DCR

Decred · native · gru_s8

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

72.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0634

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0140

actual -0.0084

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	15.295	15.1592	-0.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.6868	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.4886	-0.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.4545	+0.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.4324	+0.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.7574	+0.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	15.0921	-0.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	16.04	-0.70%	15.295	-5.31%	0.0697	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	16.2172	-0.90%	14.749	-9.87%	0.0934	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	16.2026	-0.80%	14.512	-11.15%	0.1111	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.5153	-1.02%	14.454	-13.38%	0.1167	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.7312	-0.95%	14.407	-14.71%	0.1348	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.2586	-1.29%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1471	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	17.1526	-1.30%	15.122	-12.98%	0.1301	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.7751	-1.74%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0797	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	18.0235	-1.81%	16.365	-10.85%	0.0743	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.1761	-1.93%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.0705	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	18.0244	-1.80%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0515	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.9892	-1.68%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0459	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.9373	-1.74%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0073	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.8628	-1.70%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0018	✓	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	18.0802	-1.92%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0031	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.8044	-1.72%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0128	✓	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.5517	-1.49%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0330	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.2054	-1.69%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0110	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.9677	-1.67%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0150	✓	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.4385	-1.48%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0418	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.9123	-1.95%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0099	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.8765	-2.18%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0386	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.2714	-2.44%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0173	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.6128	-1.99%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0403	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.9053	-2.29%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0585	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.0849	-2.39%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0359	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.2713	-2.64%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0079	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.3761	-2.82%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0261	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.3747	-1.98%	18.275	+16.51%	0.0875	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.5913	-1.09%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1386	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.3707	-1.92%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0167	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.0322	-1.83%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0348	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.8558	-1.26%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0612	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.7319	-0.89%	17.739	+11.76%	0.0844	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.4814	-0.49%	16.852	+8.32%	0.0867	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.3737	-0.64%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0225	✓	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.0225	-1.94%	14.752	-15.02%	0.1160	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.8284	+0.25%	16.692	+5.72%	0.0620	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.5368	-0.38%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0213	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.8516	-0.25%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0374	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.6409	+0.54%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0375	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.5733	+1.95%	15.558	+8.84%	0.1126	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.0565	+0.78%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1481	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.4504	+0.45%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.1714	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.6206	+0.52%	15.789	+8.56%	0.0711	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.1768	+0.78%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1289	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.349	+0.68%	15.892	+11.50%	0.0850	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.1878	+0.42%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.0724	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.0617	+0.93%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0056	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.9259	+0.54%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0210	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.7196	+0.40%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0600	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.8836	+0.24%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0511	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.2146	-0.26%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0097	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.9433	-0.30%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0086	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.1155	+0.85%	14.129	+8.64%	0.0801	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.0185	+0.53%	13.932	+16.54%	0.0659	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.912	-0.14%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0291	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.6304	-0.70%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0396	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.9685	-0.90%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0651	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.8567	-0.93%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0409	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.9206	-0.97%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0529	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.8601	-0.92%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1383	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	12.0198	-0.99%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1540	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.1048	-1.15%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.1085	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.7971	-1.45%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.1075	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.6087	-1.37%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0524	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.7598	-1.48%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0306	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.6083	-1.48%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0150	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.5766	-1.38%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0176	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.3404	-1.36%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0024	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.7691	-1.60%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0222	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.1473	-1.77%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0037	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	13.037	-1.76%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0271	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.9949	-1.78%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0258	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.85	-1.93%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0400	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.8593	-2.27%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0429	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.248	-2.63%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0498	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.4986	-1.29%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1101	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.4195	-1.39%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1557	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.0674	-1.03%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.1850	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.5543	-1.12%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1629	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.4605	-1.04%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1571	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.4768	-1.01%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1558	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.8791	-0.95%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1406	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.337	-1.07%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0256	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.4538	-1.15%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0341	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.553	-1.38%	11.183	-12.15%	0.0928	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.531	-1.49%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0797	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.5046	-1.66%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0693	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.3789	-1.63%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0684	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.0425	-2.20%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.1034	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.1338	-2.73%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0725	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.3327	-3.13%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.0795	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.127	-3.08%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0086	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.9122	-2.34%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0523	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.115	-1.23%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1203	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.0405	-1.07%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1342	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.8909	-1.10%	13.336	+21.10%	0.1941	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.844	-1.16%	13.502	+23.07%	0.1841	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.8703	-1.29%	13.764	+24.99%	0.2124	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.0653	-1.34%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1480	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.9912	-1.38%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.1019	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.1217	-1.44%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0018	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.3031	-1.57%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0364	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.0171	-1.48%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0252	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.7916	-1.36%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0172	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.6055	-1.15%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0332	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.1075	-1.54%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0442	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.9419	-1.48%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0391	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.2874	-1.75%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0443	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.9936	-1.82%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0088	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.7095	-2.29%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0188	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.8244	-2.91%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0650	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.9929	-1.65%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0375	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.2966	-1.88%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0538	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.2364	-1.72%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0435	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.6401	-1.96%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0560	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.4044	-1.83%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0379	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.2741	-1.79%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0236	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.7884	-2.09%	12.179	+1.15%	0.0878	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.0995	-2.34%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0330	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.3294	-2.69%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0328	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.4682	-2.68%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0483	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.9532	-2.36%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.7692	-2.18%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0120	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.9067	-2.18%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0258	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.639	-1.63%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0138	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.766	-1.64%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0101	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.0317	-1.95%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.1311	-2.03%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0173	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.1439	-1.19%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0491	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.967	-1.12%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0348	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.8853	-2.03%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0531	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.1581	-2.40%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1381	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.2786	-3.17%	11.962	-18.88%	0.0995	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.024	-3.78%	12.271	-21.41%	0.0794	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.368	-3.96%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0657	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.