GRVT

GRVT Token · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id: #373
symbol: GRVT
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-30
predictions: 225

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 75 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0369

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0070

actual -0.0039

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.2669	0.264358	-0.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.25965	0.255987	-1.41%	0.2669	+2.79%	0.0421	✗	0.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.23295	0.230801	-0.92%	0.25965	+11.46%	0.1164	✗	0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.21595	0.214682	-0.59%	0.23295	+7.87%	0.0819	✗	0.11
2026-10-17	oos	0.21555	0.214337	-0.56%	0.21595	+0.19%	0.0066	✗	0.11
2026-10-16	oos	0.2179	0.216711	-0.55%	0.21555	-1.08%	0.0052	✓	0.11
2026-10-15	oos	0.2297	0.228337	-0.59%	0.2179	-5.14%	0.0461	✓	0.09
2026-10-14	oos	0.2142	0.213152	-0.49%	0.2297	+7.24%	0.0742	✗	0.09
2026-10-13	oos	0.20665	0.205712	-0.45%	0.2142	+3.65%	0.0425	✗	0.11
2026-10-12	oos	0.2119	0.211004	-0.42%	0.20665	-2.48%	0.0229	✓	0.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.2314	0.230014	-0.60%	0.2119	-8.43%	0.0808	✓	0.05
2026-10-10	oos	0.234	0.232518	-0.63%	0.2314	-1.11%	0.0053	✓	0.06
2026-10-09	oos	0.22515	0.223714	-0.64%	0.234	+3.93%	0.0447	✗	0.05
2026-10-08	oos	0.2283	0.22672	-0.69%	0.22515	-1.38%	0.0075	✓	0.06
2026-10-07	oos	0.223	0.221701	-0.58%	0.2283	+2.38%	0.0308	✗	0.08
2026-10-06	oos	0.2265	0.224962	-0.68%	0.223	-1.55%	0.0071	✓	0.06
2026-10-05	oos	0.22355	0.222162	-0.62%	0.2265	+1.32%	0.0195	✗	0.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.22175	0.220324	-0.64%	0.22355	+0.81%	0.0152	✗	0.07
2026-10-03	oos	0.2159	0.214507	-0.65%	0.22175	+2.71%	0.0321	✗	0.06
2026-10-02	oos	0.2158	0.214212	-0.74%	0.2159	+0.05%	0.0077	✗	0.06
2026-10-01	oos	0.20775	0.206406	-0.65%	0.2158	+3.87%	0.0448	✗	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.2074	0.206059	-0.65%	0.20775	+0.17%	0.0072	✗	0.07
2026-09-29	oos	0.2034	0.202153	-0.61%	0.2074	+1.97%	0.0257	✗	0.07
2026-09-28	oos	0.2057	0.204173	-0.74%	0.2034	-1.12%	0.0039	✓	0.07
2026-09-27	oos	0.2017	0.200441	-0.62%	0.2057	+1.98%	0.0269	✗	0.08
2026-09-26	oos	0.20385	0.202515	-0.65%	0.2017	-1.05%	0.0041	✓	0.08
2026-09-25	oos	0.20935	0.207891	-0.70%	0.20385	-2.63%	0.0199	✓	0.08
2026-09-24	oos	0.2047	0.203346	-0.66%	0.20935	+2.27%	0.0294	✗	0.09
2026-09-23	oos	0.1944	0.193235	-0.60%	0.2047	+5.30%	0.0576	✗	0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.19575	0.194603	-0.59%	0.1944	-0.69%	0.0010	✓	0.10
2026-09-21	oos	0.19225	0.191164	-0.56%	0.19575	+1.82%	0.0242	✗	0.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.1913	0.189862	-0.75%	0.19225	+0.50%	0.0062	✓	0.10
2026-09-19	oos	0.1938	0.19221	-0.82%	0.1913	-1.29%	0.0047	✓	0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.1894	0.187735	-0.88%	0.1938	+2.32%	0.0314	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.1787	0.177005	-0.95%	0.1894	+5.99%	0.0705	✗	-0.05
2026-09-16	oos	0.1675	0.165987	-0.90%	0.1787	+6.69%	0.0739	✗	-0.05
2026-09-15	oos	0.16815	0.1666	-0.92%	0.1675	-0.39%	0.0057	✓	-0.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.1705	0.168939	-0.92%	0.16815	-1.38%	0.0067	✓	-0.06
2026-09-13	oos	0.17025	0.168613	-0.96%	0.1705	+0.15%	0.0123	✗	-0.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.1717	0.170014	-0.98%	0.17025	-0.84%	0.0010	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.17495	0.17311	-1.05%	0.1717	-1.86%	0.0081	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.16865	0.166852	-1.07%	0.17495	+3.74%	0.0481	✗	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.16025	0.158809	-0.90%	0.16865	+5.24%	0.0601	✗	-0.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.1672	0.165587	-0.96%	0.16025	-4.16%	0.0328	✓	-0.01
2026-09-07	oos	0.1687	0.166968	-1.03%	0.1672	-0.89%	0.0013	✓	-0.01
2026-09-06	oos	0.1635	0.162103	-0.85%	0.1687	+3.18%	0.0404	✗	0.03
2026-09-05	oos	0.1627	0.16136	-0.82%	0.1635	+0.49%	0.0130	✗	0.03
2026-09-04	oos	0.1619	0.160699	-0.74%	0.1627	+0.49%	0.0123	✗	0.04
2026-09-03	oos	0.1622	0.161105	-0.68%	0.1619	-0.18%	0.0059	✓	0.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.1587	0.157897	-0.51%	0.1622	+2.21%	0.0286	✗	-0.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.1504	0.149966	-0.29%	0.1587	+5.52%	0.0566	✗	-0.01
2026-08-31	oos	0.1633	0.162571	-0.45%	0.1504	-7.90%	0.0793	✓	-0.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.1744	0.173546	-0.49%	0.1633	-6.36%	0.0599	✓	-0.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.1704	0.169686	-0.42%	0.1744	+2.35%	0.0270	✗	-0.05
2026-08-28	oos	0.1649	0.16437	-0.32%	0.1704	+3.34%	0.0310	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.1717	0.171168	-0.31%	0.1649	-3.96%	0.0065	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.1827	0.182217	-0.26%	0.1717	-6.02%	0.0751	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.1968	0.19634	-0.23%	0.1827	-7.16%	0.0783	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.2039	0.20353	-0.18%	0.1968	-3.48%	0.0279	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.2315	0.231132	-0.16%	0.2039	-11.92%	0.1413	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.2462	0.245783	-0.17%	0.2315	-5.97%	0.0686	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.2856	0.28487	-0.26%	0.2462	-13.80%	0.1295	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.2785	0.277503	-0.36%	0.2856	+2.55%	0.0415	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.3042	0.302078	-0.70%	0.2785	-8.45%	0.1334	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.2932	0.290672	-0.86%	0.3042	+3.75%	0.0235	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.2813	0.279039	-0.80%	0.2932	+4.23%	0.0463	✗	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.2828	0.280437	-0.84%	0.2813	-0.53%	0.0227	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.2924	0.289857	-0.87%	0.2828	-3.28%	0.0218	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.3029	0.300166	-0.90%	0.2924	-3.47%	0.0269	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.3229	0.319606	-1.02%	0.3029	-6.19%	0.0466	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.3174	0.314218	-1.00%	0.3229	+1.73%	0.0270	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.3169	0.313362	-1.12%	0.3174	+0.16%	0.0147	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.3277	0.322918	-1.46%	0.3169	-3.30%	0.0128	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.3111	0.308051	-0.98%	0.3277	+5.34%	0.0764	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.2961	0.293398	-0.91%	0.3111	+5.07%	0.0595	✗	1.00