FATCOIN

FATCOIN · Robinhood · gru_s8

token id: #811
symbol: FATCOIN
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x12d5ee7917ca430073c3a638ee1e6f0648a98a01
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

68.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1405

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0067

actual -0.0388

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003623	0.000358017	-1.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003674	0.000362918	-1.22%	0.0003623	-1.39%	0.0004	✓	0.45
2026-10-19	oos	0.0003527	0.000349548	-0.89%	0.0003674	+4.17%	0.0454	✗	0.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004097	0.000404146	-1.36%	0.0003527	-13.91%	0.1355	✓	0.32
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043515	0.000427694	-1.71%	0.0004097	-5.85%	0.0453	✓	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.000357	0.000355046	-0.55%	0.00043515	+21.89%	0.2039	✗	0.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.00038465	0.000381916	-0.71%	0.000357	-7.19%	0.0647	✓	0.37
2026-10-14	oos	0.00040915	0.00040571	-0.84%	0.00038465	-5.99%	0.0557	✓	0.35
2026-10-13	oos	0.0003266	0.00032628	-0.10%	0.00040915	+25.28%	0.2420	✗	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.00035135	0.000350851	-0.14%	0.0003266	-7.04%	0.0849	✓	0.81
2026-10-11	oos	0.000385	0.00038377	-0.32%	0.00035135	-8.74%	0.0674	✓	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.00037315	0.000372547	-0.16%	0.000385	+3.18%	0.0255	✗	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.00040435	0.000403338	-0.25%	0.00037315	-7.72%	0.0813	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	0.00036805	0.0003679	-0.04%	0.00040435	+9.86%	0.0879	✗	0.63
2026-10-07	oos	0.000506	0.000503002	-0.59%	0.00036805	-27.26%	0.3061	✓	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.00038745	0.00038686	-0.15%	0.000506	+30.60%	0.3046	✗	1.35
2026-10-05	oos	0.00035605	0.000355203	-0.24%	0.00038745	+8.82%	0.0904	✗	1.44
2026-10-04	oos	0.0004861	0.000485169	-0.19%	0.00035605	-26.75%	0.2981	✓	1.28
2026-10-03	oos	0.00051235	0.000511378	-0.19%	0.0004861	-5.12%	0.0713	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.00051375	0.00051268	-0.21%	0.00051235	-0.27%	0.0034	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.00054035	0.000538985	-0.25%	0.00051375	-4.92%	0.0439	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.0006234	0.000622208	-0.19%	0.00054035	-13.32%	0.1564	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.00059005	0.000588455	-0.27%	0.0006234	+5.65%	0.0587	✗	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.00074535	0.000743807	-0.21%	0.00059005	-20.84%	0.2337	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.0008163	0.000813904	-0.29%	0.00074535	-8.69%	0.0760	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00094305	0.000938893	-0.44%	0.0008163	-13.44%	0.1405	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.001029	0.001023	-0.57%	0.00094305	-8.38%	0.0856	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.0009778	0.000972627	-0.53%	0.001029	+5.26%	0.0601	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.001144	0.001136	-0.73%	0.0009778	-14.57%	0.1501	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.001388	0.001372	-1.16%	0.001144	-17.57%	0.1602	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.001228	0.001217	-0.92%	0.001388	+13.06%	0.1366	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.001401	0.001387	-1.00%	0.001228	-12.36%	0.1867	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.00174	0.001716	-1.39%	0.001401	-19.48%	0.2018	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.001629	0.001607	-1.33%	0.00174	+6.85%	0.0753	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.001716	0.001686	-1.75%	0.001629	-5.07%	0.0920	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.000835	0.00082493	-1.21%	0.001716	+105.50%	0.7297	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.001151	0.001138	-1.09%	0.000835	-27.42%	0.3170	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.00143	0.001415	-1.05%	0.001151	-19.57%	0.1736	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.001492	0.001474	-1.21%	0.00143	-4.12%	0.0477	✓	1.00