oos	0.13403	0.130503	-2.63%	0.13169	-1.75%	0.0738	✓	1.65
2025-12-05	oos	0.13395	0.130773	-2.37%	0.12536	-6.41%	0.0815	✓	1.65
2025-12-04	oos	0.13939	0.13603	-2.41%	0.12073	-13.39%	0.0922	✓	1.66
2025-12-03	oos	0.14607	0.142663	-2.33%	0.1216	-16.75%	0.0967	✓	1.65
2025-12-02	oos	0.1447	0.14158	-2.16%	0.11419	-21.09%	0.1673	✓	1.67
2025-12-01	oos	0.13323	0.130955	-1.71%	0.10617	-20.31%	0.2334	✓	1.69
2025-11-30	oos	0.14133	0.138643	-1.90%	0.11159	-21.04%	0.1794	✓	1.71
2025-11-29	oos	0.14323	0.140623	-1.82%	0.11273	-21.29%	0.1501	✓	1.70
2025-11-28	oos	0.14539	0.142903	-1.71%	0.11538	-20.64%	0.1564	✓	1.70
2025-11-27	oos	0.14703	0.144461	-1.75%	0.11516	-21.68%	0.1602	✓	1.70
2025-11-26	oos	0.14787	0.145295	-1.74%	0.11157	-24.55%	0.2039	✓	1.69
2025-11-25	oos	0.1449	0.142634	-1.56%	0.10884	-24.89%	0.2674	✓	1.72
2025-11-24	oos	0.14845	0.145742	-1.82%	0.10923	-26.42%	0.2755	✓	1.72
2025-11-23	oos	0.14788	0.145055	-1.91%	0.1104	-25.34%	0.2854	✓	1.74
2025-11-22	oos	0.13168	0.130278	-1.06%	0.11407	-13.37%	0.2090	✓	1.70
2025-11-21	oos	0.1307	0.129387	-1.00%	0.11193	-14.36%	0.2148	✓	1.70
2025-11-20	oos	0.13637	0.134371	-1.47%	0.11374	-16.59%	0.2013	✓	1.69
2025-11-19	oos	0.14473	0.141761	-2.05%	0.1119	-22.68%	0.1702	✓	1.77
2025-11-18	oos	0.1506	0.146975	-2.41%	0.10483	-30.39%	0.1904	✓	1.76
2025-11-17	oos	0.1457	0.14243	-2.24%	0.10992	-24.56%	0.1423	✓	1.77
2025-11-16	oos	0.14655	0.142967	-2.44%	0.1146	-21.80%	0.0968	✓	1.79
2025-11-15	oos	0.15474	0.150326	-2.85%	0.11416	-26.22%	0.0964	✓	1.78
2025-11-14	oos	0.15283	0.148774	-2.65%	0.11821	-22.65%	0.1063	✓	1.78
2025-11-13	oos	0.1647	0.159456	-3.18%	0.12302	-25.31%	0.0804	✓	1.81
2025-11-12	oos	0.174	0.16808	-3.40%	0.12397	-28.75%	0.0907	✓	1.80
2025-11-11	oos	0.17766	0.171381	-3.53%	0.12992	-26.87%	0.0845	✓	1.80
2025-11-10	oos	0.19386	0.185967	-4.07%	0.13476	-30.49%	0.0755	✓	1.75
2025-11-09	oos	0.17656	0.170194	-3.61%	0.13898	-21.28%	0.0085	✓	1.73
2025-11-08	oos	0.17559	0.169111	-3.69%	0.13455	-23.37%	0.0160	✓	1.76
2025-11-07	oos	0.17696	0.170288	-3.77%	0.13099	-25.98%	0.0338	✓	1.72
2025-11-06	oos	0.16312	0.157698	-3.32%	0.13403	-17.83%	0.0503	✗	1.69
2025-11-05	oos	0.1752	0.169148	-3.45%	0.13395	-23.54%	0.0173	✓	1.66
2025-11-04	oos	0.16856	0.163509	-3.00%	0.13939	-17.31%	0.0033	✓	1.68
2025-11-03	oos	0.17522	0.169902	-3.04%	0.14607	-16.64%	0.0787	✗	1.75
2025-11-02	oos	0.19448	0.187847	-3.41%	0.1447	-25.60%	0.0666	✗	1.71
2025-11-01	oos	0.19622	0.189336	-3.51%	0.13323	-32.10%	0.0661	✗	1.72
2025-10-31	oos	0.20092	0.193153	-3.87%	0.14133	-29.66%	0.0240	✓	1.75
2025-10-30	oos	0.19653	0.188855	-3.91%	0.14323	-27.12%	0.0319	✓	1.75
2025-10-29	oos	0.2011	0.192992	-4.03%	0.14539	-27.70%	0.0521	✗	1.76
2025-10-28	oos	0.19451	0.187429	-3.64%	0.14703	-24.41%	0.1422	✗	1.81
2025-10-27	oos	0.18484	0.17965	-2.81%	0.14787	-20.00%	0.2317	✗	1.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.17997	0.175062	-2.73%	0.1449	-19.49%	0.3111	✗	1.84
2025-10-25	oos	0.17259	0.167538	-2.93%	0.14845	-13.99%	0.3167	✗	1.86
2025-10-24	oos	0.17084	0.165839	-2.93%	0.14788	-13.44%	0.3458	✗	1.87
2025-10-23	oos	0.16515	0.160252	-2.97%	0.13168	-20.27%	0.2954	✗	1.87
2025-10-22	oos	0.1661	0.160812	-3.18%	0.1307	-21.31%	0.2372	✗	1.89
2025-10-21	oos	0.1705	0.164735	-3.38%	0.13637	-20.02%	0.2366	✗	1.89
2025-10-20	oos	0.17551	0.168932	-3.75%	0.14473	-17.54%	0.2115	✗	1.93
2025-10-19	oos	0.17053	0.164378	-3.61%	0.1506	-11.69%	0.2121	✗	1.91
2025-10-18	oos	0.16598	0.160139	-3.52%	0.1457	-12.22%	0.1956	✗	1.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.16262	0.157284	-3.28%	0.14655	-9.88%	0.1625	✗	1.90
2025-10-16	oos	0.17082	0.16482	-3.51%	0.15474	-9.41%	0.1726	✗	1.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.179	0.17262	-3.56%	0.15283	-14.62%	0.1822	✗	1.91
2025-10-14	oos	0.19031	0.183517	-3.57%	0.1647	-13.46%	0.1358	✗	1.93
2025-10-13	oos	0.19446	0.187726	-3.46%	0.174	-10.52%	0.1680	✗	1.94
2025-10-12	oos	0.18541	0.179214	-3.34%	0.17766	-4.18%	0.2041	✗	1.92
2025-10-11	oos	0.16827	0.162671	-3.33%	0.19386	+15.21%	0.2584	✗	1.88
2025-10-10	oos	0.17768	0.171531	-3.46%	0.17656	-0.63%	0.1786	✗	1.96
2025-10-09	oos	0.21307	0.206609	-3.03%	0.17559	-17.59%	0.1568	✗	1.84
2025-10-08	oos	0.21974	0.213399	-2.89%	0.17696	-19.47%	0.1375	✗	1.83
2025-10-07	oos	0.21828	0.211224	-3.23%	0.16312	-25.27%	0.0848	✗	1.90
2025-10-06	oos	0.23022	0.223546	-2.90%	0.1752	-23.90%	0.1058	✗	1.91
2025-10-05	oos	0.21642	0.210174	-2.89%	0.16856	-22.11%	0.1520	✗	1.90
2025-10-04	oos	0.21715	0.210425	-3.10%	0.17522	-19.31%	0.0808	✗	1.90
2025-10-03	oos	0.22557	0.218328	-3.21%	0.19448	-13.78%	0.0770	✗	1.90
2025-10-02	oos	0.22759	0.219381	-3.61%	0.19622	-13.78%	0.0648	✗	1.92
2025-10-01	oos	0.22445	0.215633	-3.93%	0.20092	-10.48%	0.0847	✗	1.95
2025-09-30	oos	0.21499	0.205583	-4.38%	0.19653	-8.59%	0.0595	✗	2.02
2025-09-29	oos	0.21688	0.207161	-4.48%	0.2011	-7.28%	0.0486	✗	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.21613	0.20578	-4.79%	0.19451	-10.00%	0.0694	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.21279	0.202152	-5.00%	0.18484	-13.14%	0.1724	✓	2.10
2025-09-26	oos	0.21453	0.203763	-5.02%	0.17997	-16.11%	0.2154	✓	2.11
2025-09-25	oos	0.20754	0.197081	-5.04%	0.17259	-16.84%	0.1828	✓	2.10
2025-09-24	oos	0.22124	0.210434	-4.88%	0.17084	-22.78%	0.1646	✓	2.13
2025-09-23	oos	0.21907	0.207863	-5.12%	0.16515	-24.61%	0.1932	✓	2.15
2025-09-22	oos	0.22242	0.210882	-5.19%	0.1661	-25.32%	0.1396	✓	2.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.23427	0.222758	-4.91%	0.1705	-27.22%	0.1368	✓	2.11
2025-09-20	oos	0.24201	0.230136	-4.91%	0.17551	-27.48%	0.1716	✓	2.17
2025-09-19	oos	0.23899	0.227458	-4.83%	0.17053	-28.65%	0.1520	✓	2.18
2025-09-18	oos	0.24624	0.234796	-4.65%	0.16598	-32.59%	0.1535	✓	2.19
2025-09-17	oos	0.24305	0.231611	-4.71%	0.16262	-33.09%	0.1571	✓	2.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.