FOGO

Fogo · native · gru_s8

token id: #231
symbol: FOGO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +1d

assessed

270

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

57.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0345

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0045

actual -0.0081

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004217	0.004202	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	0.004277	0.004252	-0.58%	0.004217	-1.40%	0.0045	✓	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	0.003851	0.003842	-0.23%	0.004277	+11.08%	0.0904	✗	1.27
2026-10-18	oos	0.003825	0.003814	-0.27%	0.003851	+0.68%	0.0121	✗	1.28
2026-10-17	oos	0.004002	0.003988	-0.37%	0.003825	-4.45%	0.0517	✓	1.28
2026-10-16	oos	0.004275	0.004258	-0.40%	0.004002	-6.37%	0.0600	✓	1.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.004328	0.004317	-0.27%	0.004275	-1.24%	0.0000	✓	1.28
2026-10-14	oos	0.004691	0.004667	-0.50%	0.004328	-7.73%	0.0842	✓	1.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.004626	0.004606	-0.44%	0.004691	+1.41%	0.0431	✗	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004527	0.004514	-0.29%	0.004626	+2.19%	0.0028	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.004822	0.004802	-0.41%	0.004527	-6.11%	0.0290	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.00483	0.004802	-0.57%	0.004822	-0.18%	0.0077	✓	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.004737	0.004718	-0.40%	0.00483	+1.97%	0.0179	✗	1.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.004643	0.004622	-0.46%	0.004737	+2.01%	0.0114	✗	1.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.005002	0.004967	-0.69%	0.004643	-7.18%	0.0433	✓	1.27
2026-10-06	oos	0.005411	0.005386	-0.46%	0.005002	-7.56%	0.0410	✓	1.23
2026-10-05	oos	0.005498	0.005461	-0.68%	0.005411	-1.59%	0.0063	✓	1.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.005194	0.005173	-0.40%	0.005498	+5.86%	0.0720	✗	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	0.005281	0.005248	-0.64%	0.005194	-1.66%	0.0364	✓	1.27
2026-10-02	oos	0.005264	0.005234	-0.57%	0.005281	+0.33%	0.0055	✓	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	0.005278	0.005266	-0.22%	0.005264	-0.26%	0.0048	✗	1.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.005272	0.005257	-0.28%	0.005278	+0.10%	0.0159	✓	1.29
2026-09-29	oos	0.005346	0.005327	-0.35%	0.005272	-1.37%	0.0091	✓	1.30
2026-09-28	oos	0.005258	0.00523	-0.53%	0.005346	+1.66%	0.0190	✗	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.005724	0.005688	-0.62%	0.005258	-8.13%	0.0640	✓	1.22
2026-09-26	oos	0.006028	0.006	-0.46%	0.005724	-5.05%	0.0478	✓	1.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.006524	0.006484	-0.62%	0.006028	-7.60%	0.0778	✓	1.27
2026-09-24	oos	0.006392	0.006336	-0.88%	0.006524	+2.07%	0.0338	✗	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.006317	0.006264	-0.84%	0.006392	+1.19%	0.0201	✗	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.007283	0.00719	-1.27%	0.006317	-13.26%	0.1059	✓	1.11
2026-09-21	oos	0.006888	0.006838	-0.74%	0.007283	+5.73%	0.0681	✗	1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.006554	0.006494	-0.91%	0.006888	+5.10%	0.0149	✓	1.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.006693	0.006623	-1.05%	0.006554	-2.08%	0.0094	✓	1.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.00689	0.006842	-0.70%	0.006693	-2.86%	0.0270	✓	1.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.006279	0.006243	-0.57%	0.00689	+9.73%	0.0358	✗	1.09
2026-09-16	oos	0.005947	0.005919	-0.47%	0.006279	+5.58%	0.0561	✗	1.08
2026-09-15	oos	0.006045	0.006022	-0.39%	0.005947	-1.63%	0.0202	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.006344	0.006316	-0.44%	0.006045	-4.70%	0.0087	✓	1.04
2026-09-13	oos	0.006437	0.006421	-0.25%	0.006344	-1.44%	0.0307	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.00652	0.006502	-0.27%	0.006437	-1.27%	0.0038	✓	1.05
2026-09-11	oos	0.00645	0.006422	-0.43%	0.00652	+1.09%	0.0144	✗	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	0.006153	0.006125	-0.46%	0.00645	+4.82%	0.0424	✗	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	0.006489	0.006469	-0.29%	0.006153	-5.17%	0.0267	✓	1.04
2026-09-08	oos	0.007147	0.007112	-0.48%	0.006489	-9.21%	0.0895	✓	1.12
2026-09-07	oos	0.007177	0.007144	-0.45%	0.007147	-0.42%	0.0096	✗	1.13
2026-09-06	oos	0.007193	0.007165	-0.39%	0.007177	-0.22%	0.0191	✗	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.007146	0.007119	-0.38%	0.007193	+0.65%	0.0033	✓	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.007173	0.007146	-0.38%	0.007146	-0.38%	0.0021	✓	1.08
2026-09-03	oos	0.007119	0.007096	-0.32%	0.007173	+0.76%	0.0325	✗	1.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.007049	0.007024	-0.35%	0.007119	+0.99%	0.0476	✓	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	0.007102	0.007082	-0.28%	0.007049	-0.75%	0.0032	✓	1.24
2026-08-31	oos	0.007286	0.007271	-0.20%	0.007102	-2.52%	0.0068	✓	1.12
2026-08-30	oos	0.007177	0.007168	-0.13%	0.007286	+1.50%	0.0035	✗	1.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.007514	0.007501	-0.16%	0.007177	-4.47%	0.0366	✓	1.03
2026-08-28	oos	0.007463	0.007443	-0.26%	0.007514	+0.68%	0.0042	✗	1.03
2026-08-27	oos	0.009358	0.009286	-0.76%	0.007463	-20.26%	0.1915	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.009217	0.009146	-0.77%	0.009358	+1.54%	0.0092	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.00897	0.008912	-0.64%	0.009217	+2.75%	0.0280	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.00919	0.009127	-0.68%	0.00897	-2.40%	0.0123	✓	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	0.009352	0.009254	-1.05%	0.00919	-1.74%	0.0213	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.009317	0.009229	-0.95%	0.009352	+0.38%	0.0055	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.009706	0.009583	-1.28%	0.009317	-4.01%	0.0135	✓	0.89
2026-08-20	oos	0.008948	0.008842	-1.19%	0.009706	+8.47%	0.0356	✗	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	0.008426	0.008363	-0.75%	0.008948	+6.19%	0.0263	✗	0.79
2026-08-18	oos	0.008068	0.008013	-0.68%	0.008426	+4.45%	0.0054	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.008275	0.008231	-0.53%	0.008068	-2.51%	0.0222	✓	0.69
2026-08-16	oos	0.008578	0.008529	-0.58%	0.008275	-3.53%	0.0490	✓	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.008589	0.008533	-0.66%	0.008578	-0.13%	0.0074	✗	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.0085	0.008447	-0.62%	0.008589	+1.05%	0.0162	✗	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.008677	0.00862	-0.65%	0.0085	-2.03%	0.0087	✓	0.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.008703	0.008646	-0.66%	0.008677	-0.30%	0.0034	✓	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.008934	0.008871	-0.70%	0.008703	-2.59%	0.0177	✓	0.78
2026-08-10	oos	0.008901	0.008828	-0.83%	0.008934	+0.37%	0.0167	✗	0.79
2026-08-09	oos	0.00897	0.008916	-0.60%	0.008901	-0.77%	0.0099	✗	0.80
2026-08-08	oos	0.008852	0.00879	-0.71%	0.00897	+1.34%	0.0211	✗	0.80
2026-08-07	oos	0.008729	0.008653	-0.86%	0.008852	+1.41%	0.0225	✗	0.80
2026-08-06	oos	0.008348	0.008286	-0.75%	0.008729	+4.56%	0.0444	✗	0.79
2026-08-05	oos	0.008174	0.008144	-0.38%	0.008348	+2.12%	0.0290	✗	0.80
2026-08-04	oos	0.008171	0.008144	-0.33%	0.008174	+0.04%	0.0031	✓	0.79
2026-08-03	oos	0.008501	0.008464	-0.44%	0.008171	-3.88%	0.0426	✓	0.81
2026-08-02	oos	0.008375	0.008334	-0.49%	0.008501	+1.50%	0.0202	✗	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.008311	0.00828	-0.37%	0.008375	+0.76%	0.0018	✓	0.82
2026-07-31	oos	0.008329	0.00829	-0.47%	0.008311	-0.21%	0.0034	✓	0.82
2026-07-30	oos	0.008197	0.008166	-0.38%	0.008329	+1.61%	0.0459	✗	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	0.008067	0.00804	-0.33%	0.008197	+1.62%	0.0082	✗	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.008269	0.008242	-0.32%	0.008067	-2.45%	0.0222	✓	0.87
2026-07-27	oos	0.00824	0.008213	-0.33%	0.008269	+0.35%	0.0047	✗	0.87
2026-07-26	oos	0.008781	0.008752	-0.33%	0.00824	-6.16%	0.0387	✓	0.85
2026-07-25	oos	0.00862	0.0086	-0.24%	0.008781	+1.87%	0.0073	✗	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	0.008485	0.008471	-0.17%	0.00862	+1.60%	0.0147	✗	0.87
2026-07-23	oos	0.008905	0.008877	-0.31%	0.008485	-4.72%	0.0323	✓	0.86
2026-07-22	oos	0.009201	0.009171	-0.32%	0.008905	-3.21%	0.0161	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	0.00921	0.00919	-0.21%	0.009201	-0.10%	0.0066	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	0.008997	0.008977	-0.23%	0.00921	+2.36%	0.0102	✗	0.78
2026-07-19	oos	0.008913	0.008893	-0.22%	0.008997	+0.95%	0.0052	✗	0.78
2026-07-18	oos	0.008975	0.008956	-0.21%	0.008913	-0.70%	0.0036	✓	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.008969	0.008945	-0.27%	0.008975	+0.07%	0.0065	✓	0.70
2026-07-16	oos	0.009068	0.00903	-0.42%	0.008969	-1.10%	0.0081	✓	0.70
2026-07-15	oos	0.009512	0.009474	-0.40%	0.009068	-4.67%	0.0336	✓	0.70
2026-07-14	oos	0.009631	0.009596	-0.36%	0.009512	-1.23%	0.0058	✓	0.70
2026-07-13	oos	0.009423	0.009385	-0.41%	0.009631	+2.20%	0.0043	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.009672	0.009633	-0.40%	0.009423	-2.57%	0.0057	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.009697	0.00967	-0.28%	0.009672	-0.26%	0.0006	✓	0.75
2026-07-10	oos	0.010006	0.009963	-0.42%	0.009697	-3.08%	0.0229	✓	0.75
2026-07-09	oos	0.009274	0.009254	-0.21%	0.010006	+7.89%	0.0674	✗	0.71
2026-07-08	oos	0.009354	0.009327	-0.29%	0.009274	-0.85%	0.0159	✓	0.69
2026-07-07	oos	0.009024	0.008998	-0.28%	0.009354	+3.66%	0.0512	✗	0.72
2026-07-06	oos	0.009936	0.009867	-0.70%	0.009024	-9.19%	0.0821	✓	0.68
2026-07-05	oos	0.009499	0.009476	-0.25%	0.009936	+4.60%	0.0432	✗	0.65
2026-07-04	oos	0.009528	0.009507	-0.22%	0.009499	-0.30%	0.0058	✓	0.65
2026-07-03	oos	0.00991	0.009877	-0.33%	0.009528	-3.85%	0.0425	✓	0.72
2026-07-02	oos	0.009272	0.009237	-0.39%	0.00991	+6.88%	0.0587	✗	0.70
2026-07-01	oos	0.008911	0.008908	-0.03%	0.009272	+4.06%	0.0232	✗	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.00913	0.009133	+0.03%	0.008911	-2.41%	0.0413	✗	0.68
2026-06-29	oos	0.009267	0.009263	-0.05%	0.00913	-1.48%	0.0047	✗	0.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.008886	0.008889	+0.03%	0.009267	+4.29%	0.0341	✓	0.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.010396	0.010379	-0.16%	0.008886	-14.52%	0.1504	✓	0.64
2026-06-26	oos	0.011387	0.011361	-0.23%	0.010396	-8.70%	0.0880	✓	0.64
2026-06-25	oos	0.013294	0.013196	-0.74%	0.011387	-14.35%	0.1508	✓	0.67
2026-06-24	oos	0.011746	0.011711	-0.30%	0.013294	+13.17%	0.1437	✗	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.011966	0.011926	-0.33%	0.011746	-1.83%	0.0074	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.012642	0.012574	-0.54%	0.011966	-5.35%	0.0323	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.012428	0.012382	-0.37%	0.012642	+1.72%	0.0114	✗	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.012832	0.012786	-0.36%	0.012428	-3.15%	0.0162	✓	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.012462	0.012424	-0.30%	0.012832	+2.97%	0.0232	✗	0.78
2026-06-18	oos	0.012835	0.012787	-0.37%	0.012462	-2.90%	0.0332	✓	0.78
2026-06-17	oos	0.012688	0.012635	-0.42%	0.012835	+1.15%	0.0352	✗	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.013016	0.012959	-0.44%	0.012688	-2.52%	0.0070	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.013092	0.013038	-0.41%	0.013016	-0.58%	0.0065	✗	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.012842	0.01279	-0.40%	0.013092	+1.94%	0.0162	✗	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.012725	0.012675	-0.39%	0.012842	+0.92%	0.0029	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.012232	0.012189	-0.35%	0.012725	+4.03%	0.0320	✗	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.012412	0.012353	-0.48%	0.012232	-1.45%	0.0095	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.010985	0.010971	-0.13%	0.012412	+12.99%	0.0998	✗	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.011482	0.011453	-0.26%	0.010985	-4.33%	0.0390	✓	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.011378	0.011372	-0.05%	0.011482	+0.92%	0.0255	✗	0.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.011748	0.011738	-0.09%	0.011378	-3.15%	0.0285	✓	0.68
2026-06-06	oos	0.011652	0.011657	+0.04%	0.011748	+0.82%	0.0203	✗	0.71
2026-06-05	oos	0.011203	0.011215	+0.11%	0.011652	+4.01%	0.0404	✓	0.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.012499	0.012473	-0.21%	0.011203	-10.37%	0.0805	✓	0.61
2026-06-03	oos	0.013995	0.013933	-0.44%	0.012499	-10.69%	0.1066	✓	0.54
2026-06-02	oos	0.013404	0.013346	-0.43%	0.013995	+4.41%	0.0725	✗	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.014529	0.01442	-0.75%	0.013404	-7.74%	0.0428	✓	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.01378	0.013703	-0.56%	0.014529	+5.44%	0.0748	✗	0.52
2026-05-30	oos	0.013753	0.01369	-0.46%	0.01378	+0.20%	0.0078	✗	0.45
2026-05-29	oos	0.013702	0.013651	-0.37%	0.013753	+0.37%	0.0048	✗	0.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.013771	0.013719	-0.38%	0.013702	-0.50%	0.0003	✓	0.46
2026-05-27	oos	0.014086	0.014037	-0.34%	0.013771	-2.23%	0.0135	✓	0.51
2026-05-26	oos	0.014748	0.014693	-0.37%	0.014086	-4.49%	0.0327	✓	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.015144	0.015084	-0.40%	0.014748	-2.62%	0.0148	✓	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.015189	0.015112	-0.51%	0.015144	-0.30%	0.0007	✓	0.41
2026-05-23	oos	0.0154	0.015343	-0.37%	0.015189	-1.37%	0.0114	✓	0.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.015911	0.015835	-0.48%	0.0154	-3.21%	0.0328	✓	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.016543	0.016467	-0.46%	0.015911	-3.82%	0.0261	✓	0.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.015889	0.015797	-0.58%	0.016543	+4.11%	0.0458	✗	0.35
2026-05-19	oos	0.021894	0.02146	-1.98%	0.015889	-27.43%	0.3042	✓	0.39
2026-05-18	oos	0.016803	0.016744	-0.35%	0.021894	+30.30%	0.2691	✗	0.40
2026-05-17	oos	0.016754	0.016703	-0.30%	0.016803	+0.29%	0.0083	✗	0.39
2026-05-16	oos	0.017336	0.017283	-0.31%	0.016754	-3.36%	0.0277	✓	0.38
2026-05-15	oos	0.018036	0.017992	-0.25%	0.017336	-3.88%	0.0325	✓	0.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.019797	0.019732	-0.33%	0.018036	-8.90%	0.0813	✓	0.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.019858	0.019777	-0.41%	0.019797	-0.30%	0.0074	✓	0.38
2026-05-12	oos	0.020427	0.020349	-0.38%	0.019858	-2.79%	0.0191	✓	0.36
2026-05-11	oos	0.021038	0.020955	-0.40%	0.020427	-2.90%	0.0200	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.02208	0.021964	-0.53%	0.021038	-4.72%	0.0409	✓	0.38
2026-05-09	oos	0.021847	0.021726	-0.55%	0.02208	+1.07%	0.0089	✗	0.38
2026-05-08	oos	0.021547	0.021427	-0.55%	0.021847	+1.39%	0.0172	✗	0.37
2026-05-07	oos	0.019933	0.019848	-0.43%	0.021547	+8.09%	0.0812	✗	0.42
2026-05-06	oos	0.019935	0.019848	-0.44%	0.019933	-0.01%	0.0144	✗	0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.019731	0.019632	-0.50%	0.019935	+1.03%	0.0111	✗	0.64
2026-05-04	oos	0.019845	0.019715	-0.65%	0.019731	-0.58%	0.0079	✓	0.66
2026-05-03	oos	0.019117	0.018944	-0.90%	0.019845	+3.81%	0.0350	✗	0.70
2026-05-02	oos	0.018419	0.018381	-0.21%	0.019117	+3.79%	0.0404	✗	0.70
2026-05-01	oos	0.017603	0.017574	-0.16%	0.018419	+4.64%	0.0430	✗	0.69
2026-04-30	oos	0.017437	0.0174	-0.21%	0.017603	+0.95%	0.0066	✓	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.017567	0.017526	-0.23%	0.017437	-0.74%	0.0104	✓	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.018426	0.018374	-0.28%	0.017567	-4.66%	0.0390	✓	0.79
2026-04-27	oos	0.018753	0.018697	-0.30%	0.018426	-1.75%	0.0037	✓	0.80
2026-04-26	oos	0.019489	0.019419	-0.36%	0.018753	-3.77%	0.0214	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.018378	0.018331	-0.25%	0.019489	+6.05%	0.0508	✗	0.80
2026-04-24	oos	0.018617	0.018567	-0.27%	0.018378	-1.29%	0.0123	✓	0.82
2026-04-23	oos	0.018527	0.018485	-0.23%	0.018617	+0.48%	0.0157	✗	0.82
2026-04-22	oos	0.018726	0.018681	-0.24%	0.018527	-1.06%	0.0090	✓	0.82
2026-04-21	oos	0.019744	0.019664	-0.40%	0.018726	-5.16%	0.0691	✓	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	0.019238	0.019157	-0.42%	0.019744	+2.63%	0.0248	✗	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.020035	0.019931	-0.52%	0.019238	-3.98%	0.0601	✓	0.91
2026-04-18	oos	0.019848	0.019744	-0.52%	0.020035	+0.94%	0.0382	✗	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.019895	0.019808	-0.44%	0.019848	-0.24%	0.0184	✗	0.92
2026-04-16	oos	0.0194	0.019304	-0.49%	0.019895	+2.55%	0.0067	✗	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.018617	0.018528	-0.48%	0.0194	+4.21%	0.0420	✗	0.92
2026-04-14	oos	0.018823	0.018703	-0.64%	0.018617	-1.09%	0.0127	✓	0.92
2026-04-13	oos	0.01784	0.017758	-0.46%	0.018823	+5.51%	0.0616	✗	0.92
2026-04-12	oos	0.016785	0.016712	-0.44%	0.01784	+6.28%	0.0193	✗	0.90
2026-04-11	oos	0.01739	0.017294	-0.55%	0.016785	-3.48%	0.0005	✓	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.018027	0.017935	-0.51%	0.01739	-3.54%	0.0319	✓	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.018975	0.018874	-0.53%	0.018027	-4.99%	0.0611	✓	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.018769	0.018675	-0.50%	0.018975	+1.10%	0.0068	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.018412	0.018324	-0.48%	0.018769	+1.94%	0.0346	✗	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.01834	0.018223	-0.64%	0.018412	+0.39%	0.0305	✓	0.94
2026-04-05	oos	0.019069	0.018939	-0.68%	0.01834	-3.82%	0.0300	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.017457	0.017366	-0.52%	0.019069	+9.23%	0.0706	✗	0.91
2026-04-03	oos	0.016753	0.01671	-0.26%	0.017457	+4.20%	0.0393	✗	0.91
2026-04-02	oos	0.016893	0.016842	-0.30%	0.016753	-0.83%	0.0062	✓	0.91
2026-04-01	oos	0.016632	0.016591	-0.25%	0.016893	+1.57%	0.0346	✗	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.016769	0.01674	-0.18%	0.016632	-0.82%	0.0050	✓	0.91
2026-03-30	oos	0.016882	0.016857	-0.15%	0.016769	-0.67%	0.0255	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.016501	0.016488	-0.07%	0.016882	+2.31%	0.0128	✗	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.016659	0.016645	-0.08%	0.016501	-0.95%	0.0037	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.017021	0.017	-0.12%	0.016659	-2.12%	0.0198	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.018289	0.01824	-0.27%	0.017021	-6.94%	0.0368	✓	0.90
2026-03-25	oos	0.019583	0.019506	-0.39%	0.018289	-6.61%	0.0321	✓	0.89
2026-03-24	oos	0.018451	0.018396	-0.30%	0.019583	+6.13%	0.0530	✗	0.88
2026-03-23	oos	0.019065	0.019008	-0.30%	0.018451	-3.22%	0.0254	✓	0.88
2026-03-22	oos	0.019144	0.019096	-0.25%	0.019065	-0.41%	0.0411	✓	0.90
2026-03-21	oos	0.019381	0.019328	-0.27%	0.019144	-1.23%	0.0045	✗	0.91
2026-03-20	oos	0.019715	0.019656	-0.30%	0.019381	-1.69%	0.0066	✗	0.91
2026-03-19	oos	0.020893	0.020828	-0.32%	0.019715	-5.64%	0.0625	✓	0.92
2026-03-18	oos	0.021166	0.021101	-0.31%	0.020893	-1.29%	0.0074	✗	0.92
2026-03-17	oos	0.022669	0.022592	-0.34%	0.021166	-6.63%	0.0315	✓	0.91
2026-03-16	oos	0.023768	0.023681	-0.36%	0.022669	-4.62%	0.0321	✓	0.91
2026-03-15	oos	0.023668	0.023577	-0.38%	0.023768	+0.42%	0.0174	✓	0.91
2026-03-14	oos	0.023757	0.02366	-0.41%	0.023668	-0.37%	0.0200	✓	0.92
2026-03-13	oos	0.023046	0.022957	-0.39%	0.023757	+3.09%	0.0306	✗	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.023444	0.023349	-0.40%	0.023046	-1.70%	0.0184	✓	0.92
2026-03-11	oos	0.023227	0.02313	-0.42%	0.023444	+0.94%	0.0093	✗	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.022927	0.022834	-0.41%	0.023227	+1.30%	0.0138	✗	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.023918	0.023799	-0.50%	0.022927	-4.14%	0.0579	✓	0.93
2026-03-08	oos	0.023185	0.023075	-0.47%	0.023918	+3.16%	0.0018	✓	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.023544	0.023399	-0.62%	0.023185	-1.52%	0.0089	✗	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.022694	0.022569	-0.55%	0.023544	+3.74%	0.0540	✗	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.022218	0.022108	-0.50%	0.022694	+2.14%	0.0650	✗	0.97
2026-03-04	oos	0.022741	0.022618	-0.54%	0.022218	-2.30%	0.0065	✗	0.97
2026-03-03	oos	0.02346	0.023331	-0.55%	0.022741	-3.06%	0.0911	✓	1.06
2026-03-02	oos	0.024244	0.024095	-0.61%	0.02346	-3.23%	0.0190	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.025315	0.025171	-0.57%	0.024244	-4.23%	0.0894	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.026588	0.026413	-0.66%	0.025315	-4.79%	0.0220	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.027117	0.026919	-0.73%	0.026588	-1.95%	0.0316	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.030155	0.029788	-1.22%	0.027117	-10.08%	0.0664	✓	1.13
2026-02-25	oos	0.027762	0.027455	-1.11%	0.030155	+8.62%	0.1022	✗	1.13
2026-02-24	oos	0.028227	0.027751	-1.68%	0.027762	-1.65%	0.0727	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.027473	0.027246	-0.83%	0.028227	+2.74%	0.0460	✗	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.025669	0.025503	-0.65%	0.027473	+7.03%	0.1339	✗	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.025697	0.02552	-0.69%	0.025669	-0.11%	0.0124	✗	1.31
2026-02-20	oos	0.027143	0.026877	-0.98%	0.025697	-5.33%	0.0444	✓	1.32
2026-02-19	oos	0.023558	0.023451	-0.46%	0.027143	+15.22%	0.1273	✗	1.26
2026-02-18	oos	0.025147	0.024967	-0.72%	0.023558	-6.32%	0.0687	✓	1.29
2026-02-17	oos	0.024497	0.024372	-0.51%	0.025147	+2.65%	0.0515	✗	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.02397	0.023855	-0.48%	0.024497	+2.20%	0.0531	✗	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.022138	0.022095	-0.19%	0.02397	+8.28%	0.0802	✗	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	0.022964	0.022894	-0.30%	0.022138	-3.60%	0.0152	✓	1.28
2026-02-13	oos	0.022176	0.022135	-0.19%	0.022964	+3.55%	0.0227	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.021047	0.021079	+0.15%	0.022176	+5.37%	0.0122	✓	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	0.020438	0.020477	+0.19%	0.021047	+2.98%	0.0397	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.020966	0.020993	+0.13%	0.020438	-2.52%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.022579	0.022571	-0.04%	0.020966	-7.14%	0.0551	✓	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.023423	0.023416	-0.03%	0.022579	-3.61%	0.0339	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.023904	0.023928	+0.10%	0.023423	-2.01%	0.0362	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.026671	0.026648	-0.09%	0.023904	-10.38%	0.0903	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.023714	0.02383	+0.49%	0.026671	+12.47%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.02696	0.026942	-0.07%	0.023714	-12.04%	0.0230	✗	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.0285	0.028429	-0.25%	0.02696	-5.40%	0.0172	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.032828	0.03264	-0.57%	0.0285	-13.18%	0.0967	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.033105	0.032941	-0.49%	0.032828	-0.84%	0.0262	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.03362	0.033447	-0.52%	0.033105	-1.53%	0.0123	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.037213	0.036892	-0.86%	0.03362	-9.66%	0.0257	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.035199	0.034914	-0.81%	0.037213	+5.72%	0.0685	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.041349	0.040815	-1.29%	0.035199	-14.88%	0.0945	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.038897	0.038498	-1.02%	0.041349	+6.31%	0.0709	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.036117	0.03578	-0.93%	0.038897	+7.70%	0.0738	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.035127	0.034818	-0.88%	0.036117	+2.82%	0.0173	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.038441	0.038032	-1.06%	0.035127	-8.62%	0.0508	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.