DCR

Decred · native · gru_s8

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

63.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0968

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0284

actual +0.0156

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.1629	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.304	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.0589	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.0036	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	13.9344	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.2478	-3.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.5906	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.4151	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.6629	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.5648	-4.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.0037	-4.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.1604	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.6384	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.5102	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.1491	-5.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.5011	-4.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	17.6781	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.6012	-4.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.5735	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.512	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.4813	-3.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.6416	-4.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.4238	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.2354	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.879	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.6628	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.1699	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.5803	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.5291	-4.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	17.9446	-4.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.4005	-3.17%	14.773	-17.80%	0.1277	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.4877	-4.71%	14.749	-14.76%	0.1292	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	16.6823	-4.69%	14.512	-17.09%	0.1454	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	16.8554	-4.98%	14.454	-18.52%	0.1652	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	15.8272	-6.08%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1471	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	14.9108	-4.94%	14.749	-5.97%	0.0674	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.1755	-3.91%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0055	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	15.9476	-4.46%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0190	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.5691	-4.67%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0094	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.4689	-3.67%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0120	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.4236	-2.83%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0169	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.2113	-2.23%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0434	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.1939	-1.73%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0377	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	16.8765	-2.78%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0003	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.8062	+0.11%	18.089	+14.57%	0.0955	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.565	-0.20%	18.356	+10.58%	0.0556	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	16.0724	+1.14%	18.533	+16.62%	0.0890	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.8196	+1.69%	18.355	+17.98%	0.0890	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.8731	+4.05%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.1742	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.175	+1.63%	18.255	+30.88%	0.1753	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.611	+1.57%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1367	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.937	+2.70%	18.434	+26.74%	0.1572	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.4115	+2.45%	18.116	+28.78%	0.1657	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.66	+2.86%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.1403	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.5206	+2.77%	18.519	+31.07%	0.1741	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.4992	+4.07%	18.273	+31.16%	0.1871	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.3422	+3.55%	17.7	+27.79%	0.1555	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	14.1685	+3.68%	18.268	+33.68%	0.1915	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.4028	+3.98%	18.275	+31.94%	0.1809	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.7331	+3.38%	18.729	+31.42%	0.1487	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.4697	+3.47%	17.971	+28.50%	0.1140	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.6718	+5.12%	17.302	+33.04%	0.2029	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.311	+2.98%	17.503	+46.41%	0.2598	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.9928	+0.54%	17.739	+48.71%	0.2483	✓	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.493	-1.87%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2111	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.798	-2.31%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1117	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.6335	-2.80%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0422	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.7114	-2.71%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1265	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.651	-2.67%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1280	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.8261	-2.59%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.0976	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.9083	-2.76%	15.873	+29.62%	0.0795	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.5452	-3.39%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0185	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.3813	-3.15%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.0709	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.5361	-3.21%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1234	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.399	-3.12%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0320	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.3972	-2.79%	16.599	+30.16%	0.0654	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.1658	-2.75%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0382	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.5813	-3.05%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0084	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.8933	-3.67%	14.294	+6.80%	0.1512	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.77	-3.77%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.1226	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.7402	-3.71%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0900	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.5834	-3.96%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.0953	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.6022	-4.22%	14.067	+6.91%	0.1168	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.0597	-4.01%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.1152	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.3807	-2.31%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0224	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.2921	-2.49%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0147	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.9328	-2.24%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0264	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.4525	-1.99%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0002	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.3628	-1.88%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0000	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.3985	-1.68%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0375	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.8235	-1.42%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0063	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.293	-1.42%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.1038	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.4318	-1.32%	11.955	-5.11%	0.1269	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.4744	-2.00%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.1035	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.4476	-2.14%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0609	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.4484	-2.10%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0255	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.2902	-2.33%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0103	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	12.8944	-3.31%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0572	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.0243	-3.54%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0576	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.2166	-3.98%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0610	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.027	-3.88%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0023	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.8545	-2.81%	12.985	+6.46%	0.0941	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.0575	-1.74%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1431	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.9652	-1.75%	12.952	+16.06%	0.1565	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.7986	-1.94%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1456	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.7286	-2.21%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1353	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.7554	-2.33%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1376	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	10.9324	-2.53%	12.977	+15.70%	0.1629	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.8496	-2.65%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.2033	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	10.968	-2.81%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.1851	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.1319	-3.06%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1583	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.8324	-3.13%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.1715	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.5904	-3.20%	13.158	+20.27%	0.1749	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.387	-3.19%	13.606	+26.82%	0.1795	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	10.865	-3.69%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0172	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.6847	-3.79%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0195	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.0014	-4.24%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0359	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.7023	-4.42%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0156	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.422	-4.91%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0439	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.4867	-5.68%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0281	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.6774	-4.47%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.0820	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	10.9743	-4.67%	12.47	+8.32%	0.0981	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	10.8924	-4.73%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.1000	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.2849	-4.95%	12.729	+7.21%	0.1051	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.0321	-5.04%	12.72	+9.49%	0.1235	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	10.8931	-5.10%	12.716	+10.78%	0.1247	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.3951	-5.36%	12.584	+4.52%	0.1078	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	11.6986	-5.58%	13.336	+7.64%	0.1595	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	11.9199	-5.92%	13.502	+6.57%	0.1484	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.0251	-6.14%	13.764	+7.43%	0.1460	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.4861	-6.17%	12.513	+2.21%	0.1198	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.2995	-6.09%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.0733	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.4316	-6.08%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0190	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.146	-5.80%	11.16	-5.68%	0.0415	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.2543	-5.92%	11.012	-7.94%	0.0456	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.4933	-6.34%	10.971	-10.59%	0.0333	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	11.5742	-6.52%	11.012	-11.06%	0.0501	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.567	-5.88%	11.216	-8.74%	0.0813	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.3731	-6.02%	11.145	-7.91%	0.0612	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.2407	-6.93%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.0700	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	13.434	-7.39%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.1329	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	13.5188	-8.32%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.1089	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	14.1954	-9.09%	10.94	-29.93%	0.0871	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	14.5307	-9.19%	10.729	-32.95%	0.0744	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.