GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · gru_s8
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 225
Track record at +7d
assessed
68
of 75 predictions shown
direction hit
41.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1487
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0324
actual -0.0510
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2669 | 0.256104 | -4.05% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.246978 | -4.88% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.224465 | -3.64% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.210004 | -2.75% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.209572 | -2.77% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.211749 | -2.82% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.222686 | -3.05% | – | pending | – | – | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.208493 | -2.66% | 0.2669 | +24.60% | 0.2458 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.201531 | -2.48% | 0.25965 | +25.65% | 0.2536 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.206718 | -2.45% | 0.23295 | +9.93% | 0.1193 | ✗ | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.224295 | -3.07% | 0.21595 | -6.68% | 0.0368 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.226558 | -3.18% | 0.21555 | -7.88% | 0.0488 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.218246 | -3.07% | 0.2179 | -3.22% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.221085 | -3.16% | 0.2297 | +0.61% | 0.0379 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.21685 | -2.76% | 0.2142 | -3.95% | 0.0107 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.219851 | -2.94% | 0.20665 | -8.76% | 0.0601 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.217392 | -2.75% | 0.2119 | -5.21% | 0.0224 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.215587 | -2.78% | 0.2314 | +4.35% | 0.0731 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.209878 | -2.79% | 0.234 | +8.38% | 0.1100 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.209317 | -3.00% | 0.22515 | +4.33% | 0.0742 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.202135 | -2.70% | 0.2283 | +9.89% | 0.1243 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.201656 | -2.77% | 0.223 | +7.52% | 0.1008 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.198024 | -2.64% | 0.2265 | +11.36% | 0.1328 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.199669 | -2.93% | 0.22355 | +8.68% | 0.1111 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.196555 | -2.55% | 0.22175 | +9.94% | 0.1186 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.19837 | -2.69% | 0.2159 | +5.91% | 0.0844 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.203272 | -2.90% | 0.2158 | +3.08% | 0.0594 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.198984 | -2.79% | 0.20775 | +1.49% | 0.0426 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.189404 | -2.57% | 0.2074 | +6.69% | 0.0917 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.191012 | -2.42% | 0.2034 | +3.91% | 0.0658 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.187801 | -2.31% | 0.2057 | +7.00% | 0.0949 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.185151 | -3.21% | 0.2017 | +5.44% | 0.0817 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.187181 | -3.42% | 0.20385 | +5.19% | 0.0816 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.182604 | -3.59% | 0.20935 | +10.53% | 0.1330 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.171098 | -4.25% | 0.2047 | +14.55% | 0.1841 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.160271 | -4.32% | 0.1944 | +16.06% | 0.1978 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.160562 | -4.51% | 0.19575 | +16.41% | 0.2043 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.16311 | -4.33% | 0.19225 | +12.76% | 0.1706 | ✗ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.162251 | -4.70% | 0.1913 | +12.36% | 0.1685 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.163526 | -4.76% | 0.1938 | +12.87% | 0.1733 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.166266 | -4.96% | 0.1894 | +8.26% | 0.1335 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.16005 | -5.10% | 0.1787 | +5.96% | 0.1100 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.153094 | -4.47% | 0.1675 | +4.52% | 0.0899 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.159673 | -4.50% | 0.16815 | +0.57% | 0.0513 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.161141 | -4.48% | 0.1705 | +1.07% | 0.0563 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.157237 | -3.83% | 0.17025 | +4.13% | 0.0810 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.156553 | -3.78% | 0.1717 | +5.53% | 0.0934 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.156184 | -3.53% | 0.17495 | +8.06% | 0.1146 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.157146 | -3.12% | 0.16865 | +3.98% | 0.0737 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.154192 | -2.84% | 0.16025 | +0.98% | 0.0390 | ✗ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.147296 | -2.06% | 0.1672 | +11.17% | 0.1268 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.159286 | -2.46% | 0.1687 | +3.31% | 0.0581 | ✗ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.170101 | -2.46% | 0.1635 | -6.25% | 0.0369 | ✓ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.16669 | -2.18% | 0.1627 | -4.52% | 0.0232 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.161693 | -1.94% | 0.1619 | -1.82% | 0.0220 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.168794 | -1.69% | 0.1622 | -5.53% | 0.0521 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.18007 | -1.44% | 0.1587 | -13.14% | 0.1043 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.19442 | -1.21% | 0.1504 | -23.58% | 0.2423 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.201895 | -0.98% | 0.1633 | -19.91% | 0.2068 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.229696 | -0.78% | 0.1744 | -24.67% | 0.2746 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.244254 | -0.79% | 0.1704 | -30.79% | 0.3753 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.282991 | -0.91% | 0.1649 | -42.26% | 0.5338 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.27421 | -1.54% | 0.1717 | -38.35% | 0.5630 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.295475 | -2.87% | 0.1827 | -39.94% | 0.6121 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.281921 | -3.85% | 0.1968 | -32.88% | 0.5534 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.270842 | -3.72% | 0.2039 | -27.52% | 0.4868 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.271508 | -3.99% | 0.2315 | -18.14% | 0.3721 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.280175 | -4.18% | 0.2462 | -15.80% | 0.3303 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.289626 | -4.38% | 0.2856 | -5.71% | 0.2321 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.307437 | -4.79% | 0.2785 | -13.75% | 0.2396 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.302188 | -4.79% | 0.3042 | -4.16% | 0.0822 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.300919 | -5.04% | 0.2932 | -7.48% | 0.0439 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.309035 | -5.70% | 0.2813 | -14.16% | 0.1028 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.297524 | -4.36% | 0.2828 | -9.10% | 0.0192 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.283646 | -4.21% | 0.2924 | -1.25% | 0.0599 | ✗ | 1.00 |