FATCOIN
FATCOIN · Robinhood · gru_s8
- token id
- #811
- symbol
- FATCOIN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x12d5ee7917ca430073c3a638ee1e6f0648a98a01
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-04
- predictions
- 117
Track record at +7d
assessed
32
of 39 predictions shown
direction hit
75.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3157
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0418
actual -0.2940
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003623 | 0.000340625 | -5.98% | – | pending | – | – | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003674 | 0.000344435 | -6.25% | – | pending | – | – | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.0003527 | 0.000334984 | -5.02% | – | pending | – | – | 0.33 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004097 | 0.000381736 | -6.83% | – | pending | – | – | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043515 | 0.000401928 | -7.63% | – | pending | – | – | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.000357 | 0.000344771 | -3.43% | – | pending | – | – | 0.35 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00038465 | 0.000368422 | -4.22% | – | pending | – | – | 0.37 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00040915 | 0.000390128 | -4.65% | 0.0003623 | -11.45% | 0.0788 | ✓ | 0.35 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.0003266 | 0.000322355 | -1.30% | 0.0003674 | +12.49% | 0.1325 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00035135 | 0.000345923 | -1.54% | 0.0003527 | +0.38% | 0.0185 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000385 | 0.000375456 | -2.48% | 0.0004097 | +6.42% | 0.1052 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00037315 | 0.000366714 | -1.72% | 0.00043515 | +16.62% | 0.1860 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.00040435 | 0.000395573 | -2.17% | 0.000357 | -11.71% | 0.0925 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00036805 | 0.000363685 | -1.19% | 0.00038465 | +4.51% | 0.0527 | ✗ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.000506 | 0.000487173 | -3.72% | 0.00040915 | -19.14% | 0.1677 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00038745 | 0.000380376 | -1.83% | 0.0003266 | -15.71% | 0.1134 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.00035605 | 0.000346924 | -2.56% | 0.00035135 | -1.32% | 0.0817 | ✗ | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0004861 | 0.000476517 | -1.97% | 0.000385 | -20.80% | 0.1706 | ✓ | 1.28 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.00051235 | 0.00050227 | -1.97% | 0.00037315 | -27.17% | 0.2753 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00051375 | 0.000502704 | -2.15% | 0.00040435 | -21.29% | 0.1943 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.00054035 | 0.000527287 | -2.42% | 0.00036805 | -31.89% | 0.3216 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.0006234 | 0.00061103 | -1.98% | 0.000506 | -18.83% | 0.1852 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00059005 | 0.000574443 | -2.64% | 0.00038745 | -34.34% | 0.4163 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00074535 | 0.000730183 | -2.03% | 0.00035605 | -52.23% | 0.7453 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0008163 | 0.000796247 | -2.46% | 0.0004861 | -40.45% | 0.5174 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00094305 | 0.00091367 | -3.12% | 0.00051235 | -45.67% | 0.5823 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.001029 | 0.00099101 | -3.72% | 0.00051375 | -50.09% | 0.6619 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0009778 | 0.000941655 | -3.70% | 0.00054035 | -44.74% | 0.5609 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001144 | 0.001092 | -4.60% | 0.0006234 | -45.53% | 0.5506 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001388 | 0.0013 | -6.36% | 0.00059005 | -57.50% | 0.7599 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.001228 | 0.001159 | -5.64% | 0.00074535 | -39.31% | 0.4044 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.001401 | 0.001316 | -6.08% | 0.0008163 | -41.75% | 0.5176 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00174 | 0.001609 | -7.56% | 0.00094305 | -45.82% | 0.5726 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.001629 | 0.001507 | -7.50% | 0.001029 | -36.81% | 0.4201 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.001716 | 0.001573 | -8.36% | 0.0009778 | -43.02% | 0.5752 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.000835 | 0.000764587 | -8.43% | 0.001144 | +37.07% | 0.3007 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.001151 | 0.00106 | -7.83% | 0.001388 | +20.69% | 0.1381 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.00143 | 0.00132 | -7.69% | 0.001228 | -14.15% | 0.1748 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.001492 | 0.001363 | -8.68% | 0.001401 | -6.08% | 0.0271 | ✓ | 1.00 |