FIRO

Firo · native · gru_s8

token id: #950
symbol: FIRO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

52.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0499

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0060

actual +0.0016

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.8476	0.843099	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.8371	0.83329	-0.46%	0.8476	+1.25%	0.0196	✗	0.89
2026-10-19	oos	0.8963	0.891778	-0.50%	0.8371	-6.60%	0.0753	✓	0.90
2026-10-18	oos	0.9173	0.91236	-0.54%	0.8963	-2.29%	0.0159	✓	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.8812	0.877498	-0.42%	0.9173	+4.10%	0.0375	✗	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.922	0.917529	-0.48%	0.8812	-4.43%	0.0391	✓	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.9549	0.949608	-0.55%	0.922	-3.45%	0.0228	✓	0.88
2026-10-14	oos	0.93775	0.93315	-0.49%	0.9549	+1.83%	0.0170	✗	0.88
2026-10-13	oos	1.0017	0.995228	-0.65%	0.93775	-6.38%	0.0433	✓	0.87
2026-10-12	oos	1.0128	1.0061	-0.66%	1.0017	-1.09%	0.0188	✓	0.88
2026-10-11	oos	0.9873	0.980943	-0.64%	1.0128	+2.58%	0.0527	✗	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.9798	0.973663	-0.63%	0.9873	+0.77%	0.0057	✓	0.89
2026-10-09	oos	0.9222	0.917477	-0.51%	0.9798	+6.25%	0.0618	✗	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.8936	0.889661	-0.44%	0.9222	+3.20%	0.0268	✗	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.99505	0.9885	-0.66%	0.8936	-10.20%	0.0848	✓	0.84
2026-10-06	oos	0.9847	0.978235	-0.66%	0.99505	+1.05%	0.0400	✗	0.86
2026-10-05	oos	1.0559	1.0482	-0.74%	0.9847	-6.75%	0.0604	✓	0.84
2026-10-04	oos	1.1169	1.1079	-0.80%	1.0559	-5.46%	0.0408	✓	0.83
2026-10-03	oos	1.0857	1.077	-0.81%	1.1169	+2.87%	0.0195	✗	0.82
2026-10-02	oos	1.0794	1.0704	-0.83%	1.0857	+0.59%	0.0119	✗	0.82
2026-10-01	oos	1.0735	1.0648	-0.81%	1.0794	+0.54%	0.0169	✗	0.82
2026-09-30	oos	1.0859	1.0774	-0.79%	1.0735	-1.15%	0.0161	✓	0.82
2026-09-29	oos	1.0804	1.0723	-0.75%	1.0859	+0.51%	0.0134	✗	0.80
2026-09-28	oos	1.2496	1.2384	-0.90%	1.0804	-13.54%	0.1382	✓	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.2486	1.2374	-0.89%	1.2496	+0.08%	0.0186	✗	0.74
2026-09-26	oos	1.2486	1.2376	-0.88%	1.2486	+0.00%	0.0084	✓	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	1.3131	1.2988	-1.08%	1.2486	-4.91%	0.0422	✓	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	1.2151	1.2041	-0.91%	1.3131	+8.06%	0.0892	✗	0.73
2026-09-23	oos	1.2796	1.2663	-1.04%	1.2151	-5.04%	0.0413	✓	0.73
2026-09-22	oos	1.3302	1.3139	-1.23%	1.2796	-3.80%	0.0113	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	1.2501	1.235	-1.21%	1.3302	+6.41%	0.0777	✗	0.75
2026-09-20	oos	1.1219	1.1108	-0.99%	1.2501	+11.43%	0.0757	✗	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	1.217	1.2001	-1.39%	1.1219	-7.81%	0.0668	✓	0.64
2026-09-18	oos	1.199	1.1764	-1.88%	1.217	+1.50%	0.0312	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.9257	0.91759	-0.88%	1.199	+29.52%	0.2532	✗	0.25
2026-09-16	oos	0.8081	0.804248	-0.48%	0.9257	+14.55%	0.1400	✗	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.8086	0.804425	-0.52%	0.8081	-0.06%	0.0026	✓	0.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.7633	0.760831	-0.32%	0.8086	+5.93%	0.0729	✗	0.36
2026-09-13	oos	0.7143	0.713314	-0.14%	0.7633	+6.86%	0.0619	✗	0.33
2026-09-12	oos	0.7453	0.74386	-0.19%	0.7143	-4.16%	0.0386	✓	0.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.7486	0.747257	-0.18%	0.7453	-0.44%	0.0028	✓	0.31
2026-09-10	oos	0.73085	0.730054	-0.11%	0.7486	+2.43%	0.0223	✗	0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.77315	0.771769	-0.18%	0.73085	-5.47%	0.0483	✓	0.27
2026-09-08	oos	0.8507	0.847181	-0.41%	0.77315	-9.12%	0.0909	✓	0.27
2026-09-07	oos	0.8843	0.879335	-0.56%	0.8507	-3.80%	0.0309	✓	0.26
2026-09-06	oos	1.0139	1.0014	-1.23%	0.8843	-12.78%	0.1214	✓	0.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.88455	0.875404	-1.03%	1.0139	+14.62%	0.1458	✗	0.17
2026-09-04	oos	0.6999	0.699465	-0.06%	0.88455	+26.38%	0.2345	✗	0.13
2026-09-03	oos	0.6648	0.665196	+0.06%	0.6999	+5.28%	0.0541	✓	0.17
2026-09-02	oos	0.6575	0.657711	+0.03%	0.6648	+1.11%	0.0025	✗	0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.6566	0.656844	+0.04%	0.6575	+0.14%	0.0013	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.6867	0.686696	-0.00%	0.6566	-4.38%	0.0412	✓	0.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.6726	0.6725	-0.01%	0.6867	+2.10%	0.0176	✗	0.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.6713	0.671141	-0.02%	0.6726	+0.19%	0.0040	✗	0.26
2026-08-28	oos	0.6639	0.663622	-0.04%	0.6713	+1.11%	0.0102	✗	0.26
2026-08-27	oos	0.6748	0.674439	-0.05%	0.6639	-1.62%	0.0081	✓	0.25
2026-08-26	oos	0.6745	0.673813	-0.10%	0.6748	+0.04%	0.0024	✓	0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.6911	0.689915	-0.17%	0.6745	-2.40%	0.0242	✓	0.25
2026-08-24	oos	0.676	0.674864	-0.17%	0.6911	+2.23%	0.0253	✗	0.26
2026-08-23	oos	0.7136	0.711449	-0.30%	0.676	-5.27%	0.0559	✓	0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.7006	0.698329	-0.32%	0.7136	+1.86%	0.0190	✗	0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.6643	0.662784	-0.23%	0.7006	+5.46%	0.0610	✗	0.33
2026-08-20	oos	0.6627	0.660676	-0.31%	0.6643	+0.24%	0.0200	✓	0.36
2026-08-19	oos	0.6468	0.644419	-0.37%	0.6627	+2.46%	0.0096	✗	0.35
2026-08-18	oos	0.6224	0.619736	-0.43%	0.6468	+3.92%	0.0222	✗	0.30
2026-08-17	oos	0.6235	0.62077	-0.44%	0.6224	-0.18%	0.0016	✓	0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.6239	0.621035	-0.46%	0.6235	-0.06%	0.0047	✓	0.34
2026-08-15	oos	0.6215	0.618684	-0.45%	0.6239	+0.39%	0.0094	✗	0.33
2026-08-14	oos	0.629	0.626042	-0.47%	0.6215	-1.19%	0.0075	✓	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.6267	0.623729	-0.47%	0.629	+0.37%	0.0113	✗	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.6273	0.624279	-0.48%	0.6267	-0.10%	0.0038	✓	0.43
2026-08-11	oos	0.6415	0.638271	-0.50%	0.6273	-2.21%	0.0164	✓	0.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.6254	0.622397	-0.48%	0.6415	+2.57%	0.0335	✗	0.55
2026-08-09	oos	0.6305	0.627497	-0.48%	0.6254	-0.81%	0.0036	✓	0.48
2026-08-08	oos	0.6489	0.645649	-0.50%	0.6305	-2.84%	0.0233	✓	0.48
2026-08-07	oos	0.6318	0.628768	-0.48%	0.6489	+2.71%	0.0314	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.6206	0.617646	-0.48%	0.6318	+1.80%	0.0180	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.6237	0.620673	-0.49%	0.6206	-0.50%	0.0024	✓	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.6509	0.647509	-0.52%	0.6237	-4.18%	0.0416	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.656	0.652505	-0.53%	0.6509	-0.78%	0.0074	✓	0.53
2026-08-02	oos	0.6586	0.655128	-0.53%	0.656	-0.39%	0.0016	✓	0.59
2026-08-01	oos	0.6603	0.656827	-0.53%	0.6586	-0.26%	0.0042	✓	0.60
2026-07-31	oos	0.6649	0.661165	-0.56%	0.6603	-0.69%	0.0007	✓	0.60
2026-07-30	oos	0.6688	0.665295	-0.52%	0.6649	-0.58%	0.0178	✗	0.62
2026-07-29	oos	0.6391	0.635946	-0.49%	0.6688	+4.65%	0.0425	✗	0.62
2026-07-28	oos	0.6317	0.62861	-0.49%	0.6391	+1.17%	0.0161	✗	0.62
2026-07-27	oos	0.6857	0.681017	-0.68%	0.6317	-7.88%	0.0767	✓	0.65
2026-07-26	oos	0.666	0.662824	-0.48%	0.6857	+2.96%	0.0509	✗	0.66
2026-07-25	oos	0.6855	0.681852	-0.53%	0.666	-2.84%	0.0352	✓	0.73
2026-07-24	oos	0.75	0.743324	-0.89%	0.6855	-8.60%	0.0837	✓	0.82
2026-07-23	oos	0.6247	0.622231	-0.40%	0.75	+20.06%	0.2005	✗	0.92
2026-07-22	oos	0.6896	0.685773	-0.55%	0.6247	-9.41%	0.0792	✓	0.89
2026-07-21	oos	0.651	0.648059	-0.45%	0.6896	+5.93%	0.0680	✗	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.6351	0.632463	-0.42%	0.651	+2.50%	0.0106	✗	0.92
2026-07-19	oos	0.6101	0.607993	-0.35%	0.6351	+4.10%	0.0361	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.6132	0.611083	-0.35%	0.6101	-0.51%	0.0000	✓	0.90
2026-07-17	oos	0.6091	0.607129	-0.32%	0.6132	+0.67%	0.0026	✓	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.6314	0.62918	-0.35%	0.6091	-3.53%	0.0342	✓	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.6589	0.656316	-0.39%	0.6314	-4.17%	0.0250	✓	0.93
2026-07-14	oos	0.6501	0.647679	-0.37%	0.6589	+1.35%	0.0210	✗	0.92
2026-07-13	oos	0.636	0.633852	-0.34%	0.6501	+2.22%	0.0147	✓	0.93
2026-07-12	oos	0.6463	0.643979	-0.36%	0.636	-1.59%	0.0096	✗	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.6453	0.642982	-0.36%	0.6463	+0.15%	0.0056	✗	0.91
2026-07-10	oos	0.6517	0.649198	-0.38%	0.6453	-0.98%	0.0010	✓	0.91
2026-07-09	oos	0.6119	0.610017	-0.31%	0.6517	+6.50%	0.0527	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	0.6209	0.619024	-0.30%	0.6119	-1.45%	0.0255	✓	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.6265	0.624573	-0.31%	0.6209	-0.89%	0.0103	✗	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.63	0.628026	-0.31%	0.6265	-0.56%	0.0076	✗	0.94
2026-07-05	oos	0.6357	0.633741	-0.31%	0.63	-0.90%	0.0121	✓	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.6459	0.64383	-0.32%	0.6357	-1.58%	0.0202	✓	0.95
2026-07-03	oos	0.6386	0.636703	-0.30%	0.6459	+1.14%	0.0062	✗	0.91
2026-07-02	oos	0.6473	0.645391	-0.29%	0.6386	-1.34%	0.0260	✓	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.6503	0.64861	-0.26%	0.6473	-0.46%	0.0257	✓	0.94
2026-06-30	oos	0.6606	0.658978	-0.25%	0.6503	-1.56%	0.0366	✓	0.96
2026-06-29	oos	0.642	0.640528	-0.23%	0.6606	+2.90%	0.0586	✗	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6702	0.668526	-0.25%	0.642	-4.21%	0.0521	✓	1.01
2026-06-27	oos	0.6664	0.664736	-0.25%	0.6702	+0.57%	0.0159	✗	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.6523	0.650888	-0.22%	0.6664	+2.16%	0.0247	✗	0.99
2026-06-25	oos	0.6487	0.647445	-0.19%	0.6523	+0.55%	0.0025	✗	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.653	0.651622	-0.21%	0.6487	-0.66%	0.0165	✗	0.99
2026-06-23	oos	0.6854	0.683464	-0.28%	0.653	-4.73%	0.0176	✓	1.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.6992	0.69706	-0.31%	0.6854	-1.97%	0.0050	✗	1.06
2026-06-21	oos	0.7204	0.718071	-0.32%	0.6992	-2.94%	0.0387	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.7058	0.703597	-0.31%	0.7204	+2.07%	0.0404	✗	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.7008	0.698818	-0.28%	0.7058	+0.71%	0.0031	✓	1.11
2026-06-18	oos	0.7193	0.717273	-0.28%	0.7008	-2.57%	0.0336	✓	1.10
2026-06-17	oos	0.7489	0.746334	-0.34%	0.7193	-3.95%	0.0100	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.7709	0.767858	-0.39%	0.7489	-2.85%	0.0053	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.7762	0.772743	-0.45%	0.7709	-0.68%	0.0081	✗	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.7691	0.766255	-0.37%	0.7762	+0.92%	0.0038	✗	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.7705	0.767918	-0.34%	0.7691	-0.18%	0.0197	✓	1.08
2026-06-12	oos	0.756	0.753929	-0.27%	0.7705	+1.92%	0.0067	✗	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.732	0.730641	-0.19%	0.756	+3.28%	0.0345	✗	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.7157	0.715414	-0.04%	0.732	+2.28%	0.0139	✓	1.09
2026-06-09	oos	0.7293	0.729058	-0.03%	0.7157	-1.86%	0.0142	✓	1.09
2026-06-08	oos	0.7329	0.732585	-0.04%	0.7293	-0.49%	0.0197	✗	1.10
2026-06-07	oos	0.7127	0.71295	+0.04%	0.7329	+2.83%	0.0316	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.7402	0.741169	+0.13%	0.7127	-3.72%	0.0847	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.7405	0.741735	+0.17%	0.7402	-0.04%	0.0013	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.8074	0.807361	-0.00%	0.7405	-8.29%	0.0365	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.875	0.873845	-0.13%	0.8074	-7.73%	0.0749	✓	1.14
2026-06-02	oos	0.874	0.872236	-0.20%	0.875	+0.11%	0.0485	✗	1.13
2026-06-01	oos	0.9156	0.911482	-0.45%	0.874	-4.54%	0.0280	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.895	0.890711	-0.48%	0.9156	+2.30%	0.0620	✗	1.10
2026-05-30	oos	0.912	0.907666	-0.48%	0.895	-1.86%	0.0116	✓	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.9561	0.951017	-0.53%	0.912	-4.61%	0.0469	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.9597	0.95456	-0.54%	0.9561	-0.38%	0.0034	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.9509	0.945883	-0.53%	0.9597	+0.93%	0.0233	✗	0.81
2026-05-26	oos	0.9861	0.979702	-0.65%	0.9509	-3.57%	0.0137	✓	0.80
2026-05-25	oos	1.0307	1.023	-0.75%	0.9861	-4.33%	0.0205	✓	0.87
2026-05-24	oos	1.0175	1.0097	-0.77%	1.0307	+1.30%	0.0175	✗	0.88
2026-05-23	oos	0.927	0.921948	-0.54%	1.0175	+9.76%	0.0949	✗	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.9386	0.933788	-0.51%	0.927	-1.24%	0.0215	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.9575	0.951934	-0.58%	0.9386	-1.97%	0.0107	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	1.0566	1.0488	-0.74%	0.9575	-9.38%	0.0919	✓	0.89
2026-05-19	oos	0.9715	0.965729	-0.59%	1.0566	+8.76%	0.0819	✗	0.87
2026-05-18	oos	0.9539	0.948613	-0.55%	0.9715	+1.85%	0.0259	✗	0.88
2026-05-17	oos	0.9369	0.931887	-0.54%	0.9539	+1.81%	0.0288	✗	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	1.0445	1.0385	-0.58%	0.9369	-10.30%	0.0951	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	1.201	1.1925	-0.71%	1.0445	-13.03%	0.1224	✓	0.84
2026-05-14	oos	1.2687	1.2585	-0.80%	1.201	-5.34%	0.0263	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	1.1912	1.1825	-0.73%	1.2687	+6.51%	0.0513	✗	0.85
2026-05-12	oos	1.3903	1.3734	-1.21%	1.1912	-14.32%	0.1304	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	1.1881	1.1786	-0.80%	1.3903	+17.02%	0.1788	✗	0.89
2026-05-10	oos	1.1859	1.1767	-0.78%	1.1881	+0.19%	0.0149	✗	0.91
2026-05-09	oos	1.1651	1.156	-0.79%	1.1859	+1.79%	0.0083	✗	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	1.168	1.1578	-0.88%	1.1651	-0.25%	0.0012	✓	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	1.1705	1.16	-0.90%	1.168	-0.21%	0.0048	✓	0.90
2026-05-06	oos	1.1673	1.1532	-1.20%	1.1705	+0.27%	0.0345	✗	1.11
2026-05-05	oos	1.0047	0.996398	-0.83%	1.1673	+16.18%	0.1506	✗	1.18
2026-05-04	oos	0.9014	0.896164	-0.58%	1.0047	+11.46%	0.0993	✗	1.15
2026-05-03	oos	0.891	0.885832	-0.58%	0.9014	+1.17%	0.0013	✓	1.15
2026-05-02	oos	0.8907	0.885396	-0.60%	0.891	+0.03%	0.0081	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.8571	0.852411	-0.55%	0.8907	+3.92%	0.0374	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.829	0.824747	-0.51%	0.8571	+3.39%	0.0108	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.821	0.816855	-0.50%	0.829	+0.97%	0.0067	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.9136	0.907521	-0.67%	0.821	-10.14%	0.0918	✓	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8744	0.86924	-0.59%	0.9136	+4.48%	0.0652	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.9573	0.948248	-0.95%	0.8744	-8.66%	0.0624	✓	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.8181	0.81401	-0.50%	0.9573	+17.02%	0.1477	✗	1.11
2026-04-24	oos	0.7601	0.757261	-0.37%	0.8181	+7.63%	0.0745	✗	1.13
2026-04-23	oos	0.8087	0.804884	-0.47%	0.7601	-6.01%	0.0454	✓	1.12
2026-04-22	oos	0.8333	0.828679	-0.55%	0.8087	-2.95%	0.0255	✓	1.12
2026-04-21	oos	0.7887	0.784525	-0.53%	0.8333	+5.65%	0.0335	✗	1.11
2026-04-20	oos	0.7759	0.772157	-0.48%	0.7887	+1.65%	0.0142	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.7667	0.762817	-0.51%	0.7759	+1.20%	0.0125	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.7735	0.769644	-0.50%	0.7667	-0.88%	0.0237	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.7731	0.769069	-0.52%	0.7735	+0.05%	0.0251	✗	1.09
2026-04-16	oos	0.7084	0.705687	-0.38%	0.7731	+9.13%	0.0641	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.7505	0.746935	-0.47%	0.7084	-5.61%	0.0576	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.7751	0.770891	-0.54%	0.7505	-3.17%	0.0363	✓	1.08
2026-04-13	oos	0.8106	0.80535	-0.65%	0.7751	-4.38%	0.0342	✓	1.13
2026-04-12	oos	0.7887	0.78328	-0.69%	0.8106	+2.78%	0.0240	✓	1.15
2026-04-11	oos	0.8128	0.805979	-0.84%	0.7887	-2.97%	0.0158	✗	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.6947	0.69111	-0.52%	0.8128	+17.00%	0.1608	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.6567	0.653718	-0.45%	0.6947	+5.79%	0.0417	✗	1.15
2026-04-08	oos	0.6537	0.650657	-0.47%	0.6567	+0.46%	0.0023	✓	1.15
2026-04-07	oos	0.6643	0.661093	-0.48%	0.6537	-1.60%	0.0020	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.6347	0.631475	-0.51%	0.6643	+4.66%	0.0003	✓	1.16
2026-04-05	oos	0.6043	0.601692	-0.43%	0.6347	+5.03%	0.0560	✗	1.16
2026-04-04	oos	0.6245	0.621516	-0.48%	0.6043	-3.23%	0.0576	✓	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.6235	0.62062	-0.46%	0.6245	+0.16%	0.0004	✓	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.6293	0.62621	-0.49%	0.6235	-0.92%	0.0055	✓	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.6221	0.619166	-0.47%	0.6293	+1.16%	0.0373	✗	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.6198	0.616917	-0.47%	0.6221	+0.37%	0.0102	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.6208	0.617973	-0.46%	0.6198	-0.16%	0.0227	✓	1.17
2026-03-29	oos	0.6376	0.63466	-0.46%	0.6208	-2.63%	0.0357	✓	1.16
2026-03-28	oos	0.6315	0.628638	-0.45%	0.6376	+0.97%	0.0204	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.6051	0.60279	-0.38%	0.6315	+4.36%	0.0471	✗	1.14
2026-03-26	oos	0.6183	0.615701	-0.42%	0.6051	-2.13%	0.0239	✗	1.15
2026-03-25	oos	0.6875	0.683778	-0.54%	0.6183	-10.07%	0.0600	✓	1.13
2026-03-24	oos	0.6465	0.643523	-0.46%	0.6875	+6.34%	0.0540	✗	1.11
2026-03-23	oos	0.6555	0.652359	-0.48%	0.6465	-1.37%	0.0037	✓	1.11
2026-03-22	oos	0.6279	0.625337	-0.41%	0.6555	+4.40%	0.0015	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.6771	0.673787	-0.49%	0.6279	-7.27%	0.0533	✓	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.669	0.665702	-0.49%	0.6771	+1.21%	0.0423	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.6529	0.649706	-0.49%	0.669	+2.47%	0.0201	✗	1.11
2026-03-18	oos	0.6722	0.668848	-0.50%	0.6529	-2.87%	0.0036	✓	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.6644	0.661141	-0.49%	0.6722	+1.17%	0.0582	✗	1.12
2026-03-16	oos	0.6809	0.677317	-0.53%	0.6644	-2.42%	0.0050	✓	1.11
2026-03-15	oos	0.6459	0.642868	-0.47%	0.6809	+5.42%	0.0270	✗	1.09
2026-03-14	oos	0.6292	0.626495	-0.43%	0.6459	+2.65%	0.0064	✗	1.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.642	0.639121	-0.45%	0.6292	-1.99%	0.0201	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.6526	0.649294	-0.51%	0.642	-1.62%	0.0177	✓	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.612	0.609757	-0.37%	0.6526	+6.63%	0.0628	✗	1.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.6458	0.643235	-0.40%	0.612	-5.23%	0.0537	✓	1.10
2026-03-09	oos	0.6859	0.682994	-0.42%	0.6458	-5.85%	0.0810	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.6458	0.643906	-0.29%	0.6859	+6.21%	0.0217	✗	1.13
2026-03-07	oos	0.6502	0.648285	-0.29%	0.6458	-0.68%	0.0181	✗	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.7077	0.70517	-0.36%	0.6502	-8.12%	0.0671	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.7517	0.748309	-0.45%	0.7077	-5.85%	0.0110	✓	1.12
2026-03-04	oos	0.7127	0.709792	-0.41%	0.7517	+5.47%	0.0858	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.721	0.71866	-0.32%	0.7127	-1.15%	0.0812	✓	1.18
2026-03-02	oos	0.7801	0.777117	-0.38%	0.721	-7.58%	0.0663	✓	1.20
2026-03-01	oos	0.8504	0.846771	-0.43%	0.7801	-8.27%	0.1386	✓	1.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.81	0.806885	-0.38%	0.8504	+4.99%	0.0745	✗	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.8276	0.824151	-0.42%	0.81	-2.13%	0.0378	✓	1.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.7424	0.740363	-0.27%	0.8276	+11.48%	0.1423	✗	1.27
2026-02-25	oos	0.7725	0.770061	-0.32%	0.7424	-3.90%	0.0272	✓	1.27
2026-02-24	oos	0.692	0.691941	-0.01%	0.7725	+11.63%	0.0378	✗	1.22
2026-02-23	oos	0.7031	0.703074	-0.00%	0.692	-1.58%	0.0055	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.7356	0.734786	-0.11%	0.7031	-4.42%	0.0112	✗	1.22
2026-02-21	oos	0.7696	0.768641	-0.12%	0.7356	-4.42%	0.0376	✓	1.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.7956	0.794623	-0.12%	0.7696	-3.27%	0.0314	✓	1.34
2026-02-19	oos	0.8029	0.802408	-0.06%	0.7956	-0.91%	0.0288	✓	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.8113	0.811252	-0.01%	0.8029	-1.04%	0.0218	✓	1.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.822	0.821985	-0.00%	0.8113	-1.30%	0.0096	✗	1.45
2026-02-16	oos	0.8702	0.869609	-0.07%	0.822	-5.54%	0.0269	✓	1.44
2026-02-15	oos	0.9231	0.922122	-0.11%	0.8702	-5.73%	0.0593	✓	1.41
2026-02-14	oos	0.9424	0.941129	-0.13%	0.9231	-2.05%	0.0007	✓	1.40
2026-02-13	oos	0.9471	0.946736	-0.04%	0.9424	-0.50%	0.0236	✓	1.35
2026-02-12	oos	0.8499	0.85202	+0.25%	0.9471	+11.44%	0.0544	✓	1.33
2026-02-11	oos	0.8637	0.86589	+0.25%	0.8499	-1.60%	0.0028	✗	1.30
2026-02-10	oos	0.9149	0.916565	+0.18%	0.8637	-5.60%	0.0260	✗	1.28
2026-02-09	oos	0.9577	0.958932	+0.13%	0.9149	-4.47%	0.0230	✗	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.9885	0.98973	+0.12%	0.9577	-3.12%	0.0297	✗	1.26
2026-02-07	oos	1.0725	1.0735	+0.09%	0.9885	-7.83%	0.1025	✗	1.35
2026-02-06	oos	1.1406	1.1403	-0.03%	1.0725	-5.97%	0.0355	✓	1.40
2026-02-05	oos	0.9324	0.937499	+0.55%	1.1406	+22.33%	0.0417	✓	1.33
2026-02-04	oos	1.1532	1.1528	-0.03%	0.9324	-19.15%	0.0048	✓	1.38
2026-02-03	oos	1.1517	1.1503	-0.12%	1.1532	+0.13%	0.0569	✗	1.52
2026-02-02	oos	1.208	1.2042	-0.31%	1.1517	-4.66%	0.0139	✗	1.50
2026-02-01	oos	1.2018	1.199	-0.23%	1.208	+0.52%	0.0213	✓	1.26
2026-01-31	oos	1.2276	1.2232	-0.36%	1.2018	-2.10%	0.0123	✗	1.33
2026-01-30	oos	1.2832	1.2757	-0.58%	1.2276	-4.33%	0.0573	✗	1.43
2026-01-29	oos	1.2912	1.2834	-0.60%	1.2832	-0.62%	0.0068	✗	1.45
2026-01-28	oos	1.4375	1.4269	-0.74%	1.2912	-10.18%	0.0236	✓	1.43
2026-01-27	oos	1.4171	1.407	-0.71%	1.4375	+1.44%	0.0207	✗	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	1.5084	1.4968	-0.77%	1.4171	-6.05%	0.0690	✓	1.46
2026-01-25	oos	1.3886	1.3794	-0.66%	1.5084	+8.63%	0.0611	✗	1.46
2026-01-24	oos	1.5632	1.5511	-0.78%	1.3886	-11.17%	0.0703	✓	1.41
2026-01-23	oos	1.6004	1.5871	-0.83%	1.5632	-2.32%	0.0089	✓	1.44
2026-01-22	oos	1.7155	1.6987	-0.98%	1.6004	-6.71%	0.0598	✓	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	1.705	1.688	-1.00%	1.7155	+0.62%	0.0145	✗	1.43
2026-01-20	oos	1.7586	1.7394	-1.09%	1.705	-3.05%	0.0380	✓	1.52
2026-01-19	oos	1.7548	1.7309	-1.36%	1.7586	+0.22%	0.0908	✗	1.60
2026-01-18	oos	1.6001	1.5832	-1.05%	1.7548	+9.67%	0.1218	✗	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	1.7004	1.6816	-1.11%	1.6001	-5.90%	0.0237	✓	1.66
2026-01-16	oos	1.911	1.8787	-1.69%	1.7004	-11.02%	0.0930	✓	1.62
2026-01-15	oos	1.8505	1.8236	-1.45%	1.911	+3.27%	0.0482	✗	1.61
2026-01-14	oos	1.8977	1.8582	-2.08%	1.8505	-2.49%	0.0192	✓	1.64
2026-01-13	oos	1.4442	1.4246	-1.35%	1.8977	+31.40%	0.2614	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	1.3797	1.3613	-1.33%	1.4442	+4.67%	0.0103	✓	1.54
2026-01-11	oos	1.2505	1.2376	-1.03%	1.3797	+10.33%	0.1033	✗	1.55
2026-01-10	oos	1.1019	1.0943	-0.69%	1.2505	+13.49%	0.1250	✗	1.54
2026-01-09	oos	1.155	1.1464	-0.74%	1.1019	-4.60%	0.0374	✓	1.39
2026-01-08	oos	1.1722	1.1633	-0.76%	1.155	-1.47%	0.0002	✓	1.22
2026-01-07	oos	1.2265	1.2162	-0.84%	1.1722	-4.43%	0.0345	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	1.3002	1.2869	-1.02%	1.2265	-5.67%	0.0280	✓	0.76
2026-01-05	oos	1.2657	1.2534	-0.97%	1.3002	+2.73%	0.0378	✗	0.75
2026-01-04	oos	1.2551	1.2441	-0.87%	1.2657	+0.84%	0.0010	✓	0.71
2026-01-03	oos	1.2419	1.232	-0.80%	1.2551	+1.06%	0.0116	✗	0.71
2026-01-02	oos	1.2407	1.2317	-0.72%	1.2419	+0.10%	0.0032	✓	0.71
2026-01-01	oos	1.3103	1.3002	-0.77%	1.2407	-5.31%	0.0569	✓	0.74
2025-12-31	oos	1.3419	1.3317	-0.76%	1.3103	-2.35%	0.0267	✓	0.74
2025-12-30	oos	1.3547	1.3439	-0.80%	1.3419	-0.94%	0.0067	✓	0.79
2025-12-29	oos	1.4501	1.4361	-0.97%	1.3547	-6.58%	0.0700	✓	0.80
2025-12-28	oos	1.2472	1.2426	-0.37%	1.4501	+16.27%	0.1616	✗	0.82
2025-12-27	oos	1.2406	1.237	-0.29%	1.2472	+0.53%	0.0076	✗	0.86
2025-12-26	oos	1.2271	1.2251	-0.16%	1.2406	+1.10%	0.0077	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	1.373	1.3681	-0.36%	1.2271	-10.63%	0.1099	✓	0.84
2025-12-24	oos	1.2847	1.2826	-0.17%	1.373	+6.87%	0.0724	✗	0.85
2025-12-23	oos	1.3175	1.3159	-0.12%	1.2847	-2.49%	0.0257	✓	0.85
2025-12-22	oos	1.3396	1.3375	-0.15%	1.3175	-1.65%	0.0043	✓	0.84
2025-12-21	oos	1.3321	1.331	-0.08%	1.3396	+0.56%	0.0072	✗	0.84
2025-12-20	oos	1.352	1.3515	-0.04%	1.3321	-1.47%	0.0175	✓	0.85
2025-12-19	oos	1.3798	1.3795	-0.02%	1.352	-2.01%	0.0224	✓	0.86
2025-12-18	oos	1.4117	1.4132	+0.10%	1.3798	-2.26%	0.0511	✗	0.90
2025-12-17	oos	1.5658	1.5642	-0.10%	1.4117	-9.84%	0.0950	✓	0.87
2025-12-16	oos	1.5189	1.5177	-0.08%	1.5658	+3.09%	0.0475	✗	0.86
2025-12-15	oos	1.547	1.5468	-0.01%	1.5189	-1.82%	0.0328	✓	0.88
2025-12-14	oos	1.5612	1.5599	-0.08%	1.547	-0.91%	0.0088	✗	0.85
2025-12-13	oos	1.6587	1.6542	-0.27%	1.5612	-5.88%	0.0386	✓	0.83
2025-12-12	oos	1.6998	1.6947	-0.30%	1.6587	-2.42%	0.0212	✓	0.83
2025-12-11	oos	1.9007	1.8903	-0.55%	1.6998	-10.57%	0.0870	✓	0.78
2025-12-10	oos	2.0681	2.0547	-0.65%	1.9007	-8.09%	0.0823	✓	0.79
2025-12-09	oos	2.2147	2.1982	-0.74%	2.0681	-6.62%	0.0555	✓	0.78
2025-12-08	oos	2.0749	2.0617	-0.64%	2.2147	+6.74%	0.0547	✗	0.76
2025-12-07	oos	2.1585	2.144	-0.67%	2.0749	-3.87%	0.0349	✓	0.77
2025-12-06	oos	2.1753	2.1608	-0.66%	2.1585	-0.77%	0.0107	✓	0.76
2025-12-05	oos	2.3701	2.3504	-0.83%	2.1753	-8.22%	0.0767	✓	0.77
2025-12-04	oos	2.4001	2.3774	-0.94%	2.3701	-1.25%	0.0201	✗	0.77
2025-12-03	oos	2.2141	2.193	-0.95%	2.4001	+8.40%	0.1018	✗	0.79
2025-12-02	oos	2.0663	2.0507	-0.76%	2.2141	+7.15%	0.0587	✗	0.77
2025-12-01	oos	2.0424	2.0297	-0.62%	2.0663	+1.17%	0.0302	✓	0.85
2025-11-30	oos	2.0181	2.0046	-0.67%	2.0424	+1.20%	0.0607	✗	0.91
2025-11-29	oos	2.1995	2.1822	-0.78%	2.0181	-8.25%	0.0737	✓	0.90
2025-11-28	oos	2.2508	2.2323	-0.82%	2.1995	-2.28%	0.0141	✓	0.91
2025-11-27	oos	2.65	2.6249	-0.95%	2.2508	-15.06%	0.1497	✓	0.89
2025-11-26	oos	2.8145	2.7843	-1.07%	2.65	-5.84%	0.0580	✓	0.92
2025-11-25	oos	2.8099	2.78	-1.06%	2.8145	+0.16%	0.0212	✓	0.95
2025-11-24	oos	3.1104	3.0626	-1.54%	2.8099	-9.66%	0.0763	✓	0.92
2025-11-23	oos	2.6466	2.6181	-1.08%	3.1104	+17.52%	0.1586	✗	0.82
2025-11-22	oos	2.0862	2.0729	-0.64%	2.6466	+26.86%	0.2293	✗	0.61
2025-11-21	oos	2.3982	2.3818	-0.69%	2.0862	-13.01%	0.1297	✓	0.61
2025-11-20	oos	2.928	2.9005	-0.94%	2.3982	-18.09%	0.1811	✓	0.53
2025-11-19	oos	3.509	3.4605	-1.38%	2.928	-16.56%	0.1532	✓	0.25
2025-11-18	oos	3.5056	3.4551	-1.44%	3.509	+0.10%	0.0194	✗	0.25
2025-11-17	oos	4.2919	4.1813	-2.58%	3.5056	-18.32%	0.1789	✓	0.30
2025-11-16	oos	4.1796	4.0666	-2.70%	4.2919	+2.69%	0.0614	✗	0.33
2025-11-15	oos	3.103	3.0548	-1.55%	4.1796	+34.70%	0.3197	✗	0.43
2025-11-14	oos	2.8813	2.8416	-1.38%	3.103	+7.69%	0.0835	✗	0.41
2025-11-13	oos	2.939	2.8958	-1.47%	2.8813	-1.96%	0.0153	✗	0.39
2025-11-12	oos	2.8393	2.7938	-1.60%	2.939	+3.51%	0.0587	✗	0.40
2025-11-11	oos	3.1359	3.0652	-2.25%	2.8393	-9.46%	0.0718	✓	0.36
2025-11-10	oos	3.0174	2.9269	-3.00%	3.1359	+3.93%	0.0798	✗	0.38
2025-11-09	oos	2.1958	2.163	-1.49%	3.0174	+37.42%	0.3297	✗	0.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.794	1.7769	-0.95%	2.1958	+22.40%	0.2089	✗	0.12
2025-11-07	oos	1.7824	1.7633	-1.07%	1.794	+0.65%	0.0184	✗	0.12
2025-11-06	oos	1.4682	1.459	-0.63%	1.7824	+21.40%	0.2003	✗	-0.00
2025-11-05	oos	1.8578	1.8375	-1.09%	1.4682	-20.97%	0.2291	✓	-0.19
2025-11-04	oos	1.8728	1.8427	-1.60%	1.8578	-0.80%	0.0125	✓	-0.19
2025-11-03	oos	1.5803	1.5674	-0.82%	1.8728	+18.51%	0.1803	✗	0.05
2025-11-02	oos	1.8033	1.7796	-1.31%	1.5803	-12.37%	0.1239	✓	-0.14
2025-11-01	oos	1.5727	1.555	-1.13%	1.8033	+14.66%	0.1488	✗	-0.15
2025-10-31	oos	1.3608	1.3502	-0.78%	1.5727	+15.57%	0.1533	✗	-0.18
2025-10-30	oos	1.2619	1.2536	-0.66%	1.3608	+7.84%	0.0844	✗	-0.20
2025-10-29	oos	1.4833	1.4706	-0.86%	1.2619	-14.93%	0.1576	✓	-0.29
2025-10-28	oos	1.4321	1.4205	-0.81%	1.4833	+3.58%	0.0368	✗	-0.25
2025-10-27	oos	1.7264	1.7039	-1.30%	1.4321	-17.05%	0.1771	✓	-0.32
2025-10-26	oos	1.5906	1.5733	-1.09%	1.7264	+8.54%	0.0916	✗	-0.32
2025-10-25	oos	1.4643	1.4507	-0.93%	1.5906	+8.63%	0.1013	✗	-0.36
2025-10-24	oos	1.4757	1.4601	-1.05%	1.4643	-0.77%	0.0051	✓	-0.40
2025-10-23	oos	1.4768	1.4589	-1.22%	1.4757	-0.07%	0.0148	✗	-0.39
2025-10-22	oos	1.2884	1.276	-0.96%	1.4768	+14.62%	0.1582	✗	-0.52
2025-10-21	oos	1.2338	1.2233	-0.85%	1.2884	+4.43%	0.0482	✗	-0.51
2025-10-20	oos	1.2969	1.2834	-1.04%	1.2338	-4.87%	0.0503	✓	-0.54
2025-10-19	oos	1.1538	1.1443	-0.82%	1.2969	+12.40%	0.1356	✗	-0.61
2025-10-18	oos	1.2065	1.1963	-0.84%	1.1538	-4.37%	0.0283	✓	-0.58
2025-10-17	oos	1.2667	1.2554	-0.89%	1.2065	-4.75%	0.0358	✓	-0.56
2025-10-16	oos	1.4108	1.3943	-1.17%	1.2667	-10.21%	0.1063	✓	-0.64
2025-10-15	oos	1.5306	1.5084	-1.45%	1.4108	-7.83%	0.0840	✓	-0.72
2025-10-14	oos	1.447	1.4264	-1.43%	1.5306	+5.78%	0.0564	✗	-0.70
2025-10-13	oos	1.5624	1.5286	-2.16%	1.447	-7.39%	0.0699	✓	-0.78
2025-10-12	oos	1.4058	1.3777	-2.00%	1.5624	+11.14%	0.1272	✗	-0.77
2025-10-11	oos	1.5112	1.4651	-3.05%	1.4058	-6.97%	0.0153	✓	-0.68
2025-10-10	oos	1.0842	1.0597	-2.26%	1.5112	+39.38%	0.3460	✗	-0.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.9355	0.922969	-1.34%	1.0842	+15.90%	0.1613	✗	0.00
2025-10-08	oos	0.7801	0.774501	-0.72%	0.9355	+19.92%	0.1912	✗	0.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.7782	0.771939	-0.80%	0.7801	+0.24%	0.0065	✓	0.25
2025-10-06	oos	0.717	0.712717	-0.60%	0.7782	+8.54%	0.0978	✗	0.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.6989	0.694986	-0.56%	0.717	+2.59%	0.0278	✗	0.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.7039	0.699676	-0.60%	0.6989	-0.71%	0.0041	✓	0.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.701	0.696451	-0.65%	0.7039	+0.41%	0.0102	✗	0.34
2025-10-02	oos	0.7127	0.706832	-0.82%	0.701	-1.64%	0.0133	✓	0.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.6238	0.620481	-0.53%	0.7127	+14.25%	0.1344	✗	0.25
2025-09-30	oos	0.6189	0.615602	-0.53%	0.6238	+0.79%	0.0033	✓	0.25
2025-09-29	oos	0.6369	0.632944	-0.62%	0.6189	-2.83%	0.0217	✓	0.27
2025-09-28	oos	0.5722	0.569591	-0.46%	0.6369	+11.31%	0.1083	✗	0.18
2025-09-27	oos	0.5832	0.580614	-0.44%	0.5722	-1.89%	0.0188	✓	0.18
2025-09-26	oos	0.6207	0.617471	-0.52%	0.5832	-6.04%	0.0571	✓	0.17
2025-09-25	oos	0.5954	0.592716	-0.45%	0.6207	+4.25%	0.0452	✗	0.15
2025-09-24	oos	0.6084	0.605378	-0.50%	0.5954	-2.14%	0.0121	✓	0.12
2025-09-23	oos	0.6103	0.607223	-0.50%	0.6084	-0.31%	0.0004	✓	0.13
2025-09-22	oos	0.5926	0.589842	-0.47%	0.6103	+2.99%	0.0349	✗	0.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.6157	0.612629	-0.50%	0.5926	-3.75%	0.0316	✓	0.07
2025-09-20	oos	0.6	0.597202	-0.47%	0.6157	+2.62%	0.0321	✗	0.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.6327	0.629506	-0.50%	0.6	-5.17%	0.0483	✓	0.46
2025-09-18	oos	0.5919	0.589283	-0.44%	0.6327	+6.89%	0.0774	✗	0.52
2025-09-17	oos	0.641	0.637874	-0.49%	0.5919	-7.66%	0.0775	✓	0.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.